A delicate secret

EUR/USD Current price 1.38

Very interesting to see how far price went away from those "Sell targets"

1.36953 -> H1 Sell Target --> About 44 Hours Ago --> I believe might be reached tomorrow, otherwise it will leave our screen

1.3720 --> H4 Sell Target --> That is the one that I will aim !!! Wish me luck

hi Eurusdd,
from this level.. 1.379496, i think next level dis-similarity should be 1.372232 (short) Eurusd, but 1st TP should be 1.376106.
i don't want to predict her, please correct me if i am on wrong side.
Regards
Hukam

"However, a more recent study conducted by the Univ of Iowa states that: ".....price movements can be predicted with a better than 50-50 accuracy for anywhere up to one minute after the stock leaves the confines of its bid-ask spread. Probabilities continue to be significant until about five minutes after it leaves the spread. By 30 minutes, the predictability window has closed..... While a 52 percent probability may not seem like much of a better probability than 50 percent, Street points out that in the ocean of data that is stock trading, it is a notable increase, and something that can be exploited." Source: here (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/02/140203155046.htm). (Admittedly they're talking stocks, not forex)."

I agree with that statement to some degree, but forex is surprisingly more predictable that stocks in my opinion, I could be wrong but at least to me it is. The reason most people fail I think is a lack of research or I would say research into things that don't go anywhere. You can predict forex with a near 75/80 percent accuracy but what is harder to do is predict how long it would keep going your way, that why It is harder to get out than to get in. it took me 2 years of research and 1 year of trading to understand the forex market to a comfortable degree and I can say that with certainty, the predictability of forex can be a high percentage with just price action alone. When I say price action I don't mean to look at the chart, I mean price behavior coupled with volume for the first 15 minutes of price quote.

That brings me to another point, forexfactory has thousands of members and I can bet that less than 10 people know how the market is priced, and that alone can increase your probability of your trades. We learn about not trading low volume times but no one is not telling anyone not to trade certain times of the hour that can have a bad effect on your trade. I am not doubting the experts with their claims but predicting more than 50 percent is actually easy when you have all the information infront of you.

knowing when the big guys are buying and selling is important but also important is knowing when they are taking profit, which is another very important issue and can mean the difference between a proper trade or a fakeout going against you. In stocks it might not be easy to program a mechanically system but in forex it's actually easier if you know what you are looking for.

Fair enough. Without more info, I can’t discuss aspects of your own knowledge or experience.

Anyway, I've made the points that I wanted to, and to avoid hijacking Eurusdd’s thread any further, I’ll leave it at that.

I have a level of 1.3845 on the upside and most of the case the daily will not closed above the level. It need an aggressive power for the daily to close above the level, will the FOMC give the power...? We will see.

I'll short EU around 1.382x-4x but no more than 1.3845

Has the bar left the screen yet?

Hello Guys,

I am totally beginner and I have been reedling quite a lot in different treads but a little bit lost and I don't know from where to start. I have my demo account for 2 weeks but I am trying to learn slowly the technical analysis. Is there any gentleman who can advise me where and how I should be starting to FX trading ?

I am sorry I can see most of people here are professional traders for years now.

Many Thanks

Tarek

This level still valid? Is already a 180 pips range.

Hasn't left the screen yet.

Welcome to the wonderful and wacky world of trading I hope you enjoy your flight with us fasten your seat belt because this is bound to be a bumpy ride. I recommend you learn Anything written by Anna Coulling she knows what she is saying, and then anything by Tom williams. Get yourself familiarize with how the market really works and it would serve you well I promise. Don't use any indicator unless you first learn how to trade. And This is not the place for this talk, start your own thread and I will probably come over there and try to set you on the right path, lord knows I wish someone did that for me when I first started out.

Dear saneblane (http://www.forexfactory.com/saneblane) please leave here some pdf if you have. Ill read about it.

thank you.

Many Thanks Saneblane for your good gesture. You are a true gentleman. I will take your advise by reading what you recommended.
at the mean time if you have any links for ebooks or so please send the links.

wish you prosperous and happy successful trading

It seems that we can identify the zone at 1.3720 with some of the Tools that have been left behind We have dissimilarities on both "Ralome Template" at those levels and price and trending down at the moment...

Two bad I was averaging down from about 1.3770 to 1.3850 and closed my trade at 1.3890 when price finally started to move in my (our?) direction ...

---> Classic

I am wondering if the gap down is considered as "mispricing" ? What would be closed first, the gap of EUR/USD from sunday or our area at 1.3720 ??

She & her EURUSD is unpredictable for uncertain time..Ö

making pips and money without any "secrets"..and without fulling around and its for free here
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=470225

just read and follow the rulles and make pips/money on 16 pairs

enjoy all and have great weekend,
Regards,
Eitan.

Eursdd will be back in a couple of weeks with a new thread to reveal yet another secret and get some attention again,
lets just be patients guys.

Probably, for the biggest secret of all

when case is Forex mystery & secret never ends.

Take a look at my first 21 Trades many thanks to EurUsd !!!

What did he do?