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  • #3,521
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:40am Apr 1, 2014 10:40am
Quoting Ken A
Crude lock profit 170 ticks - target moved {image}
bastard..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #3,522
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:45am Apr 1, 2014 10:45am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} bastard..
Howdy
  • #3,523
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:45am Apr 1, 2014 10:45am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} stop @ 103.65
payed 15
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,524
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:49am Apr 1, 2014 10:49am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} payed 15
All XXX/JPY been slowly creeping up - something is going on
  • #3,525
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:51am Apr 1, 2014 10:51am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} All XXX/JPY been slowly creeping up - something is going on
just hope it doesn't end the day below 103.50
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,526
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:20pm Apr 1, 2014 1:20pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Put my tp for the long at 103.66 to be safe, would short at 103.85.
Done (one partial remains for 104.82), but now waiting for sell limits to be executed.

Good night!
Fail better.
  • #3,527
  • Apr 1, 2014 9:13pm Apr 1, 2014 9:13pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Done (one partial remains for 104.82), but now waiting for sell limits to be executed. Good night!
Jawollo!

  • #3,528
  • Edited 10:36pm Apr 1, 2014 9:56pm | Edited 10:36pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Done (one partial remains for 104.82), but now waiting for sell limits to be executed. Good night!
USD/JPY Recap:

Scenario 1: A close above 104.129 would open 104.599 as a target point (not my prefered view)

Scenario 2:
We are finishing wave C @ 103.895-104.129 area. We should see here a correction down to 38,2% = 103.22 today (minimum target). But i expect here a drop to 102.61/5 in the next weeks.

On my another trading system i have 103.986 as a valid target point that has been indicated on beginning Feb. Also i have 104.049 and 104.129 as untested points from Januar.

Sell AREA: 103.895-104.129

Enjoy

Schickeria
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY 1.png Size: 79 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY - .png Size: 68 KB
  • #3,529
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:10pm Apr 1, 2014 10:10pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} USD/JPY Recap: Scenario 1: A close above 104.129 would open 104.599 as a target point (not my prefered view) Scenario 2: We are finishing wave C @ 103.946-104.129 area. We should see here a correction down to 38,2% = 103.22 today (minimum target). But i expect here a drop to 102.61/5 in the next weeks. On my another trading system i have 103.986 as a valid target point that has been indicated on beginning Feb. Also i have 104.049 and 104.129 as untested points from Januar. Sell AREA: 103.895-104.129 Enjoy Schickeria {image} {image}
USD/JPY long term:

this scenario is posible on long term chart and a good sell point for this scenario.

target of wave C is:

61,8% = 101.053
100% = 99.271
161.8% = 96.388
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY - Primary Analysis - Apr-02 0707 AM (12 hour).png Size: 58 KB
  • #3,530
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:14pm Apr 1, 2014 10:14pm
Good morning.

Schick, you're up early! UJ short executed at 103.80/5, might be a little premature, now let's see what to do with it, my initial target was somewhere in the 102.5 area, and Schick's scenarios are food for thought. And I still have bigger po's much lower. On the other hand:
Quoting Ken A
{quote} All XXX/JPY been slowly creeping up - something is going on
. Might place a tighter sl soon.

Inserted Video


AudNzd: had a look at the chart, have placed a small po short at 1.0757, just to put my money where my mouth was. Still think we see a move down before further up.

Still somewhat angry that my AU sell limit wasn't hit, EA long wasn't executed. Well, well. EU placed a po short at 3829.
Fail better.
  • #3,531
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:32pm Apr 1, 2014 10:32pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Done (one partial remains for 104.82), but now waiting for sell limits to be executed. Good night!
one possible move to your 104.82 or EW-Level 104.759 is also possible.

if we see a 5-wave impuls drop from 104.00 area and a break of 102.566 - this would damage your target point.

critical zone or key-zone is 103.089-102.566
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,532
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:35pm Apr 1, 2014 10:35pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} one possible move to your 104.82 or EW-Level 104.759 is also possible. if we see a 5-wave impuls drop from 104.00 area and a break of 102.566 - this would damage your target point. critical zone or key-zone is 103.089-102.566 {image}
I realize my new short and the old long target are contradictory. Atm too early for me to decide. As I usually am wrong, I might let tp/sl take care of the decision .
Fail better.
  • #3,533
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:47pm Apr 1, 2014 10:47pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
Might place a tighter sl soon. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rux2CkLWvcQ AudNzd: had a look at the chart, have placed a small po short at 1.0757, just to put my money where my mouth was. Still think we see a move down before further up. Still somewhat angry that my AU sell limit wasn't hit, EA long wasn't executed. Well, well. EU placed a po short at 3829.
Two things will worry me for XXX/JPY; Equities sell-off Risk-off and fundamental changes

Have enough buffers for E/J and U/J still far from BE. Lowest entry for E/J 120.xx from April 2013 and U/J 96.xx

Re: A/U & A/J ----> Post 3,286 A/U can't go far down if A/J is dragging it.

Re: AUD/NZD not going to chase it either limits hit or don't looking for +500 pips up.
Attached Image


Re: E/U have cluster of confluences not far from fresh supplies
Attached Image
  • #3,534
  • Apr 1, 2014 10:51pm Apr 1, 2014 10:51pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Two things will worry me for XXX/JPY; Equities sell-off Risk-off and fundamental changes Have enough buffers for E/J and U/J still far from BE. Lowest entry for E/J 120.xx from April 2013 and U/J 96.xx Re: A/U & A/J ----> Post 3,286 A/U can't go far down if A/J is dragging it. Re: AUD/NZD not going to chase it either limits hit or don't looking for +500 pips up. {image} Re: E/U have cluster of confluences not far from fresh supplies {image}
Good Morning Ken,

what do you think about USDJPY ?

Thanx
  • #3,535
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:03pm Apr 1, 2014 11:03pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Good Morning Ken, what do you think about USDJPY ? Thanx
Morning Schic, re U/J there's fresh supply at 104.00 then options barrier around that # for 10:00 EST cut if equites in bull run 104.00 might be taken out. From PA movement, it's not impossible to challenge the last highs 105.44 (61.8% of monthly chart 105.578) though will not be easy due to barriers and historically 61.8% is tough level.
  • #3,536
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:05pm Apr 1, 2014 11:05pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Two things will worry me for XXX/JPY; Equities sell-off Risk-off and fundamental changes Have enough buffers for E/J and U/J still far from BE. Lowest entry for E/J 120.xx from April 2013 and U/J 96.xx Re: A/U & A/J ----> Post 3,286 A/U can't go far down if A/J is dragging it. Re: AUD/NZD not going to chase it either limits hit or don't looking for +500 pips up. {image} Re: E/U have cluster of confluences not far from fresh supplies {image}
AUDNZD

From Elliott Wave we have done on AUDNZD.

Corrective X-Wave targets are 78.6% = 104.989 hit.

if we see one leg lower next target is 1.01827 (same distance like wave W from 1.37958 to 1.23181.

what is your long Pending order!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZD - Primary Analysis - Apr-02 0802 AM (1 week).png Size: 52 KB
  • #3,537
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:14pm Apr 1, 2014 11:14pm
Quoting Ken A
Re: A/U & A/J ----> Post 3,286 A/U can't go far down if A/J is dragging it. Re: AUD/NZD not going to chase it either limits hit or don't looking for +500 pips up.
AU: this is why I'm angry, that short was imo the opportunity for a counter-trade. Now I'm again in the situation to look for a long entry, got a po at 9129, maybe a bit too obvious... I shifted the tp for the long from 90xx to 94xx, the sell limit to slightly above.

AN: good to see that, my first long entries are way above it, but it's a step by step approach. There is a lot of room above, wouldn't like to miss the entry.
Fail better.
  • #3,538
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:17pm Apr 1, 2014 11:17pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} AUDNZD From Elliott Wave we have done on AUDNZD. Corrective X-Wave targets are 78.6% = 104.989 hit. if we see one leg lower next target is 1.01827 (same distance like wave W from 1.37958 to 1.23181. what is your long Pending order! {image}
It's 1.04578 stops at 1.0382

I was expecting to be hit when NZD/USD hit above .8800

Attached Image
  • #3,539
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:19pm Apr 1, 2014 11:19pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} AUDNZD From Elliott Wave we have done on AUDNZD. Corrective X-Wave targets are 78.6% = 104.989 hit. if we see one leg lower next target is 1.01827 (same distance like wave W from 1.37958 to 1.23181. what is your long Pending order! {image}
AUDNZD on 8hour

if wee see a flat i have 1.04926

and expanded flat i have 1.03187

as a long entry
Attached Image
  • #3,540
  • Apr 1, 2014 11:21pm Apr 1, 2014 11:21pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} AUDNZD From Elliott Wave we have done on AUDNZD. Corrective X-Wave targets are 78.6% = 104.989 hit. if we see one leg lower next target is 1.01827 (same distance like wave W from 1.37958 to 1.23181. what is your long Pending order! {image}
Oops, guess I am betting on the lows to hold...
Fail better.
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