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Trading from an Experienced and Successful FULL TIME Trader

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  • Post #821
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2014 7:55am Mar 26, 2014 7:55am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
{quote} Moving SL to BE
Ignored
+22 pips. Closing half position. SL still @ BE
  • Post #822
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2014 7:58am Mar 26, 2014 7:58am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting pipsel
Disliked
On unrelated note: how do you get rid of the text block on the bottom left 'analyze this' and THV etc without coloring them black?
Ignored
TVH4 doesn't have it. But you can look into the parameters of TVH3 if you can turn it off. Haven't checked though.
  • Post #823
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  • Mar 26, 2014 8:00am Mar 26, 2014 8:00am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
... If EUR down and GBP up confirmed, I'll closely look @ EURGBP for a SHORT. ...
Ignored
Didn't take it but would have been a great one. Looks like EURUSD heading south while GBPUSD up.
  • Post #824
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  • Mar 26, 2014 8:03am Mar 26, 2014 8:03am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
{quote}
Quoting kagbe
... USDCAD: Last Friday data was good for CAD and it is gaining ground. Will look for opportunity to SHORT. Maybe around 1.11540 which has been breached 30 minutes ago. If price establishes it as a resistance, then a SHORT would make sense. ...
Just took a SHORT
Ignored
+ 20 pips. Moving SL to BE
  • Post #825
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  • Mar 26, 2014 8:35am Mar 26, 2014 8:35am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting pipsel
Disliked
Why short USDCAD? I'm long GBPUSD
Ignored
+45 pips. Trailing SL some more
  • Post #826
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2014 8:58am Mar 26, 2014 8:58am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
{quote} + 20 pips. Moving SL to BE
Ignored
Just stopped out at BE on USDCAD. Re-evaluating if I should get back in
  • Post #827
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  • Mar 26, 2014 9:09am Mar 26, 2014 9:09am
  •  Jhig
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: Sentiment and Global Macro | 2,321 Posts
Be careful with shorting USDCAD. Downward momentum is weakening and price showing signs of exhaustion. Unless some catalysis (news data or otherwise) invites more short sellers, I'd hold off from shorting at the moment (or just until 1.1120 has been successfully breached).
  • Post #828
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  • Mar 26, 2014 9:30am Mar 26, 2014 9:30am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting Jhig
Disliked
Be careful with shorting USDCAD. Downward momentum is weakening and price showing signs of exhaustion. Unless some catalysis (news data or otherwise) invites more short sellers, I'd hold off from shorting at the moment (or just until 1.1120 has been successfully breached).
Ignored
Yeah. seems bulls are in control.
  • Post #829
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  • Mar 26, 2014 10:46am Mar 26, 2014 10:46am
  •  pipsel
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: new future | 242 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
{quote} +45 pips. Trailing SL some more
Ignored
Awesome. I can certainly learn something from you.

I have to go to work, back tomorrow morning!
Argue for your limitations, and sure enough, they're yours. Richard Bach
  • Post #830
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  • Mar 26, 2014 10:47am Mar 26, 2014 10:47am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting pipsel
Disliked
{quote} Awesome. I can certainly learn something from you. I have to go to work, back tomorrow morning!
Ignored
See you tomorrow!
  • Post #831
  • Quote
  • Mar 29, 2014 9:56pm Mar 29, 2014 9:56pm
  •  Dewey McG
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 285 Posts
This caught my attention, but I like to trade the H4 charts, so I pulled up a few pairs to see how it would have done. Now you would not get as many trades and would need to be patient but from what I have seen it does very well. Plus you would not be glued to your screen. The only clear loser was on the GBPUSD, but since that was on a Friday and the coral was flat, I likely would have passed anyways.

((Ignore the spreads. I did this over the weekend and the spreads always shoot up right before Friday close)
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  • Post #832
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2014 2:05am Mar 30, 2014 2:05am
  •  FXAction
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 383 Posts
Hi Dewey, this si a splendid review you have made. Clear and lucid. W hat tool do tou you use for support and resistance. I like it. Please post it.
  • Post #833
  • Quote
  • Edited at 12:57pm Mar 30, 2014 12:16pm | Edited at 12:57pm
  •  Dewey McG
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 285 Posts
Here it is, but I use this more for quick visual back-testing as above than when I trade live.

For live trading I like to draw my own lines then go to the news board at orderflowtrading or Oanda's site to see where the big banks have placed their bids and offers, stops etc.

The trades shown were not ones I took personally, just what I was able to see from pulling up some H4 charts and looking for the signals. I am hoping the THV trix' colors and arrows don't repaint. I will start trying this on demo first and then add it my live trades if it looks as good going forward.
Attached Files
File Type: ex4 SS_SupportResistance_v04c.ex4   27 KB | 253 downloads
File Type: mq4 SS_SupportResistance_v04c.mq4   26 KB | 262 downloads
  • Post #834
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2014 7:46pm Mar 30, 2014 7:46pm
  •  AmishBuggyFX
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 40 Posts
I want to thank those of you that are keeping this thread going. I am looking forward to learning and trading here. I want to thank justin7 for telling me about this thread.
For anyone interested in live interaction, we have a small skype group where we share trade set ups. If anyone is interested, pm me.
  • Post #835
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 8:14am Mar 31, 2014 8:14am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
I have been a bit tied up lately and couldn't post the last couple of days.

Just watching EURUSD and wanted to share what I am thinking. Despite lower than expected Eurozone CPI, EURUSD continues to strengthen although one would think this data confirms deflationary pressure which should prompt ECB to ease. Expectations the ECB will ease should lead to a weakening of the pair. Obviously, there is something going on here. The strong hands have decided that the pair must go north, then north will it go. For the small fragile retail trader, there are 2 possible attitudes I am seeing. Please feel free to comment/agree/disagree.

1. You stay away from EUR until Draghi and Co do their magic on Thursday.

2. You decide to play the strong hands' game and go LONG when you see a good support confirmed (maybe 1.37880) and other technicals align. But do we know what their real game is? Will they decide to turn bearish at some point and if yes when? Or are they intentionally going against the fundamentals to force ECB's hands to ease and then they dump the pair and make a killing? Personally, I think they want to force ECB's hand but I might be wrong. Please remember all the board member who came out of the woods last week to sing the "EUR is too strong and we are ready to act if needed" song.

I am doing 1. If someone wants to do 2, I would say this: you can make a killing if the pair continues to strengthen but make sure you have a strong SL in place because if/when it turns, it might be painful.

Elsewhere, a LONG would make sense on USDJPY but as always, wait for a strong good signal if you did not enter around 102.830. 103.150 seems to be worth considering but 103.000 would be better. Just not sure PA will come back there.

If you feel you need to try your luck LONGing EUR, maybe you want to look at EURJPY provided you are convinced EURUSD and USDJPY are both going up (as always, technicals must align). That way you hedge yourself a little bit against the EUR turning back on you. But I would be cautious: if both pairs start going down, you should get out as quickly as possible.
  • Post #836
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 8:24am Mar 31, 2014 8:24am
  •  kagbe
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: Member | 126 Posts
Quoting kagbe
Disliked
... If you feel you need to try your luck LONGing EUR, maybe you want to look at EURJPY provided you are convinced EURUSD and USDJPY are both going up (as always, technicals must align). That way you hedge yourself a little bit against the EUR turning back on you. But I would be cautious: if both pairs start going down, you should get out as quickly as possible.
Ignored
CAUTION: If I were to LONG EURJPY, I would wait to get the technicals right approximately at the same time on the 3 pairs (EURUSD, USDJPY and EURJPY). Not easy but it increases the probability to enter at the right level otherwise you might be right but at the wrong time which in trading means being wrong.
  • Post #837
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 9:41am Mar 31, 2014 9:41am
  •  Dewey McG
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 285 Posts
I took this trade on demo, though I might have thought twice if this were live since the support is not a strong one, but here is a trade opportunity that came up on the AUDNZD H4 chart. Let's see how it works out.
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  • Post #838
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 9:18pm Mar 31, 2014 9:18pm
  •  mun90
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
GBPUSD TRADE

REASAON FOR ENTRY

CORAL GREEN ON 30 1HR

GOT SIGNAL

PA WAS AT NICE SL LEVEL

--
I got stopped out at my trailing stop, if I did not have one I would still be in this trade, which i dont noe yet if it is a
good thing or a bad thing.
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  • Post #839
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 10:01pm Mar 31, 2014 10:01pm
  •  AmishBuggyFX
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 40 Posts
Here is a trade from this morning. I like trading off of the 15 minute chart. I was looking at the THV Trix lines. I noticed that often when they cross after a signal arrow, and they are the same color, a trend soon follows.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #840
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2014 10:24pm Mar 31, 2014 10:24pm
  •  Dewey McG
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 285 Posts
Quoting Dewey McG
Disliked
I took this trade on demo, though I might have thought twice if this were live since the support is not a strong one, but here is a trade opportunity that came up on the AUDNZD H4 chart. Let's see how it works out. {image}
Ignored
Resistance at 1.0695 so closed it there for a small profit.
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