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  • #3,241
  • Mar 17, 2014 11:06am Mar 17, 2014 11:06am
I have been talking about fading TLT's trips to $109 all year....missed em all....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-03-17_tlt.png Size: 144 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,242
  • Mar 17, 2014 12:37pm Mar 17, 2014 12:37pm
Quoting The Fool
I have been talking about fading TLT's trips to $109 all year....missed em all.... {image}
will look at cheap April debit put spreads on TLT: 4/19 $105 @ .4/.43; 4/11 $105.50 @ .43/.46 --- may do short 4/11 $105.50p long 4/19 $105p for near $0.00
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,243
  • Mar 17, 2014 1:59pm Mar 17, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} doubled down at a dime, long two truckloads from 0.175ish... edit... added some more, so now long from 0.15.......
...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #3,244
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:18pm Mar 17, 2014 3:18pm
TGT (Target) closed at $59.67 Attempting to breach back into $60 but failed.. So possibly a re-test of lower levels is ahead if its not going to break higher.. Just saying hehe something to keep an eye on!
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #3,245
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:40pm Mar 17, 2014 3:40pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} ... {image}
lol...it wasn't me!
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,246
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:45pm Mar 17, 2014 3:45pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} will look at cheap April debit put spreads on TLT: 4/19 $105 @ .4/.43; 4/11 $105.50 @ .43/.46 --- may do short 4/11 $105.50p long 4/19 $105p for near $0.00
didn't do it, no rush. I think TLT will stay outta the low $105.0x's. It's a good spreader, good volume, strikes at the $0.50's, bid/ask usually just $0.02...

....mañana....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,247
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:51pm Mar 17, 2014 3:51pm
http://www.haberinozu.com/images/hab...ozu_h53440.jpg

Vladdy says give up the S&P 2,000 booty bitchez or he'll drive a division of these right down Wall Street while Obama hides under his desk in the Oval Office.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,248
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:54pm Mar 17, 2014 3:54pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} didn't do it, no rush. I think TLT will stay outta the low $105.0x's. It's a good spreader, good volume, strikes at the $0.50's, bid/ask usually just $0.02... ....mañana....
Long treasuries all the way IMO, the way I see it there's a massive move up coming.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #3,249
  • Mar 17, 2014 4:03pm Mar 17, 2014 4:03pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} Long treasuries all the way IMO, the way I see it there's a massive move up coming.
Yep I could see that. What do you think will catalyze, in 10,000 words or less? What do you think will be an upper bound for ^TNX in Q2?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,250
  • Mar 17, 2014 4:10pm Mar 17, 2014 4:10pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} Long treasuries all the way IMO, the way I see it there's a massive move up coming.
what's your reasoning, actually looking for shorts here?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,251
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:45am Mar 18, 2014 9:45am
mmmmm...what's that smell? oatmeal raisin? yep, must be about FOMC time again. Ma Yellen is busy making cookies for Wall Street. Such a nice lady.

S&P on its way to 2,000+. ^VIX to crash <12. Why do we even need a "fear index" anyway? Everything is OK. Everybody, just be happy.

Inserted Video
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,252
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:35pm Mar 18, 2014 7:35pm
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video...o%7c&par=yahoo

Apr $39 EWZ long puts are prolly not a bearish bet, as the headline says, but cheap insurance on bullish stock accumulation (as the commentator says)...? (pretty heavy volume in shares today...)

EWZ might as well get bought along wit everything else. Apr $42.50 calls @ $0.35, May $44c @ $0.30...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-03-18_ewz.png Size: 54 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,253
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:48pm Mar 18, 2014 7:48pm
^VIX @ 12.00 = Opportunity?

Inserted Video
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-03-18_vix.png Size: 58 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,254
  • Mar 19, 2014 1:02am Mar 19, 2014 1:02am
Quoting The Fool
^VIX @ 12.00 = Opportunity? {image}
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...tml?cmpid=yhoo
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,255
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:09am Mar 19, 2014 9:09am
been tracking apple and now ready to take a trade on it, two trades to take first is a Friday expiration scalp to the up side. The second will be a 2/3 month strrangle more details on that a little later. Imo APPL is long overdue some volatility. IV is super low

when market opens in 27 minutes time i'll be putting in a order for Long $545 call for around 25c or under or $25 per contract. Yesterdays closing price was 21c
and APPL closed at $535 plus change.

AAPL Mar 2014 545.000 call (AAPL140322C00545000)
-OPR
0.21 http://l.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/bas...nt-1093278.png 0.01(5.00%) 13:37

Apple Inc. (AAPL)
-NasdaqGS
535.15 http://l.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/bas...nt-1093278.png 3.75(0.71%) 13:57 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
  • #3,256
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:25am Mar 19, 2014 9:25am
Quoting Cecil Gee
been tracking apple and now ready to take a trade on it, two trades to take first is a Friday expiration scalp to the up side. The second will be a 2/3 month strrangle more details on that a little later. Imo APPL is long overdue some volatility. IV is super low when market opens in 27 minutes time i'll be putting in a order for Long $545 call for around 25c or under or $25 per contract. Yesterdays closing price was 21c and APPL closed at $535 plus change. AAPL Mar 2014 545.000 call (AAPL140322C00545000) -OPR 0.21 {image}...
realised times had changed in US, so I'm behind in UK, markets were already open. I'm in the above trade long $545 call at $22c
  • #3,257
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:12am Mar 19, 2014 10:12am
New order executed for a APPL long strangle trade APRIL 4 expiration

long AAPL $550 CALL for $2.16 or $216 per long leg and LONG $515 PUT for $1.70 or $170 per leg
Total cost for strangle $386 plus comms per strangle leg. Lots of data over the next two plus weeks and political but the real reason is where the IV is sitting

Apple trading at $534.57 as of now

Apple Inc. (AAPL)
-NasdaqGS
534.57 http://l.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/bas...nt-1093278.png 3.17(0.60%) 15:01 - Nasdaq Real Time Price

AAPL Apr 2014 550.000 call (AAPL140404C00550000)
-OPR
2.16 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.44(25.58%) 2:42PM GMT

AAPL Apr 2014 515.000 put (AAPL140404P00515000)
-OPR
1.70 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.65(27.66%) 2:50PM GMT
  • #3,258
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:22am Mar 19, 2014 10:22am
Added another Fridays expiration short scalp on TWTR, we have FOMC later but to me TWTR seems to be sliding slowly and to me to its opening IPO price eventually.

But I've taken just a simple long $49.50 put for 20c or $20 per contract.

TWTR is trading at $50.96 now

Twitter, Inc. (TWTR)
-NYSE
50.96 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.17(0.33%) 3:22PM GMT - Nasdaq Real Time Price


TWTR Mar 2014 49.500 put (TWTR140322P00049500)
-OPR
0.20 http://l.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/bas...nt-1093278.png 0.15(42.86%) 14:27
  • #3,259
  • Mar 19, 2014 11:31am Mar 19, 2014 11:31am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Added another Fridays expiration short scalp on TWTR, we have FOMC later but to me TWTR seems to be sliding slowly and to me to its opening IPO price eventually. But I've taken just a simple long $49.50 put for 20c or $20 per contract.
Good to see you back, CG. I am reluctant to go short any of the tech stocks, they have been too strong, TWTR been held up by the rising tide. But looks like it's primed to keep dropping - good luck.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,260
  • Mar 19, 2014 11:48am Mar 19, 2014 11:48am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Good to see you back, CG. I am reluctant to go short any of the tech stocks, they have been too strong, TWTR been held up by the rising tide. But looks like it's primed to keep dropping - good luck.
Thx mate, getting back into it after break
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