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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Jul 13, 2006 8:36am Jul 13, 2006 8:36am
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Lately I have been trying to work on a method of trading that combines traditional price action analysis with technical indicators with a touch of Elders triple screen method. Really I am still paying around with ideas.

One idea that I have seemed to embrace is using three EMAs (I'm using EMAs of 8,18 & 24 in combination with an occilator indicator). In particular I am interested in their (I want to use the word 'convergence' but don't want to get this confused with MACD) union. Note that this is not a three MA crossover method.

I find that whenever all three EMAs join together in a trading range, it is highly likely that a trending move will break out. Once price breaks out in a trending move, the EMAs will seperate. As price makes retracements or corrections, either two or all three of the EMAs will connect, making great entry points in existing trends (often a good entry point is when the 8 & 18 EMA will touch and price will respect the 24 EMA).

This combined with an occilator indicator (I use RSI as its simple) is so far giving fairly reliable signals. Just wondering if anybody can maybe who has worked with or on a simmilar method can add their two cents, such as flaws, observations, exit strategies, etc. Like I said, this is just an idea that I am toying with, but really want to develop.
  • Post #2
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  • Last Post: Jul 13, 2006 12:15pm Jul 13, 2006 12:15pm
  •  greatdane
  • | Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Member | 130 Posts
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Lately I have been trying to work on a method of trading that combines traditional price action analysis with technical indicators with a touch of Elders triple screen method. Really I am still paying around with ideas.

One idea that I have seemed to embrace is using three EMAs (I'm using EMAs of 8,18 & 24 in combination with an occilator indicator). In particular I am interested in their (I want to use the word 'convergence' but don't want to get this confused with MACD) union. Note that this is not a three MA crossover method.

I find that whenever all three EMAs join together in a trading range, it is highly likely that a trending move will break out. Once price breaks out in a trending move, the EMAs will seperate. As price makes retracements or corrections, either two or all three of the EMAs will connect, making great entry points in existing trends (often a good entry point is when the 8 & 18 EMA will touch and price will respect the 24 EMA).

This combined with an occilator indicator (I use RSI as its simple) is so far giving fairly reliable signals. Just wondering if anybody can maybe who has worked with or on a simmilar method can add their two cents, such as flaws, observations, exit strategies, etc. Like I said, this is just an idea that I am toying with, but really want to develop.
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The problem with 3 EMAs and EMAs in general, crossover or not, is that you never know if your EMAs are going to separate, or is it just a short excursion (-> whipsaw) and they ar going to connect after a moment of separation. To deal with this, you can employ filters - i.e. don't make a trade until EMAs are separated by 10 pips, or whatever number works for the timeframe you are using.

Other than this, add some money management and an exit strategy and you have a decent system.


Happy trading -

Dane
 
 
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