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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #44,561
  • Jan 28, 2014 3:23am Jan 28, 2014 3:23am
Quoting fti
{quote} Happy CNY. papa leh? regards
sorry, it's a bit late..

chief,
recently, i've read sheldon's book about options.
then i've just understand what you talking about delta hedge and greek letter.
i think options is very difficult, since we have to guess the underlying volatility.

regards
steady as she goes
  • #44,562
  • Edited 3:45am Jan 28, 2014 3:26am | Edited 3:45am
Quoting frz
{quote} sorry, it's a bit late.. chief, recently, i've read sheldon's book about options. then i've just understand what you talking about delta hedge and greek letter. i think options is very difficult, since we have to guess the underlying volatility. regards
No need guess la.
Histoorical will tell you what ranges expectable.

generally 2nd sd varables within scope.
further 3 rd sd will attact swift management respondse. if its managed.

options just tool, greeks more than tools. are risk managers.
try think ridsk from tolerance pespective.

regards

lets see if you can understand this.
to manage risk, the risk must be quantifyable.
unless able to read the risk,how is one to manage itwith appropraite strategies.
  • #44,563
  • Jan 28, 2014 3:47am Jan 28, 2014 3:47am
Quoting fti
{quote} No need guess la. Histoorical will tell you what ranges expectable. generally 2nd sd varables within scope. further 3 rd sd will attact swift management respondse. options just tool, greeks more than tools. are risk managers. try think ridsk from tolerance pespective. regards lets see if you can understand this. to manage risk, the risk must be quantifyable. unless able to read the risk,how is one to manage itwith appropraite strategies.

yes, i got it.. look for historical volatility and think risk as basis.
thanks chief.

regards.
steady as she goes
  • #44,564
  • Jan 28, 2014 4:58am Jan 28, 2014 4:58am
ya ya, thamks for the compliment.
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  • #44,565
  • Jan 28, 2014 4:59am Jan 28, 2014 4:59am
and surely i would be calmer if i know who that white rabbit is?
i surely hope is not some kinda indicator.
If i wanted follow indicators i would follow the finger.
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  • #44,566
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:09am Jan 28, 2014 5:09am
come out in open.
i not like ambushes.

how am i suppose shoot you when you hiding?

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  • #44,567
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:15am Jan 28, 2014 5:15am
Quoting fti
come out in open. i not like ambushes. how am i suppose shoot you when you hiding? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I_Ds2ytz4o

The whitest of wheats waits for yellow corn
Howlin' at the Moon on the Roof
  • #44,568
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:18am Jan 28, 2014 5:18am
Quoting Wolf_Wicked
{quote} The whitest of wheats waits for yellow corn
checkmate.

regards
  • #44,569
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:21am Jan 28, 2014 5:21am
hehe... I missed you bro ... A Wolf will not humiliate himself in your thread.. too late ah yes ... it's a fallacy

What about Jesus.. He goes alright

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Ice cold reply coming.. You're predictable ft.. But in an unpredictable way and that's why yadda yadda yadda,

What's new man?
Howlin' at the Moon on the Roof
  • #44,570
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:35am Jan 28, 2014 5:35am
Quoting Wolf_Wicked
hehe... I missed you bro ... A Wolf will not humiliate himself in your thread.. too late ah yes ... it's a fallacy What about Jesus.. He goes alright http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NGUP8oc9Bgs Ice cold reply coming.. You're predictable ft.. But in an unpredictable way and that's why yadda yadda yadda, What's new man?

jesus brings good tidings.
Hope for the modern man.

nothing much except is chinese new year.
spring is here , can tell.
rabbits are everywhere.

nice song.


regards
  • #44,571
  • Jan 28, 2014 5:45am Jan 28, 2014 5:45am
Is it the year of the Rabbit already? A Wolf will be fat by easter

You like Johnny Cash? Well this is a song about rushes of blood to the head and the irreparable consequences that they bring. But it inspired such a sound so there's always a silver lining. I like to think so anyway.

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fti.. lately things just clicked in place for me (with the trading). I feel a broken road has found it's pieces.
Howlin' at the Moon on the Roof
  • #44,572
  • Edited 6:14am Jan 28, 2014 5:52am | Edited 6:14am
Quoting Wolf_Wicked
Is it the year of the Rabbit already? A Wolf will be fat by easter You like Johnny Cash? Well this is a song about rushes of blood to the head and the irreparable consequences that they bring. But it inspired such a sound so there's always a silver lining. I like to think so anyway. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cvMy5tATjM fti.. lately things just clicked in place for me (with the trading). I feel a broken road has found it's pieces.
nope is year of horsees.
but spring is busy time for rabbits.

ya, nice.
wish my blood would rush, they lazy.

nice, that you road is clicked.
Is easier play with 1 extra queen, if no have castles.

regards

still thinking is solar calander accurate or lunar.
seems seasons cycles is lunar.
use solar calender need add leap year la and all sorts, also daylight saving stuff.
nevermind, i just follow ff, they solar calender.
otherwise my charts all need redo.
Now can have more holidays.
solar new year and lunar new year.
1 year celebrate 2 times.
Thank God we have 12 planets, not 12 moons.
any way traders naughty, celebrate every month when closing monthly book, gets performance bonuses.
  • #44,573
  • Jan 28, 2014 6:16am Jan 28, 2014 6:16am
Hi FTI,

Happy Chinese New Year!!!!

Johny Cash, he is one of my favourite. Here's one for the Year of the Horse.

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Take care.

zz
  • #44,574
  • Jan 28, 2014 6:27am Jan 28, 2014 6:27am
Quoting zoomzoom
Hi FTI, Happy Chinese New Year!!!! Johny Cash, he is one of my favourite. Here's one for the Year of the Horse. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3L33OWl2eUQ Take care. zz
Amen mercy mercy.

regards
  • #44,575
  • Edited 8:14am Jan 28, 2014 7:56am | Edited 8:14am
wild duck ponds.
blood around 50p.

ai ya please forward guide the lost.

red packets everywhere.
i not qualified

roller coasters. ai ya, love em.
but i know if i try i will die.

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  • #44,576
  • Edited 12:17pm Jan 28, 2014 8:26am | Edited 12:17pm
on top cable have 1 gaint boulder.
may try. we'll see.
watch your toes and fingers.

ai ya heart be still.
  • #44,577
  • Edited 9:49am Jan 28, 2014 9:28am | Edited 9:49am
not filled not filled
question is who's reasding who?:
be kind.
ducks got filled
can't see already.
this may take forever.
goodnite.

regards

ai ya, this fti is real pain in places no see sunlight.
  • #44,578
  • Jan 28, 2014 9:56am Jan 28, 2014 9:56am
noted.
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  • #44,579
  • Jan 28, 2014 10:46am Jan 28, 2014 10:46am
Quoting fti
Merry Christmas all my friends. Now back home. but very tired so i will not engage in any discussions yet. Spent most of my time watching Star Wars series. really enjoyed "revenge of the sith" ai ya so sad watch good turned evil because of politics deception. every politician should watch. Oh and the carolling , so wonderful hear the children's voices. much nice. I learned another lesson. breathing in plastic cups makes me sound like darth vader. but most important must remember desiderata. I may THINK i am strong. but sometime the force...

Welcome back, I am sorry I missed your return, you were giving us quite a scare there................Alien
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #44,580
  • Jan 28, 2014 11:44am Jan 28, 2014 11:44am
Quoting fti
birdie very angry. singing grassland song. ai yoi solli lor, unintentional. forgive forgive, is lunar new year lor. no worri , slowly slowly gets filled. didn't wanted see bloddy crushings lor. not auspicious ma. so solli lor. regards
Been a long night yesterday....came out winning though..

V
PS: is this my illusion or u start seeing some cross trades clearly while seeing movement in major after 7-8 years....though i try not to predict but i can see some cross trades e.g. while trading AUD/usd and seeing USD/JPY i can see where AUD/JPY can be...again just asking....

V=
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