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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #13,221
  • Jan 23, 2014 11:30am Jan 23, 2014 11:30am
short 1/10 @ 3684

SL 3725 so far
  • #13,222
  • Jan 23, 2014 11:33am Jan 23, 2014 11:33am
Quoting infinitus
short 1/10 @ 3684 SL 3725 so far

additional 1/10 short @ 3682


so average is 3683 for 2/10
  • #13,223
  • Jan 23, 2014 11:40am Jan 23, 2014 11:40am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} additional 1/10 short @ 3682 so average is 3683 for 2/10

took shorts around that marked vlume peak on the chart below


if price goes above, it is most likely simply overshoot, because after the marked peak there is zone of imbalance, or like I like to say: no business area
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mm.jpg Size: 117 KB
  • #13,224
  • Jan 23, 2014 11:41am Jan 23, 2014 11:41am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} additional 1/10 short @ 3682 so average is 3683 for 2/10

SL to BE+1
  • #13,225
  • Jan 23, 2014 11:53am Jan 23, 2014 11:53am
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Bin zwar auch short perfekt wäre die 1.12029 zu shorten
ups

ich dachte das ist USDCAD
  • #13,226
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:01pm Jan 23, 2014 12:01pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} ups ich dachte das ist USDCAD

argggggg

und ich mache mir Gedanken, wo die 1,1203 her kommen
  • #13,227
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:09pm Jan 23, 2014 12:09pm
Quoting infinitus
EW on EU 4h TF {image}

another view from Dimitry

http://www.roboforex.com/analytics/f...thly-01232014/
  • #13,228
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:30pm Jan 23, 2014 12:30pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} SL to BE+1

SL @ 3682 was a stupid thing

am again short there @ 3681 with 2/10


SL @ 3725
  • #13,229
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:42pm Jan 23, 2014 12:42pm
with very high probability the red marked area will hold
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mm.jpg Size: 114 KB
  • #13,230
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:44pm Jan 23, 2014 12:44pm
someone watching SP500?

nice drop
  • #13,231
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:45pm Jan 23, 2014 12:45pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} another view from Dimitry http://www.roboforex.com/analytics/f...thly-01232014/
I think we are in Wave V atm or bigger correction of Wave 4 nothing is clear atm.

I want to short long term only above 1.39xx

Last week i got 1.3905 as a valid target for 2013 and 1.39337/8 as a extension level.
  • #13,232
  • Jan 23, 2014 12:48pm Jan 23, 2014 12:48pm
Quoting infinitus
someone watching SP500? nice drop
Better question is: Is USDJPY in Wave 3 now (sell off)
  • #13,233
  • Jan 23, 2014 1:27pm Jan 23, 2014 1:27pm
Dont know but to me those shorts are risky and early Infinitus, dont know your target though.
When it comes to 1.38 i am long no matter what are resistance sellers doing up there.
  • #13,234
  • Jan 23, 2014 1:45pm Jan 23, 2014 1:45pm
Quoting janpec1000
Dont know but to me those shorts are risky and early Infinitus, dont know your target though. When it comes to 1.38 i am long no matter what are resistance sellers doing up there.

simply trusting my system now :-)

I am risking around 1% - so no big deal
  • #13,235
  • Jan 23, 2014 1:45pm Jan 23, 2014 1:45pm
Quoting infinitus
EW on EU 4h TF {image}

question now is:

is todays impulse up the C wace or a wave 3?


maybe we get a better idea, when we watch price at the 3626 support shelf (if it reaches so low)
  • #13,236
  • Jan 23, 2014 4:56pm Jan 23, 2014 4:56pm
This is overlay charts between EURUSD and AUDUSD. How we can see there is rebound between this currency. now I can only say that they will meet together in some hours, days !!! And it means that if you open Buy AUDUSD and Sell EURUSD and at the moment when they will meet, you close both trade, you will have to have profit. Maybe AUDUSD will go to side, but then EURUSD have to go moooore down, and AUDUSD will go UP, EURUSD go to side. Or AUDUSD go down slowly, EURUSD go down very fast. There is a lot of opportunities how they can meet together..

But pay attention, there are diferent timeframe. They can meet on M15 but they dont have to still meet on H1.

Are you using something like this ? Do you have some experiences with this things?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDd.png Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh1.png Size: 57 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDh4.png Size: 47 KB
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  • #13,237
  • Jan 23, 2014 5:05pm Jan 23, 2014 5:05pm
Quoting matkooo2575
This is overlay charts between EURUSD and AUDUSD. How we can see there is rebound between this currency. now I can only say that they will meet together in some hours, days !!! And it means that if you open Buy AUDUSD and Sell EURUSD and at the moment when they will meet, you close both trade, you will have to have profit. Maybe AUDUSD will go to side, but then EURUSD have to go moooore down, and AUDUSD will go UP, EURUSD go to side. Or AUDUSD go down slowly, EURUSD go down very fast. There is a lot of opportunities how they can meet together.....
Hi mat,

it's better to use EURUSD with USDCHF or USIndex.

watch H1 or H4 charts.
  • #13,238
  • Jan 23, 2014 6:02pm Jan 23, 2014 6:02pm
EURUSD, Monthly, 2014 January 24
EURUSD, Weekly, 2014 January 24
...at crazy friday tomorrow or till January 31?...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, Monthly, 2014 January 24.jpg Size: 75 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, Weekly, 2014 January 24.jpg Size: 88 KB
  • #13,239
  • Jan 23, 2014 6:07pm Jan 23, 2014 6:07pm
Quoting matkooo2575
This is overlay charts between EURUSD and AUDUSD. How we can see there is rebound between this currency. now I can only say that they will meet together in some hours, days !!! And it means that if you open Buy AUDUSD and Sell EURUSD and at the moment when they will meet, you close both trade, you will have to have profit. Maybe AUDUSD will go to side, but then EURUSD have to go moooore down, and AUDUSD will go UP, EURUSD go to side. Or AUDUSD go down slowly, EURUSD go down very fast. There is a lot of opportunities how they can meet together.....

Hi Matkooo,


hard to say if it will work or not. Most of the time such "meeting points" are completely coincidental.

What you try to do here is called statistical arbitrage by trading a cointegrated pair:



read here:

http://gekkoquant.com/2012/10/21/sta...cointegration/

http://gekkoquant.com/2013/01/21/sta...tegrated-pair/

If you like to know, if this pair you showed is cointegrating (thus meaning that the spread will undergo mean reverting), you have to perform a PValue hypothesis test beforehand (to get confidence, that this pair does mean reverting)


You can read about all that in the articles I linked above
  • #13,240
  • Jan 23, 2014 6:13pm Jan 23, 2014 6:13pm
EURUSD, Monthly, 2014 January 24
EURUSD, Weekly, 2014 January 24
The market price is moving upwards within the inner circle of the 1st. & 2nd. deviation of Bollinger Band actually in an ascending RSI at the rate of a weekly fib 61.8% resistance movement.
Let's see if an outbreak further upside will be fulfilled.
FXcube
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, Monthly, 2014 January 24.jpg Size: 109 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, Weekly, 2014 January 24.jpg Size: 107 KB
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