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  • #461
  • Dec 20, 2013 1:20pm Dec 20, 2013 1:20pm
Quoting bikov
That's it, the week is over so everyone enjoy the weekend. I'm off with this final article : "...And the analysts don’t expect the moves to be short-lived. Rather, they consider early 2014 to be the long-awaited start of a period of dollar outperformance of a kind that historically has lasted anywhere from six to nine years. It took six months for the divergence to get going, so the dollar’s response to interest rate changes is neither automatic nor immediate. Indeed, in seven out of eight recent periods in which interest rates rose – the first...

Good find! Hope you have a good weekend! See you next week.
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  • #462
  • Dec 20, 2013 1:34pm Dec 20, 2013 1:34pm
Everyone have a good weekend/rest of the month. I'm shutting it down for the month.

to recap this month...I made a few mistakes, learned some lessons. Finally made a small profit on the month.
Thanks Ian for setting this thread up, and everyone else for their thoughtful comments and sharing their insight without bickering.
I make it rain from the center of my Keytar
  • #463
  • Dec 23, 2013 5:27pm Dec 23, 2013 5:27pm
Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays and all the best for the New Year
to all.
Hopefully see/read all next year.
  • #464
  • Dec 24, 2013 9:42am Dec 24, 2013 9:42am
Merry Christmas and happy holidays to all, enjoy the holidays , forget about the bad things (trades) and prepare for good ones ! I think I'll be active after New Year, have to rest my eyes from the PC and prepare for some parties that are waiting for me.
And Ian, good thread and congrats again and I wish active communication and super cool ideas through 2014 and booking a tons of pips .
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #465
  • Dec 25, 2013 10:30am Dec 25, 2013 10:30am
Hey guys I hope everyone has a Great holiday and new year!

I will be on very little until the new year and trading is almost halted for me as the market has no liquidity but I will post in the mean time. Enjoy the holidays everyone



With the $200 to 100k account I converted it into another managed account aimed at long term investing, trades will be held for months. I was going to just keep trading it as my own but I had a few trader friends who thought making it into another managed account would get my name out there even more and offer me a lot more opportunities to further my trading career. 2014 is going to be a major lifestyle change for me and I hope everything goes smoothly. Going from trading part time to full time and as a career is a huge shock. For everyone dreaming of trading full time it is a double edged sword. It has always been my dream and it is everything I expected and a little overwhelming at times but I love it!!
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  • #466
  • Dec 26, 2013 8:09am Dec 26, 2013 8:09am
The strategy for 2014? Start buying USD dips and hold!
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  • #467
  • Dec 27, 2013 5:13pm Dec 27, 2013 5:13pm
Last 2 weeks saw a 17% gain and s good way to end the year! Thanks again to all my clients and I hope everyone has a great new years. See you in 2014
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  • #468
  • Dec 27, 2013 5:15pm Dec 27, 2013 5:15pm
I am also very excited about my long term fund
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  • #469
  • Dec 27, 2013 9:30pm Dec 27, 2013 9:30pm
Quoting BobGnarly
The strategy for 2014? Start buying USD dips and hold!

i think sell yen and hold will be the theme, too
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #470
  • Dec 28, 2013 2:07pm Dec 28, 2013 2:07pm
Quoting braintec
{quote} i think sell yen and hold will be the theme, too

Good fact to know-

The usd has 7-9 yr periods of either up or down. We are now at a record high of 11 yrs of down moves for the USD.

With the current tapering program and improving job market we may be starting a 10 yr rally. I am not lying when I say my whole lifetime savings will go into USD longs and be held for at least 5 years. Drawdowns do not concern me since I trade long term. Every huge top bank has drawdowns all the time. If things went straight up we wouldn't have drawdowns but we all know markets fluctuate.

You will see some "unorthodox" trading from me and I am fine with it. Hope we all can benefit from this perfect timing!
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  • #471
  • Jan 3, 2014 3:32pm Jan 3, 2014 3:32pm
Hello Everyone!


I hope everyone had a good holiday and new year. I have been hedging the last 2 weeks to get set up for 2014. The market has been whacky and very illiquid. This presents a problem when getting set ups so I use a hedging strategy I developed a few months ago.

Trades are taken and have mental stops, When I feel the stop should kick in I hedge. While in the mean time I am also scalping the profitable hedges. Causing drawdown but also building the account balance. This is a very hard strategy and I am still tweaking it but I believe this will be my form of trading the rest of my career. It may not be the holy grail but I love it and I really feel this is what I was meant to do.

This strategy requires complete synchronicity with the market and really FEELING your trading. You know that feeling where you have 5 massive weeks in a row? Yea, even more than that! It took me lots of time and money to find ME and what I was meant to do.

Oh yea and I cant tell you the last time I used a CHART!


So anyway! Starting Sunday I will be on the same pace of posting as before the holidays!
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  • #472
  • Jan 3, 2014 3:45pm Jan 3, 2014 3:45pm
Quoting BobGnarly
Hello Everyone! I hope everyone had a good holiday and new year. I have been hedging the last 2 weeks to get set up for 2014. The market has been whacky and very illiquid. This presents a problem when getting set ups so I use a hedging strategy I developed a few months ago. Trades are taken and have mental stops, When I feel the stop should kick in I hedge. While in the mean time I am also scalping the profitable hedges. Causing drawdown but also building the account balance. This is a very hard strategy and I am still tweaking it but I believe...

hi Bob hope all good, to you!

i'm interesting in your thougt about yen pais, thank you
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #473
  • Jan 3, 2014 3:55pm Jan 3, 2014 3:55pm
Quoting braintec
{quote} hi Bob hope all good, to you! i'm interesting in your thougt about yen pais, thank you

Same to you Braintec!


For the Yen Pairs I think the next few weeks will be sideways consolidation with some downside. 3-6 Month forecast for UJ - 110. 6-12 Month - 115
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  • #474
  • Jan 7, 2014 11:43am Jan 7, 2014 11:43am
Quoting BobGnarly
{quote} Same to you Braintec! For the Yen Pairs I think the next few weeks will be sideways consolidation with some downside. 3-6 Month forecast for UJ - 110. 6-12 Month - 115
Hey Bob!
Closed my uj positions and decided to start stacking positions in gbp/jpy. You holding any gbp/jpy?
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #475
  • Jan 7, 2014 2:46pm Jan 7, 2014 2:46pm
Quoting Jgcole83
{quote} Hey Bob! Closed my uj positions and decided to start stacking positions in gbp/jpy. You holding any gbp/jpy?
Small hedge at the moment waiting for direction. I am all in with USD longs
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  • #476
  • Jan 7, 2014 2:49pm Jan 7, 2014 2:49pm
Quoting BobGnarly
{quote} Small hedge at the moment waiting for direction. I am all in with USD longs

which pair?
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #477
  • Jan 7, 2014 3:04pm Jan 7, 2014 3:04pm
Quoting braintec
{quote} which pair?

GbpJpy, Braintec I am long usd vs all the majors minus the aussie


Most of my portfolio is and will be USD longs for the next few years.
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  • #478
  • Jan 7, 2014 3:11pm Jan 7, 2014 3:11pm
Quoting BobGnarly
{quote} GbpJpy, Braintec I am long usd vs all the majors minus the aussie Most of my portfolio is and will be USD longs for the next few years.

ok thank you
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #479
  • Jan 7, 2014 3:12pm Jan 7, 2014 3:12pm
Quoting BobGnarly
{quote} Small hedge at the moment waiting for direction. I am all in with USD longs
I might get back in UJ, but I'm gonna wait until after tomorrows adp report.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #480
  • Jan 10, 2014 7:14am Jan 10, 2014 7:14am
Here is an update for my investors. We have been killing it lately and l am looking forward to a very profitable 2014!!

I will be trading NFP today so I will give out some trade ideas in a few minutes
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