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  • #181
  • Edited Dec 26, 2013 3:27pm Dec 25, 2013 5:18pm | Edited Dec 26, 2013 3:27pm
Quoting Jaquemate
. A forced break for me with it being closed on Xmas day but some solace in the fact it is open again on boxing day. Clearly I am not married . Regards, NV Hi NV: I wish you a Merry Christmas and i hope you will continue with your excelent work. PD: If are not married im sure you that you are an afortunate man. Kindest Regards.
Thanks for your kind words. Maybe I am fortunate yes .

Quoting Jackub
Merry Christmas NV and all participants
Thanks Jackub!

Quoting whatfx
merry xmas and happy new year to everyone !
Cheers whatfx!

Hope everyone had a great day! "http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzVqDIzvCeI"

Analysis for Thursday 26th December 2013, BOXING DAY

Back to business,

Based on Daily closes, possible*:

a) Long GBPUSD (active h4 order to be replaced after open)
b) Long GBPJPY (active h4 trade, SL to be managed)
c) Long AUDJPY

*This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below.

Will be back tomorrow morning as the market re-opens. Will have to watch for the gaps the market tends to be prone to gapping over the Christmas and New year's days off, how much is anyone's guess hopefully nothing too crazy. I will replace the cable long order as long as we don't gap over the entry level. Apart from that it should be pretty quiet only 3 pairs on my watchlist.

Have a good day, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #182
  • Dec 26, 2013 5:01pm Dec 26, 2013 5:01pm
Analysis for Friday 27th December 2013

Hello all,

Based on Daily closes, possible*:

a) Long GBPUSD (active h4 trade. SL to be managed)
b) Long GBPJPY (active h4 trade, SL to be managed)

*This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below.

Hope you all had a good break. I had warned about the gaps over Xmas and New year's, fortunately they worked out in my favour. Should be relatively quiet tomorrow just the two trades on my watchlist, a lot of consolidation in other pairs. Hopefully we get a sterling surge tomorrow but that is all it is just hope. On these individual trades as I have mentioned before the outcome is really a gamble you may as flip a coin so I leave the crystal ball at home and just take what I am given and move on to the next setup.

Have a good day, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #183
  • Dec 27, 2013 7:37am Dec 27, 2013 7:37am
Not many are able to post profitable results on a live account. 20% approaches. Good work. Looking forward to the reveal!
  • #184
  • Dec 27, 2013 9:14am Dec 27, 2013 9:14am
Awesome NV, look forward to following along in 2014, happy new year to you mate!
  • #185
  • Dec 27, 2013 11:07am Dec 27, 2013 11:07am
Hello NV,
My feeble attempt to map some waves on GU. Just observing to try to follow along in some meaningful way while awaiting more explanation of your method.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusdweeklynv.png Size: 64 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusddailynv.png Size: 54 KB
  • #186
  • Dec 28, 2013 12:52am Dec 28, 2013 12:52am
nice going nv showing the likes of all the phoneys ie strat,,daddybear, james 16, piptrapper, etc and all the other shysters who peddle there crap here.
hope this is a new trend your starting
student
  • #187
  • Dec 28, 2013 2:29am Dec 28, 2013 2:29am
Quoting nv_trader
Analysis for Friday 27th December 2013 Hello all, Based on Daily closes, possible*: a) Long GBPUSD (active h4 trade. SL to be managed) b) Long GBPJPY (active h4 trade, SL to be managed) *This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below. Hope you all had a good break. I had warned about the gaps over Xmas and New year's, fortunately they worked out in my favour. Should be relatively quiet tomorrow just the two trades on...

Dear Nv,

Nice call on the Gbp pairs, well done.. hope the members enjoying the profit. I am just back for holiday is Thailand. Be back in trading on Monday. Looking forward to profitable year to come......
Cheers

Robin
  • #188
  • Dec 28, 2013 3:49pm Dec 28, 2013 3:49pm
Hi NV,

Many thanks for your valuable input. Really enjoy the 'simplicity' of the rationale behind your market analysis.

I do have a doubt. I understand you are not using EW analysis, but you do count waves like any Elliotician would. My experience tells counting waves can be very subjective. So my question is: How do you 100% objectively define what constitutes a valid wave?

Thanks in advance.

Cheers, and I wish a prosperous 2014 year for you and all your loved ones,
vox dei
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #189
  • Dec 28, 2013 5:29pm Dec 28, 2013 5:29pm
Quoting vox dei
Hi NV, Many thanks for your valuable input. Really enjoy the 'simplicity' of the rationale behind your market analysis. I do have a doubt. I understand you are not using EW analysis, but you do count waves like any Elliotician would. My experience tells counting waves can be very subjective. So my question is: How do you 100% objectively define what constitutes a valid wave? Thanks in advance. Cheers, and I wish a prosperous 2014 year for you and all your loved ones, vox dei
I was also curious to some deeper understanding of this. If you boil it down, it's almost like trading fractal breakouts in the main trend.
  • #190
  • Dec 29, 2013 6:06am Dec 29, 2013 6:06am
Analysis for Monday 30th December 2013

Hello all,

Based on Daily closes, possible*:

a) Long GBPUSD (active h4 trade. SL to be managed)
b) Long AUDJPY
c) Long CADJPY

*This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below.

A short trading period ahead, a day and a half till the New Year's day break. Just 3 pairs on my watchlist.

Have a good day, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #191
  • Edited 6:11pm Dec 30, 2013 3:20pm | Edited 6:11pm
Quoting garrye
nice going nv showing the likes of all the phoneys ie strat,,daddybear, james 16, piptrapper, etc and all the other shysters who peddle there crap here. hope this is a new trend your starting
Cheers garrye. I got an email from one of the above mentioned big hitters/names. He asked to learn my method from me privately. So after several years selling his "unflappable" rock solid method he wants to learn my method. I thought it was a joke at first then I realised he was serious. I also had another email to me telling me I was right to post my results and claimed he would post a trade explorer at the end of December to shame all his doubters as well. I am still waiting, ZZzzz. One day I will post these emails here no doubt it will shock everybody when you see who they were from. There is clearly no shame in this industry.

Quoting Headly
Can you verify myfxbook track record?
Done.

Quoting Winston Reed
Not many are able to post profitable results on a live account. 20% approaches. Good work. Looking forward to the reveal!
Thanks for the encouragement. Unfortunately close but no cigar......yet.

Quoting Quidsey
Awesome NV, look forward to following along in 2014, happy new year to you mate!
Cheers you too!

Quoting Winston Reed
Hello NV, My feeble attempt to map some waves on GU. Just observing to try to follow along in some meaningful way while awaiting more explanation of your method. {image}{image}
Thanks will take a look after the break.

Quoting robincwk
{quote} Dear Nv, Nice call on the Gbp pairs, well done.. hope the members enjoying the profit. I am just back for holiday is Thailand. Be back in trading on Monday. Looking forward to profitable year to come...... Cheers Robin
Cheers Robin! Hope you are enjoying all the ladies in Thailand . No holiday for me this year, while you are waking up to the beauty, I am waking up to the beast (GBPJPY).

Quoting vox dei
Hi NV, Many thanks for your valuable input. Really enjoy the 'simplicity' of the rationale behind your market analysis. I do have a doubt. I understand you are not using EW analysis, but you do count waves like any Elliotician would. My experience tells counting waves can be very subjective. So my question is: How do you 100% objectively define what constitutes a valid wave? Thanks in advance. Cheers, and I wish a prosperous 2014 year for you and all your loved ones, vox dei
Thanks for the kind message. I will discuss your question in more detail in due course, although the actual construction of the waves themselves is well beyond the scope of this thread as the methodology is very complicated. I have recommended some resources if you look in the resources post here.

Quoting NJaNeer
{quote} I was also curious to some deeper understanding of this. If you boil it down, it's almost like trading fractal breakouts in the main trend.
Thanks for the message, see above.

Regards, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #192
  • Dec 30, 2013 5:05pm Dec 30, 2013 5:05pm
Analysis for Tuesday 31st December 2013 - NEW YEAR'S EVE

Happy New Year to all. Thanks for listening to the ramblings up till now.

Based on Daily closes, possible*:

a) Long GBPUSD (active h4 trade. SL to be managed)
b) Long EURAUD
c) Long GBPJPY

*This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below.

Market is closing early tomorrow I believe, open again Thursday London. Don't see much happening tomorrow at my end anyway, the EURAUD and GBPJPY are still very early in correcting. Just the cable to manage over night and possibly into the close if it survives.

Enjoy the day off, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #193
  • Dec 31, 2013 1:56am Dec 31, 2013 1:56am
Have to say a huge thank you to NV as i followed some of yr trades and made 60pips between yesterday and today!
  • #194
  • Dec 31, 2013 5:37am Dec 31, 2013 5:37am
Quoting midnight
Have to say a huge thank you to NV as i followed some of yr trades and made 60pips between yesterday and today!
Mate, I think you've missed the "This is NOT a trading signal" part of his posts...
Twitter @raitchev
  • #195
  • Dec 31, 2013 10:06am Dec 31, 2013 10:06am
Quoting raitchev
{quote} Mate, I think you've missed the "This is NOT a trading signal" part of his posts...

I did not miss that. I had a choice of 2 trades using my system, and NV's confirmed 1 of them which i took. The one i didnt take would of been a loser.
  • #196
  • Dec 31, 2013 7:10pm Dec 31, 2013 7:10pm
Im studying this strategy and I have detected the following opportunities additional to the last ones posted by NV:

Long EUR-NZD
Long EUR-CAD
Short CAD-CHF
Short AUD-CHF
Short NZD-CHF

I would love to hear NV oppinion on this opportunities.

Happy new year!
  • #197
  • Jan 1, 2014 8:42am Jan 1, 2014 8:42am
hi NV,

thanks for your sharing. Something clicks within me, and I manage to use statistics and probability and formulate a new trading strategy. It works extremely well in numerous backtests, and I will be demo-trading for few months to see that it actually works in live trading environment. Finally, I see that the indicators are just useless in formulating a successful trading strategy, and it is shown quite clearly in the backtests which I have conducted. After reading your posts and the posts from Seneca pilot from the thread "Ramblings of a Forex junkie", I realise that if I don't clean up my acts of following indicators and not doing backtests, I might as well quit Forex. I have tried some of the so-called "gurus" in FF, and frankly it is quite useless. In fact, most (if not all) of them did not have the gumption to show their live account to show proof of success. Even a working demo account will suffice to prove that their methods work. And they did not even dare to do it. Most times, their cronies are just using demo accounts to teach the followers perfect trade setup (e.g. pin bars, double high, etc) which frankly do not work. They are just feeding on the naivety of the followers, chasing empty dreams.

Enough of my ramblings, pls continue to share your insights with us. It has certainly helped me.
Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler.
  • #198
  • Jan 2, 2014 10:28am Jan 2, 2014 10:28am
NV,

You mention you have a 50% success rate.

On those occasions when you are wrong, how many pips does price move against you if you had no stop? For instance if you decided to completely invert your strategy selling where you now buy, and buying where you now currently sell what would your results look like? - I suspect you don't have the data on hand.

From the outside, it seems more like you are cutting your losers short and running your winners. Your edge seems to be in the expert control of risk management rather than your strategy concerning the magnitude or directional movement of the underlying instrument.

Sorry for the awkward question.

Also completely agree with you about charts vs quotes. Well said, and nice to see someone of authority saying it.
  • #199
  • Jan 2, 2014 6:04pm Jan 2, 2014 6:04pm
Analysis for Friday 3rd January 2014

Hello all,

Based on Daily closes, possible*:

a) Long GBPUSD
b) Long NZDUSD (h4 order pending)
c) Long GBPJPY
d) Long AUDJPY
e) Long NZDJPY

*This is NOT a trading signal, simply a general bias. Further analysis is carried out on lower TFs before deciding to leave an order. Orders can be found in real time, links below.

Hope everyone had a great New Year. I am looking forward to getting back to business now for another 12 months of serious hard work. Not much on for tomorrow just the NZD order some other pairs on the watchlist but very early days in the corrections. I will answer the above posts tomorrow.

Have a good day, NV
(skype: nv_trader, email: [email protected])

REAL LIVE ACCOUNT:

***http://www.myfxbook.com/members/nv_t...-trader/749457***
  • #200
  • Jan 2, 2014 6:32pm Jan 2, 2014 6:32pm
Looking forward to it NV
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