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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #12,681
  • Dec 17, 2013 1:41am Dec 17, 2013 1:41am
Quoting godim
{quote} the minimum of the range is now 3295. Nothing changed in the square. We watch to support from the main diagonal. {image}
The trip of price remains on the main diagonal of the square of Gann.

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,682
  • Dec 17, 2013 2:45am Dec 17, 2013 2:45am
around the recent top a nice distribution has formed


fall below of 3720 may lead to much more declines
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  • #12,683
  • Dec 17, 2013 2:50am Dec 17, 2013 2:50am
Market has left a lot of virgin POC's below recent price

above recent price I can only find a monthly virgin POC around 4407
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  • #12,684
  • Dec 17, 2013 2:57am Dec 17, 2013 2:57am
What keeps me up at nights as a bear, is the fact, that there is not much of volume-resistance above recent price


4173 and 4210 are + 3 SD volume events on monthly scale (32 periods)


on a simple + 2SD threshold there is nothing even on lower TF until this 4173
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  • #12,685
  • Dec 17, 2013 3:04am Dec 17, 2013 3:04am
the following curve inherits the data of 864 trading days

How big is the chance, that we will fill the missing volume on the right side of the curve? (red rectangle)

How big is the chance, that price simply moves to the far left side of the curve and dragging the Gaussian curve with it?
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  • #12,686
  • Dec 17, 2013 3:12am Dec 17, 2013 3:12am
EU 1h TF

Price broke last week the upsloping red channel line.

But the it failed by holding above the channel.

Since then it has attempted it twice to regain that ground, but, so far, it failed
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  • #12,687
  • Dec 17, 2013 4:42am Dec 17, 2013 4:42am
Quoting infinitus
EU 1h TF Price broke last week the upsloping red channel line. But the it failed by holding above the channel. Since then it has attempted it twice to regain that ground, but, so far, it failed {image}

trendlines don't really mean anything in this kind of environment markus... its ranging horribly.. waiting for tomorrow FOMC...
  • #12,688
  • Dec 17, 2013 5:48am Dec 17, 2013 5:48am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} trendlines don't really mean anything in this kind of environment markus... its ranging horribly.. waiting for tomorrow FOMC...

for short term trading TL and channels mean a lot, like you can see on the chart, because price reacts to them

In the longer run, well, we will see.

Anyway, price is reflection of social mood and goes anywhere where it wants


And if it shoots to the moon, well, expect me to be there
  • #12,689
  • Dec 17, 2013 6:19am Dec 17, 2013 6:19am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} for short term trading TL and channels mean a lot, like you can see on the chart, because price reacts to them In the longer run, well, we will see. Anyway, price is reflection of social mood and goes anywhere where it wants And if it shoots to the moon, well, expect me to be there


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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,690
  • Dec 17, 2013 8:00am Dec 17, 2013 8:00am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} for short term trading TL and channels mean a lot, like you can see on the chart, because price reacts to them In the longer run, well, we will see. Anyway, price is reflection of social mood and goes anywhere where it wants And if it shoots to the moon, well, expect me to be there

we've hardly moved... i have targets upside... lets see if anything comes of it
  • #12,691
  • Dec 17, 2013 12:10pm Dec 17, 2013 12:10pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} we've hardly moved... i have targets upside... lets see if anything comes of it

see, we even dropped out of the black channel, and market again tested it from the lower side, then dropped more


the reason for stopping the move around 3720 you can see in http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...73#post7160673
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  • #12,692
  • Dec 17, 2013 12:54pm Dec 17, 2013 12:54pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} see, we even dropped out of the black channel, and market again tested it from the lower side, then dropped more the reason for stopping the move around 3720 you can see in http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...73#post7160673 {image}

and now backtest of black channel
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  • #12,693
  • Dec 17, 2013 2:46pm Dec 17, 2013 2:46pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} and now backtest of black channel {image}
stating the obvious?

Havn't there not been enough people complaining about Davidsaly? Do you now, where he is banned, feel the need to fill the gap?
  • #12,694
  • Dec 17, 2013 3:04pm Dec 17, 2013 3:04pm
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} stating the obvious? Haven't there not been enough people complaining about Davidsaly? Do you now, where he is banned, feel the need to fill the gap?
Looks like you have taken his post out of context.
If you read back all the prior posts on this page you will see he was proving a point about trend lines to someone else.

Yeah we know why David Sayli was banned, and it was certainly not for having a discussion about trend lines.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,695
  • Dec 17, 2013 3:37pm Dec 17, 2013 3:37pm
Alright guys gold down from here, bearish bellow 1226. Weak extended leg up now trough first half of asian session then down or down at early london. I can already see naked short sellers pushing trough 1222.
  • #12,696
  • Dec 17, 2013 4:13pm Dec 17, 2013 4:13pm
Hmmm.. this is very interesting.


First red-line is SUPPLY, second red-line (2 last trading days) is ABSORPTION of SUPPLY.

Important question: is it successfully absorbed ?

Latest :
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  • #12,697
  • Dec 18, 2013 12:17am Dec 18, 2013 12:17am
Quoting janpec1000
Alright guys gold down from here, bearish bellow 1226. Weak extended leg up now trough first half of asian session then down or down at early london. I can already see naked short sellers pushing trough 1222.
How can you see that? Inquiring minds want to know......
  • #12,698
  • Dec 18, 2013 12:22am Dec 18, 2013 12:22am
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} stating the obvious? Havn't there not been enough people complaining about Davidsaly? Do you now, where he is banned, feel the need to fill the gap?
Hi Miguel,

sorry, took your message out of context (as Piptrapper noticed also).


Me culpa
  • #12,699
  • Dec 18, 2013 2:32am Dec 18, 2013 2:32am
Good morning all.
Is it Taper-Time?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,700
  • Dec 18, 2013 2:48am Dec 18, 2013 2:48am
Quoting PipTrapper
Good morning all. Is it Taper-Time?
Gooday,

Take a look at Japan index, N225 H4 .. what do think ?
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