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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #12,561
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:53pm Dec 9, 2013 8:53pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-1...rs-fed-flaccid

Fed's Fisher Blasts "Flaccid" Monetary Policy, Says More CapEx Needed
  • #12,562
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:16pm Dec 9, 2013 10:16pm
right at/in monthly Kuomo
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  • #12,563
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:38pm Dec 9, 2013 10:38pm
Quoting infinitus
right at/in monthly Kuomo {image}

Also commodity showing room for USD to advance..
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  • #12,564
  • Dec 10, 2013 1:13am Dec 10, 2013 1:13am
Quoting godim
{quote} For cable New peak on daily chart. Has a higher bottom. This means NeutralSlope. {image}
The cable started up a new UpSwing, and continuation of UpTrend. Tomorrow a new bullish fan.

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,565
  • Dec 10, 2013 1:21am Dec 10, 2013 1:21am
Quoting godim
{quote} There is no change. Euro strive to go above the point of conflict. When it makes new highs into UpTrend. The cable has no support from the pink line. Being held back in one place and does not want to go up. new bullish fan + UpTrend {image} {image}
eur/usd

The UpTrend continues.

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,566
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:23am Dec 10, 2013 2:23am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} they are true virgins - but we can ask Chicky, he may have greater experience than me in this regard {image}
and the virgins go...
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,567
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:57am Dec 10, 2013 2:57am
the up-move may be finished


I have an alternate to this count that shows, that we may be in for one more down-up sequence with targets in the 378-379 range
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  • #12,568
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:05am Dec 10, 2013 3:05am
Quoting infinitus
the up-move may be finished I have an alternate to this count that shows, that we may be in for one more down-up sequence with targets in the 378-379 range {image}
resistance - 3794?

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,569
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:06am Dec 10, 2013 3:06am
Market Profile with 32 days rolling volume


We can see on the right side the rolling 32 volume.

We can see a Gaussian curve with a fat right tail

Well, fat tails are not necessarily a sign of overstreched/exhausting move, but also could be a sign of TRENDING.

But trending is most of the time supported with volume. Here it is not.

The rolling 32 days volume is now at the +2 standard deviation (+2 SD) mark. Only when moves go beyond the 3 SD mark, chances get very high for a trending market. So here we may be indeed in simply a tail (which means: it is prone to mean reverting)
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  • #12,570
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:08am Dec 10, 2013 3:08am
Quoting infinitus
Market Profile with 32 days rolling volume We can see on the right side the rolling 32 volume. We can see a Gaussian curve with a fat right tail Well, fat tails are not necessarily a sign of overstreched/exhausting move, but also could be a sign of TRENDING. But trending is most of the time supported with volume. Here it is not. The rolling 32 days volume is now at the +2 standard deviation (+2 SD) mark. Only when moves go beyond the 3 SD mark, chances get very high for a trending market. So here we may be indeed in simply a tail (which means: it...

MMSMP values
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  • #12,571
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:12am Dec 10, 2013 3:12am
Quoting godim
{quote} resistance - 3794? {image}

When the 376x high gives way, then most likely 3794
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  • #12,572
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:12am Dec 10, 2013 3:12am
Quoting godim
{quote} The cable started up a new UpSwing, and continuation of UpTrend. Tomorrow a new bullish fan. {image}
I can outwit the need for support from the pink line. It is a fact that the price is back in the area called from me - last line of defense.

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,573
  • Dec 10, 2013 4:56am Dec 10, 2013 4:56am
Quote
The cable started up a new UpSwing, and continuation of UpTrend. Tomorrow a new bullish fan.

Yep breakout on GBP pairs tomorrow up. Already banked 50 pips on long so far GU.
Meanwhile keeping eye on UCAD this should be nice trade on wedge break will trade either dirrection but leaning towards long.
  • #12,574
  • Dec 10, 2013 9:03am Dec 10, 2013 9:03am
Was für Knaller da drübn.

PO SELL 3796
  • #12,575
  • Dec 10, 2013 9:06am Dec 10, 2013 9:06am
Quoting godim
{quote} resistance - 3794? {image}
Price arrived a little earlier. Resistance at 3791 somewhere. I guess that will penetrate at least until 3801. Then it will be interesting.
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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,576
  • Dec 10, 2013 9:21am Dec 10, 2013 9:21am
Quoting godim
{quote} I can outwit the need for support from the pink line. It is a fact that the price is back in the area called from me - last line of defense. {image}

For bulls is important the cable close daily bar over 6430. Currently the cable runs without support and impedes the bulls in the euro. 6430 could be a good support.

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"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #12,577
  • Dec 10, 2013 9:53am Dec 10, 2013 9:53am
This morning Europe opening gives me the first signal of Long closing ... a break of the H1 trendline, then a rally till 1.3794 that was on the maths of 1.236 extension ... so for me this is over ... 4 days later than expected, but also 7th Nov low was 3 days later than expected.

Now wayting for M5 signal to triger shorts till 1.3600 zone as first target

It took 3 days to fill the 'zone'

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  • #12,578
  • Dec 10, 2013 10:45am Dec 10, 2013 10:45am
Quoting Schickeria
Was für Knaller da drübn. PO SELL 3796
they are so busy with complaining about anything, with arguing, with ranting etc. that they hardly can see the forest for the trees.

Now that we are evtl. at the top, they do not dare to take a single trade, dreaming of 1,4x. Alone with the drop from 379x they could have made their money.


For me, the final trigger for the trade came, when I saw the SP500 drop at the time EU spiked up (hint: bullsh!t move)
  • #12,579
  • Dec 10, 2013 10:46am Dec 10, 2013 10:46am
Quoting rbetancor
This morning Europe opening gives me the first signal of Long closing ... a break of the H1 trendline, then a rally till 1.3794 that was on the maths of 1.236 extension ... so for me this is over ... 4 days later than expected, but also 7th Nov low was 3 days later than expected. Now wayting for M5 signal to triger shorts till 1.3600 zone as first target It took 3 days to fill the 'zone' {image}

niiiiiice :-)
  • #12,580
  • Dec 10, 2013 11:28am Dec 10, 2013 11:28am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} they are so busy with complaining about anything, with arguing, with ranting etc. that they hardly can see the forest for the trees. Now that we are evtl. at the top, they do not dare to take a single trade, dreaming of 1,4x. Alone with the drop from 379x they could have made their money. For me, the final trigger for the trade came, when I saw the SP500 drop at the time EU spiked up (hint: bullsh!t move)
Hi Fini,

Strong Gold UP
SP500 drop DOWN
Oil UP

Mich läßt aber eine Zahl nicht in Ruhe das ist die 1.3823. Bin shory von 1.37905 und ein paar Positionen darunter mal sehen.....

it-finance hat hier einen schöne Zone (1.3803-3824) mit Trendline und der bruch von 1.3770 schaut auch "scheiße" aus. Alles deutet darauf hin auf die 1.3823.
Dieser letzter upmove hat alles zerstört.... (Meine Meinung)

GU will auch die 1.6533

COT-DAten auf US Index sind auf SELL.... also GU up EU up


SO jetzt ist FC-BAYERN angesagt!!!!

Ich habe das dumme Gefühl das wir dieses Jahr zu 1.39808 gehen und erst nächstes Jahr unsere SELL Positionen aufbauen können.

Hier ein wenig Franziskaner Weizen noch:

The push into near six-week highs above 1.3747 during Tuesday's Asian
session brings the Oct. 25 peak at 1.3833 ever closer. The sub-dividing bull wave from the Nov. 21
higher low at 1.3399 has been validated, and two 1.618 Fibonacci extension targets land above the
1.3833 high, at 1.3866 and 1.3885. Monday's low at 1.3694 defines corrective downside risk, which
is protected by 1.3720. Backup support beneath 1.3694 lies at 1.3666/79.
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