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High Probability Trade Setups

  • #181
  • Nov 27, 2013 2:36am Nov 27, 2013 2:36am
Looking at gbpusd. If weekly TL is broken (from 14.8.11) around 1.623x should see some serious pips. News coming up and if positive may be the push needed to get it over the line.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #182
  • Nov 27, 2013 3:36am Nov 27, 2013 3:36am
Quoting Matts Micro
Looking at gbpusd. If weekly TL is broken (from 14.8.11) around 1.623x should see some serious pips. News coming up and if positive may be the push needed to get it over the line.
News didn't spring trade (which is what I'd prefer). Now waiting for entry on same TL if (when) pa comes to meet it again.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #183
  • Nov 27, 2013 3:46am Nov 27, 2013 3:46am
Quoting Matts Micro
Looking at gbpusd. If weekly TL is broken (from 14.8.11) around 1.623x should see some serious pips. News coming up and if positive may be the push needed to get it over the line.
In at 1.6237
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #184
  • Nov 27, 2013 4:28am Nov 27, 2013 4:28am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} In at 1.6237
TP 51 pips.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #185
  • Nov 28, 2013 2:42am Nov 28, 2013 2:42am
EURUSD is still fighting to go higher, but seems it’s loosing steam. For a short term trade look @ 1.3560 level. Take long in 1.3555-60 zone, and if it fails take short on retracement back to it. If price will not come back to 1.3560 trying to take a long position above yesterday’s high (break out and retracement) makes sense, as EURUSD can reach at least 1.3645-60, but it’s not a preffered trade as the risk is higher then average.
It’s reasonable to short yesterday’s tops considering today might be a bit slower day because of USA’s Thanksgiving. There is a big chance of staying in conosolidation.
Swing trade view – still long, move SL to BE if possible and observe if this pair will show stranght to break above 1.3610. 1.3490 is still a crutial level to open the way to the downside and change sentiment to bearish.
GBPUSD view on forex-entourage.com/forex-price-action-analysis/
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd priceseeker 28.11.2013-1.PNG Size: 25 KB
Price Action + KISS + PIE = Forex-Entourage
  • #186
  • Dec 3, 2013 12:10am Dec 3, 2013 12:10am
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
AUD/NZD looks to be breaking out it's monthly range..

same hold true for the GBP/AUD....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audnzdmonthly.png Size: 99 KB
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #187
  • Dec 3, 2013 12:20am Dec 3, 2013 12:20am
Quoting Owl
AUD/NZD looks to be breaking out it's monthly range.. same hold true for the GBP/AUD.... {image}

Didn't you wait for your fire sale at about long term support ??
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #188
  • Dec 3, 2013 8:33am Dec 3, 2013 8:33am
Quoting Owl
AUD/NZD looks to be breaking out it's monthly range.. same hold true for the GBP/AUD.... {image}
Hey owl was just looking at AN, looks like a good trade. Just noticed your post I have been slack on this thread for last week or so. Last week was a pb week for me but it also meant I had no time to post ...waz really busy with trade management. Today a bit the same but I feel I should of posted my trade on gbpjpy bo of 4hr channel. Went in direction and +60 atm (will close soon, way above target with my st trading MM). Also traded UJ but only +15 atm, will close too with lack of response of bo.

Will try to get a trade or 2 up before end of week if I find to keep thread alive.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #189
  • Dec 3, 2013 3:38pm Dec 3, 2013 3:38pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Hey owl was just looking at AN, looks like a good trade. Just noticed your post I have been slack on this thread for last week or so. Last week was a pb week for me but it also meant I had no time to post ...waz really busy with trade management. Today a bit the same but I feel I should of posted my trade on gbpjpy bo of 4hr channel. Went in direction and +60 atm (will close soon, way above target with my st trading MM). Also traded UJ but only +15 atm, will close too with lack of response of bo. Will try to get a trade or 2 up before end...

It's working out Price just hit 1.10500 though it should come up a little now...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audnzdm30.png Size: 74 KB
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #190
  • Edited 4:10pm Dec 3, 2013 3:55pm | Edited 4:10pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Will try to get a trade or 2 up before end of week if I find to keep thread alive.
Don't force it Matt.. After all the name of the thread is high probability setups so

the title itself suggests not to just post any old trade entry rules and conditions..so take

your time in seeking out these high percentage low risk trade setups....cheers and happy

trading
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #191
  • Dec 3, 2013 4:09pm Dec 3, 2013 4:09pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
NZD/USD is at a level right now where there is so much resistance in it's

way including the 40 day average and 11/1 monthly open..which leads me

to believe that there will be room for some sort of move down before it does

continue to keep going up... if it indeed does keep going higher that is or maybe

this is where the heavy selling can resume and commence? I'm in short so lets

see what happens plus on the m30 chart you can see that the weekly gap never

got filled so it also confirms that it looks to be a good time to enter short....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdm30.png Size: 70 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdh4.png Size: 78 KB
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #192
  • Dec 3, 2013 5:03pm Dec 3, 2013 5:03pm
As soon as the spread comes down, I'm in for tonight on a buy order.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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SPC * Swollen PocketZ Crew!
  • #193
  • Dec 3, 2013 5:40pm Dec 3, 2013 5:40pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trade.gif Size: 18 KB
SPC * Swollen PocketZ Crew!
  • #194
  • Edited 9:59pm Dec 3, 2013 9:40pm | Edited 9:59pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Trade has progressed as far as 71 pips already with a pullback

now before most likely heading down and back further south...

at least to fill the gap...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdm30.png Size: 76 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdh4.png Size: 79 KB
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #195
  • Dec 3, 2013 10:13pm Dec 3, 2013 10:13pm
Quoting Owl
{quote} Don't force it Matt.. After all the name of the thread is high probability setups so the title itself suggests not to just post any old trade entry rules and conditions..so take your time in seeking out these high percentage low risk trade setups....cheers and happy trading
Your right Owl I am trying to avoid just general analysis on this thread. I have had a few good trades over the past week or so that I could have posted though. Last week was hell busy for me but now things have slowed a bit I will be able to post if I come across a HPS. Numbers out of Oz looks like helped your cause but it's as I say, TA can be the crystal ball to fundies. Looking good so far. GL.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #196
  • Edited 11:43pm Dec 3, 2013 11:24pm | Edited 11:43pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Your right Owl I am trying to avoid just general analysis on this thread. I have had a few good trades over the past week or so that I could have posted though. Last week was hell busy for me but now things have slowed a bit I will be able to post if I come across a HPS. Numbers out of Oz looks like helped your cause but it's as I say, TA can be the crystal ball to fundies. Looking good so far. GL.
Yes I put the trade in at 5pm eastern and 5 hours later at 10pm it's down 70 plus

pips...price doesn't normally move like that around them hours of tokyo open...gold

figure...there is some room left to go to the gap although I don't expect as smooth a ride

all the way down I'm looking forward to the ride to continue down though so I will add

on a couple of more sell trades in london session if it looks to be keep going in that direction.....
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #197
  • Edited 6:51am Dec 4, 2013 6:41am | Edited 6:51am
Should have bailed when I was up 20+ pips during Asian session. Europe opened and it went south. Missed a key area that would have made a nice short. Bailed with only + 5

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpchfh1.gif Size: 21 KB
SPC * Swollen PocketZ Crew!
  • #198
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:14am Dec 4, 2013 9:14am
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting JoeNY
Should have bailed when I was up 20+ pips during Asian session. Europe opened and it went south. Missed a key area that would have made a nice short. Bailed with only + 5 {image}
Yes Joe had you been watching London you would've caught your short

but I understand as it is 3 am in Ny when london opens so for you to be

asleep was expected...don't sweat it catch the next setup as there will

always be one
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #199
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:17am Dec 4, 2013 9:17am
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting Owl
AUD/NZD looks to be breaking out it's monthly range.. same hold true for the GBP/AUD.... {image}
AUD/NZD has worked out nicely so far I'm expecting some sort of push up soon

as last night asian session gap has not been filled yet
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audnzdm30.png Size: 69 KB
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #200
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:34am Dec 4, 2013 9:34am
Yes before I went to bed I pushed my stop up to break even just in case. Woke up to see the tank. Got a few more than break even. Yes next time.


Quoting Owl
{quote} Yes Joe had you been watching London you would've caught your short but I understand as it is 3 am in Ny when london opens so for you to be asleep was expected...don't sweat it catch the next setup as there will always be one
SPC * Swollen PocketZ Crew!
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