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Economic Analysis VS Market Action

  • #81
  • Sep 22, 2013 8:32am Sep 22, 2013 8:32am
so the key point for united state is..... 1 Oct,,...

which is wether US government shutdown and wether US house senate approve increasing debt ceiling that will be risk on US rating and will make market turmoil if result dissapointed that bring more burden to fed and the tapering issue!!!
Bismillah
  • #82
  • Sep 22, 2013 8:45am Sep 22, 2013 8:45am
Quoting krunfx
ECB ready to act to help credit market if needed: Liikanen Is LTRO 3 on the card???So Markets have already begun to speculate on the chances of another of the operations i mean LTRO/QE by ECB that spur ECB printing more money... so the next topic to focus on next ECB press conference is "MR DRAGHI....IS IT POSIBLE FOR LTRO 3?"...huhuhuu {image}
Well-spotted.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #83
  • Sep 22, 2013 8:52am Sep 22, 2013 8:52am
Hi Krunfx,
thank you for explaining the situation so clearly. This is an area that is confusing for me! I so appreciate this information explained in simple terms.
  • #84
  • Sep 22, 2013 9:07am Sep 22, 2013 9:07am
Quoting krunfx
{quote} google.....or u can see it at twitter
Noway!
Per aspera ad astra
  • #85
  • Sep 22, 2013 11:14am Sep 22, 2013 11:14am
Quoting jpadvisor
{quote} Noway!
Finally I found this article from Reuters.

http://mobile.reuters.com/article/id...30922?irpc=932
Per aspera ad astra
  • #86
  • Sep 22, 2013 1:21pm Sep 22, 2013 1:21pm
Quoting krunfx
{quote} fed taper means fed reduce bond buying.....now fed buy bond reduce mortgage rate since housing market down....for me tapering in october is nonsense statement because bernanke already inform the confuse forward guidance to us..huhu
krunfx Thanks ,
  • #87
  • Sep 22, 2013 1:29pm Sep 22, 2013 1:29pm
Who will win in Germany ? what will be the SMQ ( scale of market quick ) in different currency pairs ?
Mail: holygrailea (AT) gmail ( DOT ) com
  • #88
  • Sep 22, 2013 1:47pm Sep 22, 2013 1:47pm
About this tapering. I think the market was pricing in a no taper after the bad NFP. So maybe if next months NFP is good, EUR/USD go down. Opinions?
  • #89
  • Sep 23, 2013 12:06am Sep 23, 2013 12:06am
Interesting things is going to happen in EURO pairs especially EU in this 3 economical events, i am watching the Fibonacci numbers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ecno 1.png Size: 8 KB
Mail: holygrailea (AT) gmail ( DOT ) com
  • #90
  • Sep 23, 2013 12:11am Sep 23, 2013 12:11am
Quoting SpikerTrader
Interesting things is going to happen in EURO pairs especially EU in this 3 economical events, i am watching the Fibonacci numbers {image}
PMI data is most important figure for euro...and Draghi speech only will be market event if he comment about policy....otherwise no
Bismillah
  • #91
  • Sep 23, 2013 12:17am Sep 23, 2013 12:17am
This Fibonacci works today or is it expired ? because at least we get volume from that 3 economical reports.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart eu 4 h.png Size: 15 KB
Mail: holygrailea (AT) gmail ( DOT ) com
  • #92
  • Sep 23, 2013 12:36am Sep 23, 2013 12:36am
Quoting SpikerTrader
This Fibonacci works today or is it expired ? because at least we get volume from that 3 economical reports. {image}
If u see eu patern it is bull flag....soon eu will breakout higher
Bismillah
  • #93
  • Sep 23, 2013 1:24am Sep 23, 2013 1:24am
Quoting SpikerTrader
This Fibonacci works today or is it expired ? because at least we get volume from that 3 economical reports. {image}

EU is in a consolidation phase
if it does not start to come down soon, then we would call this a "basing" pattern, and it will spike up from here...
based on short term fibs, ~37120 is possible
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #94
  • Sep 23, 2013 2:45am Sep 23, 2013 2:45am
wahh.. euro dolla rmake huge drop de to weak german PMI data.....huhu
Bismillah
  • #95
  • Sep 23, 2013 3:10am Sep 23, 2013 3:10am
but im still bullish on euro....the drop is the retracement only ....
Bismillah
  • #96
  • Sep 23, 2013 3:16am Sep 23, 2013 3:16am
im expect euro to rebounce back after bullish consolidation after fedwith 1.35 is the demand/supoort level.....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURO.jpg Size: 220 KB
Bismillah
  • #97
  • Sep 23, 2013 8:53am Sep 23, 2013 8:53am
NY Fed's Dudley:“We might wait a long time after we breach the [6.5%] threshold before we begin to raise our federal funds rate target”

so actually we can say october tapering=nonsense
Bismillah
  • #98
  • Sep 23, 2013 9:25am Sep 23, 2013 9:25am
So draghi said posible LTRO?..?so i erase my bullish for euro to bearish for long term due to ltro speculation by ecb...
Bismillah
  • #99
  • Sep 23, 2013 10:49am Sep 23, 2013 10:49am
Wow, no action from the PMI's today...
  • #100
  • Sep 23, 2013 1:28pm Sep 23, 2013 1:28pm
Quoting krunfx
So draghi said posible LTRO?..?so i erase my bullish for euro to bearish for long term due to ltro speculation by ecb...

What is this LTRO and why is it bad for EURO?
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