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CoghlanCapital.com

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited 9:38am Aug 20, 2013 9:25am | Edited 9:38am
Providing daily expert analysis of the Gold, Silver, currencies and US indices
Highlighting low risk, high probability trades in a variety of vehicles.

Coghlan Capital provides traders, investors and money managers with expert analysis of the Gold, Silver, currencies and US indices. Analysis is provided each morning, highlighting low risk, high probability trades in a variety of vehicles. Our team has a combined 50 years of analysis in both the precious metals and currencies markets and these are our primary markets. We have earned our numerous testimonials and the relationships we have with our many long term clients through an unparalleled history of providing accurate and timely analysis and successful trades.

http://www.coghlancapital.com
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  • #2
  • Edited Aug 21, 2013 3:14am Aug 20, 2013 9:34am | Edited Aug 21, 2013 3:14am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


Ben Drage who runs the Cross Pair Analysis Service hosted a webinar on July 23rd introducing the service, showing some of the methodology and charting some of the pairs:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6390



Registration is now open for the next free webinar on August 27th:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530

All registrants will be sent a link to a recording of this webinar even if they are not able to attend the live event.
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  • #3
  • Edited 3:14am Aug 21, 2013 2:54am | Edited 3:14am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


The principal methodology used in the Cross Pair Analysis is the Andrew's Pitchfork.

Videos are produced daily at about 7 am London time and cover items of interest for the day. Extensive, detailed videos are produced at the weekend. Charts are available to download for subscribers who use Ensign charting.

Below is an example of the methodology looking at the CADCHF 20 minutes.(In deference to existing subscribers this is just an example of the methodology in action)

The pitchfork predicts the path of price with great accuracy and a virtually risk-free entry at the higher blue circle would provide approximately 140 points profit if the trade was closed at the lower blue circle.
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  • #4
  • Edited Aug 23, 2013 2:37am Aug 22, 2013 5:33am | Edited Aug 23, 2013 2:37am
http://www.coghlancapital.com



The Cross Pair Analysis service produces Daily videos looking at non US Dollar crosses.

One of the pairs studied is GBPNZD, which on a 60 minute timeframe has been showing great frequency. The detail shows a completed ABCD formation with an 800 point move from the blue dotted Sliding Parallel since Monday.




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  • #5
  • Aug 23, 2013 8:26am Aug 23, 2013 8:26am
http://www.coghlancapital.com



Registration is now open for a free webinar to be held on Tuesday 27th August at Midday ET:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530



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  • #6
  • Edited 11:06am Aug 23, 2013 10:36am | Edited 11:06am
http://www.coghlancapital.com



SI 60 minutes moved strongly away from the Lower Parallel



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  • #7
  • Edited Aug 24, 2013 3:20am Aug 23, 2013 4:18pm | Edited Aug 24, 2013 3:20am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


Quick update on the SI 60 minute chart shown earlier.

An entry at one of the two circled bars on the Lower Parallel could have been taken with a 12 cent stop below prior support. Price moved $1 to the Median Line before falling away slightly.





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  • #8
  • Aug 24, 2013 3:21am Aug 24, 2013 3:21am
http://www.coghlancapital.com



If the methodology interests you please consider registering for our free webinar on Tuesday 27th at Midday ET via the following link:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530




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  • #9
  • Edited Aug 26, 2013 4:33am Aug 25, 2013 6:02am | Edited Aug 26, 2013 4:33am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


Although the methodology used is principally based around Andrew's Pitchforks a variant of that is the ABCD. An example of this can be seen in the GC 240 minute chart where there have been a number of touches at the P support of the CD leg.




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  • #10
  • Edited Aug 27, 2013 1:38am Aug 26, 2013 8:59am | Edited Aug 27, 2013 1:38am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


EURAUD 60 minute charts showing an exact Lower Parallel reaction - this is one of the charts I will look at in tomorrow's free webinar.




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  • #11
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:39am Aug 27, 2013 1:39am
A quick reminder of today's free webinar at Midday ET.

Registration is open at the following link:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530



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  • #12
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:56am Aug 27, 2013 1:56am
Quoting beeb
A quick reminder of today's free webinar at Midday ET. Registration is open at the following link: http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530 . {image}
I'm registered and I will certainly attend if I'm able.
You can always make money tomorrow provided you don't lose it today.
  • #13
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:29am Aug 27, 2013 2:29am
Quoting KADC
{quote} I'm registered and I will certainly attend if I'm able.

Look forward to seeing you - all registrants will receive a link to the recording in case they are unable to attend "live"....




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  • #14
  • Edited 9:40am Aug 27, 2013 8:21am | Edited 9:40am
Just a quick reminder of today's free webinar in a couple of hours' time at Midday ET.

Registration is open at the following link:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530



Update on the SI 60 min chart previously shown - price has touched the Median Line resistance again, rising $1.70 from the third green circle support at the Lower Parallel......



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  • #15
  • Edited 11:48am Aug 27, 2013 11:32am | Edited 11:48am
I don't remember requiring special software last time (but perhaps I'm just not remembering correctly) but the Citrix Online Launcher took a VERY long time to connect. The progress meter advanced about one pixel every two or three seconds.

Good seminar (as always).
You can always make money tomorrow provided you don't lose it today.
  • #16
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:04pm Aug 27, 2013 9:04pm
Quoting beeb
Just a quick reminder of today's free webinar in a couple of hours' time at Midday ET. Registration is open at the following link: http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6530 Update on the SI 60 min chart previously shown - price has touched the Median Line resistance again, rising $1.70 from the third green circle support at the Lower Parallel...... . {image} {image}
Great channel mate and nice to see your thread, miss you on mine.

In any case, Gold has a great 240 Min channel as well - nearing the top with appx 1475/60

minor resistance 1425 = target 1550, stops if you use them below 1350.

Cheers!

Now subscribed.

XT-

P.S. I just erased all my daily charts, will try and find a link or just re post.
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #17
  • Aug 29, 2013 7:01am Aug 29, 2013 7:01am
http://www.coghlancapital.com


Thanks for your comments


Tuesday's webinar is now available to all at the link below:

http://www.coghlancapital.com/node/6670




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  • #18
  • Aug 30, 2013 4:33am Aug 30, 2013 4:33am
http://www.coghlancapital.com



Continuing to watch the SI 60 min previously shown.

Price moved $2 or so from the green circles at the Lower Parallel to the Median Line where it found resistance along the red line.

Note that price has now fallen beneath the Lower Parallel which has become resistance in the red circles. We are now at the Warning Line and also at potential horizontal support.




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  • #19
  • Aug 30, 2013 5:30am Aug 30, 2013 5:30am
Hi Ben, nice chart as allways.

Is LP being twice resistance after being support a signal of what Paul call a change of behaviour, or can it be just a pause?

What if the warning line gets broken?
  • #20
  • Aug 30, 2013 5:38am Aug 30, 2013 5:38am
Quoting jsr
Hi Ben, nice chart as allways. Is LP being twice resistance after being support a signal of what Paul call a change of behaviour, or can it be just a pause? What if the warning line gets broken?




Hi jsr - thanks for the comments

As you know I don't like to make predictions lol, but prefer to watch the action to see what happens but with EXPECTATIONS as to what could happen. (Hope that makes sense)

In answer to your question there is a change of behaviour and a stepping down of support and resistance. That does not mean that SI is now going to new lows - all it means is that we will watch it and expect it to step down, in this timeframe, UNTIL it starts to step up again.

Obviously the WL is the next potential area of support and we will watch for that to continue - if it is broken we would then look for evidence of the previous support becoming resistance (similar to what happened at the Lower Parallel above)

Ben




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