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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #5,181
  • Aug 20, 2013 10:45am Aug 20, 2013 10:45am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} This one: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...60#post6881960 are the PO short I can remember you posting some long hedgings, but can not find them
Thank's for the hint, Infinitus!
No, not this!
There were Longs and Shorts and the shorts was executed within a couple of days or so.
Now it should be the right time for executing the long orders.
The search algorithm "Hedging Order EURUSD FXcube The Club" don't tell me where it could be.
FXcube

---

It's okay! Let it be!
I want to say I gonna out of these hedging Longs & won't wait any longer if the market price could touch the 1.35/1.37 line.
FXcube
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  • #5,182
  • Aug 20, 2013 10:50am Aug 20, 2013 10:50am
http://elliottwavepredictions.com/wp...m-8-20-132.png


count from Sid - good to see his count


he was right at the bottom around 27x, expecting a surge. At the time given, I thought we would drop further
  • #5,183
  • Aug 20, 2013 10:52am Aug 20, 2013 10:52am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} Thank's for the hint, Infinitus! No, not this! There were Longs and Shorts and the shorts was executed within a couple of days or so. Now it should be the right time for executing the long orders. The search algorithm "Hedging Order EURUSD FXcube The Club" don't tell me where it could be. FXcube --- It's okay! Let it be! I want to say I gonna out of these hedging Longs. FXcube {image}

I searched by simply "hedging" but have not found them either.

Only one posting of you, where you stated at the beginning of August, that there were no more pending orders open.


But again, I seem to remember you posting your hedging orders - strange......
  • #5,184
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:02am Aug 20, 2013 11:02am
Quoting infinitus
http://elliottwavepredictions.com/wp...m-8-20-132.png count from Sid - good to see his count he was right at the bottom around 27x, expecting a surge. At the time given, I thought we would drop further

I have fine counted the last impulsive wave, and come to the conclusion (when Sid's count is right), that we have not yet finished the last wave 3



see the following count:
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  • #5,185
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:09am Aug 20, 2013 11:09am
EU Short @ 1.3428 (10x), Target @ 1.3420 (mR3)
  • #5,186
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:11am Aug 20, 2013 11:11am
EURUSD, H1, 2013 August 20
Short @ 1.3426 (2x), Target @ 1.3405 (DR2)
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  • #5,187
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:18am Aug 20, 2013 11:18am
Quoting infinitus
http://elliottwavepredictions.com/wp...m-8-20-132.png count from Sid - good to see his count he was right at the bottom around 27x, expecting a surge. At the time given, I thought we would drop further

Sid already mentioned in his count, that a diagonal is typically deep retraced

That is right: normally a leading diagonal is retraced by approx. 80%

And: leading diagonals are rare



So I might present another count:

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But be aware: there are several other options, like an ABC-x-ABC-x-ABC
  • #5,188
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:21am Aug 20, 2013 11:21am
The move down from the top now does not look much like an impulsive move, ain't it?

Watch on 1min chart
  • #5,189
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:42am Aug 20, 2013 11:42am
here is a big WXY count


sorry folks, simply too many possible counts now


on 12h
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on 4h
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  • #5,190
  • Aug 20, 2013 11:53am Aug 20, 2013 11:53am
Quoting infinitus
The move down from the top now does not look much like an impulsive move, ain't it? Watch on 1min chart
Yep,
Usualy UJ will confirm / disconfirm masif move in EU.
  • #5,191
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:03pm Aug 20, 2013 12:03pm
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Yep, Usualy UJ will confirm / disconfirm masif move in EU.

I am not sure if the run in sync. Japan has its own severe problems now. We have seen a very huge run up in UJ, and for me it seems that we are stuck in a longer lasting (sideways) wave 4 consolidation pattern
  • #5,192
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:10pm Aug 20, 2013 12:10pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I am not sure if the run in sync. Japan has its own severe problems now. We have seen a very huge run up in UJ, and for me it seems that we are stuck in a longer lasting (sideways) wave 4 consolidation pattern
mmm, i edited the words:

"Yep,

Usualy UJ will confirm / disconfirm masif move in EU if its about to happen.."

  • #5,193
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:10pm Aug 20, 2013 12:10pm
I am trying to understand EW.....Infinitus..what do you think about this?
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  • #5,194
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:17pm Aug 20, 2013 12:17pm
Quoting Afarensis
I am trying to understand EW.....Infinitus..what do you think about this? {image}

on that timeframe the pink impulse looks good

on higher TF like hourly your wave 3-4-5 seems to be only one wave, namely wave 3


On the descending waves you have a black 1, but you count it as ABC. Maybe it develops as leading diagonal, then the chances are high, that each subwave subdivides into an ABC move. But it is premature to count this.

Right now it is too early to count the down-move
  • #5,195
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:21pm Aug 20, 2013 12:21pm
Quoting infinitus
haha, typical another 1/10 short @ 3410 {quote}

covered this one @ 3415 for -5 or -0,05%
  • #5,196
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:30pm Aug 20, 2013 12:30pm
Quoting infinitus
http://elliottwavepredictions.com/wp...m-8-20-132.png count from Sid - good to see his count he was right at the bottom around 27x, expecting a surge. At the time given, I thought we would drop further
Thanks. I really needed to see that. Brought a smile to my face.
I remember making some pretty solid arguments for 1.350x early last week, but when it started tanking, I gave up on that.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #5,197
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:34pm Aug 20, 2013 12:34pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-0...market-dropped


what a mess......

"These are the 'markets' in which investors are supposed to trade?"
  • #5,198
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:35pm Aug 20, 2013 12:35pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Thanks. I really needed to see that. Brought a smile to my face. I remember making some pretty solid arguments for 1.350x early last week, but when it started tanking, I gave up on that.
did you see numbers i posted when you asked for potential reverse , they are close enough with his ?
  • #5,199
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:37pm Aug 20, 2013 12:37pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} on that timeframe the pink impulse looks good on higher TF like hourly your wave 3-4-5 seems to be only one wave, namely wave 3 On the descending waves you have a black 1, but you count it as ABC. Maybe it develops as leading diagonal, then the chances are high, that each subwave subdivides into an ABC move. But it is premature to count this. Right now it is too early to count the down-move
Thanks for your explanation......
  • #5,200
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:39pm Aug 20, 2013 12:39pm
Quoting Mad Russian
{quote} did you see numbers i posted when you asked for potential reverse , they are close enough with his ?
Yes I did see that. Excellent call

Here is my post from August 9th. Like I said, I really believed we would get there but lost hope when we broke below the then rising wedge support.
Quoting PipTrapper
So... when do we reverse? The following is a case for reversing around the 3500 mark which I posted in "The Club" yesterday. If the retail traders are still piling in with more shorts when (if) we reach 1.3500, then that level gets blown away also and it's back to the drawing board, but till then, this is it.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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