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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #42,081
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:54am Aug 15, 2013 5:54am
yeah, worst than watch paint dry.
i had been dozzing in and out few times.
lets see if the us unemly figs can inject some trading sense.
worst case will be one jerk and doze again.

if that happens then i will just finish for the week.
this doing something to my bio rythm.
hope not get time disorientation again.
  • #42,082
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:59am Aug 15, 2013 5:59am
Quoting phil13
Market maybe waiting for US unemployment data in 2 hours time to gauge possible tapering???? Maybe??. Watching the kingdoms playing with my scouts at the moment, tried a small skew earlier in e/u and a/u but out for now. Regards Phil.


regards
  • #42,083
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:00am Aug 15, 2013 6:00am
Quoting GEfx
{quote} Morning fti. I'm long the GBP/JPY and feel lucky to be up a little. Strange market today...waiting for something.
in fact i had good one running from yesterdays book carry.
feels i a bit greedy.
may be thats why they punishing me.

but that was punishing as well.
keep building the position, waited and waited.
then suddenly i saw, just felt, get out.
got out not even know why, just felt

e managed out ave 03 but that 07 was masterpiece lucky quick draw.


regards
  • #42,084
  • Aug 15, 2013 7:02am Aug 15, 2013 7:02am
Quoting fti
{quote} Hi 1. the spread in forex market is the difference between the bid and offer. 2. in otc options purchasing a strike and selling another is known as a straddle. if both is selling of opts is known as strangle. 1a. in general means liquidity. 1b. in forex is best reference to aggression(urgency) of dd/ss. 1c. in fx we call volatility aka true range.

Thank You FTI , I got it
  • #42,085
  • Aug 15, 2013 8:05am Aug 15, 2013 8:05am
Quoting fti
{quote} really he said that? what arrogance? wow, wait we stone him. get the whole world professional dealing community together. now need pee first. ai yo nearly missed. regards
Sorry, post deleted.
  • #42,086
  • Aug 15, 2013 3:33pm Aug 15, 2013 3:33pm
Quoting srt
{quote} Sorry, post deleted.
nothing serious , don't worry about it.

I think you very new to options.
it has lots back doors, hidden cost, traps,magic mirrors, .....
thats why its the sharpest sword in town.
no need take care mistress attitude towards it that users are introduced to is a dangerous way approach it.


In markets there is no free lunch.
if it looks free, then one need look everywhere including under the bed and the cupboards, something could be lurking.
sometime whats lurking just maybe shy.
mostly they will carrying sharp instruments.
not everyone wants to kill you, but they can.

regards


oh 4:30AM long sleep since after peed the e drop.
something spooked market afterwards.
i am going try find out what happened.
what crazy hours i keeping now, same as the markets.
  • #42,087
  • Aug 15, 2013 3:40pm Aug 15, 2013 3:40pm
Quoting fti
{quote} nothing serious , don't worry about it. I think you very new to options. it has lots back doors, hidden cost, traps,magic mirrors, ..... thats why its the sharpest sword in town. no need take care mistress attitude towards it that users are introduced to is a dangerous way approach it. In markets there is no free lunch. if it looks free, then one need look everywhere including under the bed and the cupboards, something could be lurking. sometime whats lurking just maybe shy. mostly they will carrying sharp instruments. not everyone wants...
hi fti u said yesterday market maker are short cable and they r going long cable by selling euros,my question is how do we know that mm are short cable in majors and not the otherway round.what r the little clues we look for?
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #42,088
  • Edited 6:34pm Aug 15, 2013 3:45pm | Edited 6:34pm
Quoting drzakir123
{quote} hi fti u said yesterday market maker are short cable and they r going long cable by selling euros,my question is how do we know that mm are short cable in majors and not the otherway round.what r the little clues we look for?

oh
let me explain deeper Dr, my friend
when the Iron Lady(BOE) decisions was announced.
the cable markets strong spike up so market makers in cable cannot be any other position than to be short.
otherwise if every one is buying after the news, who is counterparty of trades?

sidenote: then there is a crazy chap called fti telling peeps how to get into flow of markets. makes even more intense then there is ducks and robots making all sorts quicky scalping.

Lots traders use stop orders get themselves positioned into the impulse jerks, esp on announced figs many are robots.

To defray that, market maker need find exit strategies irrigate the pressures away, normally will be into other related and complimetary markets.

can understand now?

regards

new paradigm shift detected is that they seems leave vacuum with wide spreads during these periods with high gyrating volatility to make hitting them difficult.
those that are fast gun hits will be shaded in lightling speeds using server denial of prices and normally would be filled 50 100 pips away.
that why the market activities dies off afterwards. some form of irrigation work is in progress.

makes dancing markets a little harder, but only for the rigid heads.
those use observation capacities can detect what the mutation looks like.

There is a always ways counter strategies to counter measures.
but only if you a life trader and uses brains and have many strategies in your bag of tricks with robust mm.
The changing and adapting protocol of a thinking trader is not something that is easily defeated.
survival of the fittest adapting to changing environment.
robot still not have that capability. Thats the privilage of having a brain.
  • #42,089
  • Aug 15, 2013 4:15pm Aug 15, 2013 4:15pm
FTI

"To defray that, market maker need find exit strategies irrigate the pressures away, normally will be into other related and complimetary markets"...... Do you mean hedging ?? (not using currencies)


"that why the market activities dies off afterwards. some form of irrigation work is in progress"
could you define please "irrigation work".....

thank's in advance
  • #42,090
  • Edited 5:50pm Aug 15, 2013 4:22pm | Edited 5:50pm
Quoting Redsunfx
FTI "To defray that, market maker need find exit strategies irrigate the pressures away, normally will be into other related and complimetary markets"...... Do you mean hedging ?? (not using currencies) "that why the market activities dies off afterwards. some form of irrigation work is in progress" could you define please "irrigation work"..... thank's in advance

normally, should be something that have close relations, like the other ladies?
so far i seeing it going into the crosses.
but will continue to mutate.

lets see.

difficult, how does one define an observation?
after you set up the defination , its mutated to something else.

regards

let me try see if i can explain.
One of sun bing's power rested in his ability to observe and adjust.
when his army was seen marching toward chu, the chu had a larger army waiting to meet it head on. 10:1
but when the chu army came ot the place where sun bing was marching towards
, they couldn't find it. Showed up in very unexpected form.
so chu splited it army to deal with a pocketed sun bing detachments, then they met a sun bing army that had regrouped instead. odds 1:1
This the power of a thinking and adjusting mind.
Chu was only following standard military protocols. Proved to be their weakness.

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  • #42,091
  • Edited 5:05pm Aug 15, 2013 4:42pm | Edited 5:05pm
oh, the strong rally, seems goldman busy displaying their us housing research findings.

powderful stuff.

swang the market sentiments back to before the us unemployment figs released.
and with a vengence.

we back to trend again.
are they short the usd?
lets see.


regards

euro traders must be in absolute confusion.
more confusion to come, i think.

lets see if those low breakout traders that sold euro, will they turn into ducks?
checking the chart of the run , seems they didn't get much of a chance to bailout.
or is this encompassing rally a duck shoot?

later we shall know, now to put on my observation cap.
but first a nice cup of coffee.

times of doubt, be humble, check size.
even no leverage not means can be complacent.
  • #42,092
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:07pm Aug 15, 2013 5:07pm
FTI
Enjoy coffee time .thanks for the time you spend to respond ..always a peasure to read your posts....twisting my poor brain cells ......
  • #42,093
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:08pm Aug 15, 2013 5:08pm
now, that explains why there is a gapping gap in the ec, doesn't it.

changing strategies, question is what next?
must also have patience.
  • #42,094
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:15pm Aug 15, 2013 5:15pm
Quoting Redsunfx
FTI Enjoy coffee time .thanks for the time you spend to respond ..always a peasure to read your posts....twisting my poor brain cells ......
oh, sorry.
pls no feel pressure.
relax mediate, let it go. or a nice humble prayer will do nicely.

find the serene and the flow.

regards

if have positions square down to managable risk.
Tokyo will be here soon, i not think wellington wants play.
  • #42,095
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:27pm Aug 15, 2013 5:27pm
Quoting fti
{quote} oh, sorry. pls no feel pressure. relax mediate, let it go. or a nice humble prayer will do nicely. find the serene and the flow. regards if have positions square down to managable risk. Tokyo will be here soon, i not think wellington wants play.
No pressure at all!...just the challenge to be sure i understand....i love it......
  • #42,096
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:40pm Aug 15, 2013 5:40pm

this is so funny.
Thanks for showing me.
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  • #42,097
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:41pm Aug 15, 2013 5:41pm
Good stuff fti great thread you got here.....Closed my eur/yen and usd/yen longs from beginning of the week........
Never said I was Batman,all I'm saying is you'll never see us together.
  • #42,098
  • Aug 15, 2013 5:44pm Aug 15, 2013 5:44pm
Quoting headfake
Good stuff fti great thread you got here.....Closed my eur/yen and usd/yen longs from beginning of the week........
Thank you for your kind words.
welcome to the thread.

regards
  • #42,099
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:09pm Aug 15, 2013 6:09pm
Thanks for the welcome... Its going to be an interesting asia session... would personally like to see the usd just chop around abit for the next 6 -7 hrs
Never said I was Batman,all I'm saying is you'll never see us together.
  • #42,100
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:40pm Aug 15, 2013 6:40pm
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