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Low Risk, High Reward Trading Experiment

  • #541
  • Jun 22, 2006 9:38pm Jun 22, 2006 9:38pm
I had just gotten around to looking at this pair since so many others just do not seem quite ready to do what they most probably are going to do. This pair looks as though it is convincingly going up. From what I can see it is currently at about 85.19 with some minor resistance before 86.00, but mostly with resistance around 86.92. While it might not go all the way there, the potential seems to be there. This looked like a decent long trade at the present time.

Have you looked at this one at all? I do not remember your ever suggesting a trade of this pair, so maybe it is not one of the ones you look at.
  • #542
  • Jun 23, 2006 8:04am Jun 23, 2006 8:04am
Friday 6/23/2006 8:45 ET

TS#101H GBP/USD Short Trade - Exit at 1.8125 - 1.8240

Hopefully traders re-entered short position even though the corrective bounce only rose to 1.8311. We advise reversing position now and buying from expected bottom of 1.8125 - 1.8240

______________________________

Previous trade signals:

TS#101H GBP/USD Short Trade - Exit at 1.8270 - 1.8280 - Wait for bounce to re-enter <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --> Thursday 6/22/2006 11:15 ET

TS #101H - GBP/USD Short Trade - Exit at 1.8270 - 1.8280 and Wait for bounce to re-enter <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
The first target was narrowly missed. The strong descent came to 1.8262, 12 pips short of Target #1. Exit at 1.8270 to 1.8280 to take a min. profit of 180 pips. Wait for upwards corrective wave to complete at about 1.8350 in about 12 hours before re-entering short position.
_________________________________
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --> Wednesday 6/21/2006 23:15 ET

TS #101G - GBP/USD Short Trade - Re-Enter at 1.8460 - 1.8465 and Reset Stop to 1.8515

GBP/USD went down to 1.8407, then up again to 1.8472, one pip past our stop. Then it went down somewhat again and up to the current price of 1.8460 - 65. It may reverse here, or go up higher to 1.8490 - 1.8510 before reversing and continuing with the downtrend.
So either sell at current price of 1.8460 - 1.8465, with a stop at 1.8515, or wait in case it rises higher and sell at 1.8490 - 1.8510, also with a stop at 1.8515.
Stop is 1.8515
Target is 1.8250
Risk is max. 70 pips
Reward is min. 206 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is min. 3.0 to 1

For research only.
  • #543
  • Jun 23, 2006 8:09am Jun 23, 2006 8:09am
Friday 6/23/2006 8:45 ET

TS#105D Re-enter Sell USD/CAD at 1.1235 to 1.1240

Stop is 1.1261

Target #1 is 1.1035

Risk is max. 30 pips

Reward is min. 196 pips

Reward :risk ratio is 6.5 to 1
_____________________________

Previous trade signal:

 <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> Thursday 6/22/2006 10:15 ET
TS#105C Re-enter Sell USD/CAD at 1.1195 to 1.1200
Stop is 1.1211
Target #1 is 1.0920

For research purposes only.
  • #544
  • Edited 8:31am Jun 23, 2006 8:21am | Edited 8:31am
Friday 6/23/2006 9:00 ET

TS #110 was stopped out. There was one more impulse wave up to go. Now should be the top of the trend.

TS #110A Re-enter Sell USD/JPY at 116.20 to 116.55 on a bounce

Stop is 116.61

Target #1 is 114.90
Target #2 is 114.35
Target #3 is 112.80

Risk is max. 45 pips

Reward : Risk ratio is min. 2.8 / 4.0 / 7.4 to 1

_____________________________________________________


Previous trade signal:

TS #110 Sell USD/JPY at 115.80 to 115.95 <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Thursday 6/22/2006 10:30 ET

Stop loss is 116.16
Risk is max. 40 pips
Target #1 is 114.35
Target #2 is 112.80
Reward is min. 140 / 296 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is min. 3.5 / 7.4 to 1

For research purposes only.
  • #545
  • Jun 23, 2006 8:55am Jun 23, 2006 8:55am
Itme,
Since the EUR/CAD trade was stopped out, would you recommend re-entry at the current price of 1.4090? It seemed to have been going in the right direction prior to the spike. My feeling would be to re-enter, am I correct according to your methodology?
  • #546
  • Jun 23, 2006 8:57am Jun 23, 2006 8:57am
Guys who get stopped out, please bring stoploss point to breakeven (or use some trailing stop) once the pair gives you 200USD plus profits. Eur/Cad gave 400USD+ profit on my demo before going up yesterday.

These things he cant post everytime, like put a trailing stop now on Eur/Cad and etc.
  • #547
  • Jun 23, 2006 9:27am Jun 23, 2006 9:27am
Quoting Purple
Guys who get stopped out, please bring stoploss point to breakeven (or use some trailing stop) once the pair gives you 200USD plus profits. Eur/Cad gave 400USD+ profit on my demo before going up yesterday.

These things he cant post everytime, like put a trailing stop now on Eur/Cad and etc.
First, that was not the question. The question referred to the fact that we have not reached anywhere near the targets set. But, Purple, I would love to know who your demo is with since on every chart I have seen, that pair had a high of 1.4200 on the 18th and a low of 1.3965 on the 21st.

As to what I have done, I got about 80 pips on the 19th, and due to computer problems did not reenter until the last opportunity on the 22nd, and got stopped out without pips that time. I never put a trailing stop until I have made at least 50 pips on a trade. I have no idea how you got over 400 pips since there were not that many available. However, it would seem to me that there may be quite a few more to be had. I did short the pair and am up 15 pips so far. I think that the trade is still valid. That was the question.
  • #548
  • Jun 23, 2006 9:41am Jun 23, 2006 9:41am
Moonchild

Buddy......itme is doing a great job..... Without sounding rude....you might want to use a little more respectful tone when asking him questions.

He is doing this off his own bat is to be used for research purposes only. Only to enhance your trading , not to tell you what to do.

If I have misunderstood your tone Moonchild, I apologise in advance.

Bear
  • #549
  • Jun 23, 2006 10:14am Jun 23, 2006 10:14am
Quoting moonchild
First, that was not the question. The question referred to the fact that we have not reached anywhere near the targets set. But, Purple, I would love to know who your demo is with since on every chart I have seen, that pair had a high of 1.4200 on the 18th and a low of 1.3965 on the 21st.

As to what I have done, I got about 80 pips on the 19th, and due to computer problems did not reenter until the last opportunity on the 22nd, and got stopped out without pips that time. I never put a trailing stop until I have made at least 50 pips on a trade. I have no idea how you got over 400 pips since there were not that many available. However, it would seem to me that there may be quite a few more to be had. I did short the pair and am up 15 pips so far. I think that the trade is still valid. That was the question.
Just FYI, Purp said 400USD...not 400 pips. perhaps he was using 5 mini-lot entries...that would give him the same proft (80 pips as you said).
  • #550
  • Jun 23, 2006 12:14pm Jun 23, 2006 12:14pm
<TABLE class=tborder cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=thead colSpan=2>Today 09:55</TD></TR><TR title="Post 68587" vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 align=middle width=125>moonchild</TD><TD class=alt2>Itme,

Since the EUR/CAD trade was stopped out, would you recommend re-entry at the current price of 1.4090? It seemed to have been going in the right direction prior to the spike. My feeling would be to re-enter, am I correct according to your methodology?
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



Yes, re-entry at 1.4090 would have been good. Re-entry now at 1.4074 would also be quite good.

It turns out that the rise of EUR/CAD to the high of 1.4110 was perfectly and accurately predicted by one of our models. But we only discovered that in retrospect.
  • #551
  • Edited 12:54pm Jun 23, 2006 12:48pm | Edited 12:54pm
mrmikal is right, it was 400USD+ at one time for me because I trade a standard lot of 100,000 at a time and not 10,000USD. I had moved my stop to 200USD+ and it got stoped out their. And moonchild my post was not directed towards you personally but to everyone who are getting stopped out a lot of time on cross pairs.
  • #552
  • Jun 23, 2006 1:58pm Jun 23, 2006 1:58pm
Quoting Purple
mrmikal is right, it was 400USD+ at one time for me because I trade a standard lot of 100,000 at a time and not 10,000USD. I had moved my stop to 200USD+ and it got stoped out their. And moonchild my post was not directed towards you personally but to everyone who are getting stopped out a lot of time on cross pairs.
If you will notice I was not complaining about getting stopped out, since it does not happen to me all that often for 2 reasons: I am more generous with my stops than Itme (I was stopped out at 1.4115), and because I almost always babysit my trades (it is my own fault that I had to leave for 15 minutes at just the wrong time).

I make my own trading decisions, which sometimes coincide with Itme's and sometimes not. In this case, I had decided that it would be appropriate to reenter the trade and I thought that it would be totally appropriate for me to ask Itme if it coincided with Itme's thinking, which it did. I reentered at 1.4090 and later found out that that was in accordance with Itme's recommendations. If you have a problem with this, I am sorry, because it must be cultural. Where I am from this would be considered not only appropriate but respectful.
  • #553
  • Jun 23, 2006 2:02pm Jun 23, 2006 2:02pm
Quoting moonchild

If you have a problem with this, I am sorry, because it must be cultural. Where I am from this would be considered not only appropriate but respectful.
From reading your post I dont think you have any culture at all. Where you from?
  • #554
  • Jun 23, 2006 2:18pm Jun 23, 2006 2:18pm
Quoting Purple
From reading your post I dont think you have any culture at all. Where you from?
Hi Purple,

I think moonchild was not so rude as you are describing him
I dont think asking where he is from is appropriate question.

Maybe he is italian like me . Joke

But honestly, I didint find him rude in these last posts.

thanks
  • #555
  • Jun 23, 2006 2:21pm Jun 23, 2006 2:21pm
Quoting trucco
Hi Purple,

I think moonchild was not so rude as you are describing him
I dont think asking where he is from is appropriate question.

Maybe he is italian like me . Joke

But honestly, I didint find him rude in these last posts.

thanks
But I dont know why he is attacking me, I even stated in my post before that my reply was not directed at him. But he still thinks I have a problem with him or something.

Anyways leave it, lets not spoil this thread and continue it as a journal.
  • #556
  • Jun 23, 2006 2:31pm Jun 23, 2006 2:31pm
Quoting Purple
But I dont know why he is attacking me, I even stated in my post before that my reply was not directed at him. But he still thinks I have a problem with him or something.

Anyways leave it, lets not spoil this thread and continue it as a journal.
you are right.

We are all here for the same porpouse, so for me we are all friends helping eachother

Sometimes also friends have some discussions

lets keep breaking forex and take money from whom wants to take from us small fishes ...
  • #557
  • Jun 23, 2006 3:13pm Jun 23, 2006 3:13pm
Friday 6/23/2006 15:00 ET

TS#89G - Sell EUR/JPY at 145.83

Stop is 145.95

Risk is only 26 pips

Target #1 is 144.40

Reward is 139 pips

Reward: risk ratio is 5.3 to 1

_______________________

Previous trade signals:

TS#89F - Sell EUR/JPY - stay out of trade for now <hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
Thursday 6/22/2006 13:30 ET

We were stopped out on this trade when the EUR/JPY went all the way up to 146.26. We believe that it will rise one more time. Then there will be an excellent entry opportunity.

________________________________________________

Wednesday 6/21/2006 11:15 ET

We were stopped out on our last short trade by 5 pips. However, we have a good re-entry opportunity.
TS#89F - Re-Entry - Sell EUR/JPY at market price of 145.30 - 145.50
Stop is 1.4573
Target is 143.80
Risk is max. 47 pips
Reward is min. 146 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is 3.1 to 1
  • #558
  • Jun 23, 2006 5:52pm Jun 23, 2006 5:52pm
Just came across the thread....WOW....what a thread... thanks to the contributors!!!
  • #559
  • Edited Jun 27, 2006 8:31am Jun 26, 2006 11:35am | Edited Jun 27, 2006 8:31am
Monday 6/26/2006 12:00 ET

The following trade signal TS103E was stopped out by a rise to 1.4111 on Friday June 23rd at 9:40 ET. We recommended re-entry at about this level. It since fell to 1.3998 and then just rose again to the 30 day trendline at about 1.4110.

This presents a low risk, high reward entry opportunity.

TS #103F Re-Entry opportunity Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4110 - 1.4120

Stop is 1.4142
Target is 1.3755
Risk is max. 42 pips
Reward is min. 345 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is min. 8.2 to 1

Note: according to the new mathematical discoveries of trade multiplication, the return on capital of a trade is the initial capital times the reward : risk ratio times the risk factor. Therefore if one uses a 10% risk factor, then the return on capital if this trade is successful is 8.2 times .10 = .82 times the initial capital, which is an 82% return on capital.

This trade signal is for research purposes only. Do not trade it unless you confirm it according to other reliable systems.

_____________________________


Previous Trade Signals:

Thursday 6/22/2006 20:15 ET
TS #103E Re-Entry opportunity Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4080 - 1.4087 if necessary
Since the last trade signal EUR/CAD has risen to 1.4087 and more recently 1.4083. If not already entered, then enter as close to 1.4087 as possible and place stop at 1.4093.
Targets are as below.
This is a high probability, low risk, high reward trade.
_____________________________________
TS #103D Re-Enter Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4075 - 1.4085 if necessary
Thursday 6/22/2006 11:15 ET
If directions were followed exactly then there would be an entry and then a stop out by 4 pips when the price rose to 1.4087. If so, then re-enter at 1.4075 - 1.4085 and adjust stop to 1.4093
Stop is 1.4093
Target #1 is 1.3935
Target #2 is 1.3880
Target #3 is 1.3800
Target #4 is 1.3675
__________________________________________________ _____
Wednesday 6/21/2006 15:30 ET
In case anyone failed to short EUR/CAD at 1.4090 or 1.4065 (min.) then another entry opportunity is impending at about 1.4050 to 1.4070.
TS #103C Re-Enter Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4050 - 1.4070 ( if necessary )
Stop is 1.4083
Target #1 is 1.3700
Risk is max. 43 pips
Reward is min. 340 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is 7.9 to 1

Commentary: this trade was stopped out by a spike on Monday June 26 at 14:00 ET up to 1.4161. The 30 day trendline was broken. The price rose to Quantum target 14: 0, a high probability reversal point (the highest one in fact).
  • #560
  • Jun 26, 2006 12:50pm Jun 26, 2006 12:50pm
<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Monday 6/26/2006 13:45 ET


TS #103F Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4110 - 1.4120 adjust stop to 1.4154

About 1.4140 is a high probability reversal point, so stop should be raised slightly to 1.4154.

Previous trade signal:
__________________________________________________


<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1>

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Monday 6/26/2006 12:00 ET

The following trade signal TS103E was stopped out by a rise to 1.4111 on Friday June 23rd at 9:40 ET. We recommended re-entry at about this level. It since fell to 1.3998 and then just rose again to the 30 day trendline at about 1.4110.
This presents a low risk, high reward entry opportunity.

TS #103F Re-Entry opportunity Sell EUR/CAD at 1.4110 - 1.4120
Stop is 1.4142
Target is 1.3755
Risk is max. 42 pips
Reward is min. 345 pips
Reward : Risk ratio is min. 8.2 to 1
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