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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #2,701
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:06am Jul 30, 2013 8:06am
Quoting BoringIsGood
G'morning Infinitus & everyone, Question for everyone but in particular those that know German politics. Would Mario get the OK from the Bundesbank and Merkel to cut rates to a negative return on deposit before the September elections?
My opinion is that if it were left up to Merkel and/or the Bundesbank, there would be a rate increase.

What it boils down to is not whether Draghi gets the 'nod' from Germany, but rather how many other council members agree to cut the deposit rate. After all, the ECB governing council is independent.. right? Right???
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #2,702
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:12am Jul 30, 2013 8:12am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} After all, the ECB governing council is independent.. right? Right???

Attached Image
Short Euro and remaining that way. That's just the way it is !
  • #2,703
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:30am Jul 30, 2013 8:30am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} My opinion is that if it were left up to Merkel and/or the Bundesbank, there would be a rate increase. What it boils down to is not whether Draghi gets the 'nod' from Germany, but rather how many other council members agree to cut the deposit rate. After all, the ECB governing council is independent.. right? Right???
Well, Germany has the capital reserves if Mario did decide to go negative. They would have the choice to further lower the PIGS cost of capital or not. Is DragAss that stupid not to get the OK from she who controls the purse strings?

Strike that question from the record sir, I already know the answer.
  • #2,704
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:53am Jul 30, 2013 8:53am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} It might not make it to 'virgin' status as it might just get penetrated tomorrow (month end flows combined with GDP, ADP & FOMC) ... and if that doesn't do it, then hopefully either Draghi Thursday or NFP Friday will de-virginize it.

  • #2,705
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:55am Jul 30, 2013 8:55am
Quoting Forexcube
EURUSD, H1, 2013 July 30 Short @ 1.3277 {image}

  1. Post# 2,689

EURUSD, H1, 2013 July 30
Exit @ 1.3269, +8

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, M5, 2013 July 30.jpg Size: 96 KB
  • #2,706
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:56am Jul 30, 2013 8:56am
Quoting morob
{quote} E/U For me short below 1.33 SL 1.3306 TP 1. 1.321x TP 2. 1.317x TP 3. 1.314x
Kabooommm !!!!!!

And now nice will be go below 1.325x area
  • #2,707
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:56am Jul 30, 2013 8:56am
Quoting Forexcube
EU Short @ 1.3290

  1. Post# 2,691

Exit @ 1.3269, +21

  • #2,708
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:56am Jul 30, 2013 8:56am
Quoting godim
{quote} I do this graph just for fun. Some time ago I thought of her two-dimensional probabilities. At the price and at the time. Something like this: {image} What do the numbers mean? For example, after 8 days, the probability of the price to be between 3184 and 3306 is 38.17%. But since I can not trade probabilities stopped doing this graph.

very interesting, Godim, very interesting


you do not need to trade the probability. You trade pattern, levels, or whatever, but considering the probability, too.


I do this the whole day (when my damn job left me some time LOL)
  • #2,709
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:57am Jul 30, 2013 8:57am
Starts to look short time bearish, doesn't it? Mean EU...
  • #2,710
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:57am Jul 30, 2013 8:57am
Quoting Forexcube
Scalping Trades EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3272 EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3262

  1. Post# 2,690

The first target has triggered.
Exit @ 1.3272, +5

  • #2,711
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:00am Jul 30, 2013 9:00am
Quoting infinitus
Starts to look short time bearish, doesn't it? Mean EU...
I still think there's another push higher before the flush. But who really knows for sure?
  • #2,712
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:12am Jul 30, 2013 9:12am
Quoting morob
{quote} Kabooommm !!!!!! And now nice will be go below 1.325x area

E/U

1H TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdh1.png Size: 44 KB
  • #2,713
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:13am Jul 30, 2013 9:13am
EURUSD, M1, 2013 July30
...& have executed some Scalping Trades between two pivotals (mR1 > DPV).
Profit: +13
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, M1, 2013 July 30.jpg Size: 101 KB
  • #2,714
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:17am Jul 30, 2013 9:17am
Quoting Forexcube
Scalping Trades EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3272 EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3262

  1. Post# 2,690

The second target has also triggered.
Exit @ 1.3262, +15

  • #2,715
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:23am Jul 30, 2013 9:23am
Quoting BoringIsGood
G'morning Infinitus & everyone, Question for everyone but in particular those that know German politics. Would Mario get the OK from the Bundesbank and Merkel to cut rates to a negative return on deposit before the September elections?
Europe hasn't other option.
What she (Europe) could do is rock climbing
So I say:
Yes!
FXcube
  • #2,716
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:24am Jul 30, 2013 9:24am
Quoting BoringIsGood
{quote} I still think there's another push higher before the flush. But who really knows for sure?
There she goes. Bit of a surprising move day before FOMC.

And this is why I swing trade, LOL.
  • #2,717
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:28am Jul 30, 2013 9:28am
EURUSD, M1, 2013 July 30
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, M1, 2013 July 30.jpg Size: 84 KB
  • #2,718
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:31am Jul 30, 2013 9:31am
EURUSD, H1, 2013 July 30

I don't expect further more frome the EURUSD market today.
Maybe that the daily candle could go further southside,...maybe not!
I'm out just now
Maybe I'll take a look in several hours or tomorrow morning.
FXcube
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, H1, 2013 July 30.jpg Size: 94 KB
  • #2,719
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:33am Jul 30, 2013 9:33am
The next few days by PipTrapper >>> http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16#post6855516
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #2,720
  • Jul 30, 2013 9:39am Jul 30, 2013 9:39am
EU Long @ 1.3240, Target@ 1.3290, SL @ 1.3220
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