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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #2,681
  • Jul 30, 2013 4:26am Jul 30, 2013 4:26am
Quoting godim
{quote} For me there is penetration. Previous H4 bottom is 5314. Now make 5309. The difference is two bars at 2.54 pips / bar = 5.08 pips. {image}
Now a breakthrough? We'll find out if there is no back above 5319.
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #2,682
  • Jul 30, 2013 4:34am Jul 30, 2013 4:34am
Quoting godim
{quote} Now a breakthrough? We'll find out if there is no back above 5319.

Both CCI and RSI are in extremely oversold territory....1 hr
Lost....
  • #2,683
  • Jul 30, 2013 5:56am Jul 30, 2013 5:56am
playing field

note: this running month's POC is at 3055. That will be a virgin POC in two days.......

I have put it in the chart already
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  • #2,684
  • Jul 30, 2013 5:58am Jul 30, 2013 5:58am
Market profiles with p=32
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  • #2,685
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:22am Jul 30, 2013 6:22am
USDINR, Daily, 2013 July 30
Short @ 60.66
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  • #2,686
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:26am Jul 30, 2013 6:26am
G'morning Infinitus & everyone,

Question for everyone but in particular those that know German politics. Would Mario get the OK from the Bundesbank and Merkel to cut rates to a negative return on deposit before the September elections?
  • #2,687
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:29am Jul 30, 2013 6:29am
CADCHF, H1, 2013 July 30
Long @ 0.9048, Target @ 0.9056 (DPV)
Long @ 0.9048, Target @ 0.9072 (mR1)
Long @ 0.9048, Target @ 0.9088 (DR1)

CADCHF, Daily, 2013 July 30
Long @ 0.9048, Target @ 0.9099 (mR2)

I try to trade some overlapping daily candles.
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  • #2,688
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:38am Jul 30, 2013 6:38am
Analysis with HiLo Activator. It seems the bulls are closer to the target - a breakthrough above 3296.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 230 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #2,689
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:38am Jul 30, 2013 6:38am
EURUSD, H1, 2013 July 30
Short @ 1.3277
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  • #2,690
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:39am Jul 30, 2013 6:39am
Scalping Trades
EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3272
EURUSD Short @1.3277, Target @ 1.3262
  • #2,691
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:40am Jul 30, 2013 6:40am
EU Short @ 1.3290
  • #2,692
  • Jul 30, 2013 6:50am Jul 30, 2013 6:50am
Quoting godim
Analysis with HiLo Activator. Possible to DownSwing. This will turn 3296 into peak, from which I can build a new bear fan. {image}
All this goes into the trash.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 240 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #2,693
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:00am Jul 30, 2013 7:00am
I try to take aim from the most amazing place. Square of Gann. The level of the line is 3306 + 15.25 / 2 = 3314. It will be really fun.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 124 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #2,694
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:12am Jul 30, 2013 7:12am
Quoting godim
I try to take aim from the most amazing place. Square of Gann. The level of the line is 3306 + 15.25 / 2 = 3314. It will be really fun. {image}

we talked about it a few days ago (circle of conflicts etc)
  • #2,695
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:20am Jul 30, 2013 7:20am
Quoting BoringIsGood
G'morning Infinitus & everyone, Question for everyone but in particular those that know German politics. Would Mario get the OK from the Bundesbank and Merkel to cut rates to a negative return on deposit before the September elections?

Hi BIG,

you know, I am mainly Elliottican, so I do not care so much about such things.

But from my gut-feeling I tend to say, that the German Bundesbank is way too hawkish to allow such measurements. And Merkel may lose voters on the right wing.

So I think that is a no-go
  • #2,696
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:37am Jul 30, 2013 7:37am
EURUSD

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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My blog: magchart.blogspot
  • #2,697
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:48am Jul 30, 2013 7:48am
Quoting magadam
EURUSD {image}
  • #2,698
  • Jul 30, 2013 7:52am Jul 30, 2013 7:52am
eur.gbp lending support to euro. My sub wave 5 targets are 1.3350 or possibly up to 1.3443. It would be very interesting to see how badly it would trip up traders if price gets up to 1.3443. I'd say that's a good candidate for maximum pain level.
  • #2,699
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:02am Jul 30, 2013 8:02am
Quoting infinitus
playing field note: this running month's POC is at 3055. That will be a virgin POC in two days....... I have put it in the chart already {image}
It might not make it to 'virgin' status as it might just get penetrated tomorrow (month end flows combined with GDP, ADP & FOMC)
... and if that doesn't do it, then hopefully either Draghi Thursday or NFP Friday will de-virginize it.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #2,700
  • Jul 30, 2013 8:06am Jul 30, 2013 8:06am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} we talked about it a few days ago (circle of conflicts etc)
I do this graph just for fun. Some time ago I thought of her two-dimensional probabilities. At the price and at the time.
Something like this:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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What do the numbers mean? For example, after 8 days, the probability of the price to be between 3184 and 3306 is 38.17%.
But since I can not trade probabilities stopped doing this graph.
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
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