Random Entry Win Ratio!

Random entry win ratio is more than 50% but why 95% people loss money in forex?

spreads dude...spreads! They turn this game into a negative sum game.Unless you find a way to catch the fat tails!

pemully

If i am using Martingale with good money management this 50% win ratio can give good profit , then how can they make my trading negative ?

If you have 50% win,you will have 16 losers in a row at some point.This does not mean that your next trades will be winners in fact you can have another 10 losers in a row pretty easily.There is no known profitable martingale system in the long run,the markets have fat tails and you might experience 1000 pip movement with no meaningful retracement.

there is a thread called Coin toss trading or something like that .

Some results can be achieved with a rr 1/3.2

with a rr 1:1 , you are out

Everything's great
Everything's fine
My trading is superb
as good as fine wine

it cannot go wrong
it works every time
im going to trade more
the fortune is mine!

lets step up the leverage
lets place some more lots
this 'never fail' system
just gives me the hots!

The fools in the forum
They scoff as I trade
they don't have the secret
of my EA grenade!

but things went all wrong
because I couldn't see
that just around the corner
was a swan watching me.

It wasnt the usual
all pretty and white
This one was black
and covered in shite

My account is now zero
there's nothing there left
That dirty black swan
has committed theft

If you think you know all
and you just cannot fail
just watch for that black swan
a waddling it's tail.

Random entry will not achieve 50% + win rate over time.
As already mentioned - the spread.
Even with just a 1 pip spread, the market needs to move 11 pips to hit TP, but only 9 pips to hit SL
Doesn't sound much, does it? But it means that the market has to move over 20% more in your direction to hit SL as it does to hit SL
With a 2 pip spread, it would have to move 50% more.
If markets are truly random, this is mathematically impossible to earn profit

Your sample of 9 trades is simply not enough to draw any conclusions.
Note that 5 of your trades were long during the period that the market was rising, the 3 losers were all shorts
If these were truly random entries, then they could just have easily been the opposite of those that you show.

Random. The results could easily be the other way around. Sample size. Any questions?

I did test this with coin toss , i cant make money from forex even my win ratio is 50%

1, Martingale - double money when loss
2, Anti martingale - double money when profit

both of this MM is not working with "random entry"

Another method i used its giving small profit ,

Side ways Martingale - Only one time double when you loss

Well, as others pointed out (with creativity, nice touch), spreads are the killer and that's not taking into account sleazy brokers..
And random entry, that's like playing the russian roulette and sorry, but the stat is way off..

Learn the basics!

Hi Laundry,

you can make money with a much lower win / loss ratio than that.

however it's soul destroying to do.

when i was short term trading it could take me five or six attempts to get into a trade before it actually happened - the win / loss was awful but the winners were big.

Trouble with that method is that it just totally screws your mind