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[justify]Euro: ECB’s Draghi Says Economic Situation Remains Challenging
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The Euro is giving back the overnight advance to 1.3042 even as the economic docket showed manufacturing in Europe contracting at a slower pace during the month of May, and the single currency may continue to track lower ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting as the Governing Council remains poised to carry its easing cycle into the second-half of the year.
Prior to the interest rate decision, ECB President Mario Draghi reiterated that the economic situation in the euro-area remains challenging as the region remain mired in recession, and warned that monetary policy cannot substitute for structural reforms as the EU scales back its push for austerity.
Although the ECB is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at 0.50%, the central bank may show a greater willingness to implement additional rate cuts in order to shore up the ailing economy, while the Governing Council may come under increased pressure to introduce more non-standard measures as the governments operating under the single currency become increasingly reliant on monetary support.
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Euro and Pound Rise Despite Decline in European Equities

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[justify]It’s a slightly paradoxical European Forex trading session so far this Monday, as the Euro and Pound are both trading higher against the US Dollar, but European equities and bonds are showing risk-off aversion. GBP/USD is trading 0.44% higher and the Euro is trading 0.18% higher, but the FTSE, CAC, and DAX equity indexes are all trading at least 0.70% lower.[/justify]
[justify]The incongruence seen in the markets may be due to expectations for the upcoming Bank of England and European Central Bank decisions this week. The better than expected manufacturing PMI’s released in today’s session may provide reason for the ECB to not further cut its interest rate or for the BoE to not add to its quantitative easing.[/justify]
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Results of 10 round of "Master Scalper"

Position

Account Number

Contestant Login

Balance

1

2709233

Mary

8 075.20

2

2710738

Fabi32rm

7 884.24

3

2710721

pabl

4 985.33

4

2708721

raju

2 195.15

5

2707630

malaikat

1 820.75

6

2706960

Andoff

1 795.00

7

2707444

owis

1 714.00

8

2707640

westline

1 707.91

9

2710323

hello

1 413.41

10

2707652

QTrader

1 394.74

May, 31 2013. 23:00 terminal time - Demo
[justify] http://www.accentforex.com/en/contests/demo-contest-master-scalper.html]details[/url][/justify]

[justify]EUROPEAN SESSION UPDATE: USD/JPY rebounds back above 100 as Nikkei closes up 2%; Aussie sustains losses despite RBA rate hold…[/justify]
[justify]Attention during today’s European session in the Forex markets may have remained focused in Asia and Australasia, as the Yen and Aussie continued to make significant moves while the Pound and Euro stayed relatively quiet.[/justify]
[justify]The Japanese equities index closed 2.05% higher today, which was accompanied by an unwinding of nearly all of the Yen gains seen in yesterday’s session. Japanese Prime Minister Abe said that he sees recovery signs in production, consumption, and GDP, but he said that there are unstable movements in the financial markets. He added that a strong Yen made companies less willing to invest.[/justify]

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[justify]Central Banks are Feeding the Next Crisis: A Bond Bubble

It is often said that every crisis is created in the aftermath of the prior one. The Federal Reserve and other central banks response to the 2007-2009 financial crisis has been to drive interest rates to extremely low levels by engaging in unprecedented balance sheet expansion . The intention of these policies has been to force investors out of cash and back into paper assets. In this narrow regard they have succeeded, spawning a bubble in bonds as investors have been forced to take on more credit risk in search of unobtainable yields in an artificially ultra-low rate environment. But how long can such a dynamic last? History shows that at some point in the not too distant future focus will quickly shift away from return on capital and back to the return of capital. In this article we will analyze further the yield bubble and its impact on the global macro environment.
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[justify]3/06
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details

Euro and Pound Climb Higher Ahead of Central Bank Decisions

[justify]German factory orders declined by 2.3% in April, the biggest decline in five months and disappointing expectations for only a 1% decline. Factory orders declined 0.4% from April 2012, according to the Federal Statistical Office.
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[justify]The Euro did not react significantly to the disappointing data, and EUR/USD has risen 0.18% over the course of today’s trading session. The pair may see further volatility today following the ECB’s rate decision and the ensuing press conference with President Draghi.
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[justify]Also in the Euro-zone today, Spain sold bonds for 4.02 billion Euros versus a 4 billion Euro maximum target. Ten year bonds were sold for a 4.517% yield versus 4.452% on May 14. Additionally, Greece unemployment was reported at 26.8%.
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[justify]Pound Looks Higher as BoE Retains Current Policy- ECB in Focus
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[justify]British Pound: BoE Preserves Current Policy, 38.2% Fib in Sight[/justify]
[justify]The British Pound climbed to a fresh monthly high of 1.5463 as the Bank of England (BoE) kept the benchmark interest rate at 0.50% while maintaining its asset purchase program at GBP 375B, and the sterling may continue to pare the decline from earlier this year as the central bank carries its wait-and-see approach into the second-half of 2013.[/justify]
[justify]Although the BoE refrained from releasing a policy statement, the BoE Minutes due out on June 19 should show another 6-3 split within the Monetary Policy Committee, but we may see a growing discussion to conclude the easing cycle as the U.K. averts a triple-dip recession.[/justify]

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Euro’s Recent Gains in Question amid Soft Economic Docket

The Euro finished squarely in the middle of the currencies covered by DailyFX Research this week, dropping -1.26% against the reinvigorated Japanese Yen (having recovered from losses from as great as -3.41%), while gaining +1.66% against the US Dollar (having given back gains from as great as +2.36%). Mainly, the Euro’s gains were following through from the prior week, when the EURUSD broke out of a bullish technical congestion pattern.


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US Dollar Looks for Cues in Fed-Speak, Aussie Hits 20-Month Low
The US Dollar outperformed to start the trading week, rising against all of its major counterparts, as Asian markets responded to last week’s slightly better-than-expected US employment report. When the report initially crossed the wires on Friday, traders that feared an upside surprise might hasten the Fed’s hand cheered on the result, with a swell in risk appetite pulling Treasury yields higher and offering support to the greenback. Overnight performance appears to reflect follow-through on the same dynamic, with Japanese shares leading regional bourses higher. This in turn put pressure on the anti-risk Yen.
It was the Australian Dollar that bore the brunt of USD gains however in the wake of ominous Chinese economic data released over the weekend. Beijing reported that exports grew just 1 percent year-on-year in May, marking the smallest increase in 10 months. Separately, Industrial production growth unexpectedly slowed and new Yuan loans tumbled to a three-month low. Investors projected signs of slowdown in the Chinese economy onto Australia – which counts on the East Asian giant as its largest trading partner – and took them to argue for a greater chance of an RBA interest rate cut at the July policy meeting. The probability of a 25bps reduction is now priced-in at 53 percent according to data from Credit Suisse.

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CASH BONUS 35%


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Bonus funds can be transferred from the credit into balance since trader provided transactions in total volume specified in the next table

The amount
(USD, EUR) from

Bonus amount
USD, EUR

Number* of lots

300

105

16

500

175

40

800

280

50

1000

350

80

3000

1050

175

[justify]http://www.accentforex.com/en/contests/cash_bonus-35.html]details[/url][/justify]

Euro Rises as Merkel Says Government Will Argue Before Court in Favor of OMT

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[justify]Despite opposition by ECB member and Bundesbank head Weidmann, the German government supported the ECB’s decision to start the program. German Chancellor Merkel said today that the government will argue in front of the court in favor of the OMT program. The court will also review the ESM permanent bailout fund for the Euro-zone.[/justify]
[justify]Federal Constitutional Court President Vosskuhle said today that the success of the OMT program doesn’t prejudice legal issues, as ends don’t justify the means. However, there is little expectation that the court will block the OMT program, but there are worries that it may limit the amount of bond purchases.[/justify]
[justify]However, there seems to be little worry about the repercussions of the court review, as the Euro is trading 0.25% against the US Dollar in today’s Forex market at the time of this writing. EUR/USD may next see resistance at a 3-month high set recently at 1.3306, and the broken resistance line around 1.3200 may now provide support.
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[justify]Yen Rally, Aussie Selloff to Continue as Risk Appetite Unravels
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[justify]The Japanese Yen soared while the Australian and New Zealand Dollars underperformed as risk aversion gripped financial markets in overnight trade. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index fell 0.7 percent as the Bank of Japan opted to maintain its monetary policy stance unchanged, with the policy statement carrying no mention of recent market volatility much less any measures to address it. Traders seemed to be hoping for an increase in the size of ETF and J-REIT purchases and/or a change in funding terms to help stabilize asset prices.
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[justify]European markets seem to be pressing ahead with risk-averse cues noted in Asia. USDJPY and AUDUSD accelerated lower anew, sinking alongside S&P 500 futures after a brief respite in late overnight trade as European bond trading came online at 6:00 GMT. The region’s stock exchanges have now joined in the selloff as well, trading down nearly 1 percent on average. A lackluster set of economic releases on tap in the US follows a quiet outing on the data front in Europe, suggesting there is relatively little out there to derail established momentum.
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