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Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

  • #601
  • May 27, 2013 4:38am May 27, 2013 4:38am
Quoting Razorjack
Ok gentlemen and ladies, I feel like my time here is done. I hope all the readers of this thread were able to pick up some ideas and it cuts time off the learning curve. My karma is relieved and I have tried to give back for what I have learned. I'll be hanging around to browse the news, but no longer in the forums. Thank you DeadlyHands for trying to vouch for me. I didn't make the "10+v", but that's ok I guess. Best of luck to all of you in achieving your goals. For those of you who put in the work and manage to succeed with long term profitability,...
Sayonara Razor-san. Arrigato gozaimasu.
  • #602
  • Jun 1, 2013 5:39am Jun 1, 2013 5:39am
It's a shame that this came to an end. Of all the threads in Forex Factory, this is possibly the only one capable of directing traders toward long term, sustainable profitability through various market conditions and cycles. If you are still lurking Razorjack, thanks for sharing.
si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis habes
  • #603
  • Jun 1, 2013 5:58am Jun 1, 2013 5:58am
I think what Razorjack is trying to say is that trading is not all that difficult, and it can be learned. There are sufficient knowledge imparted by Razorjack in this thread. Just go through it (many times if needed). And do not make things complicated. Macro does not change that often, and when it does and you then find that shift and go along with it.

Good luck all. Never give up.
  • #604
  • Jun 1, 2013 8:15am Jun 1, 2013 8:15am
Quoting numbnuts
It's a shame that this came to an end. Of all the threads in Forex Factory, this is possibly the only one capable of directing traders toward long term, sustainable profitability through various market conditions and cycles. If you are still lurking Razorjack, thanks for sharing.

I agree, well said.

Mike
Be like water.
  • #605
  • Jun 1, 2013 1:22pm Jun 1, 2013 1:22pm
Quoting msmarple
{quote} I agree, well said. Mike
For your info, Razorjack and few other contributes from this thread started their own forum, but not on FF. I was invited as well, but due to some circumstances i could not join them. I am sure they are doing very well.
-happyTrading, maaj-
  • #606
  • Jun 1, 2013 5:17pm Jun 1, 2013 5:17pm
Quoting maaj
{quote} For your info, Razorjack and few other contributes from this thread started their own forum, but not on FF. I was invited as well, but due to some circumstances i could not join them. I am sure they are doing very well.
Yes that is true, but I can assure you whatever that was in the other forum, there is nothing lacking here as well. So you guys did not lose out on anything. This thread is enough, just read it until you get it.
  • #607
  • Jun 2, 2013 6:36pm Jun 2, 2013 6:36pm
Quoting maaj
{quote} For your info, Razorjack and few other contributes from this thread started their own forum, but not on FF. I was invited as well, but due to some circumstances i could not join them. I am sure they are doing very well.


which forum?
  • #608
  • Jun 2, 2013 6:43pm Jun 2, 2013 6:43pm
Quoting StonerRock
{quote} which forum?
It was a private forum not on Forex Factory or any other commercial sites.
  • #609
  • Aug 30, 2014 5:17am Aug 30, 2014 5:17am
This wonderful theme should be known !!!
Trading in the zone
  • #610
  • Aug 30, 2014 5:22am Aug 30, 2014 5:22am
Nice thread. taking this idea to binary trading
There's always an easy way to do it...
  • #611
  • Aug 31, 2014 12:41pm Aug 31, 2014 12:41pm
we use horisontal trendlines to mark previous support and resistance levels, and diagonals for the brake,
ADX to see when a move is fading out, (not the +di and -di lines)
overbought and oversold indicator, Fib and retracement levels,

but the thing is, we can never know if a level will hold or brake, if it holds it will be a top or bottom
if not, then next level, is this profitable? I think definitely if you add this to your current strategy and use a good risk to reward ratio,
maybe not if used naked.
Bulls are stupid Animals!especially when Im short!
  • #612
  • Aug 31, 2014 3:16pm Aug 31, 2014 3:16pm
website published economic statistics. it is very complete and detailed.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/exports
Trading in the zone
  • #613
  • Nov 6, 2014 5:48am Nov 6, 2014 5:48am
hello Razorjack, you are experienced and your rating is higher. Sorry my english is not good !!!

AUDUSD current scenario is going down, AUDJPY go up.

=> AUDUSD:
1/ - The crisis in the housing and economic saturated in china.
2/ Housing crisis and saturation in the Chinese economy in commodity demand caused Australia fell. Carry Trader paying back the loans of US and JP

=> AUDJPY:
* When the Japanese government decided to devalue the yen starting January 4-2014, other countries do not have any decisions to prevent or oppose.
* So can deduce:
- Pressure economic growth should devalue the Japanese yen. (Owe more than 227% of GDP)
- JP is a major trading partner of the AU, the AU interest rate is 2.5% and it is higher than JP. JP devaluations aimed at export growth and tax increases aimed at reducing domestic demand. AU will benefit from JP.
- Dumping the JPY has been approved by many countries, but may be in a specific time.
- Maybe at a G8 or G20 meeting, after meeting the JPY will rise.
- News of the government reduces the money supply Japanese yen led to price increases.


=>>> Carry Trader : AUDJPY.
Trading in the zone
  • #614
  • Edited 9:56pm Jan 9, 2015 9:43pm | Edited 9:56pm
In contrast tends 9th january. USDJPY tend to go down, go down to the end of 14 days (minimum) or more.
after the publication of US employment index is nice, pair up about 40pip USDJPJ and go down.
* Tip: You want the main export partners of America and JP. export partner is why USDJPY go down....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trading in the zone
  • #615
  • Jan 9, 2015 11:59pm Jan 9, 2015 11:59pm
Wow Razorjack

Great thread (thanks Numbnuts, though you might not know it). Don't you hate it coming into a thread when it's all over.

You have sold me and I am going to pick this up slowly. I have Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master by Victor Sperandeo being shipped as we speak and I am eagerly waiting for a good dose of money management logic before I launch myself into fundamental interpretation :-)

I note with despair that you did not reach ruby stardom on this forum so I am going to try and posthumously give you a V.C. Subscribed :-)
  • #616
  • Jan 10, 2015 12:24pm Jan 10, 2015 12:24pm
maybe compare same-currenecies charts of same-timeframe for progressive months (for different carboncopies - easier to compare) (I use 1hours and 8hours.).
  • #617
  • Edited 6:45am Jan 17, 2015 6:29am | Edited 6:45am
fundamental analysis bullet

Warning: this is a short-term trading method (a few days to 2 weeks), you go through this thread to have the most complete knowledge.
respect !!!
Attached File(s)
File Type: docx fundamental analysis bullet.docx   226 KB | 987 downloads
Trading in the zone
  • #618
  • Jan 17, 2015 8:49am Jan 17, 2015 8:49am
Quoting boyloverzone
Fundamation is very important but technical is important too. I use both for trading forex. For Technical I will compare any time frame charts (start 4H. TF) and use differrent indicator - 4 TF I use ADX - Daily I use MACD - Weekly I use MA That's it.
You can use only one...they give the same result in the end with the proper settings anyway....try it
  • #619
  • Nov 13, 2017 9:37am Nov 13, 2017 9:37am
Great discus
  • #620
  • Last Post: Sep 27, 2022 6:22am Sep 27, 2022 6:22am
Hi,

I just stumbled upon this thread yesterday. It has been more than 12 years old since the creation of this thread, can you guys realize this? Anyway, just wondering if everyone is still around? If anything has changed in your analysis since, especially Razorjack. I have been trading for 3 years now and came to the same conclusion as you did: Anything below Daily is mostly noise. I love my yearly, monthly, weekly and daily charts and Im just beginning to try and incorporate some fundamentals in my analysis.

Hope to hear from some of you
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