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  • #301
  • May 26, 2013 8:21pm May 26, 2013 8:21pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} goodness... kicking myself in the ass on this one.... looking for a move back to 102.15 area on spot to get short I did get filled on a dec 13 94/104 ratio call spread on FXY though @ 95 on the underlying... gunning for 100 on that one... its nicely in profit right now and the nikkei collapsing def helps eyes on JGB yields... that market has been a monster lately... BOJ is struggling to keep control despite their posturing
thats a good ratio, on fomc days its better to put on trades 30 minutes after, avoid those spikes
  • #302
  • May 26, 2013 8:26pm May 26, 2013 8:26pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote}I got eyes on EWJ around 10.05/ 10.15... beast of an area
lots of high unusual activity of options traded in ewj on friday, almost 4x its daily average
  • #303
  • May 26, 2013 10:13pm May 26, 2013 10:13pm
TM best individual stock play on the Nikkei, TM I bet is a good sized chunk of Nikkei daily volume, TM options are spendy, though, but better chances for a large $ move compared to EWJ.
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #304
  • May 26, 2013 10:29pm May 26, 2013 10:29pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} lots of high unusual activity of options traded in ewj on friday, almost 4x its daily average
yes i see that big open interest in the Jun $12 calls. I see Nikkei threw down another -3.1% today, UJ at 101.0, let's see what Tuesday brings. I will be up early.

gold action also pretty weak, no moves to gold on big Nikkei dumps, no safe haven in gold? no upside?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #305
  • May 27, 2013 1:21am May 27, 2013 1:21am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} gold action also pretty weak, no moves to gold on big Nikkei dumps, no safe haven in gold? no upside?
boy this is an ugly chart. need some moves in gold, only hope for a break on that $1,350 floor prolly a resurgence in the stock markets.
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #306
  • May 27, 2013 1:32am May 27, 2013 1:32am
Lookin more and more like we are moving into the summer doldrums..... Slow economic week ahead.... Highly possible the bulk of the trading action and volatility will be in pac-asian markets for the foreseeable near term.
  • #307
  • May 27, 2013 3:40am May 27, 2013 3:40am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yes i see that big open interest in the Jun $12 calls. I see Nikkei threw down another -3.1% today, UJ at 101.0, let's see what Tuesday brings. I will be up early. gold action also pretty weak, no moves to gold on big Nikkei dumps, no safe haven in gold? no upside?
keep a eye on futures today, we may see the big gold move up later if they decide on selling ES. Early hours of tuesday morning
  • #308
  • May 27, 2013 8:30pm May 27, 2013 8:30pm
Nikkei trying to make a comeback, Toyota up >2%. Scrolling through all the companies in the Nik 225, hard to find any that are down on the year, most up double-digits. Plenty room to fall further,
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #309
  • May 28, 2013 2:32am May 28, 2013 2:32am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} keep a eye on futures today, we may see the big gold move up later if they decide on selling ES. Early hours of tuesday morning
looks like i'm wrong on them selling ES, there actually buying it hard at the moment so this could mean that TLT could open up much lower today
  • #310
  • May 28, 2013 3:24am May 28, 2013 3:24am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} looks like i'm wrong on them selling ES, there actually buying it hard at the moment so this could mean that TLT could open up much lower today
DOW futures up 104, look to see if gold can take out the bottom 1331 this week
  • #311
  • May 28, 2013 8:17am May 28, 2013 8:17am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} DOW futures up 104, look to see if gold can take out the bottom 1331 this week

markets open in 20 minutes time, DOW - S/P - .NASDAQ futures up huge in pre market, this will send TLT down, USO up. That USO weekly is in play if it closes near 95+
  • #312
  • May 28, 2013 8:41am May 28, 2013 8:41am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} markets open in 20 minutes time, DOW - S/P - .NASDAQ futures up huge in pre market, this will send TLT down, USO up. That USO weekly is in play if it closes near 95+
pick a stock and follow it till thursday or friday then make your move for gamma
  • #313
  • May 28, 2013 8:53am May 28, 2013 8:53am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} markets open in 20 minutes time, DOW - S/P - .NASDAQ futures up huge in pre market, this will send TLT down, USO up. That USO weekly is in play if it closes near 95+
I don't normally play this far out, i'm doing so just in case i might need to sell something against it if i'm wrong, lots of resistance up here, i know people tend to sell up here but we're playing greeks

looking to buy USO JULY $36.50 calls for 16c or under

USO Jul 2013 36.500 call (USO130720C00036500)
-OPR
0.16 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.03(15.79%)
  • #314
  • May 28, 2013 9:15am May 28, 2013 9:15am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} pick a stock and follow it till thursday or friday then make your move for gamma
follow on from fridays trade in GDX

bought $26.50 puts 22c, GDX, I DO EXPECT IT TO BOUNCE NEAR $26.12

GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)
-OPR
0.22 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.02(8.33%) 9:51AM EDT
  • #315
  • May 28, 2013 9:26am May 28, 2013 9:26am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} follow on from fridays trade in GDX bought $26.50 puts 22c, GDX, I DO EXPECT IT TO BOUNCE NEAR $26.12 GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)-OPR0.22 {image} 0.02(8.33%) 9:51AM EDT
forgot to mention GDX was at $27.24 at the time of purchasing the option. below is the price a minute ago

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
-NYSEArca
27.12 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.38(1.38%) 10:24AM EDT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
  • #316
  • May 28, 2013 9:28am May 28, 2013 9:28am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} forgot to mention GDX was at $27.24 at the time of purchasing the option. below is the price a minute ago Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)-NYSEArca27.12 {image} 0.38(1.38%) 10:24AM EDT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
its for fridays expiration 31 may 2013
  • #317
  • May 28, 2013 9:32am May 28, 2013 9:32am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} follow on from fridays trade in GDX bought $26.50 puts 22c, GDX, I DO EXPECT IT TO BOUNCE NEAR $26.12 GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)-OPR0.22 {image} 0.02(8.33%) 9:51AM EDT
Damn gdx option price down to 19c, could of got it cheaper

GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)
-OPR
0.19 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.05(20.83%) 10:11AM EDT
  • #318
  • May 28, 2013 9:38am May 28, 2013 9:38am
Need to keep a eye on GLD so far its showing signs of further downside, depends on this candle finishing on the hour
  • #319
  • May 28, 2013 10:11am May 28, 2013 10:11am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} follow on from fridays trade in GDX bought $26.50 puts 22c, GDX, I DO EXPECT IT TO BOUNCE NEAR $26.12 GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)-OPR0.22 {image} 0.02(8.33%) 9:51AM EDT
closed this option for 23c, not looking good atm, gld and gdx just broke fridays close

so break even on the option but still paid commission cost

GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)
-OPR
0.26 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.02(8.33%) 10:41AM EDT
  • #320
  • May 28, 2013 10:14am May 28, 2013 10:14am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} closed this option for 23c, not looking good atm, gld and gdx just broke fridays close so break even on the option but still paid commission cost GDX May 2013 26.500 put (GDX130531P00026500)-OPR0.26 {image} 0.02(8.33%) 10:41AM EDT
shall look to re enter if GDX cannot get above $27.78, should get the options even cheaper
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