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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #40,401
  • Edited May 7, 2013 7:56am May 6, 2013 11:31pm | Edited May 7, 2013 7:56am
time to go to bed...good night guys...


V
  • #40,402
  • Edited May 7, 2013 12:12am May 6, 2013 11:49pm | Edited May 7, 2013 12:12am
Quoting fti
{quote} He's one of the biggest, if detected in markets, all eyes will be there unless have other sexy suitors. If is flashed on wires early, will be much trickier. Because they pridicting expectations and if not materalise can swing in very high volatility from expectations. if you one of the biggest and you actions detected, surely you try be more flexible on timing of actions. maybe even tricky? generally,peeps knows he not favourable to euro stance, so in line should be south expectations. As markets talking about that on aud rates already for...
surely you try be more flexible on timing of actions. maybe even tricky

I dont think its over yet..as you say ..timing see what manifests in euro open
  • #40,403
  • May 7, 2013 12:21am May 7, 2013 12:21am
Quoting indianguyinny24
1% equity up time to go to bed...good night guys... V

seem you only one caught it vic.
I missed. and is very stable markets after the announcement.
was you in gamble vic.
or was you the fastest gun.


nothing to attempt already.
back to normal trade mode.


regards
  • #40,404
  • May 7, 2013 12:23am May 7, 2013 12:23am
Quoting liqidone
{quote} If he has announced his arrival so blatently... is he not there at all, perhaps another battleground all together (kingdom)?
this one's bad Li , but you inexperienced , so is excused.

i already asked you clear mind for announcement.
what;s it about clear mind that hard to understand.

think about it.


regards
  • #40,405
  • Edited 12:36am May 7, 2013 12:25am | Edited 12:36am
Quoting liqidone
{quote} surely you try be more flexible on timing of actions. maybe even tricky I dont think its over yet..as you say ..timing see what manifests in euro open
fast markets , you observe and try figure out what is happening.
You think opinions you finished.
you will be bias mind.

I don't know, i missed this one.
and i not even know why yet.
maybe i biting more than i can chew.

I am disappointed and will be going to stand down mode for a while. try fig out why i missed.
maybe i shouldn't be talking on 5 channels at a go.
i don't know.
i missed bomb away, then is so stable , big boys controlling, i can't read a thing. and i seeing no flow.
least of all i should be reading anyone's opinions, just lost focus.
i will be disengaging popup notifications and will come on thread when i have the time only.
This one is really bad of me, althought P&L is flat, but is feels like a big opportunity loss to get back on the saddle.
Maybe i lost it already, just don't know. Need meditate figure this one thru.
Is no one's fault but mine, so i really need stand down find myself.

regards
  • #40,406
  • May 7, 2013 12:35am May 7, 2013 12:35am
Quoting fti
{quote} fast markets , you observe and try figure out what is happening. You think opinions you finished. you will be bias mind. I don't know, i missed this one. and i not even know why yet. maybe i biting more than i can chew. I am disappointed and will be going to stand down mode for a while. try fig out why i missed. maybe i shouldn't be talking on 5 channels at a go. i don't know. i missed bomb away, then is so stable , big boys controlling, i can't read a thing. and i seeing no flow. least of all i should be reading anyone's opinions, just...
Yes I agree, it doesnt matter in the NOW,, Just the NOW

Maybe my opinions are infectious..maybe I just ask the questions..
  • #40,407
  • May 7, 2013 12:37am May 7, 2013 12:37am
Quoting fti
{quote} this one's bad Li , but you inexperienced , so is excused. i already asked you clear mind for announcement. what;s it about clear mind that hard to understand. think about it. regards

My MO is to stand aside until the dust settles.. then enter.
  • #40,408
  • May 7, 2013 12:38am May 7, 2013 12:38am
Quoting fti
{quote} this one's bad Li , but you inexperienced , so is excused. i already asked you clear mind for announcement. what;s it about clear mind that hard to understand. think about it. regards

Yep, your right, biased mind..undisciplined

My bad, no excuses, been around long enough to know better,sorry to cause any grief, will stand aside...
  • #40,409
  • Edited 1:05am May 7, 2013 12:41am | Edited 1:05am
Quoting liqidone
{quote} Yes I agree, it doesnt matter in the NOW,, Just the NOW Maybe my opinions are infectious..maybe I just ask the questions..
your mistake i very clear about.
You are asking questions when you should be observing for lead.
Your bias(opinions ) just clouding your mind.
You ask questions when you trying figure out what markets doing.
When is figs and fast markets, you don't think . You think or ask questions you likely not present.

You start asking questions and thinking when fast markets over.Like now.
Observe many of these events, You may understand what i am trying to say.

for peeps like vic who was fast gun, they alredy gone to sleep or to the pub.
already well done for the day. finished for the day. while the bulls and bears are sorting each other out.
and peeps like me frooze wondering what the jim beans happened to my reflexes.

maybe is the thought, tricky, george and stuff, all a big cloud of ifs instead of hits.
what i begin realise of me this event is lots indecisive.
maybe i still very rusty, just hope i not lost it.
1 thingy i sure of is i missed at least 3 chances, i saw it but frooze.
is no loss but also very stable after the few seconds.may be is counter measures, but we ants, no one 's bothered about little ants in a giants battle.
regards
  • #40,410
  • May 7, 2013 1:42am May 7, 2013 1:42am
Quoting fti
{quote} your mistake i very clear about. You are asking questions when you should be observing for lead. Your bias(opinions ) just clouding your mind. You ask questions when you trying figure out what markets doing. When is figs and fast markets, you don't think . You think or ask questions you likely not present. You start asking questions and thinking when fast markets over.Like now. Observe many of these events, You may understand what i am trying to say. for peeps like vic who was fast gun, they alredy gone to sleep or to the pub. already well...
Agreed. Caught in the chatter,overthinking late,distracting..apologies.

Anyways now is the now and now is europe..

ants have to eat too :-)

Wont distract again...
  • #40,411
  • May 7, 2013 3:40am May 7, 2013 3:40am
Never mind George Soros, I'm selling cable so just watch it rocket north!
  • #40,412
  • May 7, 2013 4:25am May 7, 2013 4:25am
Looks like the SNB are selling Francs
  • #40,413
  • May 7, 2013 7:22am May 7, 2013 7:22am
Quoting ukmanthailan
Never mind George Soros, I'm selling cable so just watch it rocket north!
looks ok my friend.

regards
  • #40,414
  • Edited 7:50am May 7, 2013 7:40am | Edited 7:50am
Quoting liqidone
{quote} Agreed. Caught in the chatter,overthinking late,distracting..apologies. Anyways now is the now and now is europe.. ants have to eat too :-) Wont distract again...
is not so much the distraction and no apologies necessary.
Is only i finding difficulty get back on the saddle.
but the frustration of the miss, sent my heart overdrive and body switched off.
Thank God , there is such a thing as sleep.
now seems body reset.
But still i need go stand down mode try find myself.

BUT for you, you need think about your events trading mindset.
I am a little worried about you getting stuck in bias mindset, when markets are in flux.
But you new to this mode of markets. So is not any major issue.
You need get more experience on battlestations mode trading, is different from analytical trading mode.
if you was carrying positions or bias into figures releases and events.
there is little possibilities that one can adjust to new changing market conditions quickly.
This the reason , i squared of positions into them, otherwise mind will be bias and unable respond properly.
I have suspicion you leaning on the soros info to firmly. From hindsight, i don't think they was in, in a big way, this round.
and having them at many minds may had spooked prices and liquidity in a minor currency.

regards
  • #40,415
  • May 7, 2013 7:44am May 7, 2013 7:44am
Quoting fti
{quote} seem you only one caught it vic. I missed. and is very stable markets after the announcement. was you in gamble vic. or was you the fastest gun. nothing to attempt already. back to normal trade mode. regards

why do i need to gamble was fast gun.....with risk clearly under control

V
  • #40,416
  • May 7, 2013 7:54am May 7, 2013 7:54am
Quoting indianguyinny24
{quote} why do i need to gamble was fast gun.....with risk clearly under control V
my friend, this round you champion.
good for you. keep it up.

for me, i was very flat footed. still not climbing back on the saddle properly.
got to pray and do some mind meditation, get back to calm mind first.get the ringing & pressure off the brain.
will take my time. Like i said i playing in bonus time, but rushing won't help things.

Wonder how everyone else doing? been too focus on me lately.

regards
  • #40,417
  • May 7, 2013 7:59am May 7, 2013 7:59am
Quoting fti
{quote} my friend, this round you champion. good for you. keep it up. for me, i was very flat footed. still not climbing back on the saddle properly. got to pray and do some mind meditation, get back to calm mind first. will take my time. Like i said i playing in bonus time, but rushing won't help things. regards

Let me do my tap dance ...my first ever championship....still a long way far though....btw i did had some small scouts out when it went back to 1.02 and i just closed it around 1.016....yea that was a overnight position gmable

V
  • #40,418
  • May 7, 2013 8:06am May 7, 2013 8:06am
Quoting indianguyinny24
{quote} Let me do my tap dance ...my first ever championship....still a long way far though....btw i did had some small scouts out when it went back to 1.02 and i just closed it around 1.016....yea that was a overnight position gmable V
ahh, a naughty.
thats why you was very fast gun.
was just you adding to a bia exposure already in markets. was just your attack skew and you was swift.
feels good doesn't it , when everything comes together.

no matter the gamble, you was correct.
so long as you can control and manage to your best.
well done my friend.

regards
  • #40,419
  • May 7, 2013 8:12am May 7, 2013 8:12am
Quoting fti
{quote} ahh, a naughty. thats why you was very fast gun. was just you adding to a bia exposure already in markets. was just an attack and you was swift. feels good doesn't it , when everything comes together. no matter the gamble, you was correct. so long as you can control and manage to your best. well done my friend. regards

Well you got it right...i was short earlier though scout nothing much at around 1.025 ...then at rate cut i went hard and swift...

The Art of War, that "Every battle is won or lost before it's ever fought.

V
  • #40,420
  • Edited 8:42am May 7, 2013 8:20am | Edited 8:42am
Quoting indianguyinny24
{quote} Well you got it right...i was short earlier though scout nothing much at around 1.025 ...then at rate cut i went hard and swift... The Art of War, that "Every battle is won or lost before it's ever fought. V
refresher me needed.

but you have lots foreign cap play with to take the scout gamble i suspect
loser's limp for me, but i just trying find my saddle again yet, so no have much fats play with on the new books.
They that have will gets more, while, well if you poor best be contented. even jesus said so.
but of course he was talking about kindness.

yes, you strategised well, it paid handsomely.

regards
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