GAINSY Hottest Forecasts

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: USD/CAD – Sell at 1.0170
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Although the greenback has recoiled after falling to 1.0084 yesterday and consolidation above this level would be seen, reckon upside would be limited to 1.0175 and bring another decline later, fracture of said support would extend the fall from 1.0343 top for a retracement of recent upmove to 1.0055-60, then

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(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: USD/JPY – Buy at 97.85 or sell at 99.60

USD's retreat after yesterday's resumption of upmove to 99.95 suggests minor top is formed there and consolidation below this level would be seen with mild downside bias for...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: GBP/USD – Buy at 1.5250

Although cable resumed recent upmove to 1.5412 yesterday, as sterling has retreated today after faltering below this level, suggesting consolidation below there would be seen...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Retail Sales Retreat on Gas in March... But Underlying Momentum Does Little to Inspire Confidence...

Half of the decline can be attributed to lower sales at gasoline stations, with another quarter due to lower auto sales. However, even after excluding these volatile components, the underyling spending momentum remains quite discouraging, and sets a weak precedent heading into the second quarter....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Weekly Focus: Bank of Japan Easing is a Market Driver

There is considerable focus on Japanese investor behaviour in the wake of the aggressive easing from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced last bank week. With Japanese yields very low and continued expectation of a JPY weakening, Japanese investors are looking abroad to get return. It triggered renewed demand for euro...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Moved Permanently
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

AUD/USD drops sharply today but still, downside is contained well above 1.0347 cluster support (50% retracement of 1.0115 to 1.0581 at 1.0348) for the moment. Thus, near term outlook stay cautiously bullish. Break of 1.0581 is still mildly in favor to retest 1.0597/0624 resistance zone. However, decisive fracture of 1.0347...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY – Exit long entered at 128.05
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Although the single currency has recovered after finding support at 127.56, intra-day selloff signals a temporary top has been formed at 131.10 last bank week and near term downside risk remains for retracement of recent rise, below 127.50 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 123.89-131.10) would bring weakness to 127.00-10 and possibly towards...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/GBP – Buy at 0.8505
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Despite Friday's fall to 0.8490 (just missed our long entry at 0.8485), as the single currency found renewed buying interest there and has recoiled, adding credence to our bullish view for recent rise to resume after consolidation, above resistance at 0.8560-61 would confirm low has been formed earlier at 0.8412...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: USD/CAD – Exit short entered at 1.0170
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Despite last bank week's fall to 1.0084, the subsequent strong recoil suggests a temporary low is possibly formed there and upside risk is seen for a test of indicated resistance at 1.0236, however, fracture there is needed to confirm and bring further gain to strong resistance at 1.0285-90, a firm breach...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Market Update

With most of the European equity markets closed in observance of May Day, the FTSE 100 has traded slightly higher (+0.40%). Trading in the banking sector has been mixed. Barclays and Lloyds are gaining on the session, while shares of RBS have lagged, as the firm is due to report quarterly earnings later in the week...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png ADP Employment And FOMC Decision In Focus

The US dollar weakness is the main topic in the FX markets ahead of the upcoming FOMC and ECB policy verdicts. At this stage, the Fed is clearly expected to keep the USD 85bn worth asset purchases in the agenda at least until the fourth quarter. As the...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Hello 1.3200 in EURUSD

The rally in EURUSD has been impressive this morning. Volume is thin as most of Europe and Asia are out on holidays, yet this baby continues to move higher. It appears that the EUR moves higher on the back of strong and weak economic data out of the...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD - Euro Continues Rally as USD Struggles

EUR/USD continues to move upwards in Wednesday trading. The pair crossed the 1.32 line in the European session, as the US dollar continues to lose ground. The euro has taken full advantage of broad weakness by the greenback, and has gained over...

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(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD Intraday Forecast

EUR/USD rises further to as high as 1.3242 so far in early US session and the break of 1.3021 indicates that whole rebound from 1.2746 has resumed. Intraday bias remain on the upside and current rise should target 61.8% retracement of 1.3710 to...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/JPY Intraday Forecast

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside as consolidation from 99.94 extends lower. But downside should be contained by 95.74 and bring rebound. An eventual upside breakout is still expected. Above 98.20 minor resistance will turn...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/CHF Intraday Forecast

USD/CHF drops further to as low as 0.9246 and intraday bias remains on the downside for the moment. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9206 support. Break there will have larger bearish implication and would probably resume the fall from 0.9971 for another low below 0.9021. On the upside, above 0.9309 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png GBP/USD Intraday Forecast

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rise from 1.4830 continues. Such rebound could extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6380 to 1.4830 at 1.5788. On the downside, below 1.5467 minor support will turn bias neutral first. Overall, rebound from 1.4830 is viewed as a correction and break of 1.5196 support will indicate that it's completed...

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(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Fed Opens The Door For Further Easing As Economic Recovery Slows Down

As widely expected, the Fed left its policy stance unchanged with asset purchases of 85B maintained. Yet, the policy statement was increasingly dovish with policymakers indicating that further easing would be adopted should the economic recovery stall...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/JPY Daily Forecast

With 98.20 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still in favor as consolidation from 99.94 extends. But downside should be contained by 95.74 and bring rebound. An eventual upside breakout is still expected. Above 98.20 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. And, break of 100 should send USD/JPY to 161.8% projection of 77.13 to 96.70 from 92.56 at 104.65 next...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD Daily Forecast

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside with 1.3160 minor support intact. Rebound from 1.2746 is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.3710 to 1.2746 at 1.3342. On the downside, below 1.3160 minor support will turn bias neutral bring retreat. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.2954 minor support holds...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Daily Statement: Sentiments Weighed Down by Dovish FOMC, ECB Rate Cut Awaited

Sentiments was somewhat weighed down by the dovish FOMC statement overnight as DOW dropped -138.85 pts while S&P 500 dropped -14.87 pts. Asian equities also followed by opening lower and stay soft. The development in US equities suggests...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD: Euro Trading Tad Lower This Morning, ECB Meeting Outcome Awaited

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, EUR rose marginally against the USD and closed at 1.3180. The greenback saw a drop in demand amid soft US economic figures. Moreover, the Federal Reserve concluded its monetary policy meeting making no change to interest rates or stimulus programs...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Asian Market Update

Asian bourses were mostly in negative territory, as trading sentiment was pressured further by weak ADP payrolls in US hours and another weak manufacturing PMI print out of China. Revised HSBC data seems to have confirmed Chinese manufacturing growth has stalled, with a final print of 50.4 falling from the preliminary reading ...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png ECB Rate Cut Hopes… Will Draghi Deliver?

The ECB's monetary policy decision takes center stage in a very busy session in Europe, after U.S. Federal Reserve maintained the accommodative monetary policy. But would European policymakers chase the tail of the Fed's dovish stance?..

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Euro Erases Gains, JPY Strengthens

The risk appetite remained mitigated overnight as the HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI showed that the Chinese economy expanded slower than estimated in April. The Asian equity markets traded down, while JPY strengthened against all of its major...

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(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal: USD/JPY - Stand aside

Failure to extend early rebound from 96.99 and as the greenback continued to meet resistance around the Ichimoku cloud bottom, suggesting near term downside risk remains for the decline from 99.90 to extend one more fall, below said support at...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal: EUR/USD - Turn short at 1.3200

Although the single currency resumed recent rise to 1.3243 yesterday, the subsequent retreat suggest a temporary top is possibly formed there (with a shooting star on both hourly and daily chart), hence consolidation with mild downside bias is seen...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5630

Although the British pound has retreated after rising briefly to 1.5607 yesterday, reckon the Ichimoku cloud (now at 1.5519-29) would limit downside and risk remains for recent upmove to extend one more rise to 1.5625-30, however, still reckon upside...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal: USD/CHF - Sell at 0.9350

Although the greenback has recovered after falling to 0.9247 yesterday and consolidation above this level would be seen with mild upside bias for retracement to yesterday's high of 0.9310, reckon upside would be limited to 0.9351-55 (current level of the...

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(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: AUD/USD – Stand aside

Despite rebounding to 1.0372 earlier this week, the subsequent selloff dampened our near term bullishness and signals the decline from 1.0583 is still in progress, break of previous support at 1.0221 would confirm and extend weakness to 1.0195-99,...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY - Sell at 128.80

Despite rebounding to 128.93 yesterday, as the single currency has retreated again from there, suggesting consolidation with mild downside bias would be seen and another test of this week's low of 127.09 cannot be ruled out, break there would extend...

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(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: AUD/USD – Stand aside

Although aussie recovered after falling to 1.0222 yesterday (just 1 tick above previous support at 1.0221), reckon upside would be limited to 1.0300 and near term downside risk remains, break of said support would signal the decline from 1.0583 is still in...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY - Stand aside

Yesterday's volatile price action made trading very difficult and our short position entered at 128.80 got hit as euro jumped to as high as 129.92 before dropping again to as low as 127.50, however, the single currency found support tehre and has...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: USD/CAD - Stand aside

Despite intra-day rebound to 1.0132, as the greenback has retreated again after meeting renewed selling interest there, suggesting near term downside risk remains for another test of this week's low of 1.0051, break there would extend the decline...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/GBP - Hold short entered at 0.8485

Euro's retreat after meeting renewed selling interest at 0.8497 earlier this week signals the rebound from 0.8398 (last week's low) has ended there and bearishness remains for another test of this support, break there would extend the decline from...

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(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 98.50

Despite intra-day brief retreat to 97.95, as the greenback has rallied again on release of better-than-expected US job reports, adding credence to our view that low has been formed at 96.99 earlier this week, bullishness is seen for further gain to 99.50...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: EUR/USD - Stand aside

Despite intra-day brief bounce to 1.3149, as the single currency met renewed selling interest right at the lower Kumo and has dropped again on dollar's broad-based strength after the release strong U.S. job data, suggesting the fall from 1.3243 top is still...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: GBP/USD - Stand aside

Although the British pound has slipped after intra-day rebound to1.5572 on stronger-than-expected US job data, break of indicated previous support at 1.5467 is needed to signal a temporary top has been formed and bring correction of recent...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: USD/CHF - Exit short entered at 0.9400

Despite intra-day retreat to 0.9313, as the greenback found renewed buying interest there and has staged a strong rebound on dollar's broad-based rise after the release of stronger-than-expected U.S. data, suggesting near term upside risk remains for...

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(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD Daily Forecast

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. As long as 1.2954 holds, rebound form 1.2746 is still in favor to continue and above 1.3242 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.3710 to 1.2746 at 1.3342. However, break of 1.2954 will indicate that such...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/CAD Daily Forecast

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first as a temporary bottom is formed at 1.0050. Focus remains on 1.0056 support. sustained break there will confirm this case and should bring deeper fall to 0.9815 support and below. As long as 1.0293 resistance holds, risk remains mildly on the downside....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png AUD/USD Daily Forecast

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for 1.0220. Break will resume whole decline from 1.0581 and should target 1.0115 support next. On the upside, though, above 1.0384 will turn focus back to 1.0581 resistance....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency fell to as low as 1.3037 yesterday, mixture of bids and stops at 1.3040-50 was tripped before euro finding support and the pair has rebounded today in European morning. At the moment, bids are reported at 1.3050-60 and also...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Market Update

Equity markets in Europe are trading mixed as traders assess the recent rate moves and commentary out of the ECB. Additionally, the April US payrolls report is expected to be in focus. European banks are trading mixed, following earnings reports from BNP and RBS. Resources related firms are mostly higher, tracking the gains in copper and gold prices....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Focus On The US Nonfarm Payrolls

The FX markets slowly digest the ECB's rate cut and the focus shifts to US payrolls data scheduled this afternoon. Despite the dovish policy outlook, the refinancing rate cut and the reference to negative deposit rates, Euro is seen highly optimistic this morning...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png NFP - Expect This And Be Surprised By That

Draghi's loose lips yesterday plunged the 17-member single currency through a three-cent handle before a bottom was found. The uttering of negative deposit Euro rates attempted to temporarily cripple the single currency ahead of this morning highly anticipated US employment report....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Weekly Focus: ECB Stole the Limelight

The main economic release in the euro area within the next two weeks will be GDP numbers for Q1 13. We estimate that the euro area contracted 0.2% q/q in Q1 13...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Session: Orders and Options Watch
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly in European morning in part due to mixed data out of eurozone, the pair slipped initially on selling out of French names, bids at 1.3100-10 were filled, however, buying interest is still seen at 1.3080-90 and further out...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.3180
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

Despite Friday's brief fall to 1.3033, lack of follow through selling on break of previous support at 1.3037 and the subsequent rebound from 1.3033 suggest further choppy trading would be seen and another bounce to 1.3160 (Friday's high) cannot be...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY - Look to buy lower
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Although the single currency has continued to trade with a firm undertone after last week's strong rebound and test of 130.73 resistance cannot be ruled out, break of recent high of 131.10 is needed to confirm an upside break of recent range has...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Manufacturing And Services Composite Beat Forecasts, Euro Pares Losses
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

European manufacturing and services composite showed an ease in contraction in April, where the final composite reading came better than forecast, yet worries remain that the euro area would continue in contraction and may need unconventional tools to jolt the economy out of recession...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png US Session: Orders and Options Watch
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

EUR: The single currency rebounded in European session on solid data out of Germany and offers at 1.3100 and 1.3130 were filled, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.3150 with stops building up above 1.3160, more selling interest should emerge around 1.3180 as well as 1.3200 with sizeable offers expected from 1.3220 up to 1.3240 (more stops above 1.3250)....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Ichimoku Signal Wrap-up: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.3200
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

As the single currency has retreated after intra-day brief bounce to 1.3132, retaining our view that further choppy trading is in store but as long as support at 1.3033 holds, risk of another rebound cannot be ruled out, above said resistance at 1.3132...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.0005
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

As the greenback has broken below last week's low of 1.0051, suggestngthe decline from 1.0343top is still in progress and may extend weakness for a deeper correction of early rise to 1.0024 (1.618 times projection of 1.0343-1.0181 measuring from 1.0285), however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 0.9999-1.0000 and bring rebound later...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Shares Rise, Banks Stocks Lead Gains Amid Solid Earnings
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

European stocks edged higher at the initial minutes of Tuesday trading with bank stocks leading gains after announcing better-than-expected earnings from some of Europe’s largest banks. However, gains may be capped as concerns over the outlook for growth likely to keep investor sentiment subdued...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png US Session: Orders and Options Watch
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

EUR: The single currency rebounded again on better-than-expected German IP data and upbeat comments from German Eco Min, offers in the region of 1.3130-60 and stops above there were cleared, however, sell orders from sovereign names are still noted at 1.3180 as well as 1.3200-20 area with more stops placed above 1.3230 and 1.3250...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Ichimoku Signal Wrap-up: USD/CHF - Sell at 0.9380
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

Dollar's retreat after yesterday's brief rise to 0.9437 suggests top has possibly been formed there and consolidation with mild downside bias is seen for weakness to support at 0.9306-13, break would extend weakness to 0.9280, however, as broad outlook is still consolidative, reckon downside would be limited to 0.9265-67 and last week's low at 0.9247 would hold from here, bring another rebound later this week...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/GBP - Stand aside
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Euro's rebound after failing to break recent support at 0.8398 suggests recent decline is not ready to resume yet and further consolidation abvoe said support would be seen, however, only break of resistance at 0.8497 would signal a temporary low is...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Canadian Housing Starts Dip in April
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Canadian housing starts dipped by 3.5% to an annualized pace of 174,900 in April 2013 from the upwardly revised 181,100 in March (previously reported as 180,900). The monthly pullback in homebuilding activity in April, which was in line with market...

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