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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #1,341
  • Mar 4, 2013 3:55pm Mar 4, 2013 3:55pm
AUDUSD

Lets see if this is just a counter trend bounce or will fall off the resist just above. We did complete the 2mth wave and the monthly break and extend down hence the bounce however we have had a monthly close below the yearly bp so lets see.


Bella
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  • #1,342
  • Mar 27, 2013 10:08pm Mar 27, 2013 10:08pm
Hi all

I am going to be trialing a new strategy for the eurusd, most trades will be held between 4-20ish weeks so it is longer term.

I'm not going to share the details of how the strategy works here yet, but I will be posting my setups and charts here as a log so it makes things easy to review. The trial period will run for a year starting from today.

I have hooked up my account to trade explorer, it is starting with $2000. The previous history needs to be ignored, that relates to previous trials and strategy testing done over the last 4 years.

This will be in addition to other strategies I trade on this pair but this will be the only one I will be posting about.
  • #1,343
  • Edited 10:23pm Mar 27, 2013 10:11pm | Edited 10:23pm
The first trade is going to be a long, eu should make a low this week that moves price back up to 1.31ish in early April.

The short I am holding currently is part of the same strategy, I will be holding that down into mid May.

The long I am holding will be part of the upmove, I want to add at 1.2739 if i get the chance.
  • #1,344
  • Mar 27, 2013 10:30pm Mar 27, 2013 10:30pm
This is what I am after.
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  • #1,345
  • Mar 27, 2013 10:50pm Mar 27, 2013 10:50pm
Chart storage
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  • #1,346
  • Mar 27, 2013 11:59pm Mar 27, 2013 11:59pm
Quoting Saxon
Great charts/analysis Amy.
Thanks, means a lot coming from you, only just saw this today. cheers.
  • #1,347
  • Edited 7:39am Apr 8, 2013 6:01am | Edited 7:39am
Quoting amyc
Hi all I am going to be trialing a new strategy for the eurusd, most trades will be held between 4-20ish weeks so it is longer term. I'm not going to share the details of how the strategy works here yet, but I will be posting my setups and charts here as a log so it makes things easy to review. The trial period will run for a year starting from today. I have hooked up my account to trade explorer, it is starting with $2000. The previous history needs to be ignored, that relates to previous trials and strategy testing done over the last 4 years....
Interesting...
Buy low, sell high.
Time hides Nothing
  • #1,348
  • Apr 8, 2013 11:25pm Apr 8, 2013 11:25pm
140
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  • #1,349
  • Apr 9, 2013 4:41am Apr 9, 2013 4:41am
Hi, AmyC

Interesting journal. Sorry for my silly question: what you meant by '140'? Is that a price level, or chart number, or something else?

Thanks
  • #1,350
  • Apr 9, 2013 5:27pm Apr 9, 2013 5:27pm
It's the length of the range bars. It doesn't mean anything it's just chart storage so I can review things at the end of the trial, my software only stores a few months of history on the range bar charts before it begins to drop off.
  • #1,351
  • Apr 9, 2013 8:07pm Apr 9, 2013 8:07pm
EU daily

Price is back into the 3 week highs, all the price requirements for this upmove have been fufilled which is why I have switched longs for shorts.
The ideal time for the top is actually Friday so it may move higher or just consolidate for the rest of the week.

Dow and S&P500 have today completed all the requirements for the upmove from November 12. Things get interesting here bc we are due a flash crash similar to May 2010.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.GIF Size: 13 KB
  • #1,352
  • Apr 9, 2013 8:59pm Apr 9, 2013 8:59pm
Hi, Amy

Thank you for the chart. Would it be possible that euro might move higher after some retracement from the current level? (a similar comparison to the current move from Feb/2013 is the down side move from Nov/2010 to Jan/2011 then moved to new highs.) The question sounds a bit strange, I guess perhaps I could put it another way: what rules/patterns lead to your judgement that it would go for a new low instead of new high? I know indices are due for a correction soon, but if recent correlation to hold, that could also mean the potential of a dollar downside correction. Dollar had been rallying on good US data, but from last week data from the US has started coming out on the disappointing side.

My apologies for all these questions. I am not entirely sure about the finer details of Frank's model. Thank you in advance for your time.
  • #1,353
  • Apr 9, 2013 9:10pm Apr 9, 2013 9:10pm
Sure anything's possible.
What I am trading here is nothing to do with Franks model, no trades I do for any strategy follow his, just the charts are set up similar. If you want to know about that Bella is probably the person to ask.
  • #1,354
  • Apr 12, 2013 4:18am Apr 12, 2013 4:18am
Your call on money.. Amy.. i short this last night Aussie time at 3130ish.. pivot cluster from 130ish to 160 ish.. simsilar on Audud.. EUUD 15 bmin picture
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  • #1,355
  • Apr 12, 2013 4:52am Apr 12, 2013 4:52am
Quoting amyc
The first trade is going to be a long, eu should make a low this week that moves price back up to 1.31ish in early April. The short I am holding currently is part of the same strategy, I will be holding that down into mid May. The long I am holding will be part of the upmove, I want to add at 1.2739 if i get the chance.
Great call Amy
Thank you Crucial Point, Bleek, Trizzle, Darkstar
  • #1,356
  • Apr 14, 2013 7:53pm Apr 14, 2013 7:53pm
Selling again below rectangle.. picture 4 hr EUUD
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  • #1,357
  • Apr 15, 2013 9:50am Apr 15, 2013 9:50am
hi all

this is my first trade since the first week of Jan. I shorted the EU at 1.3085 + 1.3087.
I liked the look of the monthly 50% high at 1.3092 matched with the 3 monthly mid at 1.3093.

Thanks very much for your post Amy after I read that I was encouraged to have an attempt at this trade.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,358
  • Apr 16, 2013 9:47am Apr 16, 2013 9:47am
Looks like euro is going to carry out the break and extend to this week's 3-w high, on my broker's quote around 3190. On a separate note, there are also fib targets at around 3180/90 area.
  • #1,359
  • Apr 16, 2013 11:47am Apr 16, 2013 11:47am
I discovered something really important today and yesterday. I think Im an intuitive trader. I did my analysis and took my trade, but something didnt feel right EU was not acting like it wanted to go down. I think its like a radio station. I need to tune into the correct frequency and trade it.

Im stepping back and looking again at 1.33. there is a range bar close there and some resistance which may play out well.
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  • #1,360
  • Apr 28, 2013 8:13pm Apr 28, 2013 8:13pm
80 140
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