GAINSY Hottest Forecasts

(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Lisbon Court Rejects Austerity

The euro (EUR) is weakening against most of its major counterparts early in the European session, as investors worldwide are trying to digest Friday’s ruling by the Portuguese constitutional court. They rejected a number of austerity measures, such as scrapping the 14th month salary for civil servants, as unlawful. The...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png The BoJ Starts JGB Purchasing

The overnight trading session saw the Japanese equities rally on the back of the BoJ starting to buy Y1.2trln in government bonds this bank week. The initial reaction in the USJPY was muted (after a gap open higher), however, as we moved closer to the European open, JPY began to lose...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Stocks Bounce Back From Last Week's Drop

European shares recoiled in the opening minutes of Monday trading after falling to a one month low on Friday following weak U.S. jobs data, while investors looks forward to a bank week full of meetings between European leaders and officials amid the absence of important fundamentals....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png JPY Losses Remain The Eye-Catcher, Cable Regains Major Resistance

Weak US payrolls had only modest impact on EUR/USD, but it was enough to push cable above key 1.5269 resistance (previous support). However, yen weakness remains the eye-catcher with USD/JPY 100 coming ever closer...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Intraday Statement: JPY Lost Most Against Aussie and Kiwi on Yield
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

While yen are broadly lower today, AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY are gaining most as investors hunt for yields. The rally in AUD/JPY seems to be accelerating after the cross took out 100 psychological level. Buying in NZD/JPY also took off after it broke 80 psychological level last bank week. The sustainable momentum...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Five Main Reasons For European Debt Crisis

The European debt crisis which began at the end of 2009 and appeared clearly as a major threat in 2010 is actually a byproduct of combing factors that yielded in the undergoing grim situation which is full of uncertainty about when will the crisis come to an end....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png London Session: BOJ Vindicated

In the absence of much economic data today the market instead focused on the green light given to the Bank of Japan to continue with its enormous stimulus plan that will see a doubling of the monetary base. This, along with some positive economic data out of Japan that suggests...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png JPY Keeps Dropping as BOJ Takes Easing Steps

The Japanese yen continues to fall, as the Bank of Japan began implementing new easing steps which were announced at last bank week's policy meeting. USD/JPY crossed above the 98 level on the bank weekend, and has climbed to levels not seen since in May 2009. The pair was trading in the...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: USD/JPY – Buy at 97.55 or sell at 99.95
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

Although dollar has retreated after intra-day initial rise to 99.67 and consolidation with mild downside bias is seen for retracement to 97.80-89 (yesterday's low and current...

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(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: AUD/USD – Buy again at 1.0375

Although aussie slipped again to as low as 1.0355 last Friday, the Australian dollar found support there and has recoiled again, suggesting the retreat from 1.0498 (last bank week's high) has possibly ended there and consolidation with upside bias is seen for another test of this level, however, fracture there is...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY – Buy at 126.90

Last bank week's rally and the breach of previous resistance at 127.71 confirm recent upmove has resumed and test of psychological resistance at 130.00 would be seen, however, fracture there is needed to retain bullishness and extend gain to 130.50-60, then possibly towards 131.00 but near term overbought condition should prevent...

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(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png China Inflation Eased In March Due To Moderation In Food Prices

China's headline inflation eased to +2.1% y/y in March from +3.2% a month ago while PPI slipped -1.9% after a -1.6% drop in February. Moderation in March's CPI was a relief for policymakers but the spike in February's data was to a large extent driven by seasonal factor, i.e. Lunar...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Intraday Statement: JPY Selloff Stalls Approaching Psychological Levels

JPY's selloff takes a brief today as USD/JPY and EUR/JPY are both facing key psychological levels of 100 and 130 respectively. JPY crosses are generally digesting recent sharp selloff for the moment and we might see more consolidative trading for a day or too. But there is not sign of...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png China's CPI Slips More Than Expected

USD was the biggest loser today, with the yen sell-off taking a fracture. EURUSD burst through a resistance zone around 1.3040 which trigged a push to a session high around 1.3070. There was no real fundamental reason for the drive. Instead, it seems bulls overwhelmed bears after the pair failed...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD: Euro Continues To Trade Higher

The pair is expected to find support at 1.2986, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2926. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3087, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3128....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/CHF: Swissy Reverses Trend, Trading Tad Higher In The Asian Session

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9315, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9293. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9360, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9383....

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png GBP/USD: GBP Reverses Losses, Moving Upwards In The Asian Session

The pair is expected to find support at 1.5223, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.5179. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.5327, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.5387....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png AUD/USD: Aussie Rises On Softer Chinese Inflation Data

The pair is expected to find support at 1.0381, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0331. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0466, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0501....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/JPY: Weakness In The Japanese Economy Is Reducing, Indicates BoJ Minutes

The pair is expected to find support at 98.54, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 97.80. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 99.86, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 100.43....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Markets To Watch U.K. Industrial Production, Trade Balance Statements

Britain's economy has shown mixed signs of recovery recently though the outlook remained quite uncertain in the first three months of this year, and so on, markets will be anticipating two key indicators today to see whether the economy managed to avoid contraction last quarter!...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Investors Moving To Euro, Dropping JPY

The euro (EUR) is moving higher against the US dollar, having touched 1.3067 before correcting somewhat to 1.3045. The pair is gaining ground and is affected by continued confirmation from the Fed that quantitative easing will continue for some time as Chairman Bernanke affirmed that “economic conditions aren’t where we’d...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Equities Rise On China, Strong U.S Earnings

European stocks posted gains in the opening minutes of Tuesday’s trading session boosted by the rally in Wall Street as investors reacted to results from U.S. earnings and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, while Asian stocks rose broadly higher after china reported inflation eased more than expected....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png JPY Selling Continues Unabatedly, While Cable Retests Key Level

USD/JPY surged to new rally highs near the magic 100 level. EUR/USD lingered sideways in listless trading, but cable, which broke on Friday through key resistance levels, hit an air pocket and tests the key level again....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png China's Inflation Subdued

Market were trading with a positive sentiment as a good start to the US earning session and calm Chinese inflation data help risk appetite. JPY was the big mover for three straight days, as the USDJPY hit a new high at 99.66 before losing ground to profit takers. Japan's Finance...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png U.K. Manufacturing Production Rebounds In Feb., Trade Deficit Widens

Today's report showed that U.K.'s manufacturing doubled in February while goods trade deficit widened. Manufacturing production rose 0.8% in February after dropping 1.9% in January, exceeding analysts' estimates of 0.4% advance. On the year, the reading showed a drop of 1.4% from a revised of -3.3%. Industrial output advanced 1.0%...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png JPY Continues To Dominate FX Moves

Swiss CPI (March) came in lower-than-expected at +0.2% m/m vs +0.3% exp, from +0.3% prior read; -0.6% y/y vs -0.5% exp, from -0.3% prior. While there was no real sharp spike in EURCHF, the pairs remain well bid climbing to 1.2193. This continues a trend of downward pressure on prices...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png BoJ Is Standing Tall - How High USD/JPY And How Fast?

Market focus this morning has turned to Q1 U.S earning season. Thus far, global equities have started with some mild gains after yesterday's evening's open season earning's surprise beating expectations. It's somewhat of a steady start compared to the rabid market fallout produced by the new governor at the Bank...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png 100.00 in USDJPY Tantalizingly Close

The yen is in focus today after USDJPY climbed steadily towards 100.00 since the Asian open. Momentum seems to be on USDJPY's side and USDDJPY and EURJPY both made fresh multi-year highs earlier. EURJPY was in demand from Asian buyers as Japanese investors move out of Japanese bonds in a...

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(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: USD/JPY – Buy at 97.55 or sell at 99.95

USD's retreat after intra-day initial rise to 99.67 suggests consolidation below this level would be seen and mild downside bias is for retracement to the Ichimoku cloud top...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: EUR/USD - Stand aside

The single currency has resumed recent upmove after intra-day brief retreat to 1.3006, suggesting the rise from1.2747 low is still in progress and gain to 1.3107 resistance...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: USD/CHF – Sell at 0.9420

Although dollar has fallen again after intra-day brief recovery to 0.9367, loss of near term downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 0.9300 and reckon support at...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: USD/CAD – Hold long entered at 1.0180
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

Although the greenback retreated after last bank week's recoil from 1.0103 to 1.0236, if our view that wave iv trough ended at 1.0103 is correct, downside would be limited to 1.0130 and bring another recoil later, above yesterday's high of 1.0215 would signal the retreat from 1.0236 has ended and bring

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Canadian Housing Starts Edged Higher in March
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Canadian housing starts edged up by 0.4% to 184,000 annualized units in March 2013 to build on the previous month's 11.7% increase to an upwardly revised 183,200 units (previously reported as 178,000). Market expectations had been for a modest decline in the month to 175,000 annualized starts. The overall increase...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Daily Statement: Aussie and Kiwi Surge on Risk Appetite, China Data
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

Strong risk appetite pushed DOW to another record close at 14673 overnight while Asian markets are supported by China's trade data in initial trading. China unexpectedly reported USD -0.9b trade deficit in March. That's mainly due to the unexpected strong rise in imports by 14.1% yoy to USD 183.1b. Exports...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD Weaker As Sentiment Improves

The dollar is weaker across the board and risk sentiment is mostly higher as central banks maintain easy policy, supporting the global recovery. The updated IMF World Economic Forecast released today noted that inflation is likely to remain stable in advanced economies and therefore 'fears about high inflation should not...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png RBA Signals Higher Aussie, JPY Selloff Slows

The inflation data in China yesterday got the markets a little excited because the print of -0.9% mom and fall to just 2.2% year on year is seen as taking the pressure off the Chinese authorities to continuing its tightening policies. We aren't so sure because it is asset inflation...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Chinese Imports Outpaced Exports To Record Unexpected Trade Deficit

Trade Balance in China recorded unexpected deficit during the month of March, where the nation’s imports unexpectedly outpaced exports that slumped recently amid the recent instable global economy and higher currencies. Chinese economy released its trade balance reading concerning the month of March, where the reading fell to $-0.88 billion,...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png GBP/USD: UK Economic Data, NIESR Statement Provides Much Needed Relief To Sterling Investors

The pair is expected to find support at 1.5276, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.5216. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.5369, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.5402....

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/JPY: JPY Trading Tad Higher This Morning

The pair is expected to find support at 98.56, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 98.16. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 99.40, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 99.83....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/CHF: Swiss Franc Trading Tad Lower In The Asian Session

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9293, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9270. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9354, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9392....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD/CAD: Loonie Gained Marginally On Improved Housing Market Conditions In Canada

The pair is expected to find support at 1.0132, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0109. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0177, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0199....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png AUD/USD: Aussie Trading Higher This Morning

The pair is expected to find support at 1.0442, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0376. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0547, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0586....

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD: Euro Trading Tad Higher This Morning

The pair is expected to find support at 1.3028, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2966. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3128, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3166....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png China's Importers Steal The Limelight From Exporters

Another round of strong Chinese trade results lifted the Australian dollar back above 1.0500 against the US dollar. Exports rose 10% from a year earlier, slightly less than expected for March but extending a recent run of strong trade data. The biggest surprise came from a 14.1% y/y increase in...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png EUR/USD Holding Above The 1.30 Mark For Now

The post-payrolls correction of the dollar continued as cable and EUR/USD extended gains. Even so, EUR/USD still failed to regain any important technical level. The USD/JPY rally is taking a breather after the recent gains. Today, the focus will be on the FOMC minutes. Will the report call off the...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Traders Take Profits On JPY

The euro (EUR) reversed its negative trend against the US dollar (USD) edging higher in yesterday's trading session. The pair is currently moving above 1.3070 as investors bought up to European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's comments on the irreversibility of the euro. Short term keep an eye on profit...

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(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: AUD/USD – Buy at 1.0475

Aussie's rise from 1.0355 has gathered momentum and current firmness after fractureing resistance at 1.0498 adds credence to our count that the 2nd c leg of larger degree double three wave E has ended at 1.0116, hence bullishness remains for further gain to 1.0500, then test of resistance at 1.0599...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/JPY – Buy at 128.60

Current firmness after this bank week's breach of previous resistance at 127.71 signals recent upmove is still in progress in wave v and further gain to 131.00, then 131.50-55 (50% projection of 123.89-130.09 measuring from 128.45) but near term overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 132.25-30 (61.8% projection), risk from...

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(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: EUR/USD - Stand aside

Despite intra-day resumption of upmove to 1.3122, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 1.3150-55 (1.236 times projection of 1.2747-1.2949...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: GBP/USD – Buy at 1.5205

Although cable continued to edge higher and marginal gain from here is likely, fracture of last bank week's high of 1.5364 is needed to signal recent rise from 1.5034 has...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Update: USD/CHF – Sell at 0.9365 or buy at 0.9260

Although dollar has fallen again after meeting renewed selling interest at 0.9367 yesterday and weakness to previous support at 0.9281 would be seen, loss of near term...

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(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png China's Imports Surge

FX markets shifted into a comfortable sideways pattern overnight after yesterday explosive trading day. After hitting new yearly highs, at 99.66 USDJPY, moved into a consolidation mode. Trading volumes were lower, to some extent due to Korean peninsula fears as traders wait to hear the results of news of any...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Euro Back Around $1.31, Thanks To EFSF

The euro resumed its rally against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, shooting at its highest level in more than three bank weeks, around the $1.31 again after the European Financial Stability Facility issued 8 billion euros of bonds amid strong demand from Asia....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Equities Rise On Stimulus Hopes, Fed’s Minutes In Focus

European stocks posted gains in the opening minutes of Wednesday’s trading session boosted by the rally in Asian markets after data raised expectations of continued central bank stimulus by the world’s leading economies, while investors look ahead to the minutes of the latest Fed’s meeting due later in the day....

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Moody's Says Spain's Need For A Bailout Is Now Less As Borrowing Cost Retreats

The need for a bailout by Spain meanwhile is less than it was in October as the borrowing cost have decreased thanks to the ECB announcement of a new bond-buying program, Kathrin Muehlbronner, an analyst at Moody's Investors Service, said in an interview on Wednesday....

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Practice brings dividends in the form of Ferrari, theory brings bad eyesight, bald spot and diseases