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Trading EURUSD only

  • #40,421
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:41am Mar 27, 2013 8:41am

Quoting Bocephus
anything is always possible but we are in a down trend careful
  • #40,422
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:41am Mar 27, 2013 8:41am
We should see a bottom here between today and tomorrow...depends on how long you are willing to wait...

Quoting vimalcharan
anybody can good suggestion me..... I am in long 1.2779...but market in still down move....If it is possible to retrace 1.2900 ....
  • #40,423
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:41am Mar 27, 2013 8:41am
bounce over 2775 can bring us some up move
  • #40,424
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:42am Mar 27, 2013 8:42am
+90 pips and I am flat
  • #40,425
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:43am Mar 27, 2013 8:43am
actual 110
Quoting stevewalker
daily ranges
monday 218
tueasday 61
actual 29
  • #40,426
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:43am Mar 27, 2013 8:43am
well done
seen your SH entry post

Quoting MeInGraySuit
+90 pips and I am flat
  • #40,427
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:44am Mar 27, 2013 8:44am
Quoting MeInGraySuit
+90 pips and I am flat
  • #40,428
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:44am Mar 27, 2013 8:44am
.
Quoting stevewalker
GMT+2
9:00am EUR GfK German Consumer Climate
10:00am CHF KOF Economic Barometer
11:30am GBP Current Account
GBP Final GDP q/q
Tentative EUR Italian 10-y Bond Auction
4:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m
5:00pm USD FOMC Member Evans Speaks
5:30pm USD FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks
  • #40,429
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:44am Mar 27, 2013 8:44am
Quoting Robby
We should see a bottom here between today and tomorrow...depends on how long you are willing to wait...
Weekly shows 2700 as next possible support
  • #40,430
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:47am Mar 27, 2013 8:47am
W1 SP3 2720
  • #40,431
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:48am Mar 27, 2013 8:48am
Not if this holds...daily and multi hours are over sold...you will have a move up...not down to 1.27

Quoting Bocephus
Weekly shows 2700 as next possible support
  • #40,432
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:51am Mar 27, 2013 8:51am
Quoting Robby
We should see a bottom here between today and tomorrow...depends on how long you are willing to wait...
monday 200 pips down wards....today already 100 pips....in this week already 350 pips down.....any possibility to retrace level of above 1.2900 this week
  • #40,433
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:52am Mar 27, 2013 8:52am
Projections.....we are ending a 5th wave of the 1st wave down. We are headed into a ABC correction wave which will be up. Ending this 5th wave with a expanded triangle abcde formation, on an expanded triangle of the 5th wave shows a large possibility of a faster correction wave. So caution shorts around the .2750 area!!!
Sorry this 1hour chart is actually a 15min....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #40,434
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:53am Mar 27, 2013 8:53am
Have you notice what you are saying... 200 then next 100...market is coming into a bottom.. harder and harder to move down...more and more buyers coming into the market.

Quoting vimalcharan
monday 200 pips down wards....today already 100 pips....in this week already 350 pips down.....any possibility to retrace level of above 1.2900 this week
  • #40,435
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:53am Mar 27, 2013 8:53am
Quoting stevewalker
my guess 2750 can be a level to watch
if any retracement in the level of 1.2900 above....why still down move....any reasons
  • #40,436
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:57am Mar 27, 2013 8:57am
Quoting MeInGraySuit
Projections.....we are ending a 5th wave of the 1st wave down. We are headed into a ABC correction wave which will be up. Ending this 5th wave with a expanded triangle abcde formation, on an expanded triangle of the 5th wave shows a large possibility of a faster correction wave. So caution shorts around the .2750 area!!!

Yes, I have 1.27337 for symmetry for end of my 1hr I posted earlier. Possible.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #40,437
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:58am Mar 27, 2013 8:58am
From FX Crunch



After the break to a new 4 month low and a break of support at 1.2805, EUR/USD extends its falls and is already challenging the next support line, which is only minor.
The pair is pressured by the uncertainty in Cyprus, as well as a few other negative headlines and after breaking lower, the move accelerated.
Minor support appears at 1.2750, where the pair found support back in early September. More support is found at 1.27 and 1.2660.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #40,438
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:01am Mar 27, 2013 9:01am
Pending Home Sales m/m -0.4% vs. -0.3% expected, 4.5% prior
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #40,439
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:01am Mar 27, 2013 9:01am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Yes, I have 1.27337 for symmetry for end of my 1hr I posted earlier. Possible.
Yes...watch out for big reversal, definitely oversold. We could visit the .3100 area on this next corrective wave up. Good Pippin!!
  • #40,440
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:02am Mar 27, 2013 9:02am

  1. 1.2800 breach anticipated, market not short downside barriers/vanillas
  2. Vols higher since Cyprus crisis, remain supported but not running away
  3. 1wk 9.0 ahead of long weekend, gains tomorrow on ECB and Fri on NFP
  4. 1mth peaked 9.8 early Mon vs 7.85 pre Cyprus and trades 9.0-9.25 today
  5. 3mth traded 9.1-9.25 today from 8.0 pre Cyprus, 1yr 9.45 from 8.8
  6. Potential to buy vols on dips, but gains likely to be orderly as EUR weakens

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
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