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  • #40,141
  • Mar 26, 2013 1:26pm Mar 26, 2013 1:26pm
It's very interesting - there are beginning of Cyprus problems at the time when euro has strong support. It seems to me, support will be broken and euro will fall down to new lows. So, i'm short this week )
  • #40,142
  • Edited 2:04pm Mar 26, 2013 1:52pm | Edited 2:04pm
Quoting sharovegas
It's very interesting - there are beginning of Cyprus problems at the time when euro has strong support. It seems to me, support will be broken and euro will fall down to new lows. So, i'm short this week )
Yes, I have noticed that too, but my interpretation is opposite: 900 pips falling and falling without any *strong* real cause, and then, suddenly, at support, Cyprus shit appears magically from thin air...

Let's face it: tempo chosen for politicians, banksters and the rest to let the shit hit the fan is anything but random.

Maybe "they" knew everything about Cyprus at 1.37 and was the real cause to start this mega-drop, and maybe now it's discounted already.

Time will tell.
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #40,143
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:13pm Mar 26, 2013 2:13pm
4H Accumulation below 1.2850?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 130325_4H[1]EURUSD.png Size: 34 KB
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #40,144
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:17pm Mar 26, 2013 2:17pm
may have seen a intermediate bottom in euro today... watch next 24 hours for confirmation.
Build good relationships with others.
  • #40,145
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:20pm Mar 26, 2013 2:20pm
2843 seems to be a key level.
Lower first, then maybe a rally [tomorrow].
Quoting shellsnail
may have seen a intermediate bottom in euro today... watch next 24 hours for confirmation.
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #40,146
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:24pm Mar 26, 2013 2:24pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
Yes, I have noticed that too, but my interpretation is opposite: 900 pips falling and falling without any *strong* real cause, and then, suddenly, at support, Cyprus shit appears magically from thin air...

Let's face it: tempo chosen for politicians, banksters and the rest to let the shit hit the fan is anything but random.

Maybe "they" knew everything about Cyprus at 1.37 and was the real cause to start this mega-drop, and maybe now it's discounted already.

Time will tell.
Monthly balance sheets [in the right hands] don't tell lies???
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #40,147
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:31pm Mar 26, 2013 2:31pm
Quoting Uturn2
2843 seems to be a key level.
Lower first, then maybe a rally [tomorrow].
I'm see some potential for this week's candle to form a pinbar reversal and then we will start the month of april in an uptrend.

I draw my conclusions by studying 4H charts extensively... What we have formed these two days across most of the euro pairs is pointing to a high probability short term correction at least back above the 4H 20EMA before any further downside move, and depending on the reaction at the 20EMA the trend can potentially reverse.
Build good relationships with others.
  • #40,148
  • Mar 26, 2013 2:56pm Mar 26, 2013 2:56pm
if it could do that before UK close it might happen. for me its tested.
but after UK close no way with actual fundu.

shame

Quoting stevewalker
it is about to roll down.
fyi
I may be wrong
  • #40,149
  • Mar 26, 2013 3:19pm Mar 26, 2013 3:19pm
posted somewhere else
if you go quoted thread read 2-3 post down


Quoting stevewalker
have a look

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/fx/cftc-tff/main.html
  • #40,150
  • Mar 26, 2013 3:42pm Mar 26, 2013 3:42pm
If we get lower lows from here I am exiting my longs...
  • #40,151
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:12pm Mar 26, 2013 4:12pm
I am out +8 pips...long time to make 8 pips
  • #40,152
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:20pm Mar 26, 2013 4:20pm
well done

saved the long swap

Quoting MeInGraySuit
I am out +8 pips...long time to make 8 pips
  • #40,153
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:25pm Mar 26, 2013 4:25pm
Quoting stevewalker
well done

saved the long swap
Reversed position heading south now...Well at least I want it too!
  • #40,154
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:37pm Mar 26, 2013 4:37pm
Quoting MeInGraySuit
If we get lower lows from here I am exiting my longs...
I'm long too from 1.2850 ...
prepare for worst & expect the best
  • #40,155
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:42pm Mar 26, 2013 4:42pm
CAUTION regarding south
further caution regarding north

what's a trader to do?

but it seems to have found some short term support

maybe 'til something happens something else can be traded ???
wish I knew
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: post 2.gif Size: 23 KB
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #40,156
  • Mar 26, 2013 4:55pm Mar 26, 2013 4:55pm
good evening guys,

just placed a pending long @ 2847 , SL @ 2827 for the night hours.

I can hardly believe that another move down (especially a healthy one) is going to happen without some more retracement.
Normally I would at least expect 38.2 level, ie 2923. But until I´m back @ my PC in the morning, I will have TP set slightly below 23.6 ie 2890.
  • #40,157
  • Mar 26, 2013 5:00pm Mar 26, 2013 5:00pm
Great stuff!
The dates indicate the unwinding of Shorts on the way down,
and accumulation of Longs in the Bull Flag [say below 3020].
The rally for the previous 4 days was probably unwinding the last of the Shorts.
Yesterday was accumulate Longs [buying the falling market].
Even seeing a Flat on the DLY Chart.
We may even end today with a Doji.
Tomorrow may be the start of something Long?
Cheers Steve................
Time for zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz's

Quoting stevewalker
posted somewhere else
if you go quoted thread read 2-3 post down
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #40,158
  • Mar 26, 2013 5:02pm Mar 26, 2013 5:02pm
Quoting luckyl
good evening guys,

just placed a pending long @ 2847 , SL @ 2827 for the night hours.

I can hardly believe that another move down (especially a healthy one) is going to happen without some more retracement.
Normally I would at least expect 38.2 level, ie 2923. But until I´m back @ my PC in the morning, I will have TP set slightly below 23.6 ie 2890.
not a single down of >170 pips continued after not retracing to at least 38.2 within the ongoing downtrend:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013_03_26_2300.png Size: 54 KB


(H4)
  • #40,159
  • Mar 26, 2013 7:15pm Mar 26, 2013 7:15pm
TA from TC

EUR/USD intraday: under pressure. Pivot: 1.2895

Our preference: Short positions below 1.2895 with targets @ 1.282 & 1.2785 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.2895 look for further upside with 1.292 & 1.2955 as targets.

Comment: as long as the resistance at 1.2895 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.282 remains high.

Key levels
1.2955
1.292
1.2895
1.286 last
1.282
1.2785
1.273


Ticker : EUR
http://www.tradingcentral.com/chart/...0133270146.GIF
  • #40,160
  • Edited 8:02pm Mar 26, 2013 7:26pm | Edited 8:02pm
Eur is worn out, 3 pushes to the up side and it just can't go.............
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 3_26_2013 eur h4 wore out.JPG Size: 310 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
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