Entry is a science, exit is an art.
Harmonic trading-harmonic patterns 525 replies
Gartley/bat/crab/butterfly/abcd/three Drives Pattern Indicator Help 49 replies
The Bucking Bronco 6,547 replies
Harmonic Pattern Journal 79 replies
Harmonic Pattern Journal 8 replies
DislikedI guess you have studied the book of Robert Pardo? This is an essential book to evaluate and optimize trading strategies ...
http://www.amazon.com/Evaluation-Opt...3631289&sr=1-1Ignored
DislikedHi Bronco,
I updated all my data with different TP and I discovered also an error: one trade hit 100AB and not 0AB, but it doesn't change your statistics, because it reached 786 before.
Seems that a TP=1.27 or a TP=1.38 doesn't improve the final profit, which is almost the same. Then, it seems also that your SL (0.162) gives a better profit than mine (0.200). With TP=1.618, on the contrary, profits are almost halved, so for now it's not quite a good idea, maybe on a trending market it works slightly better.
Cheers!Ignored
DislikedYeah, my data had a few typos, mistakes as well. That is the other beauty of collection 100's of trades. 1 mistake does not heavily affect the statistics. As far as I can tell, the extensions past 100AB and 0AB are 50:50. I wish I could find a way to extend the winners a bit (both 618AB entries and StopNRev), but so far, no luck.
I am struggling to determine my next direction. As I mentioned, one option is to replay historical ticks and gather more data. Option 2 would be to collect all my charts and start sorting and identifying features...Ignored
DislikedI'm in real, and I can guarantee that it's a bit different. Many times I've missed some trades just because I had before 3-4 consecutive losses, or because I hesitate 2-3 seconds too much. I think that going real helps to improve psychology and the control of emotions, so it's a training itself. So I suggest you going real.
Today for example I had 4 consecutive losses, because my sentiment on EurUsd was bearish at all and I didn't even considered a few trades on the long side (again , it's the second time). I want to find a variable that...Ignored
DislikedSir, first of all, well done on the data. Very few people ever actually research as thoroughly as you do.
Here is just a suggestion that I thought of as I reviewed your thread: You've tried the stopnrev trade and it hasn't really worked for you. I know Mr. Pip, and everyone else that knows anything about trading with fib retracements, has said that if a market only pulls back to its 38.2% then it is a strong trending market.
Have you thought about testing a breakout through point 0/B after a retrace of only 38.2%? That would get you into...Ignored
DislikedI've always used the ab=cd patterns in the harmonic patterns but how would you trade the ab=cd pattern if the alt ab=cd pattern extends beyond? In other words how would you know which one to trade? These link to videos showing the fib ratios and you'll see the ab=cd extend further: AB=CD vs ALT AB=CD Do you see what i mean by the ratios?Ignored