GAINSY Hottest Forecasts

http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/GBP – Sell at 0.8745
(GAINSY Elliott Wave Analysis)

EUR/GBP – 0.8650

Recent wave: v of wave 3 has possibly ended at 0.8067 but wave 4 should hold below 0.9050

Trend: Up

Original strategy :
Sell at 0.8710, Target: 0.8590, Stop: 0.8755

Target: -

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png NZDUSD To Hover Around Current Level
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

Last bank week, RBNZ Governor Wheeler's rhetoric about overvaluation of NZD triggered selloff of the currency. He suggested 5 policies that might be used to curb excessive appreciation. These are interest rate reduction, exchange rate intervention, QE, SNB-style cap on exchange rate and setting of growth and employment target. Speculations that...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Daily Statement: Sentiments Hurt Mildly by Sequestration and China PMI
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

Sentiments were mildly hurt by the rejection of partisan proposals in US Senate to replay the spending cuts which is set to start today. The spending reductions would be up to USD 85b in the rest of this fiscal year and could be up to USD 1.2T over nine years...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png CAD's Forecast More Gloomy Due To Economic Uncertainty, Both Domestically And From US
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

Weakness in Canadian dollar since the beginning of the year intensified after the FOMC minutes unveiled rigorous debates about an early exit of asset purchases. A more hawkish minutes together with concerns over sequester beginning in March have increased concerns over the loonie due to the close relationship between economies...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Intraday Statement: EUR/USD Breached 1.3 on Weak Data, Risk Averse on Sequestration
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

USD are broadly firmly today as global financial markets are weighed down by sequestration in US. US president Obama will meet with congress leaders today but markets are not expecting any fracturethrough to avert to USD 85b spending cuts this fiscal year. And over nine years, the cut could be...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Strong US USD Again, Are We Seeing New Market Trend?
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

U.S. USD Trading (USD) the EUR/USD short Squeeze failed to kick on in the European and US sessions yesterday and we found ourselves back at 1.3050 in Asian trade Friday.The outlook is mixed with the USD strong across the board after stronger than forecast economic data. US Preliminary GDP came...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Euro Area Unemployment Rises To 11.9%, Inflation Falls Below ECB Target
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Euro area jobless rate rose once again in January after lingering in Dec., adding to signs the economy may remain in recession in the first quarter. Unemployment in the 17-nation region surged to 11.9% in Jan., the EU’s statistics office said on Friday, the highest since compiling data in 1995,...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Sequester-On, Risk-Off
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The US sequestration started. Yesterday, the US Senate failed to reach an agreement to avoid the federal spending cuts totaling up to USD 85bn by the end of 2013. US equities retreated, while the 10-year Treasury bond yield fell...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png European Stocks Sharply Lower After Eurozone Data
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

European equities declined as Eurozone data weighed on sentiment after markets briefly turned positive in jittery early trade on Friday. Ahead of these reports, the European stocks showed mixed to positive trading. Eurozone CPI inflation decreased below ECB's tarheted 2 percent while unemployment rate hit a new high of 11.9...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png USD Safe Haven Status Intact Despite Sequester
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

February Month end shenanigans, mixed with a little yield play ahead of the ECB meet next bank week, and delivered with an assortment of US data had a forex market struggling to find conviction. However, disappointing Euro-zone activity data this morning seems to have quickly filled some of that void. The...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png No Stopping the Sequester Now, and Data Surprises from Europe
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The big news so far today has been the big data miss out of the UK manufacturing PMI missed estimates for February to rise to 51.0 from 50.8, and instead plunged back into contraction territory last month at 47.9. So much for the UK's manufacturing recovery; sentiment is now...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: EUR/USD – Sell at 1.3095
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

EUR/USD – 1.2980

Most recent candlesticks pattern : Shooting star

Trend : Down

Tenkan-Sen level :1.3034
Kijun-Sen level :1.3045
Ichimoku cloud top :1.3120
Ichimoku cloud bottom :1.3099

Original strategy :
Sell at 1.3095, Target: 1.2970, Stop: 1.3130

Target: -
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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: GBP/USD – Sell at 1.5210
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

GBP/USD - 1.5013

Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A

Trend : Down

Tenkan-Sen level : 1.5084
Kijun-Sen level :1.5091
Ichimoku cloud top :1.5179
Ichimoku cloud bottom :1.5152

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Forex Signal Wrap-up: USD/CHF – Buy at 0.9355
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

USD/CHF - 0.9449

Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A

Trend : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level :0.9408
Kijun-Sen level :0.9390
Ichimoku cloud top :0.9308
Ichimoku cloud bottom :0.9304

Original strategy :
Buy at 0.9355, Target: 0.9455, Stop: 0.9320

Target: -

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Weekly Focus: Can the ECB Save Europe from Italy
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The election outcome in Italy has created a muddled and potentially disastrous situation. However, Italy can probably still rely on ECB support to avert a collapse and market reaction has been muted. More signs to indicate that Germany is picking up and France is slowing. Strong numbers for the housing market and...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Personal Income Falls 3.6% as Dividend Payments Pull Back and Payroll Tax Hike Hits
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Uncertainty about the tax environment prior to January led companies to payout significantly higher dividends in December. The magnitude of the fall in income in January is half a story of dividend payments returning to normal levels and half a story of higher payroll taxes. The fall in dividend payments...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Canadian Economy Inches Forward in Q4
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Canadian real GDP nudged forward at an annualized rate of 0.6% in the fourth quarter, coming to almost a standstill to finish the year. The weak Q4 result follows a similarly soft Q3 showing (+0.7%) and registers growth for 2012 as a whole at 1.8%...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png Canadian Fourth-Quarter 2012 GDP Growth Remains Modest
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Annualized fourth-quarter 2012 growth in the Canadian economy remained disappointingly weak rising only 0.6% at an annualized rate. This represented little change from the 0.7% increase recorded in the third quarter of 2012, which was revised upward slightly from the 0.6% originally reported. Expectations had been for the fourth-quarter 2012...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png U.S. Personal Income Fell Because December's Big Gains Were Not Repeated and Tax Hikes Clipped PDI
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Personal consumer expenditure (PCE) rose by 0.2% in January 2013, which was faster than December 2012's downwardly revised 0.1% rise (previously 0.2%). Spending on durables fell 0.8%, largely reversing December's 1.0% rise. Spending on non-durables was unchanged, and spending on services climbed by 0.4%. The volume of consumer spending rose 0.1%...

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http://www.gainsy.com/templates/sj_w.../icons/usd.png U.S. Manufacturing Activity Growth Unexpectedly Accelerated in February; Construction Spending Declined to Start 2013
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded in February 2013 at a faster pace than the previous month as evidenced by the ISM manufacturing index rising to 54.2 in the month from 53.1 in January. The increase in the gauge of manufacturing activity in February put the index at its...

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