GAINSY Hottest Forecasts

Forex Signal Wrap-up: USD/CHF – Hold short entered at 0.9230
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

USD/CHF - 0.9236

Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A

Trend : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level :0.9212
Kijun-Sen level :0.9214
Ichimoku cloud top :0.9236
Ichimoku cloud bottom :0.9234

Original strategy :
Sold at 0.9230, Target: 0.9120, Stop: 0.9265

Short at 0.9230
Target: - 0.9120
0.9265

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U.S. Housing Starts Moderate in January after the Previous Month's Surge; Producer Prices Inched Higher in January
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Privately owned housing starts in the US declined by 8.5% to an annualized pace of 890,000 units in January 2013 and missed market expectations for a reading of 920,000. Softening the blow, however, was a sizable upward revision to the previous month's already lofty 954,000 annualized starts, with the pace of home building in December now registering an annualized pace of 973,000 units. ...

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Starts Fall, But the Housing Recovery Remains on Track
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

January's 8.5 percent drop in housing starts was slightly larger than consensus expectations but is not all that surprising given the upward revision to December's figures, which were bolstered by unusually mild weather and a rush to start projects before the end of the year. The seasonal adjustment factors are huge during the winter months, and it only takes a small change in actual activity to move the seasonally adjusted numbers in a big way. That appears to have been the case during the past couple of months, which saw starts surge 15.7 percent in December before falling 8.5 percent in January. We had expected a drop back to around 900,000 units because, at 987,000 units in December, starts were running considerably ahead of building permits, which were running at around a 900,000-unit pace prior to today's figures. ...

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USD Surges as as FOMC Minutes Indicates Possible Change to QE3
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

USD soars in US afternoon as FOMC minutes indicated that Fed policy makers would consider changes to the open ended QE3 program at the March meeting. Fed decided to continue to $45b per month purchase of Treasuries and $40b purchase of MBS in the January meeting. However, some officials noted...

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Debates On Continuation Of Fed's QE Remained Rigorous In January
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

The minutes for the January FOMC meeting indicated that policymakers were more upbeat on the US economic outlook as driven by improved business confidence and household consumption. They acknowledged better employment conditions but stressed that 'the recovery in the labor market was far from complete'. The debate on additional QE...

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Daily Statement: USD Maintains Post FOMC Minutes Gains
(GAINSY Technical Analysis)

Financial markets were rocked by FOMC minutes overnight as that triggered speculation that Fed could tune, or stop the open-ended QE3 sooner than expected. DOW decreased -108 pts to close below 14000 level at 13927. Gold was shot hard and decreased to as low as 1554 today as it finally took out 1600 psychological level decisively. USD index soared through 81 level and is now heading to 81.46 resistance and above. In the currency markets, dollar was broadly higher overnight and the strength carried on to Asian session today. Sterling is particularly weak as weighed down by BoE minutes released yesterday and it broke through an important medium term support level. JPY also recoiled strongly against most major currencies but USD/JPY is stuck in range so far. ...

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Forex Signal: EUR/USD – Sell at 1.3325
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

EUR/USD – 1.3263

Most recent candlesticks pattern : Shooting star

Trend : Near term down

Tenkan-Sen level :1.3263
Kijun-Sen level :1.3334
Ichimoku cloud top :1.3395
Ichimoku cloud bottom :1.3377

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Forex Signal: GBP/USD – Sell at 1.5290
(GAINSY Ichimoku Analysis)

GBP/USD - 1.5184

Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A

Trend : Down

Tenkan-Sen level : 1.5186
Kijun-Sen level :1.5289
Ichimoku cloud top :1.5461
Ichimoku cloud bottom :1.5448

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GBP/USD: GBP Tumbles On BoE Minutes
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The pair is expected to find support at 1.5119, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.5027. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.5375, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.5539....

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USD/CHF: Swiss Trade Balance Data Awaited
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9217, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9142. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9333, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9374....

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USD/JPY: JPY Advanced On Remarks From Prime Minister Shinzo Abe
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The pair is expected to find support at 93.06, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 92.64. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 93.98, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 94.47....

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USD/CAD: Lonnie Retreated On Weak Canadian Home Price Data, Oil Prices
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The pair is expected to find support at 1.0130, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0077. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0212, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0241....

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AUD/USD: Aussie Continues To Trade Lower In The Asian Session
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The pair is expected to find support at 1.0193, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0147. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0326, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0413....

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Markets Suffer Hectic Losses After BoE, Fed Minutes
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

A massive selloff swept the market yesterday following the hectic minutes of both the Federal Reserve and Bank of England's interest-adjusting committees, driving precious gold, the euro and the sterling to level not seen in many months ago, leaving the dollar as the cherry on top!...

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USD Bid On Hawkish FOMC Minutes, Euro-Zone PMIs In Focus
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

The risk appetite turned mild overnight, as the FOMC statements were hawkish on the current quantitative easing program in US. The discussions focused on the “costs and risks arising from asset purchases”, and the “complications” to exit the USD85bn worth monthly asset purchases program. The Fed is now seriously considering...

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Market's Crash After US FOMC Minutes
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

U.S. USD Trading (USD) in a very important trading day we saw large selling in US stocks post FOMC Minutes overnight as a 'number' of FED members expressed concern at the potential risks for further Asset purchases (QE). Some members suggested a halt to QE3 Purchases 'before' the US labor...

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Swiss Re To Pay Higher Dividend In 2012
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

Swiss Re, the world’s second-biggest insurer announced on Thursday it would pay shareholders about $2.8 billion after reporting an excess capital in 2012 supported by lower natural catastrophe claims. Shareholders will receive 3.50 francs per share in addition to a special dividend of 4 francs per share, which exceeded the...

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Sterling Hammered (Again) After BOE Minutes
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

On Wednesday, EUR/USD was well supported early in the session. However global sentiment on risk turned a bit more cautious later in the session. Finally, the publication of the Minutes of the January Fed meeting pushed EUR/USD below the 1.33 mark

Intraday , EUR/USD was well bid early in the session as sentiment on risk stayed con structive, even as several important equity indices were coming close to important resistance levels. EUR/USD had reached a ST correction top (1.3434 area) in Asia and the pair tried twice to retest this level early in Europe. However, it was a too high hu rdle and short - term profit taking kicked in .There were hardly any spill - over effects on EUR/USD from the rise in EUR/GBP after the publication of the BoE minutes. On the contrary, equities showed a slight loss of momentum and a few intraday selling waves reversed the overnight gains of EUR/USD. The pair decreased to the 1.3362 area early in US trading. The US eco data had no lasting impact on EUR/USD trading. The focus was on equities and on the Minutes of the January Fed meeting. The losses of US equities a t the open were contained. Initially, this slowed the decline of EUR/USD. However, markets clearly remembered the debate on the exit of policy stimulation as it appeared in the minutes of December meeting. ...

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European Manufacturing And Services Widen Contraction To Add To Worries, Euro Drops
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

European manufacturing and services data showed a widening contraction in the second month of 2013, to add to worries the euro area economy will not show any progress in the first quarter. PMI composite of manufacturing and services showed a contraction for a 13th month in Feb. where the contraction...

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European Shares 'Bleed' Following Fed Minutes, Eurozone Data
(GAINSY Fundamental Analysis)

European tumbled in the opening session on Thursday as minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest meeting showed that some members expressed conflict about the central bank's monetary-easing program which sparked economic concerns....

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