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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #38,161
  • Edited 10:55am Jan 26, 2013 10:39am | Edited 10:55am
[quote=drzakir123;6396089]
Quoting fti
i understand.
in all the years i was pro i seen lots good kids got mangled by it.
Ambition.

young peeps are reckless, feels needs get there.
some risk are unncessary. only humility can bring it home.
All needs is careless and rigidity. overconfidence.
one day it will happen, ego is worst enemy and using stops just give false sense never to learn properly.thats so true
peeps able stay pro are the ones knows how attack when have foreign...

how i wished my health not broken.
so much ahead.
unfortunately, i burn my candles both ends.
I not know , depends on God.

I learned hard way, follow God's will.
although i good follow markets, maybe is for me also ego lesson.

humans, we all alike.
i still get shivers down my spine thinking about some battles i had fought in the banks.
only difference between me and them that fell.
I had good mentors , instilled in me ability to walk away.
ability to eat humble pie , when need.
in so many ways, is the scout laws.
mostly scout law number 11, a scout is not a fool. an educated fool.


regards
  • #38,162
  • Jan 26, 2013 10:53am Jan 26, 2013 10:53am
[quote=fti;6396112]
Quoting drzakir123


how i wished my health not broken.
so much ahead.
unfortunately, i burn my candles both ends.
I not know , depends on God.

I learned hard way, follow God's will.
although i good follow markets, maybe is for me also ego lesson.

humans, we all alike.

regards
I hope you are given another chance.
  • #38,163
  • Edited 11:41am Jan 26, 2013 11:07am | Edited 11:41am
[quote=macroman;6396118]
Quoting fti

I hope you are given another chance.
yes.
and do what?
almost experienced everything there is to experience in life.
You will be shocked hear about some of the stuff i had seen, in life.
praying i can pass it for wise peeps learn, from what i try tell.
like some who had gone before us, tried do.

is ok, i just moving ahead , 1 step at a time now, slowly see my destiny.
Is so hard to die properly.

regards

she called it atonement.

Inserted Video


Inserted Video


my way?

Inserted Video
  • #38,164
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:54pm Jan 26, 2013 1:54pm
[quote=fti;6396126]
Quoting macroman

yes.
and do what?
almost experienced everything there is to experience in life.
You will be shocked hear about some of the stuff i had seen, in life.
praying i can pass it for wise peeps learn, from what i try tell.
like some who had gone before us, tried do.

is ok, i just moving ahead , 1 step at a time now, slowly see my destiny.
Is so hard to die properly.

regards

she called it atonement.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7JtjU3NS9s

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQCgFZz_rpc

my...
just go with the flow,look at the flowers,birds,sunset,sunrise,look at the insects,feel the air on ur cheeks,and be grateful to God for every breath ur taking,becos God in his mercy allowing u to experience life.even being unwell is an opportunity for u to be grateful to God.
honestly i am in trading so that i can understand myself better and if possible retire a bit early.the purpose is to retire to woods and spend my remaining life in meditating on God and enjoying nature,may God has mercy on me.
oh ya fti,it is not so hard to die properly, but i will say its so hard to live properly.i dont think we have any control on how we die but definatlely we have much control i how we live.and dont ask for death as it is a form of being ungrateful to God,regards
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #38,165
  • Edited 7:43am Jan 27, 2013 4:34am | Edited 7:43am
Quoting fti
ya ya, then now our brains like stones. Rigid as hell?
we so dang smart, knows everything already. Everything classified into boxes. No container? invent one.
Still we need to die. Put it in a box too. no box? invent one.
What changed?
still 1 track mind, in most things.
rigid in style rigid in system.

my computer, it only knows on , off, and, or, if, otherwise.
archieving data is impossible. memory is short.
and it wants run my life?
sure, why not?
life in a box.
1 trick evil pony. make money. join the game of evil when have money....
I write about the symbolism of abstraction.

death is not black or white, but a shade of gray?!?

fish needs water for fish life ... fish, water and life cooperates.
rgs

Sun explain cooperate "War is the greatest thing of state-a place
of life and death the way to survival or to
ruin And so it should be examined"
  • #38,166
  • Jan 27, 2013 10:33am Jan 27, 2013 10:33am
[quote=drzakir123;6396243]
Quoting fti

just go with the flow,look at the flowers,birds,sunset,sunrise,look at the insects,feel the air on ur cheeks,and be grateful to God for every breath ur taking,becos God in his mercy allowing u to experience life.even being unwell is an opportunity for u to be grateful to God.
honestly i am in trading so that i can understand myself better and if possible retire a bit early.the purpose is to retire to woods and spend my remaining life in meditating on God and enjoying nature,may God has mercy on me....
Sorry took a long rest.
Had to rest.
Is very difficult.
Any time i get intersted or excited by anything. I then feel weak all over and needs to sleep.

What you said is understood Dr., my friend.
I am in fact very greatful to be still breathing.
Is just very painful for the ego, be unable to be meaningful in life.
Is hard explain.
is like the mind chained by the body.

regards
  • #38,167
  • Edited 11:16am Jan 27, 2013 10:39am | Edited 11:16am
Quoting Gro
I write about the symbolism of abstraction.

death is not black or white, but a shade of gray?!?

fish needs water for fish life ... fish, water and life cooperates.
rgs

Sun explain cooperate "War is the greatest thing of state-a place
of life and death the way to survival or to
ruin And so it should be examined"
ai yo, said so many times .
you draw bwtter than you speak, my friend.
Your thought clearer in pics than words.

No, death has no colour.

And i hope you also get better interpreter read stuff.
Your intepretations very curvy.
I hope not damage your mind.

Here is an interpretation of what you read by Lionel Giles in 1910.
Is mostly quite accurate compared to what you reading.
You read carefully and see if what you read is correct.
In fact i find what your interpreter explains as very disturbing.

it reads.

" War is a MATTER OF VITAL IMPORTANCE to the state; A MATTER of life or death, the road either to survival or to ruin. Hence, it is IMPERATIVE that it be STUDIED thoroughly. "

This is what i find very disturbing about your interpretations.

1. is not the greatest thing of the state. PEACE and PROSPERITY is greater.
2. is not a place of life and death, but roads that can lead to survival or ruin.
3. therefore is an important subject to LEARN, no one is asking you examine or reinterprete it. It stated very clearly to be STUDIED. Understand?, LEARNED, not reinvented.

The 1st sentenses already i feel so worried for you.
What would your other interpretation of the thesis be like?
13 chapters? ai yo

regards
  • #38,168
  • Jan 27, 2013 11:31am Jan 27, 2013 11:31am
[quote=fti;6396891]
Quoting drzakir123

Sorry took a long rest.
Had to rest.
Is very difficult.
Any time i get intersted or excited by anything. I then feel weak all over and needs to sleep.

What you said is understood Dr., my friend.
I am in fact very greatful to be still breathing.
Is just very painful for the ego, be unable to be meaningful in life.
Is hard explain.
is like the mind chained by the body.

regards
New thoughts.
lets see if i can articulate it better.

you know, when I younger and before body coup de tat.
if i want go to jungle and sleep, I just need grap my stuffs and hop in 4 wheeler and go where ever i want or can get to.
Now the mind say this good, but the body says , ai ya , ok but for now am very tired. SLEEP HERE FIRST. we do that another day.
Rest assured , another day not comes. procrestination is really really the dumps.

I wanted go see antie before burial.
Got all dressed, waiting for transport.
This afternoon , it s done.
Me i was sleeping in my room. ai ya.


regards
  • #38,169
  • Edited 4:42pm Jan 27, 2013 2:38pm | Edited 4:42pm
Ok, now that i cannot sleep anymore.
because guilt of wahat i wanted do , and not done.

so i sit here
What is the terrain of the usd ahead?
Now, is very easy have a discussion and create in our mind a bias.
But really, i not want a bias, disturb the trading.
Only an understanding of the terrain , so that i can remove the fear of selling the greenbag.
because is alrady very very weak.
So i really need get the scared of drop fobia from the trades.

So how's the usd terrain looks like?
One knows how the ppro determinines a recession.
Technically is bad eco figs for 3 consecutive quarters.

Now i look at the rates situation, and the feds had kept rates close to non existent( near zero) for many years already?
Whats the impact from that? and economic figs not showing that its doing swat make the us recover.
One is we know that the savings peeps taking a beating, because their savings not meeting to the inflation of stuff.
But generally , is a resourcess that they can use to fund their expenditure. of course at the expenses of the savers.
Another thing is they devaluating the usd by pumping new money supply into the markets. ( mainly by printing)
So a weaker usd is acceptable outlook. We alraeady there.

Then i get a though.
Whats happened to all the inflation?

Is very evident that its been exported to all her allys.
THe cable is dangerously flurting with her imported inflation.
The euro had been stable , although in a very mismanaged manner. (the unthinkable word, default)
It would be too optimistic think the euro fiasco is out of the woods.
Only because the weak usd is making her not look so ugly.
Of course much of the exodus from the euro fiasco had gone to export inflation to Yen ,aud, swiss, can and other economies.
so they now trying arrest the situation.
In so many ways , maybe the the imported infaltion is begining sink em economies. Making trade uncompetitive.
So is not all together wrong to feel that maybe the imported inflation is reaching saturation point.

Now i get the dangerous thoughts.
Who the benefactors of all this?
Everyone knows , is the new kid on the block, Panda.
She has become a n econmic force to be eyed, has become a first world economy.

So the situation will continue.
The usd money supply will continue to be pumped hoping export the inflation to panda?
Is it possible?
one must remember that the CNY is not a free floated currency. Is pegged.
So if usd keeps devaluating.
All they need do is keep pegging in tendum until usd becomes worthless?

Whats most worrysome is the question. Why the panda economies can grow at such a great pace without overheating?
They have a niche.
now where's the real niche?
we know panda imports lots energy requirements and raw material.
so there would be little gain from the cost in raw materials.
But they not have a minimun wages system and they have the largest and cheapest labour resources in the world.
so how far can the usd devalue to equalise that niche?

is it even possible?

Ok lets see what the usd wants do from now.
but i not going have the fear thingy.
Can the usd go valueless? we shall see.

And where is the hedge for that?
gold is off the table for americans by new laws.
and gold is the medium of store of value for a long long time before it was transfered to (trust)goodwill instead.

And what will happen , if trade partners reverts to Gold again for store of value?
Why is germany asking for her gold from fort knox?
What will happen if americans move overseas so that they can have Gold on their hedge tables?
can't do it in us, so need diversify out?

Ok now i think i can remove the fobia from my mind that further devaluation of usd is not an immpossibility.
Only i pray is not going be the kind carbon copy of the exodus that hit the euro zone.
If usd exodus does happens, where can the smart moneys go.
Everyone may be near saturation already?
commodities?

ok Gro wants platform, so i listen to him instead.

regards
  • #38,170
  • Edited 3:25pm Jan 27, 2013 2:53pm | Edited 3:25pm
Quoting fti
ai yo, said so many times .
you draw bwtter than you speak, my friend.
Your thought clearer in pics than words.

No, death has no colour.

And i hope you also get better interpreter read stuff.
Your intepretations very curvy.
I hope not damage your mind.

Here is an interpretation of what you read by Lionel Giles in 1910.
Is mostly quite accurate compared to what you reading.
You read carefully and see if what you read is correct.
In fact i find what your interpreter explains as very disturbing.

it reads.

" War is a MATTER OF...
every breath kills exhale, that is war
each dish is kill, that is war
each prayer is kill, that is war

and number 13?, You want to explain the Mayan or Chinese mathematics?
maybe 12 Apostles with Christ but it is astrology.

"movement is endless using path and speed is controlled by the rhythm"

rgs

PS SunZiBingFa is the art of winning without
war.
There are three ways of reading, obvious,
parables and hidden ... Therefore, I stand in the air
  • #38,171
  • Edited 4:27pm Jan 27, 2013 3:40pm | Edited 4:27pm
Quoting Gro
every breath kills exhale, that is war
each dish is kill, that is war
each prayer is kill, that is war

and number 13?, You want to explain the Mayan or Chinese mathematics?
maybe 12 Apostles with Christ but it is astrology.

"movement is endless using path and speed is controlled by the rhythm"

rgs

PS SunZiBingFa is the art of winning without
war.
There are three ways of reading, obvious,
parables and hidden ... Therefore, I stand in the air

Gro, you going drive me insane.
must be real bad breath kill when exhaled.
who's dish we talking about. Ok is it porcelain?
no la, can't kill prayer, maybe the one parying only.

I know little about the mayan, so i pass.
For chinese , i only know in cantonese 13 is sounds same as "sure live".
so they consider it auspicious.
other than that i not aware anything do with 13.
14 is dangerous for cantonese, sounds as ""sure die"

12 apostles? whats that about? I only know from bible he had 12 diciples.

Oh e =mc2

Sun Zi Bing fa in chinese reads Sun Zi military skills. So is about war. All aspects of warfare. All.
Basically it says, fight if you must , but be skillful and it teaches the minndset for it.
The most skillful way is to win without need to destroy.
Basically if the enemy is all tied wrapped by his rigid mind. He no hands to fight.

Ok i standing in air too, is not possible for me survive stand in outer space.
but maybe you mean standing in mid air? i can't.

regards
  • #38,172
  • Jan 27, 2013 5:53pm Jan 27, 2013 5:53pm
Quoting fti

Gro, you going drive me insane.
must be real bad breath kill when exhaled.
who's dish we talking about. Ok is it porcelain?
no la, can't kill prayer, maybe the one parying only.

I know little about the mayan, so i pass.
For chinese , i only know in cantonese 13 is sounds same as "sure live".
so they consider it auspicious.
other than that i not aware anything do with 13.
14 is dangerous for cantonese, sounds as ""sure die"

12 apostles? whats that about? I only know from bible he had 12 diciples.

Oh e =mc2

Sun...

One more astronaut, or maybe just a new way for reading deal blotters P/L?

Rgds
  • #38,173
  • Jan 27, 2013 9:22pm Jan 27, 2013 9:22pm
About the famous statement, bout war in 1910, I kind of get it now, people take what they learned and historical patterns for granted, what is wrong thinking imo. There are so many variables and circumstances, even computers wouldn't be able to predict all things. That is why was meant, in war we will learn
Inserted Video
some ambient music if u like, such music guys
  • #38,174
  • Jan 28, 2013 1:03am Jan 28, 2013 1:03am
Quoting mijamoto
About the famous statement, bout war in 1910, I kind of get it now, people take what they learned and historical patterns for granted, what is wrong thinking imo. There are so many variables and circumstances, even computers wouldn't be able to predict all things. That is why was meant, in war we will learn
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GMINN0fELxs some ambient music if u like, such music guys
nice
sound reminds me of black dragon martial arts school theme.

anyway music makes serene instead of words we say.
makes lots misunderstandings and stress.
thanks, music more relaxing.

regards

oops, usd strenghtens?
now only euro stands out.
makes for them problems down the road.
hope PIIGS can survive.

ok, i need get into gear.
back to battlefields.
need be mindful bias mind.
Can tell mind very bias.
1st thought is if cable is hitting bottoms.
signs of very bias mind.
need be careful.

Need ask the market instead.
whats up your sleeves? ace or ducks?
show hand.
will be soon, have patience.
  • #38,175
  • Jan 28, 2013 1:41am Jan 28, 2013 1:41am
Quoting fti
Ok, now that i cannot sleep anymore.
because guilt of wahat i wanted do , and not done.

so i sit here
What is the terrain of the usd ahead?
Now, is very easy have a discussion and create in our mind a bias.
But really, i not want a bias, disturb the trading.
Only an understanding of the terrain , so that i can remove the fear of selling the greenbag.
because is alrady very very weak.
So i really need get the scared of drop fobia from the trades.

So how's the usd terrain looks like?
One knows how the ppro determinines...
Panda having fixed parity with crawling peg. Technically a gradual exit strategy from fixed parity. May be waiting for financial infrastructure to mature enough to manage free float.

regards
  • #38,176
  • Jan 28, 2013 1:42am Jan 28, 2013 1:42am
Fit
Ben fulford reading v interesting. Maybe new age of Japan coming.

One interesting comment he makes which is relevant here is that...
Most of the US$ are held OUTSIDE the US therefore printing US$ to devalue the US$ for US economic advantage won't work
:-)
Something to think about

P

Quoting fti
nice
sound reminds me of black dragon martial arts school theme.

anyway music makes serene instead of words we say.
makes lots misunderstandings and stress.
thanks, music more relaxing.

regards

oops, usd strenghtens?
now only euro stands out.
makes for them problems down the road.
hope PIIGS can survive.

ok, i need get into gear.
back to battlefields.
need be mindful bias mind.
Can tell mind very bias.
1st thought is if cable is hitting bottoms.
signs of very bias mind.
need be careful.

Need ask the market instead.
whats...
  • #38,177
  • Edited 4:35am Jan 28, 2013 2:41am | Edited 4:35am
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  • #38,178
  • Jan 28, 2013 3:22am Jan 28, 2013 3:22am
cheif!

how is today's battle unfolding?

regards
  • #38,179
  • Edited 4:00am Jan 28, 2013 3:23am | Edited 4:00am
Quoting cuthbert
cheif!

how is today's battle unfolding?

regards
can't catch no ball yet.
need wait still.
scouts running in and out. all out of rythm.
very fluid situation.
now scouts resting.
hectic day.
i thought sleeves had duck, turned out to be ace.

when mind rigid, best rest and wait , until mind steady and eyes clear.
now mind see something , eyes seeing something else.

regards

now just this.
waiting sh@t hits pot.
Attached Image
  • #38,180
  • Edited 4:47am Jan 28, 2013 4:05am | Edited 4:47am
maybe coming soon.
wake up the lions?
same song, 1 classic 1 melodic.

Inserted Video


watch those euro crosses, they pushing limits.
may just continue pushing the boundaries.

oh by the way, song title is ""must battle to win.""

says 30% is fate 70% is in the fight.

Inserted Video


acrofobia?
138 traders viewing now, 1 is registered:
Ferrym