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EURUSD predictive trading

  • #201
  • Nov 28, 2012 5:51am Nov 28, 2012 5:51am
I'll nip out and get the popcorn

( U.S. new home sales at 1500 gmt might help, or not !! )
  • #202
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:06am Nov 28, 2012 11:06am
Quoting Mike Haran
It is possible that we get quite a dramatic day today with an extreme movement, I am thinking that the afternoon session after 12 pm GMT will be where we see the action, could well be that we see the S3 levels touched. This is at

1.28082


if we do get a move down to this area we may get a bounce, but my target is still lower and the 3rd of December is stll on. I did discover another form of analysis that also confirmed the 12th December as another turn. I am going to investigate that method in more detail and it is possible that I maybe able...

Well the EURUSD fell to 1.28794 which was very close to my first call above of 1.28805 (0.00011) almost exactly in the time window, so now its a case of how far up we go, hopefully we do not break the previous top which will give us a method to project where the exact low will form.

http://screencast.com/t/B6RS1XIKzp


all the best


Mike Haran
  • #203
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:07am Nov 28, 2012 11:07am
17.05 London boys hopefully closing their long positions which will help !
  • #204
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:16am Nov 28, 2012 11:16am
Quoting Mike Haran
It is possible that we get quite a dramatic day today with an extreme movement, I am thinking that the afternoon session after 12 pm GMT will be where we see the action, could well be that we see the S3 levels touched. This is at

1.28082


if we do get a move down to this area we may get a bounce, but my target is still lower and the 3rd of December is stll on. I did discover another form of analysis that also confirmed the 12th December as another turn. I am going to investigate that method in more detail and it is possible that I maybe...

Erm Mike you'll have to be more careful when typing your numbers - 1.28082 is a lot different than 1.28805. Fortunately had a trailing stop so didnt lose all the profit waiting for it to go to 1.2808. The hard fall down didnt really happen , be honest. Instead we've got an early bounce to god knows where !
  • #205
  • Edited 11:54am Nov 28, 2012 11:41am | Edited 11:54am
I gave two levels Nelly 1.28805 and 1.28082 see above, you need to get your specs on. As I speak price is back at the daily open, so if if falls from here 1.29432 I can give a projection for the low.

Nelly, please read my posts because sure I post here expecting to be under pressure to perform, and when I am wrong I expect to be told...but when I am right then you either can say nothing or clap. Sure it was not a hard fall, but hey it fell on the day to one of two price levels, to within a 20 minute window, so for me that's a direct hit.

If you need better prediction levels I suggest you have a chat with god, because he will no doubt know the pip, unless the brokers slip him, sadly god does not trade as far as I am aware.
  • #206
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:53am Nov 28, 2012 11:53am
Hopefully that's the end of the bounce at 1. 2945.

Mike, I do believe in your general sentiment but I also believe you were expecting a large drop to 1.2808, then a bounce up . Infact what happened was a drop to 1.2878 then a bounce to 1.2945. I think you deliberately hedged your bets by mis-typing. So now we can expect drops to the 3-4 december to the 1.26500 mark yes ?

I'll go along with your sentiment but will say a drop to only 1.27500 by 4th december.
  • #207
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:57am Nov 28, 2012 11:57am
Quoting Mike Haran
I gave two levels Nelly
lol you cant give 2 levels that far apart. You've just had a friendly chat with your manager in his office, take it on the chin and stop digging a bigger hole
  • #208
  • Nov 28, 2012 12:30pm Nov 28, 2012 12:30pm
Haha can't help it Nelly if you are a bit dyslexic me old mucker
  • #209
  • Nov 28, 2012 12:39pm Nov 28, 2012 12:39pm
Quoting Mike Haran
Haha can't help it Nelly if you are a bit dyslexic me old mucker
Haha. Obviously you've worked for ppl in the past that were , hence the massive eventual losses !!!

Predicting a steep fall and giving 2 levels with a 77 pip gap, then claiming a triumph when you hit your upper level, does NOT keep this ship afloat Mr !

Keep up the ' good work ' we'll get there !!
  • #210
  • Nov 28, 2012 12:51pm Nov 28, 2012 12:51pm
Quoting Mike Haran
I gave two levels Nelly 1.28805 and 1.28082 see above, you need to get your specs on. As I speak price is back at the daily open, so if if falls from here 1.29432 I can give a projection for the low.

Nelly, please read my posts because sure I post here expecting to be under pressure to perform, and when I am wrong I expect to be told...but when I am right then you either can say nothing or clap. Sure it was not a hard fall, but hey it fell on the day to one of two price levels, to within a 20 minute window, so for me that's a direct hit.

If...
And yes I am expecting better prediction levels than a range of 77 pips, that's enormous !!

Within 20pips would be reasonable yes/ No ??
  • #211
  • Edited 1:47pm Nov 28, 2012 1:07pm | Edited 1:47pm
Nelly its levels not a range either level 1 or level 2. Time price together you get it, but this was the retrace for me one to be selling or adding more.


Ok prediction for the low on the 3rd, the one to buy

Level 1)1.2815 or (for Nelly) the second level 1.2803

on the 3rd December this is, not before could be one day after 4th December

White lines are the levels pink dotted line is when I think the turn will be in, I think this will be a low.


http://screencast.com/t/JMCHDvDSIvIY

All the best


Mike Haran
  • #212
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:55pm Nov 28, 2012 2:55pm
Nelly,

Why are you trolling Mike's thread so hard? He asks for no money for his calls and noone is forcing you to read it.
Its amazing that over 80% of your posts on FF are dedicated to mucking up this topic with your smarmy, smug quips....
Mike is right sometimes, mike is wrong sometimes, but to rub his nose in the dirt with nothing constructive at all is pretty childish.
You are only embarrassing yourself and it doesn't seem like anyone is amused by it....
Start your own thread with correct calls, it is certainly easier said than done.
  • #213
  • Nov 28, 2012 3:36pm Nov 28, 2012 3:36pm
Thanks Dolemite,

support appreciated, Nelly is a sad creature sort of like Smeagel in Lord of the rings, you pity him. I sold the EURUSD on the 22nd, not quite at the top, but close, I closed today at the low at 1.28805, bagin just over 100 pips, I thought today was going to be harder down, but I said a time 14.32 GMT to expect the volatility to hit, we got the first move up at 15.05 right within 0.0011 of a pip to one of the levels called, sure I called 1.28, but the time window was the important thing to consider as well. I was long from 1.28893 and I just closed out at 1.2940, which is just over 50 pips, Now I am short again from 1.2943 holding to my next turn in December, and provided we do not exceed 1.2945 my target call is still valid, if we go higher I will re-calculate. Net result for today is 150 pips from a market that went nowhere.

Even Gann who was a legend called turn only to 100 pip zones and sometimes only the month, so I consider what I do unique, as no one else does it, not to say they can't but they don't.

I think Nelly does not quite understand my posts, so he confused a level with a zone, hence he thought wrongly that I was calling a zone when I was calling two price levels. What makes me a bit sad is that what I am doing is quite amazing and when I started trading I would have been really impressed if I saw someone doing what I am doing now.

Its taken about 2 years of serious study and it was hard as most of the ideas are totally new and things I discovered through just masses of hard work, trading is boring as hell and this gave me an interest to relieve the boredom and make what I believe are giant steps in the area of technical analysis. Also I can now trade the daily swings and I have a good idea of when and where to get in and get out, so I am not chained to my computer and I can live a life.

Once again thanks for your support and with Nelly its like casting pearls before swine, he does not realise what this is because of the anger and resentment inside. I think I will prey for Nelly it might help.


All the best

Mike Haran
  • #214
  • Edited 4:33pm Nov 28, 2012 4:06pm | Edited 4:33pm
Quoting Dolemite
Nelly,

Why are you trolling Mike's thread so hard? He asks for no money for his calls and noone is forcing you to read it.
Its amazing that over 80% of your posts on FF are dedicated to mucking up this topic with your smarmy, smug quips....
Mike is right sometimes, mike is wrong sometimes, but to rub his nose in the dirt with nothing constructive at all is pretty childish.
You are only embarrassing yourself and it doesn't seem like anyone is amused by it....
Start your own thread with correct calls, it is certainly easier said than done.
1/ I have 2 personal messages to contradict that
2/ Im simply challenging the original prediction that is subtley changed as time go's on.
3/ As 2
4/ Im not embarrased / I'm not trying to amuse anyone
5/ I dont pretend to be able to predict anything so far into the future
  • #215
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:27pm Nov 28, 2012 4:27pm
Quoting Mike Haran
Thanks Dolemite,

support appreciated, Nelly is a sad creature sort of like Smeagel in Lord of the rings, you pity him. I sold the EURUSD on the 22nd, not quite at the top, but close, I closed today at the low at 1.28805, bagin just over 100 pips, I thought today was going to be harder down, but I said a time 14.32 GMT to expect the volatility to hit, we got the first move up at 15.05 right within 0.0011 of a pip to one of the levels called, sure I called 1.28, but the time window was the important thing to consider as well. I was long from 1.28893...
Mike you remind me of a salesman I once had. At the start of every month salesmen were asked to predict how many sales they would do for the coming month. The target was 10. Most guys would predict anything from 10-15 . Then we had a guy who predicted he'd do 100 and that he had a special way. Great what enthusiasm, what confidence. The directors were thinking about upgrading their cars!! Over the month there was one weird and wonderful excuse after the next about why the high volume of sales weren't coming in. When I queried it the guy got indignant and defensive, I even had a phone call from an ex colleague of his telling me how wonderful he was ! Come the end of the month he had achieved 11 sales and multiple stories that the other 89 were in the pipeline. Same thing happened the following month and then halfway into the month after that. Now the funny thing was the guy wasnt a bad salesman but he wanted to be a superstar. Being above average or good wasnt enough for him ! Anyway I could live with all the Billy Bullshit stories as the guy was on or over target. But the directors sacked him over my head for the simple reason it was skewing all their future planning.

I say this to you, my intention is not to troll you but simply to get you to be more specific and less vague. If your right in your predictions great,as long as those predictions are not changed or dressed up after the fact !!
  • #216
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:10pm Nov 28, 2012 6:10pm
Mike,

Keep up the good work! I can't take advantage of every call you make, but I do appreciate your willingness to go where others haven't gone before.

With the creation of your own thread comes followers: one day your the champ and the next...well you get my driff. If I had a clue as to how your theory worked, I would gladly offer input, however it sounds time consuming and quite complicated, so I will stand aside.

The nay sayers can only offend you if you allow them to Mike. Don't let'em get to you and I look forward to following you along on your journey.
  • #217
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:16pm Nov 28, 2012 6:16pm
Quoting Dolemite
Nelly,

Why are you trolling Mike's thread so hard? He asks for no money for his calls and noone is forcing you to read it.
Its amazing that over 80% of your posts on FF are dedicated to mucking up this topic with your smarmy, smug quips....
Mike is right sometimes, mike is wrong sometimes, but to rub his nose in the dirt with nothing constructive at all is pretty childish.
You are only embarrassing yourself and it doesn't seem like anyone is amused by it....
Start your own thread with correct calls, it is certainly easier said than done.
Agree with you, Dolemite.
Nelly should give constructive ideas. OK?
  • #218
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:29pm Nov 28, 2012 6:29pm
How heart warming Dolemite and Robert. So Mike the pathfinder going where no man has gone before and should be revered and applauded, but sadly no specific examples. Just that he's attempting something no one else has, and Robert, such a shame you haven't had the time to follow through his predictions.

I feel like I'm at a mock auction, with any question I have belittled by the auctioneer and backed up by the stooges in the audience, who say there was all sorts of valuable things in the boxs they bought for $20.But of course they fail to name what exactly.
  • #219
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:36pm Nov 28, 2012 6:36pm
Quoting hu5
Agree with you, Dolemite.
Nelly should give constructive ideas. OK?

Oh perlease !!! If this carries on Mikes gonna change his name to Iggy Pop ( and the stooges)
.

Hu5 = 6 posts all praising Mike
  • #220
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:43pm Nov 28, 2012 6:43pm
Thank you Mike.
I am still considering your calls amazing.
I usually trade with trendline, MACD and Fib indications.
If one of your calls meets with my signals, I will take certain step.
If it doesn't, I will be more cautious.
Sometimes I lost good chances, because I didn't know the WHY.

Looking forward to your further calls.
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