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Trading EURUSD only

  • #5,441
  • Oct 28, 2012 4:55pm Oct 28, 2012 4:55pm
Quoting stevewalker
with this post I reliaze that I can predict those arrows before price goes there
will work on that weekend
this can give us an advantage of knowing fast rejects before it happens.
with some additional math.
If a new fractal forms at around 1.2880 2 or 3 days after Friday's low, then if that gets breached again after say Wednesday I think sellers would come out of the shadows, and a bear trend would be confirmed. The upper fractal is currently around 1.3140 and I think if that were to get breached there could be a significant upthrust, but I happen to doubt that level will easily be achieved.
  • #5,442
  • Oct 28, 2012 4:59pm Oct 28, 2012 4:59pm
we can not say easly.
regarding to my long BT experience
price loves to move up after the lower channel broken.
like we have @D1 chart now.
moving up from broken LC is more poss then moving up from the upper side of the LC.

Quoting wiseambition
If a new fractal forms at around 1.2880 2 or 3 days after Friday's low, then if that gets breached again after say Wednesday I think sellers would come out of the shadows, and a bear trend would be confirmed. The upper fractal is currently around 1.3140 and I think if that were to get breached there could be a significant upthrust, but I happen to doubt that level will easily be achieved.
  • #5,443
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:00pm Oct 28, 2012 5:00pm
BT : Back Test
FT : Forward Test
added to Acronyms

Quoting stevewalker
we can not say easly.
regarding to my long BT experience
price loves to move up after the lower channel broken.
like we have @D1 chart now.
moving up from broken LC is more poss then moving up from the upper side of the LC.
  • #5,444
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:01pm Oct 28, 2012 5:01pm

Quoting thodie
thx walker
  • #5,445
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:02pm Oct 28, 2012 5:02pm
actually
1H UC 2937
4H UC 2938
broken

1H & 4H are in confirmation.
will enter long with retract
  • #5,446
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:05pm Oct 28, 2012 5:05pm
bah, no gap, trying a long here so!!
  • #5,447
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:05pm Oct 28, 2012 5:05pm
long @2940
1/2 NS
will add with lower levels

dead line 2923


Quoting stevewalker
actually
1H UC 2937
4H UC 2938
broken

1H & 4H are in confirmation.
will enter long with retract
  • #5,448
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:06pm Oct 28, 2012 5:06pm
I have to say I see the thing coming down overnight
  • #5,449
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:10pm Oct 28, 2012 5:10pm
circled are quite crowded
will be difficoult

Quoting stevewalker
long @2940
1/2 NS
will add with lower levels

dead line 2923
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: q3.gif Size: 34 KB
  • #5,450
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:11pm Oct 28, 2012 5:11pm
short @ 2939 - after the quick move below my levels I decided not to wait until 35 for entry. therefore adjusted SL to 50, now 45 as the initial probability of beeing right is partly lower.. Now will follow with SL @ M15 and see where it takes me
  • #5,451
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:12pm Oct 28, 2012 5:12pm
added long @ 2931
SS ( same size )

Quoting stevewalker
long @2940
1/2 NS
will add with lower levels

dead line 2923
  • #5,452
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:12pm Oct 28, 2012 5:12pm
who pips offers the drinks

Quoting luckyl
short @ 2939 - after the quick move below my levels I decided not to wait until 35 for entry. therefore adjusted SL to 50, now 45 as the initial probability of beeing right is partly lower.. Now will follow with SL @ M15 and see where it takes me
  • #5,453
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:14pm Oct 28, 2012 5:14pm
heiken ashi candlesticks on all TFs up to H2 are red now.....

bias is downwards
  • #5,454
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:15pm Oct 28, 2012 5:15pm
Quoting stevewalker
who pips offers the drinks

I'm always in for that type of agreement
  • #5,455
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:15pm Oct 28, 2012 5:15pm
too late for me.
next time pls warn earlier he he
Quoting wiseambition
heiken ashi candlesticks on all TFs up to H2 are red now.....

bias is downwards
  • #5,456
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:17pm Oct 28, 2012 5:17pm
cold beer!
or
dead "bear" for this case

Quoting luckyl
I'm always in for that type of agreement
  • #5,457
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:20pm Oct 28, 2012 5:20pm
Quoting luckyl
I'm always in for that type of agreement
champagne?? I´m in!!!!
  • #5,458
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:22pm Oct 28, 2012 5:22pm
Quoting stevewalker
too late for me.
next time pls warn earlier he he

virtually every indicator I've looked at for the last 10 days (since weekago Thursday lunchtime) has said SELL SELL SELL. Heiken Ashi is only one of them.

If it goes below a fractal formed on D1 1.2825 2wks ago, the next stop could be 1.26 or lower

Depends what TF you're trading of course. I do many trades on M1, M5 etc which arent necessarily in direction of the trend, but looking at the history of November 2010 and November 2011 (History often repeats itself), I am very bearish. Might change my mind, but the amalgamation of all factors I consider tells me that's the way to be.
  • #5,459
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:22pm Oct 28, 2012 5:22pm
man is rich
bro
we have two option
cheap wine or cold bear
we have also coke for non alcoholics

Quoting xandi
champagne?? I´m in!!!!
  • #5,460
  • Oct 28, 2012 5:23pm Oct 28, 2012 5:23pm
Quoting stevewalker
too late for me.
next time pls warn earlier he he

I did but you did not listen
I am off to bed in 40 min. going to be ready for Europe trading. it's getting late here. see you guys tomorrow here.
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