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Silent Service Method

  • #14,421
  • Aug 21, 2012 12:23pm Aug 21, 2012 12:23pm
Quoting C-12
I'm short the AUDUSD from the H4 Supply level. I don't like that it's broken to the upside of a down channel and just retested it.

Another thing is the markets looks very toppy here and are massively overbought into supply. Is that a pin forming on the Dow and S&P daily chart?
I am watching the same chart myself. The Fed releases its minutes tomorrow, so we will see......

The close today will be very important in NY. If the S&P gets a little bit of a boost, risk on. I think that will eventually be the case anyway.....but then again, I am just going by feeling.
  • #14,422
  • Aug 21, 2012 12:52pm Aug 21, 2012 12:52pm
Quoting C-12
I'm short the AUDUSD from the H4 Supply level. I don't like that it's broken to the upside of a down channel and just retested it.

Another thing is the markets looks very toppy here and are massively overbought into supply. Is that a pin forming on the Dow and S&P daily chart?
AUD CHF looks better.

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  • #14,423
  • Aug 21, 2012 1:13pm Aug 21, 2012 1:13pm
Quoting stewrigh
AUD CHF looks better.
Makes sense. Will have to chart this later when I get home and have look for a nice entry level.
  • #14,424
  • Aug 21, 2012 1:22pm Aug 21, 2012 1:22pm
Quoting Venice
I'm looking at the exact same thing here. We should be targeting 1.0450'ish. But... will this dumb thing actually continue down or stay moving up?
This is my beef with the Aussie right now. I've just closed my shorts for a small profit and will wait for another entry.
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  • #14,425
  • Aug 21, 2012 1:40pm Aug 21, 2012 1:40pm
Quoting C-12
Makes sense. Will have to chart this later when I get home and have look for a nice entry level.
I just can't/won't buy the dollar.
  • #14,426
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:11pm Aug 21, 2012 2:11pm
Quoting stewrigh
I just can't/won't buy the dollar.
I just did.
  • #14,427
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:12pm Aug 21, 2012 2:12pm
The S&P and Dow are taking a dive in late trading......looks like that breakout isn't going to happen. If the Federal Reserve minutes come out tomorrow and suggest that there isn't further easing coming soon - this will accelerate.

We will know the truth in a few weeks none the less.
  • #14,428
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:13pm Aug 21, 2012 2:13pm
Suddenly, the GBP/JPY looks interesting to the downside. We will see how it closes, but 125 matters.
  • #14,429
  • Aug 21, 2012 3:57pm Aug 21, 2012 3:57pm
Quoting clockwork71
The S&P and Dow are taking a dive in late trading......looks like that breakout isn't going to happen. If the Federal Reserve minutes come out tomorrow and suggest that there isn't further easing coming soon - this will accelerate.

We will know the truth in a few weeks none the less.
I can't believe the markets are still running on this nonsense really... Besides... I don't think the Fed will do any bit of easing as long as the dollar is where it is.

For QE1/QE2... we were around what, 88.00$ on the US$ Index? I guess we haven't gotten back up to that... but the markets are much higher now too.

Can you imagine what the stock market would do if they started easing again? Keepa stacking that air on air. Make the collapse even bigger... why not. LOL.

I'll be looking for the US$ to get back around 80$ and I will be a buyer again.
  • #14,430
  • Aug 21, 2012 5:01pm Aug 21, 2012 5:01pm
Quoting Venice
I'll be looking for the US$ to get back around 80$ and I will be a buyer again.
It makes sense for the dollar to keep battering the euro but Doc over at the AG forum has just made a great post on why he sees 1.32 in the pipeline.

He sees weekly and monthly supply as a magnet and a couple of obvious unfilled gaps on the way up there. He also points to the higher lows and strong upthrusts on the daily since the 1.20 low last month.

Today's breakout was certainly a bullish sign either way.
  • #14,431
  • Aug 21, 2012 5:32pm Aug 21, 2012 5:32pm
Quoting C-12
It makes sense for the dollar to keep battering the euro but Doc over at the AG forum has just made a great post on why he sees 1.32 in the pipeline.

He sees weekly and monthly supply as a magnet and a couple of obvious unfilled gaps on the way up there. He also points to the higher lows and strong upthrusts on the daily since the 1.20 low last month.

Today's breakout was certainly a bullish sign either way.
What goes up, comes down. To screw the little guy. Then takes off again. 2360'ish... you will find me a buyer of this fatty.
  • #14,432
  • Aug 21, 2012 6:53pm Aug 21, 2012 6:53pm
Quoting C-12
Makes sense. Will have to chart this later when I get home and have look for a nice entry level.
I got taken in short last night on the AUD/CHF.
  • #14,433
  • Aug 22, 2012 4:14am Aug 22, 2012 4:14am
Quoting mypipbull
I got taken in short last night on the AUD/CHF.
I've been in since 250 and I think this'll be a runner - divergence works nearly every time lol
  • #14,434
  • Aug 22, 2012 4:25am Aug 22, 2012 4:25am
Another divergence play I'm watching but not sure about the fundies. I like the look of the GBPCHF too but I'm already in the franc.

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  • #14,435
  • Aug 22, 2012 6:10am Aug 22, 2012 6:10am
Quoting stewrigh
Another divergence play I'm watching but not sure about the fundies. I like the look of the GBPCHF too but I'm already in the franc.

Attachment
Funny you should mention GBP/CHF, I went long with a small position last night.....
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  • #14,436
  • Aug 22, 2012 6:54am Aug 22, 2012 6:54am
Quoting clockwork71
Funny you should mention GBP/CHF, I went long with a small position last night.....
Needless to say I'm looking at short if I see the PA I want(a break below the ltl might get me interested). Just wish the SNB would butt out.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #14,437
  • Aug 22, 2012 7:43am Aug 22, 2012 7:43am
Quoting stewrigh
Another divergence play I'm watching but not sure about the fundies. I like the look of the GBPCHF too but I'm already in the franc.

Attachment
Increased dairy prices should do it

http://www.actionforex.com/action-in...0120816172235/
  • #14,438
  • Aug 22, 2012 12:09pm Aug 22, 2012 12:09pm
Anyone interested in Orange juice? - breakout?

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  • #14,439
  • Aug 22, 2012 12:57pm Aug 22, 2012 12:57pm
FOMC Minutes release in minutes... what drama shall we have this week?
  • #14,440
  • Aug 22, 2012 1:13pm Aug 22, 2012 1:13pm
Quoting Venice
FOMC Minutes release in minutes... what drama shall we have this week?
Pop goes the weasel these markets are nuts
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