Universal vforex System

I believe this new system can really work out for all of us, if anyone can help me code it I think we all can be a little more relaxed, either by using it automated, or just by the facilities it brings this system consist on some basic points
1: Elliot waves recognition:
Calculator giving a percentage as well as a drawing in the screen if the next elliot wave is likely going down then a red arrow appears alongside elliot wave, chances it can be done by altering a zigzag but without repaint, this got a 15% on global percentage
2: game theory (part 1 ):
Custom made fundamental indicator grabbing only divergence automated directly from forex factory
If difference of expected high impact news results are good for example japan ppi forecast 2 actual 4 then it has +2 points, next news release Japanese cpi forecast 3 actual -4 then it gets a –1 , the +2 and -1 equals 1 positive point, do this for every news release each month or custom period , this got 30% on global percentage the points get summated and give a total all the time, they need to be charged in a predestined pattern, in cycles of 1 month ,no normalization (this way the symbolic use here probably never get absolute buy or sell )only total summed points (fundamental positive or negative points), automating hour detecting diference from forex factory to the pc so plotting is correct
3: game theory (part 2)
probability meter with(a custom indicator like nitro from wyfx without histogram) histogram appears on below not only global percentage for example all percentage of ind is : 90% , this weight on global got 15%
4:a chart on the left displaying the following with live news feeds:
central bank announcements(last ones):1banks: greek economy bla bla,2 banks: spain is damned,3 bla bla
credit ratings : (same as up)
geopolitical events (recorded all of the day : (same as up but with different news feed or a filter for only geopolitical events) 1 obama is going to expres a new plan in Washington 2 irak people bomb a oil ship , etc
5: candlesticks
Large candlesticks recognition this has 20%
Something like this:
http://intelligenttradingtech.blogspot.mx/2010/06/quantitative-candlestick-pattern.html
http://www.hotcandlestick.com/candles.htm
http://www.forexhit.com/learn-forex/price-patterns.html

in a mt4 indicator with recognition
like the one im putting here, almost every indicator is found either here or in mql4

6 : neural net and garch
a garch multi-variation model to predict the radius and a neural network to predict the center, and combined giving a forecast, remember in garch models the most important is high and low, no open or close and it also must say which model predicting for example in one hour is going to have the most change in % FROM ACTUAL PRICE, this is important because we are hunting highs and lows only, not open and close , eurusd usdjpy, or mostly G10 countries or ones with low spread , this one appears like nitro individual saying the probable change in 1 hour or current tf of the pair and also a global which financial instrument is going to have the biggest change from actual price to next bar , the individual part of change percentage must be added to the global 20% but keep in mind we need atleast 10 bars x number of inputs , as for the neural net we can check if feedforward or recurrent neural net is better by performing 2 different forward tests , this has 20%
swopec.hhs.se/hastef/papers/hastef0669.pdf
http://ideas.repec.org/p/wpa/wuwpem/0004007.html
7: broker volume indicator or sentiment indicator: seeing other market orders as a whole with many brokers using an indicator like volume spread analisis and getting the percentage of bulls and bears in like 50 brokers, there is a mt4i sentiment indicator that proves percentage of winners and loosers, oviously if made with 50 brokers this can get really interesting , specialy to get into market extremes, this one has no percentage
http://www.mt4i.com/connect/connect.aspx#sentiment



8: oviously the global percentage would be the thing used to perform a trade, but we would need to optimize the best TF and sl/tp yet I think its downhill from number 6 because most of what we are missing are support ,resistance lines and channels
9: once optimized the idea is to enter price when probability is high with a trailing stop of 20 pips supported by volume, trailing stop, but with HEAVY account percentage maybe risk/r 1:4
OR using tops and bottoms to use sl/tp

conclusion:
1: we need a new indicator of fundamentals like the thing i draw in the file
i believe this can be done by pimping an indicator called fx pulse
http://www.forexeasystems.com/forex-...tool-fx-pulse/

2: we need a good neural network combined with the garch radius to show probable outcomes i gave the links to check out some useful info

3:we need the eliot wave recognition

4: we need to pimp the pattern recognition indicator so it gets alot of more patters like the ones in the links

5: we could use mt4i sentiment alone, but i think using volume spread analisis like here
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=170432 on many brokers with an average can help spice things up a bit

better yet, lets put the "Nonlinear GARCH (NGARCH) also known as Nonlinear Asymmetric GARCH(1,1) (NAGARCH) was introduced by Engle and Ng in 1993.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...90f2f9d646.png
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...0e8c788b55.png."
For stock returns, parameter http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...ab77c5f6f5.png is usually estimated to be positive; in this case, it reflects the leverage effect, signifying that negative returns increase future volatility by a larger amount than positive returns of the same magnitud." wikiquote
Since high leverage is a part of the game so other garch models may not be as good as this one i think the program encog can be of use here, there are other easier ones, but they cost alot

And for the way to enter trades i think this is the best order
1: check the AI for range and radius
2: if possible uptrend/downtrend detected is more than half of the pips we want (with commisions in check) then
3:check sentiment indicator normally when mt4i is at extremes markets shift directions, so unless the mathematical models are hoping for the "beginning" of a trend we might be hunting for extremes, and since 95% of traders loose money we can use psychology with us,to get market extremes since most likely when 90%-95% of traders are in loss/win most likely a shift in the trend is about to begin because of fear/greed since the euforia/risk aversion cycle repeats forever, i have done good money just with the jpy using the fact that it respects more tops and bottoms and say gbp specially reinforced with sentiment indicator
4: check elliot waves detector for further reassurance
5: check game theory and probability , if we are going to short, then our divergence points must be in the red zone or viceversa like the technical probability
6:enter trade with stop loss and take profit at resistance points

a neural network failed misserable with a real test of 300 bucks ,
this test looks promising enough
ive been using sentiment as a continuation of trend/ reversal indicator so far with amazing results and manual confirmation of a trend in an order flow, so far looks good but everything is manual
since forex is a 0 sum game, someone has to loose for someone to win, so you must realize the interest at play (smart money) or the retal interest at play (most likely loosing money) and if numbers of buyers are more than 60% 70% continuation of trend and if more than 90% reversal

same sentiment confirmation

using anonimous liquidity providers ive tried to calculate the most possible response to which market its going bear/bull problem is it would be even better with a risk reward dashboard like one from an arab forum i cached, in my experience russian and arabs are amazing in forex , my hipotesis is by using a risk aversion dashboard, and calculating probable outcomes by the liquidity providers it can be possible to determine profit release

the orders are in IB if someone codes something to get the bid ask etc into metatrader it would help alot , i forgot to add newscalc just dwld it from here remember no indicator im using is mine and the risk aversion dashboard i cached is just a picture, its a pain to do everything manualy if someone codes "useful stuff" like in the pictures or to use the order flow in mt4 we can share the information , happy pips

so far looks good, this time with real money

Go here for latest version
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=326551

thanks euclid for your great work
also use this, ive found out a way to use a dashboard free
1 download broco trader
http://www.brocompany.com/trading-pl.../broco-trader/
this guys are amazing they have indices from many many places
2: download the indicator i attached, this is from oasis wealthbuilders
now you can be more confident in your skills when you enter a trade
remember to put show all in metatrader before you use the indicator
3: read this
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/...etanalysis.asp
http://www.traderplanet.com/library/intermarket
http://www.babypips.com/school/inter...eat-sheet.html
http://www.krk-imra.com/
just google intermarket analysis pdf and read the first 5 books, youll get it

im also incorporating to the strategy the concepts of 2 comercial guys, some one that explained the market maker buisness model , and the other who said the same thing , so you can do 2 things, go pay 5000$ to this guys and take their course, or read this , and download this indicator named orderflow (i think it plots currency futures volume, altho i dont knoe) that shows delta volumes , the problem is a really annoying alarm every 2 mins
http://www.krk-imra.com/
read this
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=154339

to use this indicators check this out first





theres a guy in ff named fti, i believe hes a financial wordsmith m"#$f#%$ genius with a thread named technical analysis fallacy, he is an absolute read
some more tips for noobs

remember one thing if there is any noob checking this out.. technical analysis as in rsi , macd, in short time frames DOSENT WORK , i learned it the hard way

im giving this all up because i want to have a name for myself im in this for the long run

if you want to scalp, forget triangular arbitrage thats the uranium in this buisness, you need a proper plant to make it ( custom hardware, ultra fast speed, bank conections etc)

in this game news are power, theres an old saying buy on the rumor sell on the news

ask yourself if the market is a 0 sum game and if you were a liquidity provider, how would you make money?? risking something (absorbing your consumer positions) and praying to god you dont loose your money??? or make use or better information manipulating some "things" in order so you do this in the long run

we all make mistakes, dont put alot of your capital unless draghi told you like his homeboys "secretly" what he was going to say dont believe me? check out spot gold lets just say in the time of the announcement

people dont want you to succed because if you do that means they are wrong , but then again most likely if you do succed you will understand the masses are always wrong ALWAYS WRONG

another saying , sell your shares when the shoe shining boy tells you to buy them

this is my opinion, take what you need of it

also, the news announcements bia the public reuters feed and metatraders were made the exact time that the euro already climbed to its heights

most likely market makers think we were all going to say YEAH LETS BUY NOW AT THE HEIGHTS

i hope any of you guys took my advise that the euro was at the top and made some nice pips good luck!!

Thanks for sharing , intermarket v4 didnt work.

Can you help plz

i've found 3 tools which is very useful for in-depth trades

1. concentrated price volume, which can seen as "dips". then you may go in during pullback or retest
2. currency strength meter.
3. semi martingale method

the rest of the technical analysis is for reading the charts. tools above are very powerful for confirmation

G'day Allngap
Any chance you can post a pic of this bit? 1. concentrated price volume, which can seen as "dips". then you may go in during pullback or retest

No problem, i think broco is out of buisness but ill upload it from my computer the last version i had

1: thats a good idea, i use vwap algorithm
2: also try ccp, it gives you a good idea of the baskets of currency's
3: in all honesty, never ever do anything sort of martingale, if you dont believe me check this out
http://www.bettingsimulation.com/
and even if it worked, its too much risk for too little reward

Well guys sorry for not answering sooner, the truth is i was very very occupied by work, you see i found something very similarly close to the holy grail , it involves many of the things i said here and also this

http://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentr...etrics-toolbox

some guys sell a statarb here, but unfortunately statistics alone cant help you you need to combine everything and then bet on a little win with 99% of probability with high leverage, unfortunately the only variable i never contemplated was getting raped by the retail brokers, you see in my mind id rather have one continuous client paying me 1 dolar than to trick him with this , i guess greed is everything for some people



why am i so sure that i got tricked? well since i like to record what i do on my job i had a mirror trade on the same broker that i used and guess what?
i lost 5000 usd in a trade and in the mirror trade i won 1000 usd , because of commisions and some nasty buisness they did , funny thing was that i bought and wanted to get out sooner so i tried to quickly short, the virtual dealer plugin did its job of keeping me waiting 5 more seconds and guess what? i should have won more than 3000 usd because the price skyrocketed, after that moment i closed my pamm account and went looking for a broker ever since

this is my account , http://pamm.hotforex.com/en/managerd...793&usermode=0
they made me look like a complete dumbass and i made 400% in aprox one month and a half, i beat number one in 2 months
i am working now with interactive brokers, and although i havent had any problems with them regarding execution , the 40:1 leverage is too low
so im thinking that i want to start my own retail ecn forex broker with no requotes and bullshit since i cant find one
how can you tell if a broker is honest?

i think by this

so in all honesty guys, and please save yourselves some frustation and pain and believe that the old saying BROKER IS OUT TO GETTCHA that i laughed at , is true

any of you that are in a quest to find indicators, ill put some that i have to help you