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Moving Average price Action - Outlook for FX, Indices, Commodities

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited 8:02pm Jun 25, 2012 3:07am | Edited 8:02pm
Hi all,

Some videos I recorded earlier today of some of the markets I trade.

Many of the techniques I use are based on pure Price Action, simple (and advanced) Gann techniques, Geometry, Momentum and human behaviour.

NOTE: I do not forecast. I anticipate market movement using price and advanced moving average patterns, all of which are proprietary.

Free analysis provided on my thoughts below, any questions feel free to ask


JUNE 25, 2012

(you'll need to select 720p quality and view in full screen to see everything).

S&P500:
Inserted Video



OIL:
Inserted Video


GOLD & SILVER:
Inserted Video


$US:
Inserted Video


BONDS:
Inserted Video




Some background info/example techniques in these vids:

EURO:
Inserted Video


EURO 2:
Inserted Video


GOLD:
Inserted Video




Will be posting charts, videos and techniques here on a very regular basis.

Enjoy
  • #2
  • Edited Jun 26, 2012 2:12am Jun 25, 2012 3:18am | Edited Jun 26, 2012 2:12am
From a cyclical perspective, these are from ~ a week ago.

Click thumbnails for fullscreen, lots of info here..


http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/1...thlycycles.png


http://img803.imageshack.us/img803/7...thlyfoldba.png
  • #3
  • Jun 25, 2012 10:25am Jun 25, 2012 10:25am
Quoting rg144
From a cyclical perspective, these are from ~ a week ago.

Click thumbnails for fullscreen, lots of info here....
May i know how you get the chart with cyclical indicator? Which chart platform are you using?
  • #4
  • Jun 25, 2012 8:29pm Jun 25, 2012 8:29pm
Quoting Fx2ProTrader
May i know how you get the chart with cyclical indicator? Which chart platform are you using?
Hi Fx2- I use Market Analyst (http://www.mav7.com).
Regarding the cycle- this is not an indicator. I quickly measured distance using Market Analysts measurement tool from
* highs -> lows,
* lows -> lows,
* lows -> highs and
* highs -> highs

and noticed they were all very similar, and so it was evident a cycle was at hand. And then simply drew the cycle in.
  • #5
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:32am Jun 26, 2012 4:32am
Quoting rg144
Hi Fx2- I use Market Analyst (http://www.mav7.com).
Regarding the cycle- this is not an indicator. I quickly measured distance using Market Analysts measurement tool from
* highs -> lows,
* lows -> lows,
* lows -> highs and
* highs -> highs

and noticed they were all very similar, and so it was evident a cycle was at hand. And then simply drew the cycle in.

Wow ! Just noticed the software is not cheap. How about the Elliot Wave? Does the software provide such kind of function?
  • #6
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:51am Jun 26, 2012 4:51am
Unfortunately not. It is geared towards advanced Gann analysis.

But I can say this- having used everything from Dynamic Trader, Amnibroker, Advanced GET, Sierra, MetaStock, TradeStation, Ninja and many other platforms, Market Analyst is heads n shoulders above the rest for charting.
  • #7
  • Jun 26, 2012 6:34am Jun 26, 2012 6:34am
Quoting rg144
Unfortunately not. It is geared towards advanced Gann analysis.

But I can say this- having used everything from Dynamic Trader, Amnibroker, Advanced GET, Sierra, MetaStock, TradeStation, Ninja and many other platforms, Market Analyst is heads n shoulders above the rest for charting.
Haha....... "heads n shoulders".

Great! I will look into this software here by your screenshot and analysis.
  • #8
  • Jun 26, 2012 6:40am Jun 26, 2012 6:40am
Could you please post some analysis for mid term about EURUSD ? According to your expectation from analysis, when is the next uptrend correction before EURO could fall to 1.00?

Thanks !
  • #9
  • Jun 26, 2012 6:47am Jun 26, 2012 6:47am
EUR/USD is currently in a distribution (sideways) phase as seen on a DAILY chart. A potential next move down is still a few weeks away at best.

1.0000 is a long term target IF all hell breaks loose (i.e Greece exits the Euro, Spain & Italy default etc etc).

I'll post mid-term thoughts tomorrow.
  • #10
  • Jun 26, 2012 11:08am Jun 26, 2012 11:08am
Nice charts and videos man.

I take it you are a rather long term position holder?
  • #11
  • Jun 27, 2012 7:52am Jun 27, 2012 7:52am
thanks for the kind words mogul

At present and foreseeable future I am position trading off daily/weekly timeframes, working towards managing a portfolio fund.

However the techniques/methods in this thread can be applied to any liquid market, any timeframe.

For years I traded ES futures solely as bread & butter income, strictly intraday only. Also the DAX, CL and currency futures, but predominately the S&P.

Some random snaps from the past of some trades/real-time analysis.
Ahh the good ol' days


(you'll have to click on these as they were snapped at high res off some very large screens).

ES - 8th October, 2009 - 1min LONG

http://img560.imageshack.us/img560/5...minlong.th.png


ES - 10th November, 2009 - 15min LONG

http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/736...15mines.th.png


You'll hear me mention "reaction" or "short term moving average reaction" a lot, so these charts above should explain that.
  • #12
  • Jun 27, 2012 9:05am Jun 27, 2012 9:05am
Quoting rg144
thanks for the kind words mogul

At present and foreseeable future I am position trading off daily/weekly timeframes, working towards managing a portfolio fund.

However the techniques/methods in this thread can be applied to any liquid market, any timeframe.

For years I traded ES futures solely as bread & butter income, strictly intraday only. Also the DAX, CL and currency futures, but predominately the S&P.

Some random snaps from the past of some trades/real-time analysis.
Ahh the good ol' days


(you'll have to click...
Nice setups and I like your trading style. Mostly price action with a bit of Aussie swearing, lol

I look forward to seeing more of your charts!
  • #13
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:58pm Jun 29, 2012 2:58pm
As per Crude video earlier- "watching crude closely now". Have since reversed LONG as below, pretty simple also given Natural Gas was leading the way too.

This really was the perfect reversal, you couldn't miss it.

We had TAIL BARS (candles with long wicks) on EVERY INTRADAY TIMEFRAME, with BIG SUPPORT on the WEEKLY coming off that ~$77 as highlighted in the crude video.

Snap from yesterday.

http://img69.imageshack.us/img69/489...crudeoilx4.png

Timeframes above for the unaware- (counterclockwise starting from top right): 240min, 60min, 15min, 5min

Enjoy.
  • #14
  • Oct 29, 2012 4:15am Oct 29, 2012 4:15am
Hey all,

New Videos up for the S&P500, EURO, GOLD, OIL & BONDS.

Also a little one on stockmarket crashes & bubbles- with respect to where we are NOW on the NASDAQ, and whats happened historically.

We're at critical levels now in all markets, and with the 2012 Presidential Election due next week, things could get STICKY.


(As always you'll need to select at least 720p quality to see the charts well, but i recommend 1080p)

S&P500:

Inserted Video



Stockmarket Crashes & Bubbles (S&P500 Part 2):

Inserted Video



EURO:

Inserted Video



CRUDE OIL:

Inserted Video



BONDS:

Inserted Video



GOLD:

Inserted Video



Peace.
  • #15
  • Last Post: Edited 8:32am Apr 9, 2013 7:50am | Edited 8:32am
Guys,

Attached my new GEOMETRY Newsletter covering the following markets on a monthly basis:

S&P500 | SPI200 (Australian equities) | EURUSD | GBPUSD | AUDUSD | USDJPY | CRUDE OIL | GOLD

You wont find content and advanced analysis like this anywhere in the world for FREE.

If you would like to be on the mailing list feel free to send me a pm with your name & email.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 13.04.06 - TGM.pdf   1.3 MB | 1,538 downloads
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