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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #34,461
  • Jun 26, 2012 12:19am Jun 26, 2012 12:19am
Quoting fti
seriously.
even dealers need have time for a short proper meal.
The sob acts like there not enough time to trade on a 24 hours market.
some peeps need their egos fixed real good.
whats the point pumping volitility when everyone quoting is out for lunch.
surely he's not have size trying move markets.
Is always small little dick heads like feel they big.
makes all little ants confused like sh*t

Hi Fti,

What is that you see in the market that leads you to these conclusions..?
  • #34,462
  • Edited 1:13am Jun 26, 2012 12:22am | Edited 1:13am
Quoting Acs_112
Hi Fti,

What is that you see in the market that leads you to these conclusions..?
this week .
seems have many parties trying all sorts tricks move markets during tokyo lunch.
for today rating agency came out with rating moves during tokyo lunch.
so no one got to trade that , so now no ones interested trade.
moreover all awaiting japanese tax changes to readjust.
If i was making markets today, i would try find some nausea and dizziness or eye pain excuse to get out of the chair also.
extream case would be i have a pain in the as..

regards

Inserted Video
  • #34,463
  • Jun 26, 2012 2:00am Jun 26, 2012 2:00am
tax hike approved
usd going to fly
  • #34,464
  • Jun 26, 2012 2:11am Jun 26, 2012 2:11am
they selling euro cable big
soon all collapses on itself
  • #34,465
  • Jun 26, 2012 2:11am Jun 26, 2012 2:11am
Thanks fti, I enjoy reading your perception on the reason why markets are acting this way. Guess that's the advantage of being a dealer before.

you were spot on for eur yesterday. I was on the wrong side as I felt more bullish. Managed to rescue though. Seems my understanding of the market form is not up to par yet.

wonder how long will the range play last, are you dancing now?

regards
  • #34,466
  • Jun 26, 2012 2:17am Jun 26, 2012 2:17am
there will be option barrier support for a while
but will penetrate if hevy top comes or on expiry later when option writers neutralise their hedge
  • #34,467
  • Jun 26, 2012 2:55am Jun 26, 2012 2:55am
Quoting Sampio
Thanks fti, I enjoy reading your perception on the reason why markets are acting this way. Guess that's the advantage of being a dealer before.

you were spot on for eur yesterday. I was on the wrong side as I felt more bullish. Managed to rescue though. Seems my understanding of the market form is not up to par yet.

wonder how long will the range play last, are you dancing now?

regards
you knoew not what you talking about
.
read 2000 pages and the sub thread by dutchangel.
then maybe you can talk to me.
my satay is not for fanning.
  • #34,468
  • Edited 4:27am Jun 26, 2012 3:56am | Edited 4:27am
such sinister engineering to artificislly support a devalued currency.

the 'smart' kid thinks he has aced.
used long sword options buying paying premiums for time.
causing writers keep buying the euro to hedge.
then the sells euro crosses cabl;e and the yen and swiss and aud
to export infaltion to the other economies that are still productive.

and they think every one is held ransom to stay high to carry them , until they can find way out.
peeps and markets are not stupid la.
once evry one discovers they carring your still born.
then the brick you engineered will come falling down.
pray that it not land on your evil brains and smash it to smitterins

blacksmith the sword that cut your own throat.

i think the fire wall is very short euro and very long other currencies
forcing export inflation.
so unless the other currencies also bellys up they buy time supported
and hedged
if euro suddenly gapps down
they in fact make money from trading instead of managing productive economies.

so when euro crashes. all others gets dragged down, while they benifit from their euro shorts with every other cb defending the drop with their foreign reserves.
what sick brains engineering.
  • #34,469
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:21am Jun 26, 2012 4:21am
so now the trick is to wait for all other cbs drop rates.
if no one sells the euro
then the firewall can go bankrupt.

already panda saw their trick.
signalling that they may lower rates soon.

any economy not willing do so will suffer same fates becomes overheated.
  • #34,470
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:31am Jun 26, 2012 4:31am
Hi FTI,

What's the difference when US and UK are busy printing money - surely QE is just another way of achieving the same although the method is more upfront? QE also exports problems by devaluing the currency at the expense of anyone holding QE debt so isn't it much the same?
  • #34,471
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:36am Jun 26, 2012 4:36am
Quoting triphop
Hi FTI,

What's the difference when US and UK are busy printing money - surely QE is just another way of achieving the same although the method is more upfront? QE also exports problems by devaluing the currency at the expense of anyone holding QE debt so isn't it much the same?
ya they from same school, probably same class.
but they traitors to their own people.
thats not for traders to judge.
we trade what we see.


regards
  • #34,472
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:39am Jun 26, 2012 4:39am
Understood
  • #34,473
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:45am Jun 26, 2012 4:45am
Quoting triphop
Understood
can you see whats happening in ghermany.
they cannot do this, still able look their own in the eyes and tell them .
well we sold your hard earned savings for friendship.

regards
  • #34,474
  • Jun 26, 2012 4:58am Jun 26, 2012 4:58am
Quoting fti
can you see whats happening in ghermany.
they cannot do this, still able look their own in the eyes and tell them .
well we sold your hard earned savings for friendship.

regards
I can... but bigger than that, all I can see is mass burying of heads in the sand. No governments can politically muster the strength to make the spending cuts, political cuts and to reign in tax avoiders that they all need to. So now everyone's in a bun fight blaming one another. Whatever happened to saving for a rainy day
  • #34,475
  • Edited 6:07am Jun 26, 2012 5:46am | Edited 6:07am
i not understanding this very well.
About taxes.
they going tax more?
when most economies contracting?
when business getting worst and need pay more taxes?
seems like they asking for it.

just think.
the business is getting lesser and lesser.
now they think the public sector is going be more productive than the private sectors?
drawing resources from the private sectors?

so private sectors keep contracting
and they get less and less tax revenue?
so need tax even more and more maintain their bloated budgets.
ya ok, but 100% of zero is zero.

this seems aliens economics.
but what do i know.

regards
  • #34,476
  • Jun 26, 2012 6:29am Jun 26, 2012 6:29am
You and me both. If things aren't growing, they're dying. Still maybe they can pretend the shrinking is actually growth in disguise?
Must get on with trading
  • #34,477
  • Jun 26, 2012 9:09am Jun 26, 2012 9:09am
Quoting triphop
You and me both. If things aren't growing, they're dying. Still maybe they can pretend the shrinking is actually growth in disguise?
Must get on with trading
I'd say more like growth in delay. Ponder this - who gets the biggest benefit from a week EUR? That's right, Germany. The same Germany, where Merkel is loosing her political grounds because of the help they have been providing to cheating countries. And it gets even better - she won't openly pay the bill (political suicide), the ECB can't unleash the printing press (legislation) and they won't allow anyone to leave the EUR as long as possible. Political dead end, the currency dives. German exports get event better. Maybe French too, unless they nationalize half the country before that.
Yep, inflation, only without the printing.
I wouldn't say we are now far from Uncle Sam unleashing the printing press again - Twist or POMOs...
And this is when it becomes really ugly for the Chinese and the Japanese.
I hope I am wrong.


P.S. Haven't come around for a while, good to see fti is keeping well and energetic, all the best to you sir

S
  • #34,478
  • Jun 26, 2012 9:58am Jun 26, 2012 9:58am
Hi Opinions!

You almost caught me

PS The wind scatters it

Rgs
  • #34,479
  • Jun 26, 2012 1:07pm Jun 26, 2012 1:07pm
Quoting Gro
Hi Opinions!

You almost caught me

PS The wind scatters it

Rgs
????
is not opnions.
i watching euro cable drop, euro yen drops, euro aud drops.
didn't sell any euro crosses?

there is going be wild cards played.
someone who had resigned is being repositioned.
He doesn't want that resposibility, but.........
by someone else. why?

but this says it clear.
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=370483

now the only question is the form the euro drop will take.
is either euro drops biog time.
or the same effect can be done by raising all other crossed currencies.

but i worried if rates doves, how can euro hold?
you will have sell pressure parked in cable aud and yen, come at you at the same time.

regards
  • #34,480
  • Edited 1:42pm Jun 26, 2012 1:13pm | Edited 1:42pm
Quoting Setebos
I'd say more like growth in delay. Ponder this - who gets the biggest benefit from a week EUR? That's right, Germany. The same Germany, where Merkel is loosing her political grounds because of the help they have been providing to cheating countries. And it gets even better - she won't openly pay the bill (political suicide), the ECB can't unleash the printing press (legislation) and they won't allow anyone to leave the EUR as long as possible. Political dead end, the currency dives. German exports get event better. Maybe French too, unless they...
no my friend.
why would she want a weak euro?
she net trade surplus. Weak euro means profit margins will be shaved.

but if the euro holds high vis a vis other currencies.
Then the victims would be countries with weak economies.
they outpriced to compete in trade. Worst is many asking for handout.(bail me please)

its clear, the euro need be weaker vis a vis.

Now the thingy that can happen is that they hold euro here and spin all other upwards
OR euro can drop carry all others pacing her pegged(like vs swissy), and no further sell off of euro crosses.
OR they can try do the right thing and ease the euro slowly and orderly.

their choice.

otherwise.
there will be sudden death gapping drops again.
and with the 4th july fireworks building up, surely over-shoots.

now, the question of strategies, and timing.

regards

last thing one wants to do is gamble and become the buy stops ducks.
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