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Elliot wave, Harmonic And Ichimoku in CHINESE STYLE

  • #7,281
  • Apr 10, 2012 7:31am Apr 10, 2012 7:31am
Quoting Luis Carlos
With that move last night and today totally erase the opportunity of a triangle. So a return to the first count. The white count a like the most but I handle red one in cause. Pullback targets 1.316, 1.321, 1.325. Until now I prefer 1.316, if there is not a double correction.
I would NOT bet too much on that - triangle scenario still valid
  • #7,282
  • Apr 10, 2012 11:15am Apr 10, 2012 11:15am
I get in expecting wave 3 has begun. Target 1.2935 then return to a minimum of 1.316 I guess. UJ targets 80.6 GJ target 126.6. I was a ·%$·&%·$ yesterday did not get the big move on GJ. That happens when you read too much %&/%(& in internet. FOR ME, if we get those 3 targets at time is a bullish signal.

Freelancer, the count doesnt give a triangle anymore, I doesnt see it. Chin Chin!!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,283
  • Edited 12:45pm Apr 10, 2012 12:12pm | Edited 12:45pm
May be EURUSD happen in this option?
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  • #7,284
  • Apr 10, 2012 2:51pm Apr 10, 2012 2:51pm
Quoting morningfxgol
May be EURUSD happen in this option?
I only found 1 count to get the triangle looking short tf. The channel is perfect, so I will keep the short. 1.293 is a fib target, I drew the continuing H&S just for fun, but it gets perfect with my target.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,285
  • Edited 4:10pm Apr 10, 2012 4:00pm | Edited 4:10pm
H4: End of bearish TKx from last post here on April 02nd is nearing. Ref: #7251

Signal so far spans around 210 pips. It is an early call to exit because a bearish continuation is possible, but for that PA would have to extend below 3048 (D1 support at flat lower kumo line). If price manages to hold above 30480 then a few candles from now Chikou span is set to cross above PA (indicated in green triangle) reaffirming the change in sentiment.

The day chart further indicates strong support at 30200; In case support fails we might see much lower levels

W1 remains bearish from 4188, last week PA got rejected below Kijun Sen Resistance (3420); Ref last weeks outlook: #7250

1)H4 chart, April 2nd
2)H4 chart
3)W1 chart
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,286
  • Apr 10, 2012 5:55pm Apr 10, 2012 5:55pm
Quoting 2046
H4: End of bearish TKx from last post here on April 02nd is nearing. Ref: #7251

Signal so far spans around 210 pips. It is an early call to exit because a bearish continuation is possible, but for that PA would have to extend below 3048 (D1 support at flat lower kumo line). If price manages to hold above 30480 then a few candles from now Chikou span is set to cross above PA (indicated in green triangle) reaffirming the change in sentiment.

The day chart...


On your 4H chart..look at the nice double top on the RSI
  • #7,287
  • Apr 10, 2012 6:32pm Apr 10, 2012 6:32pm
Quoting gsbotes
On your 4H chart..look at the nice double top on the RSI
I guess you refer to the Stochastics - they are usually choppy and at I'd be interested to hear your interpretation of the two tops in respect to their current level.

As for the RSI - it is near neutral at 43 and has been gaining steadily.

My main signal remains the Tenkan Kijun cross on Ichimoku.
  • #7,288
  • Apr 11, 2012 7:22am Apr 11, 2012 7:22am
Quoting Luis Carlos
I only found 1 count to get the triangle looking short tf. The channel is perfect, so I will keep the short. 1.293 is a fib target, I drew the continuing H&S just for fun, but it gets perfect with my target.
I do not want to slate you, but this is definitely NOT a head & shoulder pattern
  • #7,289
  • Apr 11, 2012 8:08am Apr 11, 2012 8:08am
This is how I see the things until now. Double correction! Same target 1.2935.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,290
  • Apr 11, 2012 9:16am Apr 11, 2012 9:16am
Quoting Luis Carlos
This is how I see the things until now. Double correction! Same target 1.2935.
With that move if we break 1.3147, it is making the last wave V to get 4.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,291
  • Apr 11, 2012 4:35pm Apr 11, 2012 4:35pm
My view at close. I am still keeping my targets. EU 1.293, UJ change to 80.00 we hit 80.60 yesterday GJ 126.6.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,292
  • Apr 12, 2012 8:59am Apr 12, 2012 8:59am
The count until now.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,293
  • Apr 12, 2012 9:23am Apr 12, 2012 9:23am
USDOLLAR 9900 is the decision line. I guess tomorrow some trigger should be to this transicion. "Bernanke again". For me EU should get 1.32X then 1.29 then 1.32/1.33 and the BIG BANG BOOM!!! Be patient I make a lot of mistakes for that reason.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,294
  • Edited 12:05pm Apr 12, 2012 11:09am | Edited 12:05pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
My view at close. I am still keeping my targets. EU 1.293, UJ change to 80.00 we hit 80.60 yesterday GJ 126.6.
Sorry but I think that your option have the overlap rule
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  • #7,295
  • Apr 12, 2012 12:06pm Apr 12, 2012 12:06pm
and my option update for EU M30
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  • #7,296
  • Apr 12, 2012 12:35pm Apr 12, 2012 12:35pm
Quoting morningfxgol
and my option update for EU M30
I think is better count, but my count you showed I changed this morning. Dont forget in leverage markets w4 can overlap w1 for a moment. You got the same result, now I am waiting to get some short money
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #7,297
  • Apr 12, 2012 1:16pm Apr 12, 2012 1:16pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
I think is better count, but my count you showed I changed this morning. Dont forget in leverage markets w4 can overlap w1 for a moment. You got the same result, now I am waiting to get some short money
Thanks and hope to connect and share with you more time.
  • #7,298
  • Apr 13, 2012 2:35am Apr 13, 2012 2:35am
Quoting morningfxgol
May be EURUSD happen in this option?
Valid as long as not below 1.2974.

As long as single correction (zig-zag on weekly chart WXY) which we already had @1.26.
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Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #7,299
  • Apr 16, 2012 12:04pm Apr 16, 2012 12:04pm
5 down?
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #7,300
  • Apr 16, 2012 1:10pm Apr 16, 2012 1:10pm
Quoting RamsesII
5 down?
Hi Ramses,

good count, can definitively be

Yesterday I published this count, but we made it today not to my target area.


Please notice the alternative count.....


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...3&d=1334561991
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