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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #32,321
  • Mar 22, 2012 4:16am Mar 22, 2012 4:16am
Quoting fti
??
why does it have to be vanillas.
who does vanillas anymore?
you assumes too much for very large positions.
likely be zero cost long puts
could be strangles.
could be some weird butterflys.
You think big guns will show their blotters?
You want, you can continue guessing.
but 1 friendly word of advise. guessing is gambling.
is fast track to the poor house.
No I'm not trying to guess that would be ridiculous. It is only things that I have read in a book and probably understood a very low % of them but thought I would ask an expert practicioner to elaborate more on your previous post, which you did (thanks).
I didn't consider long put and the likes because you talked about an "option writer" so I thought a writer cannot be long.
However I stop overanalysing and play in a field that I don't know, I'm happy with your reply.
  • #32,322
  • Edited 4:52am Mar 22, 2012 4:30am | Edited 4:52am
Quoting Arhs99
No I'm not trying to guess that would be ridiculous. It is only things that I have read in a book and probably understood a very low % of them but thought I would ask an expert practicioner to elaborate more on your previous post, which you did (thanks).
I didn't consider long put and the likes because you talked about an "option writer" so I thought a writer cannot be long.
However I stop overanalysing and play in a field that I don't know, I'm happy with your reply.
You are encrouching on institutional levels big guns stuff.
Is not nice i comment , due to professional courtesy.

but you still not understand zero cost options.
to defray cost of long put option premiums. The money need come from somewhere.
for the long put they would have to defray by write calls
and if bet was wrong, then they need delta headge it, during the synthetics life span.
Thats why they needed sell the long euros when the synthetic expired.
Otherwise they would be caught with long euro positions when the zero options expired.
and from the count on the markets volatility, should had expired all out of money.

no more on this subject, sorry

regards
  • #32,323
  • Edited 7:47am Mar 22, 2012 7:23am | Edited 7:47am
poor euros.
now they really in a fix, huh?
and who's blame is it? for proping up something that in reality had depreciated?
now the volatility will be a killer.
sudden and jerky short volatility.

welcome to Casino de Forex.
bet fingers pays fingers.

markets held to ransom?
range 1.27/1.33
gradient of volatility 2sd
tenure 10 seconds to 10 days, everything can happens in 10 seconds or nothing happens in 10 days

Place your bets please.
when moves , no more bets please.

if this continues, we may need find other free liquid markets to trade.
already hear market chatter about commodities.
  • #32,324
  • Mar 22, 2012 9:42am Mar 22, 2012 9:42am
Some great news from Dongsky trade journal. I am so glad Eddy that your baby is now OK. Ray

TO ALL MY FRIENDS,

Thank you very much for all your warm wishes and prayers... cannot find words to describe how i feel... appreciate to know i have friends money can't buy...

my son is okay now and out of danger... they had identified the bacteria and because of the rarity of its kind, puts my sons life in danger... that bacteria (bacterial meningitis) was so aggressive that all doctors worries that it might had some complications...

after a thorough check... brain, lungs, kindeys... everything seems to be fine and normal... without signs of abnormalities & complications...

they administered another cerebrospinal liquid extract to further monitor the bacteria....

treatment will continue for another 2-3 weeks...

so far... baby edward responding to the treatment very well... he's active and feeds normal...

already out of ICU but still in a "close monitored facility"

... again to all of you who offered prayers and warm wishes... THANK YOU!
  • #32,325
  • Mar 22, 2012 1:07pm Mar 22, 2012 1:07pm
Quoting 1234
Some great news from Dongsky trade journal. I am so glad Eddy that your baby is now OK. Ray

TO ALL MY FRIENDS,

Thank you very much for all your warm wishes and prayers... cannot find words to describe how i feel... appreciate to know i have friends money can't buy...

my son is okay now and out of danger... they had identified the bacteria and because of the rarity of its kind, puts my sons life in danger... that bacteria (bacterial meningitis) was so aggressive that all doctors worries that it might had some complications...

after...
it is good.

regards
  • #32,326
  • Mar 22, 2012 5:07pm Mar 22, 2012 5:07pm
This is superb. What happened to your post of it fti? Someone deleted it?

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  • #32,327
  • Mar 22, 2012 5:27pm Mar 22, 2012 5:27pm
Hi fti, have you ever researched Nikola Tesla? The father of free energy? Unfortunately, it took someone like J.P.Morgan to destroy him.

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  • #32,328
  • Mar 23, 2012 1:35am Mar 23, 2012 1:35am
Hey FTI

Not sure if you are still here. Just pop back in to say thank you for your initiation. I have dropped enough of the ego to see Gann in its real form.

Its been a great journey of confusion and self-reflection and I want to thank you for your work as not many here would be able to see what you are trying to achieve.

I am also very sorry I might have offended your beliefs in the past during the confusion period and rest assure I am along the same line as you now.

Before I go, wish you 福星高照. (Indeed Chinese culture has a part of it)
Life is a school for the soul
  • #32,329
  • Mar 23, 2012 3:13am Mar 23, 2012 3:13am
Quoting esuffw
Hey FTI

Not sure if you are still here. Just pop back in to say thank you for your initiation. I have dropped enough of the ego to see Gann in its real form.

Its been a great journey of confusion and self-reflection and I want to thank you for your work as not many here would be able to see what you are trying to achieve.

I am also very sorry I might have offended your beliefs in the past during the confusion period and rest assure I am along the same line as you now.

Before I go, wish you 福星高照. (Indeed...
hi,I haven't kicked the bucket yet.
Thank you for your 祝福.

I am very glad. I am glad you had your explorations and findings. May they serve you with zest.

No apologies, no apologies.
we manifest only that which we understand. The more we understand the more peace we find in life.

Good Fortune


regards

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  • #32,330
  • Mar 23, 2012 3:39am Mar 23, 2012 3:39am
woh, woh woh,
wild horses.
ai ya just stay at 69 la.
this peasks at 1.33?
  • #32,331
  • Edited 4:04am Mar 23, 2012 3:42am | Edited 4:04am
Quoting Zoran
Hi fti, have you ever researched Nikola Tesla? The father of free energy? Unfortunately, it took someone like J.P.Morgan to destroy him.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfoogH1n33Y
already hard manage economies with the electricity bill.
How manage without it?
we not want the economies collapse hor,
when fence drops all the chicken will run wild.

three pillars
water, electricity, wireless communications.


Food, shelter, clothing is old minds.
new mindset is SERVICE.

monopolies?
no pass go, no collect 200, go straight to jail.
have get out of jail free card?
test your fate, roll the dice.

regards
  • #32,332
  • Mar 23, 2012 4:07am Mar 23, 2012 4:07am
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  • #32,333
  • Mar 23, 2012 4:12am Mar 23, 2012 4:12am
i am done for the week now.

time for me to forget about trading for a few days, off for a long weekend with family and friends to a ball that we all go to every year, one of my friends is 50 tomorrow so we should have an even better time there this year.

good to hear dongsky's family are doing ok now. thank you.

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #32,334
  • Mar 23, 2012 4:24am Mar 23, 2012 4:24am
Quoting phil13
i am done for the week now.

time for me to forget about trading for a few days, off for a long weekend with family and friends to a ball that we all go to every year, one of my friends is 50 tomorrow so we should have an even better time there this year.

good to hear dongsky's family are doing ok now. thank you.

regards

Phil.
great.
"break a leg".

regards
  • #32,335
  • Mar 23, 2012 6:52am Mar 23, 2012 6:52am
have good time Phil.

regards
  • #32,336
  • Mar 23, 2012 8:22am Mar 23, 2012 8:22am
Quoting fti
already hard manage economies with the electricity bill.
How manage without it?
we not want the economies collapse hor,
when fence drops all the chicken will run wild.

three pillars
water, electricity, wireless communications.


Food, shelter, clothing is old minds.
new mindset is SERVICE.

monopolies?
no pass go, no collect 200, go straight to jail.
have get out of jail free card?
test your fate, roll the dice.

regards
Yes, I understand your point although I thought "free" energy was a pet interest of yours? Maybe I am mistaken.
  • #32,337
  • Mar 23, 2012 11:19am Mar 23, 2012 11:19am
Quoting Zoran
Yes, I understand your point although I thought "free" energy was a pet interest of yours? Maybe I am mistaken.
They made sure all leads ahead seems dead ends.
Is now dead project.

Reading for the month.

http://violetcrush.wordpress.com/200...ress-of-china/
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  • #32,338
  • Mar 23, 2012 11:50am Mar 23, 2012 11:50am
Another well known but now widely questioned biography is "China Under The Empress Dowager" by J. O. P. Bland and Edmund Backhouse. Backhouse was later found to have forged some of his source materials when he wrote this work. This is a book that gave rise to much of the negative perspective of the dowager empress.

The real dragon emperess. Now the TRUE story unfolds about cixi.

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/last...min/1100295176
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  • #32,339
  • Mar 23, 2012 4:50pm Mar 23, 2012 4:50pm
Quoting fti
They made sure all leads ahead seems dead ends.
Is now dead project.

Reading for the month.

http://violetcrush.wordpress.com/200...ress-of-china/
Those books look like good reads! I'll have to load them in.
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  • #32,340
  • Mar 23, 2012 5:50pm Mar 23, 2012 5:50pm
Quoting fti
They made sure all leads ahead seems dead ends.
Is now dead project.
If you see how RFID works, it gives a clue. Vibrations and resonance seems to be the key. It is kind of like the reverse of a Tesla coil.
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