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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #941
  • Mar 19, 2012 4:05am Mar 19, 2012 4:05am
Quoting ianlikesgolf
do you have any thoughts on this week please ?

I think the dow and spy has the biggest influence on the curriencies.

If they sell off, EU, AU, GU all go down. Is this normally the case ?

I have around 1.2963 for EU.
AU 1.0400 area or lower.
Views on week..?? who knows?? I start with raw charts and USDIndex looks bearish.. EUindex looks bullish EUUD looks bullish.. but who knows?? like u said if Dow comes off..MMM
  • #942
  • Mar 19, 2012 7:34am Mar 19, 2012 7:34am
I am long this.. based mainly on 4 hr raw chart.. opens above weekly PPXand strong 4 hr consolidation top end of mther candle..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euud.jpg Size: 111 KB
  • #943
  • Mar 19, 2012 7:37am Mar 19, 2012 7:37am
Quoting danc
I am long this.. based mainly on 4 hr raw chart.. opens above weekly PPXand strong 4 hr consolidation top end of mther candle..
Changed my mind,,just closed off to bed.. +5
  • #944
  • Mar 19, 2012 5:10pm Mar 19, 2012 5:10pm
Quoting ianlikesgolf
do you have any thoughts on this week please ?

I think the dow and spy has the biggest influence on the curriencies.

If they sell off, EU, AU, GU all go down. Is this normally the case ?

I have around 1.2963 for EU.
AU 1.0400 area or lower.
Hi Ian

I am bullish on curencies this week. I am long eu off the 3 week lows last week. Monday has now crossed the 3 week midpoint and had a 5 day high breakout so i think that the probability of a downmove is slim. Same for au although no breakout yet. Keep in mind that these pairs should retest the 5 day midpoint some stage this week.
I'm staying away from equities at the moment.
  • #945
  • Mar 19, 2012 6:10pm Mar 19, 2012 6:10pm
This mornings USDindex.. note 50% point.. note 200ext and week.. 50% and week.618% support aroun this level.. means should rotate back waeds week mid..80 ish...Doesnt it??????????
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx.gif Size: 36 KB
  • #946
  • Mar 19, 2012 6:19pm Mar 19, 2012 6:19pm
Quoting danc
This mornings USDindex.. note 50% point.. note 200ext and week.. 50% and week.618% support aroun this level.. means should rotate back waeds week mid..80 ish...Doesnt it??????????
There should be a rotation back towards the midpoint at some stage this week, not sure if it will be today or later in the week though.
  • #947
  • Mar 19, 2012 7:24pm Mar 19, 2012 7:24pm
EU daily

I'm bullish on this pair for at least the next 6-8 weeks up into 1.36. From there we see if it breaks out and heads back to 1.49 or it turns back down to break the 1.26 lows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu daily.GIF Size: 24 KB
  • #948
  • Mar 19, 2012 7:29pm Mar 19, 2012 7:29pm
Amy.. Thks yr comments and thanks Yr picture
  • #949
  • Mar 19, 2012 10:02pm Mar 19, 2012 10:02pm
AU has reversed 80 pips and hit the midpoint at 1.0553, maybe price goes back up from this area.
  • #950
  • Mar 20, 2012 1:36am Mar 20, 2012 1:36am
My Puppy, her name is Zoe, she is 4months old and keeps me entertained when the markets are boring..which is almost always.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG-20120316-00003.jpg Size: 232 KB
  • #951
  • Mar 20, 2012 2:10am Mar 20, 2012 2:10am
I have 2 dobermans.. .. and let me tell you they are NEVER boring.. like the market.. its like living with 2 very intelligent.. hypo children who continualy play mind games..
  • #952
  • Mar 20, 2012 2:17am Mar 20, 2012 2:17am
Picture of day UD Index.. note trend line.. note 200% ext of top candlenote 50% point.. which on 2 other day ranges is 33.3 and .618..also u have week pivot support.. 50% is 7950 and .618%is 7938.. its bouncing like a yoyo at mo..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx.gif Size: 42 KB
  • #953
  • Mar 20, 2012 5:05pm Mar 20, 2012 5:05pm
Quoting amyc
AU has reversed 80 pips and hit the midpoint at 1.0553, maybe price goes back up from this area.
AU continued down past the midpoint for Tuesday, I won't be trying to long this for a bit yet, it looks like it should continue down to mid 1.03's at least. Weekly chart suggests the time might not be right till April for longs. When I do find a place to long i want to hold till 1.12 area.
  • #954
  • Edited 2:43am Mar 22, 2012 2:27am | Edited 2:43am
My Puppy, her name is Zoe, she is 4 months old and keeps me entertained when the markets are boring..which is almost always.
..................................................................
Looks like she has heaps of energy.

I used to have a Staffordshire Bull Terrier a few years back. He looked almost exactly like the one in this picture. He was so much fun.

Thanks for your views on EU and AU.
Attached Image
  • #955
  • Mar 22, 2012 4:02am Mar 22, 2012 4:02am
Quoting danc
Picture of day UD Index.. note trend line.. note 200% ext of top candlenote 50% point.. which on 2 other day ranges is 33.3 and .618..also u have week pivot support.. 50% is 7950 and .618%is 7938.. its bouncing like a yoyo at mo..
As per myprevious chart.. index continues to finf support at this 50% 200%.. week.. 618 and 50 % and trend line level.. Hier ground and lower ground for Euro orfailure at 8000 level.. so forming lower top..?? COT report says major force is up?? i am looking for longs on EUro if and when this hits 80>00 ish level..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx.gif Size: 41 KB
  • #956
  • Edited 3:55am Mar 24, 2012 3:01am | Edited 3:55am
I did manual calculations for next weeks weekly mid, high + lows.
I got 1.0480 for the weekly mid. As that is an area of resistance to the up trend I expect a weekly open under the mid and a pull back to the lows at 1.0330.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mar 24 au h1.jpg Size: 83 KB
  • #957
  • Mar 24, 2012 3:53am Mar 24, 2012 3:53am
I did some weekly calculations for USDJPY too.

http://my.jetscreenshot.com/11681/m_...9y5x-161kb.jpg
  • #958
  • Mar 24, 2012 4:17am Mar 24, 2012 4:17am
some weekly calculations for NZ/JPY
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mar 24 nz jpy 1 h.jpg Size: 79 KB
  • #959
  • Mar 24, 2012 4:41am Mar 24, 2012 4:41am
some weekly calculations. probably a range bound week given its the final week of the quarter, unless EU can breakout of the weekly highs.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mar 24 eu usd 1 h.jpg Size: 87 KB
  • #960
  • Edited 6:55am Mar 24, 2012 6:19am | Edited 6:55am
Ideally I would like to see a bounce off this up trend line starting from Oct 4th 2011. basically the start of the 4th quarter last year. I think 93.87 was also the low for 2011.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mar 24 au daily.jpg Size: 82 KB
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