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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #30,541
  • Feb 2, 2012 10:34pm Feb 2, 2012 10:34pm
Dear FTI;

I am already at post Page 1210.Most of my questions had been answer here.Thank you so much for babysit this thread for so long.

Just a few questions hope you can be able to help.

Got an idea of how illiquid market is but could you kindly expand this more broadly your kind interpretations.

Second is there a hint to CB interventions eg thru the movement of the 3Kingdom or just riot becos of illuquid markets.

Third how to measure volatility in your words?

Fourth how do one proportion skews when entering troops/scout/rescue with respect to this measured or eyeball volatility?

Again thank you for your precious time.
  • #30,542
  • Feb 2, 2012 10:45pm Feb 2, 2012 10:45pm
Quoting doddy
Dear FTI;

I am already at post Page 1210.Most of my questions had been answer here.Thank you so much for babysit this thread for so long.

Just a few questions hope you can be able to help.

Got an idea of how illiquid market is but could you kindly expand this more broadly your kind interpretations.

Second is there a hint to CB interventions eg thru the movement of the 3Kingdom or just riot becos of illuquid markets.

Third how to measure volatility in your words?

Fourth how do one proportion skews when entering troops/scout/rescue...
wow difficult questions.
ok in nut shell.

not possibile expand illiquidity. If market maker not want quote, can't force them. if in bad state i quote 1.25/1.35 euro your choice. your brokers can certainly do better. they have piptit quotes. Oh thats because i cannot trade due to being sick. Not want sound so dang dishonourable. But really i can't take the trade.

CB already in. BOJ is defending usd/yen. others i not know, they didn't say anything.

measure volatility?
price change against time. any book on subject have formulaes.

4th question, i will not answer. read the thread. OMG i am cruel, 2000 pages? sorry i no energy redo all again. Just short one would be MINIMUM skew is a fibo progression.


regards
  • #30,543
  • Feb 2, 2012 10:55pm Feb 2, 2012 10:55pm
"life is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you'll get"



forrest gump


V
  • #30,544
  • Feb 2, 2012 10:56pm Feb 2, 2012 10:56pm
Quoting fti
4th question, i will not answer. read the thread. OMG i am cruel, 2000 pages?

regards
  • #30,545
  • Feb 2, 2012 10:58pm Feb 2, 2012 10:58pm
Dear FTI;

Thank you your answers.


Regarding Questions 2 I re-phrase.How do one know CB presence eg.thru riot of illuquidity or the 3 Kingdom or...?


Appreciate all your answer.
  • #30,546
  • Feb 2, 2012 11:02pm Feb 2, 2012 11:02pm
Quoting M-H Trader

I love the challenge and and currently now at post 18181 and at same time practise and practise and practise.
  • #30,547
  • Feb 2, 2012 11:04pm Feb 2, 2012 11:04pm
Quoting doddy
I love the challenge and and currently now at post 18181 and at same time practise and practise and practise.
I have read all 2000 pages
  • #30,548
  • Edited 11:39pm Feb 2, 2012 11:07pm | Edited 11:39pm
Quoting doddy
Dear FTI;

Thank you your answers.


Regarding Questions 2 I re-phrase.How do one know CB presence eg.thru riot of illuquidity or the 3 Kingdom or...?


Appreciate all your answer.
They tell you in your face thru the media.
reuters, bloomberg,api, newspapers, etc........................anyway they can communicate to you.
CB intervention has nothing to do with charts. Your charts are just drawn by your computers, No one recognises them as real.
Charts are just markings of your datafeed. GIGO(garbage in garbage out). My gold chart, on the 1st feb 2012 traded low of 0.64 , now trading 1756.58
Thank God i didn't have a gold stploss order.
Even if i leveraged 2x also would had died.

regards
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold.jpg Size: 61 KB
  • #30,549
  • Feb 2, 2012 11:55pm Feb 2, 2012 11:55pm
Quoting fti
They tell you in your face thru the media.
reuters, bloomberg,api, newspapers, etc........................anyway they can communicate to you.
CB intervention has nothing to do with charts. Your charts are just drawn by your computers, No one recognises them as real.
Charts are just markings of your datafeed. GIGO(garbage in garbage out). My gold chart, on the 1st feb 2012 traded low of 0.64 , now trading 1756.58
Thank God i didn't have a gold stploss order.
Even if i leveraged 2x also would had died.

regards
did it really went that way???....or was it feeed...would have loved to buy at that price ....
  • #30,550
  • Edited Feb 3, 2012 12:16am Feb 2, 2012 11:59pm | Edited Feb 3, 2012 12:16am
Quoting indianguyinny24
did it really went that way???....or was it feeed...would have loved to buy at that price ....
Chart wise it did.
No impact on physical Gold.
only all the paper gold leveraged around the world.
Not know if any one was punished for this.
Need keep eye on media for law suits to know if the unscrupulous used it against their customers.

I never trade paper gold. I not even trust them cartels with fiat paper money.
Gold? no way i trust them for it. Even taking delivery of bullion, i standby 3 assayers check gold authenticity.
Same taking large sums money, need many help check for counterfeits.

I said before, if you not using leverage to trade and is large depos , need use regulated and licenced banks for safety.
Imagine all your saving was with refco? how sad. even I paid some money for that lesson.

Thanks God i didn't buy any greek bonds.

regards
  • #30,551
  • Feb 3, 2012 12:11am Feb 3, 2012 12:11am
Dear FTI;
Again thank you and sori ask so many nonsence.


Did not have the priviledge to know this wonderful thread earilier else will grab it?

Now will be contented to receive the crumps from the table.Beggars cannot be choosy.


The journey is indeed long going thru the thread but the ppl I met along this journey is beyond my dream.Thank everyone of you here.

Leigh my salute to you to made it platable for us.

V for the little bit you throw.

Mamood for what you gave.

Auxesis for your patience to the little one.

Zoran for cracking the nuts.

Lusan for his deepness of depth.

and many of you that contribute to this thread.


Lastly FTI who babysit all the babies here.
  • #30,552
  • Feb 3, 2012 12:20am Feb 3, 2012 12:20am
Quoting doddy
Dear FTI;
Again thank you and sori ask so many nonsence.


Did not have the priviledge to know this wonderful thread earilier else will grab it?

Now will be contented to receive the crumps from the table.Beggars cannot be choosy.


The journey is indeed long going thru the thread but the ppl I met along this journey is beyond my dream.Thank everyone of you here.

Leigh my salute to you to made it platable for us.

V for the little bit you throw.

Mamood for what you gave.

Auxesis for your patience to the little one....
Thanks for your kind words.
"As you sow so shall you reap."
I waiting ask for my rewards, when i meet creator God.
and also to give thanks, for all i had received while on earth.

regards
  • #30,553
  • Feb 3, 2012 3:29am Feb 3, 2012 3:29am
Quoting fti
this the reason why you must manage your leverage.
Your book must be able withstand irrationality in the volatility when markets sometime try find its equilibrium. Thats where your profits come from. Without volatility you cannot get any movement , so where's the profits gonna come from. But if the volatility is excessive and your book cannot handle it then you will pain. If the irrationality last long time, can be very damning.
Spot desk never uses leverage, and is already difficult manage.
Some of you are leveraged a couple hundred times?...
very true, that is why I am thinking to top up my account by the same amount and reduce my risk tolerance from 10% to 5% loss, but at the same time I expect half the return on my new capital in % of what I expect at the moment.

High risk high reward low risk low reward if one know what he/she is doing otherwise


Yesterday's ongoing battle I closed with 3% loss which was at one point 8-9%.

Euro looking stubborn, looks like they want to move it up before the push it down forever.
  • #30,554
  • Feb 3, 2012 3:36am Feb 3, 2012 3:36am
Quoting simpleman
very true, that is why I am thinking to top up my account by the same amount and reduce my risk tolerance from 10% to 5% loss, but at the same time I expect half the return on my new capital in % of what I expect at the moment.

High risk high reward low risk low reward if one know what he/she is doing otherwise


Yesterday's ongoing battle I closed with 3% loss which was at one point 8-9%.

Euro looking stubborn, looks like they want to move it up before the push it down forever.
good mind.

yesterday was abnormaliyies.
The chinese being miss quoted, and markets bear heavily overweighted.
Is world risk adversity against euro resistance to devalue while the situation drags , without proper solution. So now vested interested is defending their pot. Highly geared bears need watch out. Markets can self feed if need to clear the pressures. Is very tense times. Need be very careful with owns portfolio. Prudence is essential.

You must understand, they defending. if they allow free fall then all asset classes takes a beating in europe.
Is nice have slow orderly devaluatiom. But seems is passed that as the speculating is very hot already.



regards
  • #30,555
  • Feb 3, 2012 3:42am Feb 3, 2012 3:42am
Quoting fti
good mind.

yesterday was abnormaliyies.
The chinese being miss quoted, and markets bear heavily overweighted.
Is world risk adversity against euro resistance to devalue while the situation drags , without proper solution. So now vested interested is defending their pot. Highly geared bears need watch out. Markets can self feed if need to clear the pressures. Is very tense times. Need be very careful with owns portfolio. Prudence is essential.


regards
Chinese mis quote gave me opportunity to sell them even at higher price and when it came down I decided to close all profitable and losers. Don't I love these spikes in bear markets.

No trading today as NFP just watch, wait and see, might will have opportunity after the news release, even if there will then I will go for small as the weekend will start unfolding after 4:00 gmt.
  • #30,556
  • Feb 3, 2012 3:56am Feb 3, 2012 3:56am
Hi guys,

I don't know if this has already been discussed, I've been away from the thread for quite some time. Anyway, if what those guys are saying is true it really brings me the chills.

Inserted Video
  • #30,557
  • Feb 3, 2012 3:58am Feb 3, 2012 3:58am
Quoting simpleman
Chinese mis quote gave me opportunity to sell them even at higher price and when it came down I decided to close all profitable and losers. Don't I love these spikes in bear markets.

No trading today as NFP just watch, wait and see, might will have opportunity after the news release, even if there will then I will go for small as the weekend will start unfolding after 4:00 gmt.
ya, you can laugh.
Have a thought for small accounts that may be geared up to their eyebrows. (over exposure greed mistakes)
This extrems in volatility is hellish for them.

So count your blessings and be prudent.

regards
  • #30,558
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:03am Feb 3, 2012 4:03am
Quoting fti
ya, you can laugh.
Have a thought for small accounts that may be geared up to their eyebrows. (over exposure greed mistakes)
This extrems in volatility is hellish for them.

So count your blessings and be prudent.

regards
  • #30,559
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:16am Feb 3, 2012 4:16am
Quoting Setebos
Hi guys,

I don't know if this has already been discussed, I've been away from the thread for quite some time. Anyway, if what those guys are saying is true it really brings me the chills.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy3zBZ4vI4E
huh?
  • #30,560
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:42am Feb 3, 2012 4:42am
Hi fti,

good to see you're in good shape again
ACTA is an international "trade agreement" which was quietly signed in Tokyo recently, which if implemented might end the free internet as we know it. It has received very little media coverage, except for a report on protest against it in several countries.

Excellent interpretation is available here:
http://www.stopacta.info/
and here
http://mashable.com/2012/01/27/acta/

I would be curious to hear your opinion on this.

Best
Stan

Quoting fti
huh?
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