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Macroeconomic Analysis

  • #301
  • Dec 13, 2011 9:37am Dec 13, 2011 9:37am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Japan MacroData

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► Japan stocks-benchmarks (Nikkey Average; Nikkey 300; MSCI Japan ETF; Topix/150 ETF)
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
Previous Japan data for Gov.Bond Yields, CDS, Swap, LOIS, Macro-Data, ¥.


http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-13,2011-12-13

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-13,2011-12-13

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...ate=2011-12-13
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...ate=2011-12-13




☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
  • #302
  • Dec 13, 2011 10:48am Dec 13, 2011 10:48am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about comparative curves of Nikkei vs. global assets: SkyRocket or MeltDown ?

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► Japan stocks-benchmarks (Nikkey Average; Nikkey 300; MSCI Japan ETF; Topix/150 ETF)
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

PREVIOUS JAPAN CHARTS/NOTES:
◂ macro-economic data (295 - 296 - 297 - 298 - 299 - 300 - 301);
◂ curves for Gov.Bond Yields, CDS, Swap, LOIS, some macro-data, ¥;
◂ comparative charts Au (1980/2001) vs. Nikkei (1990/2011);
◂ Nikkei chart post 1989/1990 top.



The curves presented are obtained by placing (according to the type of spread: 'r' or 'd') the first component (Nikkei) on the numerator or dividend (or minuend), gaining an indicator in contrarian-array to the main trend of the Japan stocks-market.
A decrease of both components may still determine an increase of value, because the component changes may have very different velocity (= slope).
A decline indicates loss of strength in the first component vs. second one; a rise indicates an increase in strength of the first component vs. second one.
This study or method is not an operational analysis, but provides a qualitative key to study the sentiment on the components used.
Therefore, it is more useful to look at and analyze the general trend of the curve and comparison with previous bottom / top levels.
The charts are in 10base-log. and ema-format (prices replaced exp.mov.aver.), simple or in long term frame, for r-spread curves.

The curves shows a global & total bearish-array of Nikkei vs. all assets used.
This bear-monster structure is particularly hard from 1990 (obviously).
It is very impressive the bear of r-spreads for stocks-indexes as follows (with 2002/2003 lows as benchmark-level): DAX = DJ World > S&P500 > Nd/Comp.
For other assets the bear of r-spreads is as follows (with 2002/2003 lows as benchmark-level): WTI > CRB = US T-Bond30y.
On the oscillator curves we can see some very interesting divergences, both in mid-term and in long term (see blue squares).
For the r-spread with Au (impressive bearish-array, with 2002/2003 lows as benchmark-level) there are some interesting pattern reported on the charts: line-structure; wave counts; oscillator divergences.
It is possible that Japan stocks-market is in a big (or primary) turn in bullish status (2011/2012) ???
The bear-structure of Au (1980/2001) & Nikkei (1989/2011) are very similar, also for the final wave pattern (Au: 1999/2001; Nikkei: 2008-2009 / 2011-2012 ???).
In order to be ready for this historic opportunity, it is very important the study of the long-term structure of Nikkei, without anticipating the signs from the indicators, but following the signals from the Nikkei curve.



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 891 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 824 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 848 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg6REservoSOVRANO.jpg Size: 850 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg7.jpg Size: 1.4 MB
  • #303
  • Edited 5:25am Dec 14, 2011 5:24am | Edited 5:25am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Nikkei.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► Japan stocks-benchmarks (Nikkey Average; Nikkey 300; MSCI Japan ETF; Topix/150 ETF)
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

In this post there are some historical charts (in 10Base-Log format & in linear format) of Nikkei, in order to complete a next index study.



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 1.0 MB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg6REservoSOVRANO.jpg Size: 1.2 MB
  • #304
  • Dec 15, 2011 4:00am Dec 15, 2011 4:00am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about €uropean Debts.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Source.



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 353 KB
  • #305
  • Edited 5:11am Dec 15, 2011 4:55am | Edited 5:11am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Global Debts.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
  • #306
  • Dec 15, 2011 5:16am Dec 15, 2011 5:16am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Global Projection of General Gov.Gross Debts.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2...-15,2011-12-15




☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
  • #307
  • Dec 15, 2011 10:10am Dec 15, 2011 10:10am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Restaurant Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

The Restaurant indicator (curve in-phase vs. underlyings), shows the following key graphical elements:
▌curve inside a big descending rectangle (primary bearish status);
▌important divergences vs. underlyings in 2004/2007 tops (anticipatory behaviour of curve);
▌big bearish signal at the break of blue ascending-line (low 2003 vs. low 2005);
▌100-line is the key for negative vs. positive impact of indicator on underlyings;
▌a wonderful big H&S in 2007/2009 (gray area; neck ≅ 2003-lows !!!) is at about perfect target;
▌a second H&S (or double lows) is in progress on the 100-line, on 2010/2011 double lows (blue squares; neck in progress);
▌important set-up are the pink-area (neck vs. ascending blue-line), and turquoise-2-area (descending big-rectangle + H&S 2007/2009 target + 2005-lows: a little above 100-line);
▌the Restaurant Ind. 'expectations', during 2008-lows, showed anticipatory behaviour vs. 'current' curve (see violet-square);
▌in 2010/2011 (violet circle) the 'expectations' curve shows descending-array of key lows, but the 'current' curve has ascending key-lows (bad sign ???).

Notes:
The key element of chart is the recent (2010/2011) graphical contest H&S (bearish) vs. double lows (bullish).
The price targets (in up and in down) of figure are showd with white bars.
H&S can cause a little MeltDown of indicator (break of ascending blue rectangle; bad impact on underlyings); double-lows can cause a little SkyRocket of indicator (break of descending rectangle and break of primary bear; good impact on underlyings).
Alert on the descending-array of 2010/2011 lows on 'expectations' curve !!!





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 469 KB
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  • #308
  • Dec 17, 2011 4:31am Dec 17, 2011 4:31am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Nd. Sentiment Indicator

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

The Nasdaq Daily Sentiment Indicator is a sentiment indicator (daily frame & in-phase vs. underlyings) obtained from a comparative algorithm between bullish vs. bearish components of underlyings Nd/Composite Rydex-based (previous chart not Rydex-based).
Key elements are: divergences vs. underlyings; 0-line; extreme values (= spread between 0-line vs. indicator-value).
During 2011 we can see an explosion of indicator volatility, well above & below previous range 2007/2008 (red-dotted lines) and in contact with extreme levels.
The actual value of indicator is well below 0-line (bearish-array and first alert) and it is in descending test of previous range 2007/2008 (dangerous-level; second alert ???).
A continuation-bear of this indicator is a very negative sign for underlyings.





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg7.jpg Size: 248 KB
  • #309
  • Dec 17, 2011 8:15am Dec 17, 2011 8:15am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Options BSG Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

The Options BSG Indicator is an S&P500 option-based indicator (curve as 14 daily simple moving average) contrarian vs. underlyings (see previous chart n.1 and chart n.2).
Key elements are: divergences vs. underlyings; 0.50-line or mid-line; extreme values (= spread between 0-line vs. indicator-value).
From the 'inverse-scale' of chart we can see:
-) value of indicator inside a big descending rectangle (positive structural sign for underlyings), with an up break-point in 2010 (failure up-break in 2009), and the configuration of the second top from 2002 (see previous curve);
-) important divergence on tops, 2010/2011 (negative sign for underlyings in short-mid term);
-) the key tops are born on the band 0.35/0.30 (start for underlying bears);
-) no divergence during 2008 lows formation (bad structural sign in mid-term), with multiple break of 2003-lows (see previous curve);
-) the curve, now, is in bearish-array (descending tops from 2010), below mid-line, and in full descending test of the basal red-band.
A continuation-bear of indicator below the pink set-up area is very dangerous for the underlyings, with a first alert for a SellOff.
Only value above the gree-area decreases the financial stress on underlyings according to this indicator (re-start of bull for stocks ???).





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 364 KB
  • #310
  • Dec 17, 2011 8:35am Dec 17, 2011 8:35am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about ICI-Mutual Funds Indicators.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

These charts shows the level of cash in the Mutual Funds system of ICI.
The chart I shows a very low level of cash% on historical base.
The chart II shows a negative premium (bad sign for underlyings).
The situation is negative on long-term.





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 1.1 MB
  • #311
  • Dec 18, 2011 1:50pm Dec 18, 2011 1:50pm
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Greed/Fear Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

The Greed/Fear Indicator (in-phase vs. underlyings) is a S&P500 sentiment indicator (previous curve), based on possible returns on stocks-investments.
Key elements are: divergences vs. underlyings; 0-line or mid-line (fear = greed); extreme values (= spread between 0-line vs. indicator-value).
In the chart there are also the SP500 & Au curves.
The global array of indicator is bearish (see historical low at 2008/2009 and top at 1980 (see also red descending lines).
The key ascending lines (blue) have marked some SellOff of indicator (see 1989, 2001, 2007, 2008; mid-line as accelerator).
The actual position of indicator prices shows values below the mid-line (bearish sign) and in full descending-test of blue (ascending) line (dangerous set-up: blue-area).
Indicator well below blue-area is very dangerous for the underlyings (high SellOff probability).
Indicator above the structural red descending line (started from 1980-top: see orange-area) is very bullish for underlyings, with high probability of hard-bullish trend.





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 910 KB
  • #312
  • Dec 19, 2011 5:11am Dec 19, 2011 5:11am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about NYSE Short Interest Indicators.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

NYSE Short Interest (indicator contrarian to underlyings) shows the total short position for NYSE Composite Index.
This indicator shows important anticipatory behaviours (see 2008/2009).
The base formation on binary-line (square-marked) is a very dangerous sign, if the indicator do not goes below this level.
Moreover the 2011-values > 2010 tops (bad sign in mid-long term for underlyings) and very similar to 2009 tops.
With indicator inside the dark-blue band (tops of 2009/2008), there will be an important stress increase for underlyings.
Only with values of indicator below the square-marked binary lines there will be an important stress decrease.
See the distance between 2002/2003 value vs. 2007/2009 values.


The NYSE Short Interest Ratio is the r-spread (indicator contrarian to underlyings) between total short positions (= short interest) vs. average daily volume for NYSE.
High value of indicator shows high probability of bearish trend on underlyings. Moreover this indicator shows important anticipatory behaviours (see 2008/2009).
The main (dark-blue) bearish channel is in progress, but 2011 tops > 2010.
The key elements of the indicator is the horizontal-line (lows 2006/2007 & tops-2009); above this level there will be an important increase of financial stress for underlyings.





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 283 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 313 KB
  • #313
  • Dec 19, 2011 5:14am Dec 19, 2011 5:14am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about ND Short Interest Indicators.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

ND Short Interest (previous simple-curve chart; indicator contrarian to underlyings) shows the total short position for Nasdaq Index.
This indicator shows important anticipatory behaviours (see 2008/2009).
The base formation on binary-line (square-marked) is a very dangerous sign, if the indicator do not goes below this level.
Moreover the 2011-values > 2009 and 2010 tops (bad sign in mid-long term for underlyings).
With indicator inside the dark-green band (tops of 2007/2008), there will be an important stress increase for underlyings.
Only with values of indicator below the square-marked binary lines there will be an important stress decrease.
See the distance between 2002/2003 value vs. 2007/2009 values.


The ND Short Interest Ratio is the r-spread (previous ratio-chart; indicator contrarian to underlyings) between total short positions (= short interest) vs. average daily volume for Nasdaq.
High value of indicator shows high probability of bearish trend on underlyings. Moreover this indicator shows important anticipatory behaviours (see 2008/2009).
In 2009 the indicator goes below the main ascending channel, with inportant break of bearish pattern of 2007/2008.
The target of this break is not obtained (bold dotted white line).
The key elements of the indicator are:
-) pink set-up area - only below this zone there will be a big decrease of stress of underlyings accumulated in 2011 (values > 2010, 2009 !!!).
-) 2009/2011 cup 'InProgress' - the dotted area between the basal binary-lines (lows of 2008/2009/2011) & II top of 2008 is a dangerous figure if bull-validated, with very negative impact on underlyings.





☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 308 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg6REservoSOVRANO.jpg Size: 404 KB
  • #314
  • Dec 19, 2011 4:41pm Dec 19, 2011 4:41pm
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Odd-Lot Indicators.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).



The Odd-Lot Indicators (in phase vs. underlyings) shows the volume of micro-orders on stocks-market.
These micro-orders are usually positively correlated with the volatility indicators as VIX or VXO or VXN, etc.
The short-term situation of these indicators is showed in the charts.




☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 571 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 366 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 327 KB
  • #315
  • Dec 20, 2011 5:46am Dec 20, 2011 5:46am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Option Speculator Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).


The Option Speculator on S&P500 (previous chart) is an indicator (in phase vs. underlyings) option-based.
The 0.9/1.1 lines are the key horizontal elements for an evaluation of extreme option-market conditions.
On the chart the main graphical elements.




☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZXY-KeSaddaPhaPeKampa0261.jpg Size: 914 KB
  • #316
  • Dec 20, 2011 6:05am Dec 20, 2011 6:05am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about D.J. ESI Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).


For the D.J. ESI Indicator see the source.



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZXY-KeSaddaPhaPeKampa0261a.jpg Size: 464 KB
  • #317
  • Dec 20, 2011 12:21pm Dec 20, 2011 12:21pm
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about NYSE Short Interest Detrended Indicator.

Stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).


The NYSE Short Interest Detrended Indicator (previous chart) is a short-interest based curve for the evaluation of NYSE sentiment (indicator contrarian to underlyings; inverted on chart-scale).
Key elements are: divergences vs. underlyings; 0.0-line or mid-line; extreme values (= spread between 0-line vs. indicator-value; see colored horizontal bands).
Notes on the attached chart.



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZXY-KeSaddaPhaPeKampa0261B.jpg Size: 848 KB
  • #318
  • Dec 21, 2011 5:51am Dec 21, 2011 5:51am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Nd/Biotech. Index.

General stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).


In this post there are some P&F automatic charts (with different box-prices & box-reverse), as benchmark curves for next study of Nd/Biotech. Index (source: StockCharts).



☻/ ۞ Glo-Bio.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 625 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg3.jpg Size: 503 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 571 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg5.jpg Size: 619 KB
  • #319
  • Dec 21, 2011 7:57am Dec 21, 2011 7:57am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Macro-Economy Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Source



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 665 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg3.jpg Size: 655 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg4.jpg Size: 663 KB
  • #320
  • Dec 21, 2011 8:43am Dec 21, 2011 8:43am
►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

∞

H! ALL [ bad English, sorry ⊱ : ( ]
Some notes/charts about Aurum [Au].

General stocks-benchmarks are as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ISI; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

http://www.caseyresearch.com/sites/d...1toPresent.png
http://www.caseyresearch.com/sites/d...1toPresent.png
Source



☻/ ۞ Globo.pk 2.0 Alert ۞
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a real-time and correct set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
K€SADDhAPHA'pe'KAMPA' ℬunda-€MP¥R€ $0UND $¥$T€M$ ❣❣❣
ⒾⓂⓄ ℬϒ $@❣♆¥ ♥ █║▌│█│║▌║▌║ █ ❤
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