Technical Analysis Fallacy | Page 1479 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

The Ultimate Fallacy in Technical Analysis 99 replies

"Technical Analysis Fallacy" thread people, I need your help 54 replies

Technical Analysis Fallacy Redux 23 replies

Statistical analysis fallacy 33 replies

Attachments: Technical Analysis Fallacy
Exit Attachments

Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #29,561
  • Nov 30, 2011 9:50am Nov 30, 2011 9:50am
Quoting fti

I just got bad feelings they engineering something and i not like the smell.
"UK shuts down Iranian embassy in London,Expels Iranian diplomats."

could be coincidence, so not get all worked up
need keep eyes on wires.
regards
Due to strained relations with Pakistan at the moment, they wouldn't want many fronts opened at the same time. would they???
  • #29,562
  • Nov 30, 2011 9:52am Nov 30, 2011 9:52am
Quoting indianguyinny24
Nice Nice....Where you from BErt...and how you know ajay devgan....


V
Hey Vic!

you know cricket and bollywood runs too deep in our blood. So, i know Ajay and each and everyone in bollywood since I was born. I am from your neighboring country.
  • #29,563
  • Nov 30, 2011 9:55am Nov 30, 2011 9:55am
Quoting auxesis
Desperate would be my vote.

need to stock up on some good heirloom seeds, and enough food to get through the winter, while I still can.

regards
Hi!

I miss the Cold War ... it was all so quiet .... and I was so happy at this time... We were here, they were there ....

The best is to buy arable land, the Creator has been discontinued the manufacturing long time ago ...

But I'm still optimistic.
Quiet when everyone is nervous.
That was always my main feature.

Rgs,

Textor

P.S.: Slow down people, don't worry, as GRO would say:
December 2012 is just around the corner...
  • #29,564
  • Nov 30, 2011 9:59am Nov 30, 2011 9:59am
Quoting fti
yeap, aux.
everyone just pressed panic button all at once.
and we cannot see thru the fog, whats actually happening.
There's at least 1 protest vote.
"BOJ Governor: Liquidity alone can’t solve Europe’s woes"
But surely they had no choice but to join.


regards
Big Euro Bank close to failure........

http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspe...d-not-tell-us/
  • #29,565
  • Nov 30, 2011 10:02am Nov 30, 2011 10:02am
Quoting auxesis
Big Euro Bank close to failure........

http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspe...d-not-tell-us/
Inserted Video


I watched the movie, is pretty good.

Rgs,

Textor
  • #29,566
  • Nov 30, 2011 10:06am Nov 30, 2011 10:06am
Been working on a list of reasons for pumping liquidity at this time, and not one of them is good. One possible good development, though, is that there is some leadership being displayed, probably by the Fed, to jar the europeans out of their dazed and confused approach to their problems. All things considered, there is more to worry about here than is being discussed in the media. Is this a precursor to an Isreal/US attack on Iran?
  • #29,567
  • Nov 30, 2011 10:08am Nov 30, 2011 10:08am
Quoting GEfx
Been working on a list of reasons for pumping liquidity at this time, and not one of them is good. One possible good development, though, is that there is some leadership being displayed, probably by the Fed, to jar the europeans out of their dazed and confused approach to their problems. All things considered, there is more to worry about here than is being discussed in the media. Is this a precursor to an Isreal/US attack on Iran?
I think it already happened......

http://israelinsider.net/profiles/bl...argeted-israel
  • #29,568
  • Nov 30, 2011 10:13am Nov 30, 2011 10:13am
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/foreig...ut-plan-b-faqs

Rgs,

Textor
  • #29,569
  • Edited 11:07am Nov 30, 2011 10:18am | Edited 11:07am


is just coincidence. They just trying manage incident at the embassy.
is damn scary when coincidental news hits at the same instance.

http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news...201-1o7fy.html

whole month i had been spooked by the isreali attempt to flare war.

so is just concerted liquidity pumping event.
The banks lines must all be jammed up bad for them react like this.
Seems is not premediated activity.

So now more usd flows into the euro system.
so no rush for euro to 1.4
The us leg isn't that liquid anyways, so whats they gonna do?
print more?
interesting dec is gonna be.

maybe is precursor for more good things happen.
For once we see the whole world come together troubleshoot the problem.
So now just need the euro zone get their act together.
problem is IMF and ECB still haging on who's money comes into the fold first?

question is who should be lender of last resort to banks?
traditionally is the CB.
complication is , this not bank issue.
is sovereignty issue.
So who is responsible lend to governments?
traditionally investors and other friendly govts.
they lost investors confidence.
so need have other friendly govts.
BUt............

Inserted Video


so is back to euro zone structure.
So the ball is now in inter govt lending.
Why would banks want get involved?
they already sunked as investors.
  • #29,570
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:00pm Nov 30, 2011 1:00pm
more music for you chief, you may have already posted but here we go:

Inserted Video
  • #29,571
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:09pm Nov 30, 2011 1:09pm
more bollywood

Inserted Video
  • #29,572
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:30pm Nov 30, 2011 1:30pm
Cullen Roche:

The swaps are simple to understand. They’re unsecured loans to the ECB so their member banks can obtain dollar access if needed. It helps to cap LIBOR and provide liquidity to the banking system. It’s a high risk maneuver for the Fed because of the unsecured nature of it, but being in Euros is relatively low risk as is so I don’t want to overstate this. There’s an inflation risk if member banks use the funds to buy goods and services, but that’s remote. More likely this just shores up the EU banking system and boosts confidence a bit. Other than that, there’s not a lot of meat here even though market participants overreact every time something like this is announced. They think there is some mythical power being unleashed and various websites will imply that this is going to crash the USD and cause the world to end. You can’t even begin to comprehend the nonsense being discussed on trading desks until you know some of these guys. It’s amazing how little Wall Street actually knows about all of this. Ignore all that garbage about the end of the world inflation coming. Bottom line is, this is a sign that CB’s are being proactive, but it’s not a sign that the Euro crisis is being directly dealt with. Remember, this is a solvency crisis. The banking crisis is an extension of the solvency crisis. The risk of course, being short here, is that the EMU comes up with a deal on December 9th and the shorts get jammed for ANOTHER quick 4%….

Source: http://pragcap.com/a-triple-whammy-of-good-news

Rgs,

Textor
  • #29,573
  • Nov 30, 2011 7:34pm Nov 30, 2011 7:34pm
"Britain on Wednesday shut down the Iranian embassy in London and expelled all its staff one day after Iranian students entered the British Embassy compound in Tehran and pulled down the Union Jack."

Iran expels British diplomats in reciprocal action

great so now egor is in charge.
wait till their friends get in the picture, its gonna get interesting.

another incident and they can all press the button.

I just love humans and their systems.

regards
  • #29,574
  • Nov 30, 2011 7:50pm Nov 30, 2011 7:50pm
i think oanda is right.

the ante is getting very high.
with year end thinness and crisis uncertainty, the volatility can go way off standard deviations.
the gamble factor is going get unmanagable.

shark alert is good stance.
this stance i will take. I am getting out of the water for now.
Too many wildcards at play. Times like this, market makers wished their consoles breaks down.

regards
  • #29,575
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:13pm Nov 30, 2011 8:13pm
Quoting GEfx
. Is this a precursor to an Isreal/US attack on Iran?
probably only just distraction.

the world is plaged by financial meltdown, so all sorts distractions and crooky woozys will be happening.
The last time we were in meltdown situation. The world went to war.
Is like a reset button.
The problem is the innocent suffers.

regards
  • #29,576
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:24pm Nov 30, 2011 8:24pm
Looks like panda want in too lol

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/china-...hird-world-war
  • #29,577
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:24pm Nov 30, 2011 8:24pm
Halting Deflation’s Spiral

"The Fed has been forced to lend dollars on an unsecured and unlimited basis to foreign central banks against foreign currency collateral. What if the euro collapses?"

yes so many ifs.

http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate...-us-and-europe
  • #29,578
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:35pm Nov 30, 2011 8:35pm
Quoting M-H Trader
Looks like panda want in too lol

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/china-...hird-world-war
so i am not only one spooked.
This feelings all very unhealthy.


regards
  • #29,579
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:43pm Nov 30, 2011 8:43pm
Quoting fti
so i am not only one spooked.
This feelings all very unhealthy.


regards
All talk so far...
  • #29,580
  • Nov 30, 2011 8:52pm Nov 30, 2011 8:52pm
Quoting M-H Trader
All talk so far...
ya ya, talk is good.
is when the talking stops...................

i just wondring how uk and iran can talk now, there's no diplomatic channels talk anymore. Funny and its all over a kid pull down a flag.
When children fight, it get very interesting when their parents show up, can be nicely mediated or is can be full blown free for all, depends.

regards
18 traders viewing now