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Price is everything

  • #23,461
  • Nov 27, 2011 8:57am Nov 27, 2011 8:57am
jsut something to be aware of:


uptrend in loony maintained steep angle but breaks it.
i meausrre the 76.8 retracement for aussie bullsih trend and its sitting on that level with demand as well 50% retrace for bearsih trend also converges with -26.25 angle, which looks to be the next resistance.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie.gif Size: 21 KB

300 pips away+.

for loony looks to drop heavy and hard 300+ too.
supply as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: u carry the plot to bomb.gif Size: 33 KB

many dates happend in weeekend. but i think a simple venus changing signs into sagittarius would be possible trend change. waht also makes possible trend change is solar eclipse (and it made it f----ing worse for a swing because of the lack of trading) and mercury retrograde motion.also sun conjunct moon on 24th and is good indicator for short term trend change

i think its a bear usd week next week.

ill be short on usdcrosses. lower tf already suggests USD Supply is hit with good reaction.

red do u have any ideas on your analysis? perhaps harmonics? or patterns?
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #23,462
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:02am Nov 27, 2011 9:02am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment



if this bar occurred on EU and/or cable what would it mean to you .........
Buyers and sellers into consolidation because of engulfing bar, consuming demand... ? Watch for flag formation? Go for it.
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #23,463
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:08am Nov 27, 2011 9:08am
Quoting bumapatria
jsut something to be aware of:


uptrend in loony maintained steep angle but breaks it.
i meausrre the 76.8 retracement for aussie bullsih trend and its sitting on that level with demand as well 50% retrace for bearsih trend also converges with -26.25 angle, which looks to be the next resistance.
Attachment
300 pips away+.

for loony looks to drop heavy and hard 300+ too.
supply as well.
Attachment
many dates happend in weeekend. but i think a simple venus changing signs into sagittarius would be possible trend change....


l have already sold loony on friday, holding a small position south

cadjpy near is historical low with bullish pattern h4
  • #23,464
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:11am Nov 27, 2011 9:11am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Buyers and sellers into consolidation because of engulfing bar, consuming demand... ?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sw 15min flag.gif Size: 15 KB


the bearish O/B is indicating its hit supply, why? It gapped up and closed decisively bearish with no upper wick, shaven top indicates alot of supply


possible outcome as price structure suggests if the market was running as this occurred

the market open can easily invalidate this





another note, those underwicks l have stated are demand consumption because l see a bearflag, BUT THEY ARE REJECTION wicks at the moment to complete the bearflag cycle. ONLY IF AND WHEN PRICES FALL THROUGH THAT LEVEL YOU CAN THEN SAY WITH DEFINATION THAT THEY ARE DEMAND CONSUMPTION WICKS


so, its an assumption they are at the moment and if prices fall through that level then we can term them as demand consumption wicks
  • #23,465
  • Edited 9:42am Nov 27, 2011 9:17am | Edited 9:42am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment



if this bar occurred on EU and/or cable what would it mean to you .........
Or ...Reversal on effort to Rise ..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 2.gif Size: 37 KB
  • #23,466
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:23am Nov 27, 2011 9:23am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment

the bearish O/B is indicating its hit supply, why? It gapped up and closed decisively bearish with no upper wick, shaven top indicates alot of supply


possible outcome as price structure suggests if the market was running as this occurred

the market open can easily invalidate this





another note, those underwicks l have stated are demand consumption because l see a bearflag, BUT THEY ARE REJECTION wicks at the moment to complete the bearflag cycle. ONLY IF AND WHEN PRICES FALL THROUGH THAT LEVEL YOU CAN THEN SAY WITH...
Bookmarked for printing later...Brilliant illustration, thank you... bbl.
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #23,467
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:23am Nov 27, 2011 9:23am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Buyers and sellers into consolidation because of engulfing bar, consuming demand... ? Watch for flag formation? Go for it.


was meant to reply yes to your comments with the chart
  • #23,468
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:43am Nov 27, 2011 9:43am
I on one hand am not sure which way to go.

I'm getting a Strong sell vibe right off the bat.

Attached are the reasons why.
Looks to me like a straight off drop might be in the works.

But I am new to all of this yet.
So I will let the Forex Vets help me out on this one.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd-chf-1h.gif Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd-chf-30m.gif Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd-chf-15m.gif Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd-chf-5m.gif Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd-chf-1m.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #23,469
  • Edited Nov 28, 2011 12:48am Nov 27, 2011 9:47am | Edited Nov 28, 2011 12:48am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment

the bearish O/B is indicating its hit supply, why? It gapped up and closed decisively bearish with no upper wick, shaven top indicates alot of supply


possible outcome as price structure suggests if the market was running as this occurred

the market open can easily invalidate this


another note, those underwicks l have stated are demand consumption because l see a bearflag, BUT THEY ARE REJECTION wicks at the moment to complete the bearflag cycle. ONLY IF AND WHEN PRICES FALL THROUGH THAT LEVEL YOU CAN THEN...
Thanks for your analysis and explanation Red!! This information is very useful for me too... As I'm still holding my SELL position from last week..


Quoting Rf7
Sold Swissy @ 0.9308
The reason for my entry and holding of my position were:
1. Bearish engulfing Bar on M15
2. Bearish butterfly on H1/H4
3. Cofluence of Daily Supply Zone and Daily S/R level

So I thought that this could be a high probability trade.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: uchf2.gif Size: 40 KB
  • #23,470
  • Nov 27, 2011 9:51am Nov 27, 2011 9:51am
Quoting taomql4
Or ...Reversal on effort to Rise ..
yea mate deff. on my watchlist!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #23,471
  • Nov 27, 2011 10:01am Nov 27, 2011 10:01am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eg h4.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #23,472
  • Edited 10:27am Nov 27, 2011 10:07am | Edited 10:27am
Quoting redsword11
l have already sold loony on friday, holding a small position south

cadjpy near is historical low with bullish pattern h4
great great im long GU carry over weekend, and looks to retrace hard up. cad jpy... would have to look that up. seems simialr to GBP JPY? and gy striked a hard v to the upside before close.

ill def short cad and long aud to add to the list.

5600 might be too much to ask for on GU's daily retrace 50% 5575 looks a good TP area and is 23.6% retrace first fta.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: current cloud.gif Size: 37 KB

if i put the kumo (ichimoku cloud) current cloud stands at 5700 for resistance in daily chart.

btw USDNOK at strong supply untouched. that should also be indication of USDx coz they are almost exactly the same

btw its daily demand, it should retrace if not reverse from here
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #23,473
  • Nov 27, 2011 10:26am Nov 27, 2011 10:26am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment
if u look at ur EG chart to me it llooks like still tere is more demand than supply of the instrument. that ranging period i believe would retest the pole? perhaps just a big flag up?

sun and moon has good effect on EG and here are results and as i posted before, it is square 26th actually. yesteday

so i believe its a bullish move its testing a daily tiny pocket of demand zone and would be a 180 pip swing to upside x 0.618=111.24 of original swign and therefore i made a line to show that retracement. has yet to test the old support. we might see a good 100 pip swing to there from curent level.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: egpie.gif Size: 24 KB


id long this too. 4th wave posible end and 5th comin up.

arrows are all dates of sun and moon aspects with respective descriptions. triangle means trine, sextile is a 'x', conjunction in circles with arrow sticking out, opposition is two linked circles. 5 means quincunx.

didnt include all dates, too many to record for past history
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #23,474
  • Nov 27, 2011 10:42am Nov 27, 2011 10:42am
Quoting bumapatria
if u look at ur EG chart to me it llooks like still tere is more demand than supply of the instrument. that ranging period i believe would retest the pole? perhaps just a big flag up?

sun and moon has good effect on EG and here are results and as i posted before, it is square 26th actually. yesteday

so i believe its a bullish move its testing a daily tiny pocket of demand zone and would be a 180 pip swing to upside x 0.618=111.24 of original swign and therefore i made a line to show that retracement. has yet to test the old support. we might see...

as PA traders ......... what affects EG l have described in detail over many examples in this thread. Wasn't really going to mention this but astro fx belongs in other threads where this type of discussion is whats relevant



PIE and astro don't mix
  • #23,475
  • Nov 27, 2011 11:28am Nov 27, 2011 11:28am
Quoting redsword11
as PA traders ......... what affects EG l have described in detail over many examples in this thread. Wasn't really going to mention this but astro fx belongs in other threads where this type of discussion is whats relevant



PIE and astro don't mix
i agree 100%. Price IS Everything.
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #23,476
  • Nov 27, 2011 11:31am Nov 27, 2011 11:31am
Quoting redsword11
as PA traders ......... what affects EG l have described in detail over many examples in this thread. Wasn't really going to mention this but astro fx belongs in other threads where this type of discussion is whats relevant



PIE and astro don't mix
sure red, ill rip off that part. PIE. ill share the PA part of it all. glad u said it nicely and therefore i am to act in a similar fashion
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #23,477
  • Nov 27, 2011 11:33am Nov 27, 2011 11:33am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chfjpy.gif Size: 15 KB



chfjpy and usdchf are inverted


swissy testing highs and chfjpy lands here and has reacted to some degree



will be buying it
  • #23,478
  • Nov 27, 2011 11:39am Nov 27, 2011 11:39am
Quoting bumapatria
sure red, ill rip off that part. PIE. ill share the PA part of it all. glad u said it nicely and therefore i am to act in a similar fashion


l am spiritual being bound in a human experience not a human being trying to find spirituality


........ l know about astro but here we are PA traders


we have an understanding
  • #23,479
  • Nov 27, 2011 11:43am Nov 27, 2011 11:43am
Quoting redsword11
l am spiritual being bound in a human experience not a human being trying to find spirituality


........ l know about astro but here we are PA traders


we have an understanding
no need for more words. understood well.



get ready to start slaughtering for this comin week

now i gotta eat late supper, would love to see more analysis from everyone and get good confluence if we can. if opposing that would be good view too

bye everyone
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #23,480
  • Nov 27, 2011 12:24pm Nov 27, 2011 12:24pm
Quoting kaspopsicle
Chart
Update thanks to Reds help on this thread...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Spot FX GBP_USD (DFB).png Size: 11 KB
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
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