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Daily GBP/JPY analysis

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  • Post #16,201
  • Quote
  • Oct 24, 2011 7:36pm Oct 24, 2011 7:36pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
Gbp vs Jpy (1H) - At the moment, I'm looking forward for a bearish continuation trend scenario either to perform subwave 2 in aqua or subwave 3 in magenta. A valid "rising wedge" pattern and a breakout toward the lower red trendline would bolster to this scenario. Otherwise, please be careful for any breakout toward the magenta critical line.

Gbp vs Usd (Daily) - Preferably, I believe market in progress to complete a "bull trap" pattern and therefore I'm looking forward market to perform either a bearish continuation trend (subwave 5) scenario in yellow or a bearish retracement trend scenario in aqua (subwave 2). Good luck.
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  • Post #16,202
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  • Oct 31, 2011 5:59am Oct 31, 2011 5:59am
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
Favourably, I believe market in progress to perform subwave 3 either refering to the alt counts in yellow or aqua. A breakout toward the bullish continuation critical line 1 would bolster to this scenario. Otherwise, this scenario would be invalid if market further retrace and break the aqua/yellow critical line. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,203
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  • Nov 1, 2011 10:54pm Nov 1, 2011 10:54pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, I'm looking forward for a potential of bullish continuation trend scenario either to perform subcorrective wave b (white), wave 5 (aqua/truncated) or subwave v (yellow). A valid "Falling Wedge" pattern in yellow would bolster to this scenario. Otherwise, please be careful for any breakout toward the bearish continuation critcal line 1. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,204
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  • Nov 2, 2011 8:06pm Nov 2, 2011 8:06pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, I'm looking forward for another bullish continuation trend scenario either to perform wave v in yellow or wave 5 in aqua. Otherwise, we may see another bearish continuation trend scenario to perform corrective wave c in white. Please be careful toward NFP announcement tonight (8.30pm @ GMT 8+). Happy weekend and good luck.
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  • Post #16,205
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  • Nov 3, 2011 8:59pm Nov 3, 2011 8:59pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
Gbp vs Jpy (1H) - At the moment, please be careful toward a potential of bearish reversal trend scenario in white. Favourably, I'm looking forward for another bullish continuation trend scenario either to complete wave 5 in aqua (truncated) or yellow. Please be careful toward NFP announcement tonight (8.30pm @ GMT 8+).

Gbp vs Jpy (4H) - Preferably, I'm looking forward toward another bullish continuation trend scenario either in aqua or yellow. A breakout toward the bullish continuation critical line 1 would bolster to the sentiment count in yellow scenario. Otherwise, please be careful for any potential of bearish reversal trend scenario either in white or aqua ("Double Top"). I would like to wish all muslim a Happy Hari Raya Aidil Adha, maaf zahir batin. Happy holidays and good luck.
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  • Post #16,206
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  • Nov 9, 2011 9:11am Nov 9, 2011 9:11am
  •  zephyru
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Trend Friend | 79 Posts
@ major resistance, ready for bounce back up to 125.4 or if breaks down to 122.656.
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  • Post #16,207
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  • Nov 9, 2011 7:11pm Nov 9, 2011 7:11pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, I'm looking forward for a potential of bullish continuation trend scenario either to perform corrective wave b in aqua or impulse wave v in yellow. A strong bounce would bolster to this scenario. Otherwise, I believe we may see another bearish continuation trend scenario perhap to complete corrective wave c in white. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,208
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  • Nov 13, 2011 9:30pm Nov 13, 2011 9:30pm
  •  yankeewh1te
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Last week I noticed:
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That such candle setups where the plunge begins below the Tenkan-sen (Ichimoku) or turning line and Kumo (cloud) with some distance typically saw a 15pip pop, with only one loser out of many many I eyed (I think it was 12~).
I think the move following this candle formation was powerful enough that USDCAD falls below par oil rolls over $100 AUDUSD hits 1.05 and GBPJPY tries ¥130. This was a clean slice to the upside, hopefully the downside is limited.

#edit: the loser assumed 40pip SL~ [I think the rolling tally was +80, I did this research over the weekend along with my usual research]
 
 
  • Post #16,209
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  • Nov 14, 2011 7:04pm Nov 14, 2011 7:04pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, market just performed a bearish continuation trend scenario either refering to the alt counts in white, yellow or aqua. A valid formation of "diagonal triangle" pattern in white would bolster to a potential of bounce scenario either refering to the alt counts in white or yellow. Otherwise, we may see another strong bearish continuation trend scenario in aqua. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,210
  • Quote
  • Nov 14, 2011 8:27pm Nov 14, 2011 8:27pm
  •  yankeewh1te
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Most of the move last session was because the Italian 10-yr yield leaped from 6.34% to 6.71%. A compression back to 6.5% would likely correspond with GBPJPY partial recovery.
 
 
  • Post #16,211
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  • Nov 15, 2011 10:06am Nov 15, 2011 10:06am
  •  Brixton
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 348 Posts
Price currently having a go at the 122.00 level which appears to be quite key. Anyone watching?
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  • Post #16,212
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2011 10:11am Nov 15, 2011 10:11am
  •  Brixton
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 348 Posts
Getting in closer and the price action looks bearish to me, especially the pin bars! A more convincing break and re-test will see me sell this pair.
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  • Post #16,213
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2011 10:55am Nov 15, 2011 10:55am
  •  lovepips
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: keep your pips | 213 Posts
Quoting Brixton
Disliked
Price currently having a go at the 122.00 level which appears to be quite key. Anyone watching?
Ignored
been looking at this pair and it seems to be struggling to get up to 122.... have entered a small short at 121.80.... tp 121.30
patience is a virtue
 
 
  • Post #16,214
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2011 11:39am Nov 15, 2011 11:39am
  •  Brixton
  • | Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 348 Posts
Yea, it seems to have slowed down now. Im going to wait for london to open again tomorrow then have another look at it.
 
 
  • Post #16,215
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2011 6:50pm Nov 16, 2011 6:50pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, I'm lookinf forward for a potential of either bullish retracement trend scenario in white or a bullish reversal trend scenario in yellow. A bounce from either bearish continuation critical line 1 or 2 would bolster to this scenario. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,216
  • Quote
  • Nov 21, 2011 2:07am Nov 21, 2011 2:07am
  •  Jackthepiper
  • | Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Member | 219 Posts
seen the double bottom from last week around 120.88. Im not sure if this is a retracement or reversal so I'm targeting 38% around 122.00 which may also have 200EMA confluence if we get there

Look at usdcad... double top... correlation between both pair ranges from -86 to -40.

long at 120.98 sl 120.80
lets see what happens
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  • Post #16,217
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2011 7:03pm Nov 22, 2011 7:03pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
At the moment, I'm believe market in progress to perform either a bullish reversal trend scenario in aqua or a bullish retracement trend scenario in white. Otherwise, we may see a "bear trap" scenario in yellow. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,218
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 6:41pm Nov 23, 2011 6:41pm
  •  Jebatfx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 2,795 Posts
Preferably, I'm looking forward for a good potential of bullish trend either to complete subcorrective wave a in yellow (Bear Trap) or subwave 4 in white. A breakout to the upper yellow trendline and pivot critical line would bolster to this scenario. Good luck.
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  • Post #16,219
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:30am Nov 25, 2011 7:30am
  •  zz_zhang
  • | Joined Oct 2008 | Status: Member | 650 Posts
Quoting Jebatfx
Disliked
Preferably, I'm looking forward for a good potential of bullish trend either to complete subcorrective wave a in yellow (Bear Trap) or subwave 4 in white. A breakout to the upper yellow trendline and pivot critical line would bolster to this scenario. Good luck.
Ignored

g/j bo of its channel, long this pair but i hate it because is the last day of the week.
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trade safe
 
 
  • Post #16,220
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2011 6:40pm Nov 28, 2011 6:40pm
  •  longshot_nl
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: .... | 3,897 Posts
could become a butterfly
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