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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #28,281
  • Oct 27, 2011 1:46pm Oct 27, 2011 1:46pm
OMG, slept on my positions today.
First day on the job.
OK tomollow, cut salary 30% or gets sacked.


thanks god for looking after my usd yen position.
humbled.

regards
  • #28,282
  • Oct 27, 2011 1:56pm Oct 27, 2011 1:56pm
Quoting simpleman
Although I hate to put anything on charts but I think Donchian Channels will be useful with this strategy.

FTI, what are views on that please
you must have read lots of Richards's turtles materials.
well, although richie hit the wall in 2000, but his turtles mostly are still doing very well. They mostly big boys and girls in the markets.

My personal feeling is that there is nothing wrong use a trend following lagger.
Only problem is you gonna need have a big trend run make heaps. And you'll probably have to be trading the weeks to months horizon. And have ability carry positions for months to years.

Could work. Only not for me. I always have short of time space.

maybe one is in the works , looking at whats happening in the euro fiasco. Didn't think I'll see 1.42 so soon. Well, here it is.

regards

the thing that bugs me about it , is that, account will mostly be flat, with many small losses, until the big one comes. Can surely work if one not depend on trading income for living.
  • #28,283
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:03pm Oct 27, 2011 2:03pm
Quoting N_Trader
Any chance that Singapore will be invited?
no.

sg, taiwan korea japan canada..................probably USA Americana grouping.

regards
  • #28,284
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:06pm Oct 27, 2011 2:06pm
Quoting Zoran
I have to say the best Italian food is in Italy. I spend two weeks there during summer and I was in heaven. For some reason I get disappointed when I eat Italian in most other places so I tend to avoid it.

The exception is probably Melbourne, where I grew up. But the quality of food and restaurants there has always been great.
ya ,zoran.
italian food need italian chef.
otherwise is like european made nasi lemak.
Some how never gets it right. I don't understand, why. But is like that.

regards
  • #28,285
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:08pm Oct 27, 2011 2:08pm
Quoting Zoran
Hmm, not sure you belong in the EU then. We like big pay cheques without doing the work. Why do you think we have these economic problems? Best to stay in Asia.


it's nice be humble.
No need beat self to pulp.

regards
  • #28,286
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:11pm Oct 27, 2011 2:11pm
Quoting jacson101
Yes 50%.
Not sure how it solves a solvency( bankruptcy) problem with more liquidity though.
Oh well no matter print, print, print we'll all figure it out later.

they working get no defaults first.
Then later find ways, dig out of the camp.

Inserted Video


regards
  • #28,287
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:15pm Oct 27, 2011 2:15pm
Quoting indianguyinny24
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-1...ince-1991.html

You are beating most of these guys...


V
John called the e shorts long long time ago, before the fiasco selling started. Would had thought that he capitalised and made big.
Well thats for my crystallballing. Another lesson for me.

regards
  • #28,288
  • Edited 2:36pm Oct 27, 2011 2:16pm | Edited 2:36pm
Quoting jacson101
yep thanks V.
Was reading that earlier.
I haven't taken a position for almost 3 weeks.
Almost surreal
you learned the superior skills of the great bears?
hybernation in winters?


regards

PS anyways the whole world's gone crazy for me.
its 3 am here and i anm going eat dinner.

Inserted Video



Bless mom.
She left nice food in kitchen for me.
Nice i need microwave them.
great.
  • #28,289
  • Oct 27, 2011 2:35pm Oct 27, 2011 2:35pm
Quoting jacson101
Well maybe 2 weeks
So much politics I feel like I've been guessing about outcomes, and 3 kgd impulse.

Rgds, staying nimble as well.
Actually i was other way around....

I got my scorpio of shorting the AU though was going up and up and was taking profit from UJ to come to breakeven as close as possible...closed today with 2% net loss...right now in rescuing mode of UJ ... didn't dance properly...was too much biased also this meeting was there too...

Now doing hit and Run with UJ with decent lot size on long side..

so i was so much in the market last 3 weeks ..thinking to take break in some time...

@chief eat properly man... you aint young anymore ....hows ur health now..hows ur heart now...

V
  • #28,290
  • Oct 27, 2011 3:16pm Oct 27, 2011 3:16pm
Quoting fti
you must have read lots of Richards's turtles materials.
well, although richie hit the wall in 2000, but his turtles mostly are still doing very well. They mostly big boys and girls in the markets.

My personal feeling is that there is nothing wrong use a trend following lagger.
Only problem is you gonna need have a big trend run make heaps. And you'll probably have to be trading the weeks to months horizon. And have ability carry positions for months to years.

Could work. Only not for me. I always have short of time space.

...

Yes,I had read the turtle materials while ago as they used Donchian. I wish if there was an smooth trend in FX like we had in USDCHF till couple of months ago. On shorter time frames there is trend every day, yes,it is short but it is trend.

400 pips move in EU not seen many times in the past...more to come I think.
  • #28,291
  • Oct 27, 2011 4:37pm Oct 27, 2011 4:37pm
Quoting indianguyinny24
Actually i was other way around....

I got my scorpio of shorting the AU though was going up and up and was taking profit from UJ to come to breakeven as close as possible...closed today with 2% net loss...right now in rescuing mode of UJ ... didn't dance properly...was too much biased also this meeting was there too...

Now doing hit and Run with UJ with decent lot size on long side..

so i was so much in the market last 3 weeks ..thinking to take break in some time...

@chief eat properly man... you aint young anymore ....hows ur health...
wierd eating at this odd hours.
maybe i mutating into bat.

vic, heart is same no change,but here's been raining dog and cats daily.
No sun for me , so i seem in sleepy hybernative state , like jac

yes ate good .
mom made ginger chicken in chinese rice wine.
one of my favourites.: )

regards

dance well , my friends.
This high volatility and gyrations zone.
best clear minds of all bias, just dance.
incidentally best be aware of the euro strength.
Wildcard is being played.
Lots short squeeze play in the euro cables.
  • #28,292
  • Oct 27, 2011 4:49pm Oct 27, 2011 4:49pm
sliding into sleepy.
this should keep my eyelids up.

Inserted Video



Mambo on classicalsBeethoven mambo

Inserted Video
  • #28,293
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:20pm Oct 27, 2011 5:20pm
Quoting jacson101
yeah hibernating bear is not bad.

Maybe I'm the ginger
For me it's Politics overload, bias and bad feel potential, just lineoff and enjoy fresh air a little more.
Nevertheless foreign cap booked for the month weeks ago.
Rgds sir
great form: rofl: please point way to bank, thank you. laughing all the way there doing the mambo, huh?

regards
  • #28,294
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:46pm Oct 27, 2011 5:46pm
Quoting fti
wierd eating at this odd hours.
maybe i mutating into bat.

vic, heart is same no change,but here's been raining dog and cats daily.
No sun for me , so i seem in sleepy hybernative state , like jac

yes ate good .
mom made ginger chicken in chinese rice wine.
one of my favourites.: )

regards

dance well , my friends.
This high volatility and gyrations zone.
best clear minds of all bias, just dance.
incidentally best be aware of the euro strength.
Wildcard is being played.
Lots short squeeze play in the euro...

yup somehow i dance the dance...AU i was biased short and it took 2% out of my account ooh well....

high volatilty just change the mm ... another terrain.... just be aware thats all...

honestly chief wanted to ask you... i dont know much about crosses trading ...
but enjoying this ride...

V
  • #28,295
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:57pm Oct 27, 2011 5:57pm
Quoting indianguyinny24
yup somehow i dance the dance...AU i was biased short and it took 2% out of my account ooh well....

high volatilty just change the mm ... another terrain.... just be aware thats all...

honestly chief wanted to ask you... i dont know much about crosses trading ...
but enjoying this ride...

V
no different from spot.
just less liquid.
Not much happens, but when chairs flying they go nuts.
thats all.
bread & butter should be spots, the main wife.
crosses, they the spices.
makes naughty for a time , then back to norms.

regards


this youtube is killing me.
Inserted Video
  • #28,296
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:41pm Oct 27, 2011 6:41pm
A Day in the Life of an Occupy Wall St. Protester


Inserted Video
  • #28,297
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:48pm Oct 27, 2011 6:48pm
Quoting Jaro
A Day in the Life of an Occupy Wall St. Protester


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2qqR...layer_embedded
Here's some of my my favorites, protested admits they were throwing bottles and rocks at police, but doesn't understand why they used tear gas?????

This is getting ridiculous.

Inserted Video


Best paper story...... OWS Kitchen Staff upset for having to cook for freeloaders and homeless

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/m...#ixzz1c18TyJwW
  • #28,298
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:53pm Oct 27, 2011 6:53pm
Quoting auxesis
Here's some of my my favorites, protested admits they were throwing bottles and rocks at police, but doesn't understand why they used tear gas?????

This is getting ridiculous.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHlHiNEZ1wA

Best paper story...... OWS Kitchen Staff upset for having to cook for freeloaders and homeless

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/m...#ixzz1c18TyJwW
I guess police should throw sweet candies instead of tear gas...
  • #28,299
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:58pm Oct 27, 2011 6:58pm
Quoting fti
no different from spot.
just less liquid.
Not much happens, but when chairs flying they go nuts.
thats all.
bread & butter should be spots, the main wife.
crosses, they the spices.
makes naughty for a time , then back to norms.

regards


this youtube is killing me.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnGBTpVFCtM
ooh ok...so spice... can i ask when can i get some...

V
  • #28,300
  • Oct 27, 2011 7:03pm Oct 27, 2011 7:03pm
Quoting auxesis
Here's some of my my favorites, protested admits they were throwing bottles and rocks at police, but doesn't understand why they used tear gas?????

This is getting ridiculous.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHlHiNEZ1wA

Best paper story...... OWS Kitchen Staff upset for having to cook for freeloaders and homeless

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/m...#ixzz1c18TyJwW
no no no
thats wrong way. What does this achieve.
not try antangonise for change.
not behave like hooligans and expect good change.

Proper channels.
Right thoughts, right actions, responsible change.
Behave badly and even dogs will bite.
We are human beings.
Bad to express emotions in wrong way.
Peacefully, give message, give thoughts.
Not get caught in the moment.


regards
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