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vsa with Malcolm

  • #21,341
  • Jul 18, 2011 4:20pm Jul 18, 2011 4:20pm
Tradeguider License RT V4 for sale including Boot Camp CD by Todd Krueger. $2000.00. Buyer pays transfer fee of $990.00. Serious replies only please. Shoot me a private message
  • #21,342
  • Edited Jul 19, 2011 12:31am Jul 18, 2011 7:39pm | Edited Jul 19, 2011 12:31am
please, someone could explain to me what is a Shakeout Bar?

*******************

I'd like that you helped me with those VSA setups, telling where I wrong, where I right... pls

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1311053373

thank you a lot
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  • #21,343
  • Jul 19, 2011 5:51am Jul 19, 2011 5:51am
Quoting pepelepew
please, someone could explain to me what is a Shakeout Bar?

*******************

I'd like that you helped me with those VSA setups, telling where I wrong, where I right... pls

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1311053373

thank you a lot

Hi pepelepew,

Recommend you re-read MTM a few more times, and then re-label your above charts to post here.

You will learn much more after doing that.
  • #21,344
  • Jul 19, 2011 5:56am Jul 19, 2011 5:56am
Quoting apple_sauce
Looks like were in a distribution phase on EU. Notice the mushrooming over, and every top is on ND. I don't normally use RSI but it's hard to not notice the massive divergence. The premium trade for today will be a short on the top of the newly formed channel, marked by the Grey area. Also after a massive SO like the one in the middle of the chart you would expect price to resume trending up, we didn't even make it back into the previous channel.
Quoting apple_sauce
I just took a short on E/U on the close of the upthrust. At first that 3rd bar to the right looked like strength because of the big increase in volume, and compression of the spread. There was defiantly buying on that bar, however the next bar shows us the sentiment when the buying was swamped with a surge of selling. Also the upthrust did not violate the high of the previous bar on increased volume which is an additional sign of weakness.
Quoting apple_sauce
Just went short on the low of that etf. The overall trend is down and we have nd in the immediate background. After the effort to fall we see an up bar on high volume but the spread is narrow and is in the body of the previous bar. I put my sell order on the low of the etf and let the market take me in.

Hi apple_sauce,

Saw a few of your recent 3 posts above.
Well done, you were spot on.
Even though I was Long EU as expecting EU to hit like 500 pips higher like Malcolm, when you saw it as Distribution, I did not see the Distribution until too late.
Don't like those mushroom effect.

Keep up your good analysis.
  • #21,345
  • Jul 19, 2011 6:00am Jul 19, 2011 6:00am
EUR/USD Daily outlook at Mon 18-Jul.

All I can say was I should have drawn Simple Trendlines earlier on to see the earlier Short.

It is Amazing how effective simple trendlines can be at times.

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  • #21,346
  • Jul 19, 2011 10:23am Jul 19, 2011 10:23am
Why is no one here

Feeling very lonely

i have a set up in 30M eu.
i think it's a good set up for today,but i must wait for a enter bar=no demand
ut or 2 bar reverse.
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  • #21,347
  • Jul 19, 2011 4:35pm Jul 19, 2011 4:35pm
A little off topic I know but did anyone read this story and think market manipulation?

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...=feeds-newsxml
  • #21,348
  • Jul 19, 2011 5:10pm Jul 19, 2011 5:10pm
It has been awhile since i posted here.

HEre is some food for thought: Check usdx and es 1h.
  • #21,349
  • Jul 20, 2011 8:41am Jul 20, 2011 8:41am
where master Malcolm???
  • #21,350
  • Jul 20, 2011 10:53am Jul 20, 2011 10:53am
This looks like supply is hitting the market to me (12:30 / 16:00 / 17:00 Swiss time). I know we're in a uptrend but SM selling EUR/USD on good US news...

Can someone confirm or could an experienced VSA trader give a comment about my analysis?

Thank you.
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  • #21,351
  • Jul 21, 2011 4:58am Jul 21, 2011 4:58am
SOW EURUSD
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  • #21,352
  • Jul 21, 2011 11:07am Jul 21, 2011 11:07am
it's a simple set up move up.have 120pips Result
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  • #21,353
  • Jul 21, 2011 3:10pm Jul 21, 2011 3:10pm
Weakness now?

http://i56.tinypic.com/122km4n.jpg
  • #21,354
  • Jul 22, 2011 1:29am Jul 22, 2011 1:29am
Quoting goldenmember
Weakness now?

http://i56.tinypic.com/122km4n.jpg
I can't see to much weakness here.

1) We have a failed test, because market went down.
2) NS bar.
3) Down bar with high volume. Next bar up, which confirms buying in previous bar.
4) NS bar, we have higher volume then previous 3 bars, but volume is still low.
5) Top reversal, but without serious weakness in the background.
6) NS bar and we have no selling pressure here right now.
7) On Asia session we have some testing and squat bar.

Now looking for tests or shakeouts.
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  • #21,355
  • Jul 22, 2011 1:45am Jul 22, 2011 1:45am
Quoting goldenmember
Weakness now?

http://i56.tinypic.com/122km4n.jpg
I think we can see some testing of high vol area... 1.6250.
  • #21,356
  • Jul 22, 2011 7:23am Jul 22, 2011 7:23am
We have some shorting opportunity on EU.

1) ND
2) Selling pressure
3) ND
4) ND
5) No Demandish bar
6) ND
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  • #21,357
  • Jul 22, 2011 7:50am Jul 22, 2011 7:50am
Quoting V_2008
We have some shorting opportunity on EU.

1) ND
2) Selling pressure
3) ND
4) ND
5) No Demandish bar
6) ND
Closed position.
  • #21,358
  • Jul 22, 2011 8:34am Jul 22, 2011 8:34am
EUR
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  • #21,359
  • Jul 22, 2011 12:51pm Jul 22, 2011 12:51pm
Quoting boyce
it's a simple set up move up.have 120pips Result
I didn't mean long term weakness but a retracement. I shorted the next morning at 1.4282 and got some pips out of that trade. After that I went long at 1.4148 and took profits at 1.44 (my best trade in my 1 year forex trading history). EUR/USD seemed still very bullish on a long term perspective. But in my opinion some SM traders new about the bad news that were coming the next day and took some profits to buy cheaper the following day (on the 150 pip down move).
  • #21,360
  • Jul 22, 2011 5:45pm Jul 22, 2011 5:45pm
  •  s7c
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: try and fail but don't fail to try | 289 Posts
Long time no see...I keep struggle to understand what happend yesterday on that high vol/wide spread up bar, on 3h/1h charts doesn't matter,was at previous resistance so i see it as a effort to go up bar and as a abosortion vol kind of bar and no as a supply coming in bar, of course because of the vol some supply comes in but we are in uptrend! So analyzing from fundamental part this could be a mark up by smart money to get a better price to sell into good eur news as gavin said. From technical side I see a retracement today on considerably lower vol (futures vol) so a test of a effort to go up, so I see it bullish on next week, that's for now. I don't know haw to interpret the bars after the bar I talked above which show some weakness and but often after a strong move market relax so I had long entry when Europe session started because on smaller time frames looked to me it wold not go down to test to much and it happened often I waited for a retracement test and miss the move...and now i didn't and i lost.
Thank's for your time to read this and I would appreciate your opinion.
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