Attachments: TD Sequential counts Trading & analysis

TD Sequential counts Trading & analysis

#141
Dec 28, 2010 5:05pm Dec 28, 2010 5:05pm

ronaldksmmg
| Joined Dec 2010 | Status: stockmarketmindgames@gmai l.com | 109 Posts

hey fontu, thanks a lot! Just a little suggestion, the chart seems a little messy, but your analysis is clear. Maybe the next time, try not to put draw so many lines.

#142
Dec 31, 2010 11:54pm Dec 31, 2010 11:54pm

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting ronaldksmmg

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hey fontu, thanks a lot! Just a little suggestion, the chart seems a little messy, but your analysis is clear. Maybe the next time, try not to put draw so many lines.

Ignored

Thanks a lot for the suggestion , may change the yearly resume soon , still not , the same messy chart .

As told weekly range last week & also next , yes it happened perfectly but last 2 days of the year it did in such a way without following any pa regular patterns that they were very difficult to trade , otherwise levels ok .
so 8th ranging gone & 9th to start ranging at top , may be further up 3474 or even just below previous top should be fine but close can be expected down below 1.3232 or 1.3113. may low to even previous bottom 1.2967 .playing top side mostly expected thoughout the next week.

In daily, already there sell signal perfection duely retracing in a bull rally ok before the actual sell , ready for action .
as there was & still is round bottom action, after topping the handle may be in try next to further bull at the same time pullback to the previous break . Hence ranges can be 1.3485 to 1.3219 or low .

lets see how it play in this new year .wish many many pips in coming future .

Happy new year to all .
fontu

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#143
Jan 7, 2011 12:16am Jan 7, 2011 12:16am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

eu update .
fontu
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=360382

pa now , bear set up for possible retracement up before continuation.resistance too early seen 2999 to overcome.

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#144
Edited 10:51am Jan 15, 2011 10:33am | Edited 10:51am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Monthly tf , after sell set perfection & due retracement & next there occured huge bear candle ,potentially initiated the sell in a rally rather count down . and last 2 months price trying retracement of this huge bear candle .

In weekly there also sell set perfection 1 week back & last week duely retracing in a bullish hammer candle & likely continue up or ranges around upside to have cds , potential upside levels 1.3511, 1.1378,1.3897 support ,1.4024 & 1.4048 weekly resistance.

In daily there already sell signal confirmation, not taken place so often or abort after taken place but market failed to see continue and last time it continues again retracement in a bull rally candle 3rd ended and so either this rally to confirm a set up at top or the sell signal may work at any level .

In lower tf , h1 & M30 both have sell signal confirmed and waiting real sells to as low as previous H1 resistance 1.3137 to support 1.3087,and as daily , weekly in bull mode can be less than expecting this down 38.2% fibs 1.3232, 50% fibs 1,3165, any.

so immediate bearish movement to follow next bull as high it can this week.

Don't see differences from my other anlysis as per price action ,
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=365434
fontu

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#145
Jan 22, 2011 10:47am Jan 22, 2011 10:47am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

eu & usdix update for next . still bullish with excercise general precaution .
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=370413

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=370410

fontu

Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++

#146
Edited 1:42pm Feb 19, 2011 1:30pm | Edited 1:42pm

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Posting eu update after some time .

This pair recently in a cretical situation & confusion for next direction both sides .

In daily tf , price having buy set up perfection cd 11th running & looking for a buy signal by 2 or more daily candles followed by signal confirmation & retracement may expect before actual bull if any .next resistance daily level 1.4048 for possible interaction .

In H4 tf a sell set up perfection already there with cd 11th running here waiting a sell segnal by 2 or more H4 candles for signal confirmation & more retrace up before sell start. Now dealing with H4 resistance at 3696.so here more up possible next .

In H1 tf sell set up perfection just occured & likly market wants retracement for cds before sell start. support 1.3545.

In M30 tf also sell set up perfection just occured & waiting also for retracement down.support 1.3632 .

so though lower tf wants retracements before H4 tf & daily may again back to upside before they ready for retracement good enough at some highs .weekly in bull rally now up but price low 1.3546 may lost the rally if hold below this level, not impossible during a good retracement anytime before or after H4 & daily ready for. anyway 2-more days this week should be crucial in decision making this pair.

fontu

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#147
Mar 13, 2011 8:50pm Mar 13, 2011 8:50pm

gembug123
| Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Trader | 43 Posts

Hi Fontu,

Just found your thread. Noticed you have been quite active with this method in the past. Are you still trading with TD Sequential? Have you been profitable in the past few months? I've just started learning about the method and hope you can share with me some of your opinions about it.

Thanks
Sharon

#148
Apr 21, 2011 5:47am Apr 21, 2011 5:47am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting gembug123

Disliked

Hi Fontu,

Just found your thread. Noticed you have been quite active with this method in the past. Are you still trading with TD Sequential? Have you been profitable in the past few months? I've just started learning about the method and hope you can share with me some of your opinions about it.

Thanks
Sharon

Ignored

Thanks for the interest sharon , too late in reply because I was on vacation too many days & just connect internet . Yes I use it successfully as only good background developments of the market but I use many things together in consideration too, specially price action in my way I so far understood.
Hope post more in time next.
fontu

Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++

#149
Apr 21, 2011 5:49am Apr 21, 2011 5:49am

PayTheLimit
Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Ride the Pig | 31,271 Posts

hey brother, good to see your back...will stop buy from time to time, PTL

Look Sharp/Trade Tight

#150
Apr 21, 2011 5:59am Apr 21, 2011 5:59am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting PayTheLimit

Disliked

hey brother, good to see your back...will stop buy from time to time, PTL

Ignored

Thanks TPL , hope done a good job, war time clean cut up once broken 1.4284 and though my analysis was straight forward up with the start of war with gold & dow specially failed correction more & halt to target at history record levels again & again with usdx broken perhaps 76.14 , next 73.14 levels to enter the recession of the history ( still not seen the usdx chart or levels though) unfortunately all ok but me , not in any trade activity past 45 days .

Best wishes
fontu

Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++

#151
Edited 12:45pm May 15, 2011 9:04am | Edited 12:45pm

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Checking TDSc after a long time .

M15 tf , sell signal confirmed & likely a retracement before the real sell . support immediate below 1.4076 , resistance 1.4108 , 16,20 & 45 for possible uo before the sell occure towards supports at lows 1.4048,34,1.4000 & 1.3992.
many of the movements may be absorbed during opening the market or distort.

M30tf 3 or more candles may need for the sell signal confirmation having resistance 1.4114 & support further sells as of M15tf.

Next h1 tf justr finished sell set up perfection & like retrace for countdown 13 non-consecutive countdown candles enough up up before sell signal , if intact by that time .again applied get support 1.4199 then 1.4306 resistance & support below as of lower tf plays of M15 .

daily tf the last candle 9th , probable ranging type as 8th did not & for a sell set up perfection it may range upside mostly before close 1.4190,1.4243 ,get 1.4326 support to much better 1.4363 to 1.4420 to even 1.4600 .

Anway should not expect much 1 st day open market 1.4363 perhaps but it can be very volatile & after set up perfection again chanhes more up before further sell start & may look for more higher levels .

Levels may change with more downwards pressure by chance as still in strong bear trend but not expect beyound 1.3990 before the retracement for all these tf price action to as high as possible , limited may be before further down next step if possible , should need time rather a direct fall towards 1.3861 .

lets see how it does next . all counts & possible price action should ultimately correspond the undergoing changing background & take care before a trade.

corresponding usdx & other analysis eu no contraindication so far but accidental slippage always possible in forex.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...40#post4618940
fontu

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#152
Edited 12:56pm May 16, 2011 12:43pm | Edited 12:56pm

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting fontu

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Checking TDSc after a long time .
daily tf the last candle 9th , probable ranging type as 8th did not & for a sell set up perfection it may range upside mostly before close 1.4190,1.4243 ,get 1.4326 support to much better 1.4363 to 1.4420 to even 1.4600
Anway should not expect much 1 st day open market 1.4363 perhaps but it can be very volatile & after set up perfection again chanhes more up before further sell start & may look for more higher levels .
fontu

Ignored

progress ok so far , price reached 4243 & close still possible above 4190, 4243 & so may go for next levels 4290 resistance H1 to 1.4326 & real breaks at 1.4339 for upper levels with support if can hold h4 support 1.4204 for long time . lets see.
fontu

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#153
Edited 12:54am May 17, 2011 12:40am | Edited 12:54am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting fontu

Disliked

progress ok so far , price reached 4243 & close still possible above 4190, 4243 & so may go for next levels 4290 resistance H1 to 1.4326 & real breaks at 1.4339 for upper levels with support if can hold h4 support 1.4204 for long time . lets see.
fontu

Ignored

Update : the daily failed to close above 1.4190 with the sell set up perfection though but no good for bounce before the sell again . so to be carefull as it may tank again to the lows before the bounce again . so will be carefull at 1.4241, 4253 or even 4290 resistance hourly tf for possible leg down .

Again this happen then can assume all abc correction over & next bounce should be resume bull .& next level down should be 1.3861. anyway nothing happen yet , let get H4 support at 1.4204 to see actually it failing or continue the bounce ,go break 1.4339 to confirm .
lets see .
fontu

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#154
May 17, 2011 12:48am May 17, 2011 12:48am

AcidH4X
| Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Trader | 498 Posts

Quoting fontu

Disliked

Update : the daily failed to close above 1.4190 with the sell set up perfection though but no good for bounce before the sell again . so to be carefull as it may tank again to the lows before the bounce again . so will be carefull at 1.4241, 4253 or even 4290 resistance hourly tf for possible leg down .
lets see .
fontu

Ignored

Thanks for analysis ..

#155
May 17, 2011 1:44am May 17, 2011 1:44am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting AcidH4X

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Thanks for analysis ..

Ignored

Welcome , it go a rocky way perhaps , M5 has now buy signal confirm & likely fall to support 1.4151 before the buy actual and again H1 sell singal waiting after 3 or more H1 candles at some up as with bull rally on also to real sell waiting .
fontu

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#156
May 17, 2011 2:55am May 17, 2011 2:55am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

update : last swing apparently a diamond resistance 4290 ot reaction high 1.4339still may within reach as false breaks up before test reaction low 1.4045. anyway it is bear strong in nature when this indecision stage take action with bear breakout .anyway to take utmost care dealing with it .
long still in play for me till something actually happen with sl & not many scalping , doing though some for smaller moves up & down .

fontu

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#157
May 21, 2011 3:45am May 21, 2011 3:45am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

"daily tf the last candle 9th , probable ranging type as 8th did not & for a sell set up perfection it may range upside mostly before close 1.4190,1.4243 ,get 1.4326 support to much better 1.4363 to 1.4420 to even 1.4600 . "

So with the sell set up perfection daily level took controll over H1 & H4 already in sell signal confirmation & actually waiting still for the sells price likely bounced enough to get the support 1.4326 & broken one cardinal level of bear pride 1.4339 but unfortunately failed held.

Anyway daily again instead countdown actually in bull rally 4th candle still & likely continue bull again while weekly in bear rally in the beginning only 3rd candle and amost it last candle actually failed to close below the 2nd to have bear confirmation of 3 candles down pattern reversal . That is confusion about bear also or not any easy success while retracement pressure remain intact still .

lets see if can capture those previous weeks higher levels again before any big bear , below 1.4045 . nrxt support 1.4120 ok to me & in other anlysis , 1.4120-1.4230/15 range or some more up & down before retracement more ok if .That is down side slide now less probable than up still .

fontu

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#158
May 21, 2011 4:15am May 21, 2011 4:15am

jaydc
| Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Trader | 249 Posts

Quoting fontu

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"daily tf the last candle 9th , probable ranging type as 8th did not & for a sell set up perfection it may range upside mostly before close 1.4190,1.4243 ,get 1.4326 support to much better 1.4363 to 1.4420 to even 1.4600 . "

[b][color=black]So with the sell set up perfection daily level took controll over H1 & H4 already in sell signal confirmation & actually waiting still for the sells price likely bounced enough to get the support 1.4326 & broken one cardinal level of bear pride...

Ignored

hi FONtU

nice ana. of eu..

2 points
1. daily is engulf candle..
2. weekly candle is bearish shooting star..... in bearish trend

weekly range for coming week .. acc to me is 4250-4030.. but dialy candle suggest 3862 tgt before any up move above 4330. or cont to low side

#159
Edited 2:57am May 22, 2011 1:38am | Edited 2:57am

fontu
Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts

Quoting jaydc

Disliked

hi FONtU

nice ana. of eu..

2 points
1. daily is engulf candle..
2. weekly candle is bearish shooting star..... in bearish trend

weekly range for coming week .. acc to me is 4250-4030.. but dialy candle suggest 3862 tgt before any up move above 4330. or cont to low side

Ignored

Ok , no problem , I see the bear too but still very limited as to me the whole big bear is false in nature .

Anyway nothing happening so fast or by days but may by week or so ..

Some charts to remember while shorting till real change to bear if possible .

usdx h1 & h4 both have buy signal confirmed but before any buy likely retracement first & limit up very near 75.99. breakout lows( already started & now doing pullback ) first confirmation 75.15 done but need again 74.79 confirmation for any great down & eu UP then .

Welcome to my thread .

fontu

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